• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk management method

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Risk analysis of offshore terminals in the Caspian Sea

  • Mokhtari, Kambiz;Amanee, Jamshid
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.261-285
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    • 2019
  • Nowadays in offshore industry there are emerging hazards with vague property such as act of terrorism, act of war, unforeseen natural disasters such as tsunami, etc. Therefore industry professionals such as offshore energy insurers, safety engineers and risk managers in order to determine the failure rates and frequencies for the potential hazards where there is no data available, they need to use an appropriate method to overcome this difficulty. Furthermore in conventional risk based analysis models such as when using a fault tree analysis, hazards with vague properties are normally waived and ignored. In other word in previous situations only a traditional probability based fault tree analysis could be implemented. To overcome this shortcoming fuzzy set theory is applied to fault tree analysis to combine the known and unknown data in which the pre-combined result will be determined under a fuzzy environment. This has been fulfilled by integration of a generic bow-tie based risk analysis model into the risk assessment phase of the Risk Management (RM) cycles as a backbone of the phase. For this reason Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Event Tree Analysis (ETA) are used to analyse one of the significant risk factors associated in offshore terminals. This process will eventually help the insurers and risk managers in marine and offshore industries to investigate the potential hazards more in detail if there is vagueness. For this purpose a case study of offshore terminal while coinciding with the nature of the Caspian Sea was decided to be examined.

Application of Cyber Physical System (CPS) for Risk Management of a CO2 Storage Site (이산화탄소 저장부지 위해성 관리를 위한 가상물리시스템 적용성 평가)

  • Jeong, Jina;Park, Eungyu;Jun, Seong-Chun;Kim, Hyun-Jun;Yun, Seong-Taek
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.363-373
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    • 2017
  • In the present study, adaptability of cyber-physical system (CPS) for risk management of $CO_2$ storage site is examined and the subagging regression (SBR) method is proposed as a key component of the cyber-twin to estimate the risk due to potential $CO_2$ leakage. For these purposes, $CO_2$ concentration data monitored from a controlled $CO_2$ release field experiment is employed to validate the potentialities of the SBR method. From the validation study, it is found that the SBR method has robust estimation capability by showing minimal influence from anomalous measurements, and makes stable and sound predictions for the forthcoming $CO_2$ concentration trend. In addition, the method is found to be well suited as a tool of operational risk assessment based on real-time monitoring data due to the computational efficiency. The overall results suggest that the SBR method has potential to be an important component comprising the cyber twin of CPS for risk management of $CO_2$ storage site.

A Study on Cost Prediction of Highway Operating Risk through a Case Study of Power Failure (정전사고 사례분석을 통한 고속도로 운영 위험비용 산정에 대한 연구)

  • Kwon, Yong-Hoon;Kim, Kyong-Ju;Lim, Won-Seok;Park, Chan-Jin;Chae, Myung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.78-90
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    • 2009
  • Recently, operation of highway is the complex digital Infrastructure based on complicated IT. The application of IT is increasing more and more in digital Infrastructure. Though IT is very convenient, if unpredicted operating risk of highway occurs, widespread damage can be large. When operating risk of highway occurs, road users are out of smoothly-run service because of the operating interruption. This risk causes unpredicted operating management cost and additional maintenance cost. It will excess over the planned operating cost, which may leads to users's unsafety and operator's insolvency because of income loss. Until now, related studies to find out the risk are not sufficient. The purpose of this study is to suggest risk cost items and to estimate the reasonable risk cost by using simulation method in case of occurring the huge power failure at the operating digitalized highway. This study indicates the several plans to hedge against risk cost and the management of highway project. From now on, it will be used as basic data to confirm the soundness of operating system in Digital Infrastructure.

Risk Assessment and Contingency Prediction considering Work Characteristics for Modular Plant Construction Projects (모듈러 플랜트의 업무특성을 고려한 위험 평가 및 예비비 예측)

  • Kang, Hyunwook;Kim, Jongwook;Kim, Yongsu
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to assess the risk and predict the contingency for modular plant construction projects. Considering the work characteristics of the modular plant, The adapted research method is that suggest models for assessment impact of risk and predict the contingency considering risk. Based on the proposed models, It is selected one modular plant construction project and assessment impact of risk factors and predicted the contingency. The results of this study are as follows: Assessment the probability of occurrence of risk factors and intensity of impact, and extract 15 important risk factors. These are classified as Engineering, Procurement, Fabrication, Transportation, Construction phases to consider the work characteristics of the modular plant. The predicted contingency is that 6.739%(Engineering 2.850%, Procurement 6.225%, Fabrication 6.211%, Transportation 4.165%, Construction 8.168%) to prepare the basic business expense. The model is used as a way to derive quantitative results in the decision-making process for risk management in construction projects.

