• 제목/요약/키워드: reliability prediction

검색결과 1,201건 처리시간 0.03초

환경물질을 제외한 전자부품의 신뢰성평가 방법 연구 (Reliability Assessment Methods for Electronic Component Removed Environmental Materials)

  • 이종범;조재립
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2007년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.275-298
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    • 2007
  • Recently, all kind of 21C-typed electronic goods show the tendency of hightechnology and digital convergence rapidly. Also, failure mechanism which differs from original goods concept presents. Today, failure mechanism which differs from one that was happened by restricted harmful environment material before adapted the raw of environment material is changing the paradigm of reliability engineering. Thus, when applied the environment matter of original and secondary material at the electronic goods were removed, reliability assessment method and prediction stay into low level. This study suggests as solution to overcome these phenomenon. The study on the management method of environmental restriction substances which is recognized as important element in the reliability assessment about environment material of electronic goods and the study on reliability assessment method of PWB without environment material are progressed.

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실제 교량의 시스템 신뢰성해석에 기초한 수명예측 (Lifetime Prediction of Existing Highway Bridges Using System Reliability Approach)

  • 양승이
    • 한국강구조학회 논문집
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 2002
  • 이 논문에서는 교량의 수명을 예측하기 위한 시스템 신뢰성 이론이 설명되고, 생애 분포 함수를 이용하여 현존하는 교량의 잔존 수명을 예측하는 방법이 설명된다. 시스템 이론과 생애함수 (survivor functions) 를 이용하여 LIFETIME 이라는 프로그램을 개발하였다. Survivor functions은 주어진 시간 t에 대해 신뢰성을 산출한다. 이 프로그램을 이용하여 콜로라도주에 있는 교량의 수명을 예측하였다. 이 교량은 직렬과 병렬로 구성된 시스템으로 컴퓨터 모델링 되었으며 이 모델을 이용하여 시스템 파괴 확률을 시간에 대해 계산하였다.

Monte Carlo Simulation on Reliability of a Self-Separable Ejector for Man-Portable Missiles

  • Lee, Hyo-Nam;Oh, Jong-Yun
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.385-395
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    • 2011
  • An ejector was developed for man-portable missiles. The ejector can be separated from the missile after the completion of the ejection function even without any additional separation devices. This paper introduces the particular separation mechanism of the ejector and presents the methodology, based on a probabilistic design method, to predict the ejection-and-separation reliability. This approach using Monte Carlo simulation can also be applicable to the reliability prediction of one-shot items suffering from difficulties in estimating or in demonstrating their reliability due to the lack of the number of tests available.

Accelerated Creep Testing of Geogrids for Slopes and Embankments: Statistical Models and Data Analysis

  • Koo, Hyun-Jin;Kim, You-Kyum;Kim, Dong-Whan
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2004년도 정기학술대회
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 2004
  • The failure of geogrids can be defined as an excessive creep strain which causes the collapse of slopes and embankments. In this study, the accelerated creep tests were applied to two different types of polyester geogrids, at 75, 80, 85$^{\circ}C$ by applying 50% load of ultimate tensile strengths using a newly designed test equipment which is allowed the creep testing at higher temperatures. And then the creep curves were shifted and superposed in the time axis by applying time-temperature supposition principles. In predicting the lifetimes of geogrids, the underlying distribution for failure times were determined based on identification of the failure mechanism. The results indicate that the conventional procedures with the newly designed test equipment are shown to be effective in prediction of the lifetimes of geogrids with shorter test times. In addition, the predicted lifetimes of geogrids having different structures at various creep strains give guidelines for users to select the proper geogrids in the fields.

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환경 온도변화에 대한 자동차용 엔진마운트의 수명 예측 (Lifetime prediction of the engine mount about the environment temperature variation)

  • 김형민;위신환;윤신일;신익재;김규로
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2013
  • In order to assess the reliability of engine mount for a vehicles, life test model and procedure are developed. By using this method, failure mechanism and life distribution are analyzed. The main results are as follows; i) the main failure mechanism is degradation failure of engine mount rubber by fatigue failure at dynamic load. ii) temperature is a second factor to affect a failure. iii) the life distribution of engine mount module is fitted well to Weibull life distribution and the shape parameter is 18.4 and the accelerated life model of that is fitted well to Arrhenius model.

