• Title/Summary/Keyword: reliability prediction

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Reliability Assessment Methods for Electronic Component Removed Environmental Materials (환경물질을 제외한 전자부품의 신뢰성평가 방법 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Boem;Cho, Jai-Rip
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.275-298
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    • 2007
  • Recently, all kind of 21C-typed electronic goods show the tendency of hightechnology and digital convergence rapidly. Also, failure mechanism which differs from original goods concept presents. Today, failure mechanism which differs from one that was happened by restricted harmful environment material before adapted the raw of environment material is changing the paradigm of reliability engineering. Thus, when applied the environment matter of original and secondary material at the electronic goods were removed, reliability assessment method and prediction stay into low level. This study suggests as solution to overcome these phenomenon. The study on the management method of environmental restriction substances which is recognized as important element in the reliability assessment about environment material of electronic goods and the study on reliability assessment method of PWB without environment material are progressed.

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Lifetime Prediction of Existing Highway Bridges Using System Reliability Approach (실제 교량의 시스템 신뢰성해석에 기초한 수명예측)

  • Yang, Seung Ie
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, the system reliability concept was presented to predict the lifespan of bridges. Lifetime distribution functions (survivor functions) were used to model real bridges to predict their remaining life. Using the system reliability concept and lifetime distribution functions (survivor functions), a program called LIFETIME was developed. The survivor functions give the reliability of component at time t. The program was applied to an existing Colorado state highway bridge to predict the failure probability of the time-dependent system. The bridge was modeled as a system, with failure probability computed using time-dependent deteriorating models.

Monte Carlo Simulation on Reliability of a Self-Separable Ejector for Man-Portable Missiles

  • Lee, Hyo-Nam;Oh, Jong-Yun
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.385-395
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    • 2011
  • An ejector was developed for man-portable missiles. The ejector can be separated from the missile after the completion of the ejection function even without any additional separation devices. This paper introduces the particular separation mechanism of the ejector and presents the methodology, based on a probabilistic design method, to predict the ejection-and-separation reliability. This approach using Monte Carlo simulation can also be applicable to the reliability prediction of one-shot items suffering from difficulties in estimating or in demonstrating their reliability due to the lack of the number of tests available.

Accelerated Creep Testing of Geogrids for Slopes and Embankments: Statistical Models and Data Analysis

  • Koo, Hyun-Jin;Kim, You-Kyum;Kim, Dong-Whan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2004.07a
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 2004
  • The failure of geogrids can be defined as an excessive creep strain which causes the collapse of slopes and embankments. In this study, the accelerated creep tests were applied to two different types of polyester geogrids, at 75, 80, 85$^{\circ}C$ by applying 50% load of ultimate tensile strengths using a newly designed test equipment which is allowed the creep testing at higher temperatures. And then the creep curves were shifted and superposed in the time axis by applying time-temperature supposition principles. In predicting the lifetimes of geogrids, the underlying distribution for failure times were determined based on identification of the failure mechanism. The results indicate that the conventional procedures with the newly designed test equipment are shown to be effective in prediction of the lifetimes of geogrids with shorter test times. In addition, the predicted lifetimes of geogrids having different structures at various creep strains give guidelines for users to select the proper geogrids in the fields.

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Lifetime prediction of the engine mount about the environment temperature variation (환경 온도변화에 대한 자동차용 엔진마운트의 수명 예측)

  • Kim, Hyung Min;Wei, Shin Hwan;Yoon, Sin Il;Shin, Ik Jae;Kim, Gyu Ro
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2013
  • In order to assess the reliability of engine mount for a vehicles, life test model and procedure are developed. By using this method, failure mechanism and life distribution are analyzed. The main results are as follows; i) the main failure mechanism is degradation failure of engine mount rubber by fatigue failure at dynamic load. ii) temperature is a second factor to affect a failure. iii) the life distribution of engine mount module is fitted well to Weibull life distribution and the shape parameter is 18.4 and the accelerated life model of that is fitted well to Arrhenius model.