Agent Based Information Security Framework for Hybrid Cloud Computing

  • Tariq, Muhammad Imran
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.406-434
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    • 2019
  • In general, an information security approach estimates the risk, where the risk is to occur due to an unusual event, and the associated consequences for cloud organization. Information Security and Risk Management (ISRA) practices vary among cloud organizations and disciplines. There are several approaches to compare existing risk management methods for cloud organizations but their scope is limited considering stereo type criteria, rather than developing an agent based task that considers all aspects of the associated risk. It is the lack of considering all existing renowned risk management frameworks, their proper comparison, and agent techniques that motivates this research. This paper proposes Agent Based Information Security Framework for Hybrid Cloud Computing as an all-inclusive method including cloud related methods to review and compare existing different renowned methods for cloud computing risk issues and by adding new tasks from surveyed methods. The concepts of software agent and intelligent agent have been introduced that fetch/collect accurate information used in framework and to develop a decision system that facilitates the organization to take decision against threat agent on the basis of information provided by the security agents. The scope of this research primarily considers risk assessment methods that focus on assets, potential threats, vulnerabilities and their associated measures to calculate consequences. After in-depth comparison of renowned ISRA methods with ABISF, we have found that ISO/IEC 27005:2011 is the most appropriate approach among existing ISRA methods. The proposed framework was implemented using fuzzy inference system based upon fuzzy set theory, and MATLAB(R) fuzzy logic rules were used to test the framework. The fuzzy results confirm that proposed framework could be used for information security in cloud computing environment.

Joint Reasoning of Real-time Visual Risk Zone Identification and Numeric Checking for Construction Safety Management

  • Ali, Ahmed Khairadeen;Khan, Numan;Lee, Do Yeop;Park, Chansik
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2020.12a
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    • pp.313-322
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    • 2020
  • The recognition of the risk hazards is a vital step to effectively prevent accidents on a construction site. The advanced development in computer vision systems and the availability of the large visual database related to construction site made it possible to take quick action in the event of human error and disaster situations that may occur during management supervision. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the risk factors that need to be managed at the construction site and review appropriate and effective technical methods for each risk factor. This research focuses on analyzing Occupational Safety and Health Agency (OSHA) related to risk zone identification rules that can be adopted by the image recognition technology and classify their risk factors depending on the effective technical method. Therefore, this research developed a pattern-oriented classification of OSHA rules that can employ a large scale of safety hazard recognition. This research uses joint reasoning of risk zone Identification and numeric input by utilizing a stereo camera integrated with an image detection algorithm such as (YOLOv3) and Pyramid Stereo Matching Network (PSMNet). The research result identifies risk zones and raises alarm if a target object enters this zone. It also determines numerical information of a target, which recognizes the length, spacing, and angle of the target. Applying image detection joint logic algorithms might leverage the speed and accuracy of hazard detection due to merging more than one factor to prevent accidents in the job site.

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An Effective Management of Construction Insurance (건설공사보험의 효율적 관리방법)

  • Yang Jin-Kook;Kim Soo-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.319-324
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    • 2003
  • There is much more possibilities of encounter of critical problems and uncertain factors in construction project it is very important to analyze various risk factors of the project in its first stage. Because of the uncertainty, we need to study about the construction insurance scheme for risk-transfer within construction management method. This research methodology has been devised through analysis of characteristic of classified domestic construction insurance as well as some related foreign insurance system.

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Management in the EPC Business for Overseas Power Plant Projects (해외 발전플랜트 EPC 사업의 리스크 분석 및 관리방안)

  • Park, Euiseung;Yoo, Hoseon;Lee, Jae-Heon
    • Plant Journal
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.48-64
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    • 2011
  • In this work, risks in EPC project for overseas power plant projects are analyzed and risk management methods are suggested to reduce cost and to shorten time. 79% of risks occurred in the engineering phase for S project located in South-East Asia. The impact scales of risks on major project objectives which are cost, time, scope, and quality are analyzed as 3.5, 3.8, 2.7, and 3.7, respectively. The level of impact scales is very similar to each other except the impact scale of scope. The risk management methods suggested in this study have to be applied at the appropriate time to manage risks effectively. After that, risks are managed continuously by monitoring.

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Reestablishment of RPN Evaluation Method in FMEA Procedure for K21 (K21 보병전투차량에 FMEA 적용을 통한 RPN 평가방법 재정립)

  • Lee, Chang-Hee;Yang, Kyung-Woo;Kim, Sang-Bu
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.306-315
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: To ensure good quality munitions, we require quantitative risk management and optimal risk management of system characteristics. Methods: Failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) is a widely used technique to assess or to improve reliability of products at early stage of design and development. Traditionally, the prioritization of failures for corrective actions is performed by developing a risk priority number (RPN). Results: This paper reestablishes an effective methodology for prioritization of failure modes in FMEA procedure. Revised evaluation criteria of RPN are devised. Conclusion: To verify the proposed methodology, it is applied to RPN evaluation for K21 infantry combat vehicle.

Risk-Based Inspection(RBI) Technology for Safety Management of the Pressurized Facilities (압력설비의 안전관리를 위한 위험기반검사(RBI) 기술)

  • Lee, Hern-Chang;Han, Seong-Hwan;Cho, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Tae-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2011
  • Risk-based inspection (RBI) is a inspection technique suggesting inspection plan, such as inspection interval and inspection method, of the pressurized facilities based on its risk in the petrochemical, refinery and gas industries. Therefore, we can intensively and cost-effectively maintain, repair and manage the high-risk facilities through RBI technology. This paper reviews RBI technology, such as principle and implemental procedure of RBI, management of risks and facilities and return of investment through RBI, RBI technology at present and its application in domestic industries. In addition, some improvement directions of RBI are also proposed.