신뢰성 지수를 이용한 교량 구조물의 건설진동 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Construction Vibrations Prediction of Bridge Structures using the Reliability Index)

  • 박연수;우정하;전양배;김응록;김동현
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.442-449
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    • 2003
  • This study presents a new analysis of blast vibration equations of a bridge structures using a reliability index. Changing the reliability makes each blast vibration equation. The blast equations are divided into three classes, having 50%, 90% and 99.9% at ${\beta}$=0, 1.28 and 3 respectively. In the result of this research, the assumption equations which used ${\beta}$=1.28 is suitable. By using these blast equations, it is possible for users to predict reliable ground vibration values upon demand.

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제어봉 구동장치 제어기기 설계 및 검증에 관한 연구 (Study of Design and Verification for Control Rod Control System)

  • 육심균;이상룡
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.593-602
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    • 2004
  • We have developed a digital control rod control system not only to improve its performance but also to improve its reliability and speed of response so that it can replace the old fashioned analog system. However, a new developed digital control system should be tested to prove the validity by using any prototype or mock-up before application. The reliability prediction and the reliability block diagram analysis methods were adopted to verify the reliability of the developed hardware. For the case of software, especially fur a new developed control algorithm it has been tested to prove performances and validation by using a dynamic simulator and mock-up of control rod drive mechanism altogether. Here we want to present some key factors regarding to the new developed digital system with some verification procedures.

Reliability assessment of EPB tunnel-related settlement

  • Goh, Anthony T.C.;Hefney, A.M.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2010
  • A major consideration in the design of tunnels in urban areas is the prediction of the ground movements and surface settlements associated with the tunneling operations. Excessive ground movements can damage adjacent building and utilities. In this paper, a neural network model is used to predict the maximum surface settlement, based on instrumented results from three separate EPB tunneling projects in Singapore. This paper demonstrates that by coupling the trained neural network model to a spreadsheet optimization technique, the reliability assessment of the settlement serviceability limit state can be carried out using the first-order reliability method. With this method, it is possible to carry out sensitivity studies to examine the effect of the level of uncertainty of each parameter uncertainty on the probability that the serviceability limit state has been exceeded.

와이어링 PVC 테이프 내구 수명 예측 (Prediction Method of Useful Life of PVC Tape for Wiring Harness)

  • 김성우;정원욱;박종구;안미정
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2007
  • Phenomenon, such as hardening, cracking or breaking etc.. of PVC tape for wiring harness by aging were detected on driven automobile in field. Hardening or cracking of PVC tape were confirmed decline of elongation by surrounding stress. The accelerated heat aging test was carried out applying temperature most important factor of aging, and then deduced an equation of useful life using arrhenius model. Prediction method of useful life of PVC tape was developed using miner rule calculating damage value by thermal energy classified temperature by matching deduced equation of useful life and measured temperature value on driven automobile in field.

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Mathematical Model of Shock Absorber for Performance Prediction of Automobile

  • Park, Jae-Woo;Lee, Jong-Heon;Kim, Jin-Wook
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.467-478
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    • 2003
  • Automotive shock absorber may not be regarded as only one(simple) damping machine because it is composed of many components, and shows non-linear damping characteristics. No matter how advanced form of shock absorber is developed, the oil shock absorber can not be neglected. because their structures are based on the oil shock absorber. Therefore it is essential to accurately analyze the dynamic characteristics of oil shock absorber. It stands mainly roi damper valve tuning which nowadays is still exhaustively done by means of ride work. In this study, damping mechanism and dynamic characteristics for oil shock absorber of twin tube type are analyzed, based on the mathematical model considering internal flow and pressure. For the reliability of numerical prediction. the database is constructed within the limit of adequate reliability. Finally, the programmed system that gives out necessary specification by inputting damping specification and tolerance is to be constructed.