A Study on the Construction Vibrations Prediction of Bridge Structures using the Reliability Index (신뢰성 지수를 이용한 교량 구조물의 건설진동 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 박연수;우정하;전양배;김응록;김동현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.442-449
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    • 2003
  • This study presents a new analysis of blast vibration equations of a bridge structures using a reliability index. Changing the reliability makes each blast vibration equation. The blast equations are divided into three classes, having 50%, 90% and 99.9% at ${\beta}$=0, 1.28 and 3 respectively. In the result of this research, the assumption equations which used ${\beta}$=1.28 is suitable. By using these blast equations, it is possible for users to predict reliable ground vibration values upon demand.

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Study of Design and Verification for Control Rod Control System (제어봉 구동장치 제어기기 설계 및 검증에 관한 연구)

  • Yook, Sim-Kyun;Lee, Sang-Yong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.593-602
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    • 2004
  • We have developed a digital control rod control system not only to improve its performance but also to improve its reliability and speed of response so that it can replace the old fashioned analog system. However, a new developed digital control system should be tested to prove the validity by using any prototype or mock-up before application. The reliability prediction and the reliability block diagram analysis methods were adopted to verify the reliability of the developed hardware. For the case of software, especially fur a new developed control algorithm it has been tested to prove performances and validation by using a dynamic simulator and mock-up of control rod drive mechanism altogether. Here we want to present some key factors regarding to the new developed digital system with some verification procedures.

Reliability assessment of EPB tunnel-related settlement

  • Goh, Anthony T.C.;Hefney, A.M.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2010
  • A major consideration in the design of tunnels in urban areas is the prediction of the ground movements and surface settlements associated with the tunneling operations. Excessive ground movements can damage adjacent building and utilities. In this paper, a neural network model is used to predict the maximum surface settlement, based on instrumented results from three separate EPB tunneling projects in Singapore. This paper demonstrates that by coupling the trained neural network model to a spreadsheet optimization technique, the reliability assessment of the settlement serviceability limit state can be carried out using the first-order reliability method. With this method, it is possible to carry out sensitivity studies to examine the effect of the level of uncertainty of each parameter uncertainty on the probability that the serviceability limit state has been exceeded.

Prediction Method of Useful Life of PVC Tape for Wiring Harness (와이어링 PVC 테이프 내구 수명 예측)

  • Kim, Seong-Woo;Jung, Won-Wook;Park, Jong-Koo;Ahn, Mi-Jung
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2007
  • Phenomenon, such as hardening, cracking or breaking etc.. of PVC tape for wiring harness by aging were detected on driven automobile in field. Hardening or cracking of PVC tape were confirmed decline of elongation by surrounding stress. The accelerated heat aging test was carried out applying temperature most important factor of aging, and then deduced an equation of useful life using arrhenius model. Prediction method of useful life of PVC tape was developed using miner rule calculating damage value by thermal energy classified temperature by matching deduced equation of useful life and measured temperature value on driven automobile in field.

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Mathematical Model of Shock Absorber for Performance Prediction of Automobile

  • Park, Jae-Woo;Lee, Jong-Heon;Kim, Jin-Wook
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.467-478
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    • 2003
  • Automotive shock absorber may not be regarded as only one(simple) damping machine because it is composed of many components, and shows non-linear damping characteristics. No matter how advanced form of shock absorber is developed, the oil shock absorber can not be neglected. because their structures are based on the oil shock absorber. Therefore it is essential to accurately analyze the dynamic characteristics of oil shock absorber. It stands mainly roi damper valve tuning which nowadays is still exhaustively done by means of ride work. In this study, damping mechanism and dynamic characteristics for oil shock absorber of twin tube type are analyzed, based on the mathematical model considering internal flow and pressure. For the reliability of numerical prediction. the database is constructed within the limit of adequate reliability. Finally, the programmed system that gives out necessary specification by inputting damping specification and tolerance is to be constructed.