• Title/Summary/Keyword: reliability prediction

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Application Analysis of HSPF Model Considering Watershed Scale in Hwang River Basin (황강유역에서의 유역규모를 고려한 HSPF 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Choi, Hyun Gu;Han, Kun Yeun;Hwangbo, Hyun;Cho, Wan Hee
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.509-521
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate overall reliability and applicability of the watershed modeling for systematic management of point and non-point sources via water quality analysis and prediction of runoff discharge within watershed. Recently, runoff characteristics and pollutant characteristics have been changing in watershed by anomaly climate and urbanization. In this study, the effects of watershed scale were analyzed in runoff and water quality modeling using HSPF. In case of correlation coefficient, its range was from 0.936 to 0.984 in case A(divided - 2 small watersheds). On the other hand, its range was form 0.840 to 0.899 in case B(united - 1 watershed). In case of Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient, its range was from 0.718 to 0.966 in case A. On the other hand, its range was from 0.441 to 0.683 in case B. As a result, it was judged that case A was more accurate than case B. Therefore, runoff and water quality modeling in minimum watershed scale that was provided data for calibration and verification was judged to be favorable in accuracy. If optimal watershed dividing and parameter optimization using PEST in HSPF with more reliable measured data are carried out, more accurate runoff and water quality modeling will be performed.

Activities of IEA SolarPACES Task-1 & 3 Programs (IEA SolarPACES Task-1, 3 활동보고)

  • Kim, Jong-Kyu;Lee, Hyun-Jin;Lee, Sang-Nam;Kang, Yong-Heack
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.324-327
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    • 2011
  • SolarPACES(Solar Power and Chemical Energy systems) is an international organization under the REWP(Renewable Energy Working Party)in the IEA(International Energy Agency) and focuses on the technology development and market expansion of CSP(Concentrating Solar Power). Seventeen countries including Rep. of Korea participate in the ExCo(Executive Committee) of SolarPACES. The ExCo meeting helds two times in a year and the second ExCo meeting opens in company with the five Task meetings. Rep. of Korea takes part in the Task-1officially. The 81th ExCo and Task meetings were held during September 18 and 19 in Spain with SolarPACES conference which also continued in succession to September 23 in this year. This paper introduces the activities which have been under progressed in the Task-1 and Task-3based on this time attendance of the meeting. In accordance with the expansion of CSP market and technology development, the needs for the standardization and project status underway in the world are increasing. Therefore, build an international project database and standard of the CSP technology are the main activities in the Task-1 and the standardization is also connected with the Task-3. In addition, to increase the reliability of the new technology of CSP and to reduce the concern of investors, the Task-1 is making guidelines for CSP performance prediction which can provide medium quality calculated performance data of PTC(Parabolic Trough Concentrator) type technology widely used and occupies over 90% CSP market.

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A Study on Establish the Foundation of Electronic Payment System for the Auxiliary Costs of Foreign Trade - Focused on Logistic and Customs Clearance Areas - (수출입 부대비용의 EPS 기반구축에 관한 연구 - 물류.통관부문을 중심으로 -)

  • Shim, Chong-Seok;Yang, Jung-Ho
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.47
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    • pp.185-212
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    • 2010
  • This study aims to derive practical suggestions to apply application methods by auxiliary costs, especially application of logistics and customs clearance areas in order to establish EPS support system of auxiliary cost occurred from export/import. For the propose, this study has analyzed types and situation of auxiliary costs, application method by auxiliary costs, payment situation of logistics auxiliary costs and clearance auxiliary costs and suggested the relevant problems and their application methods. Especially, in case of logistics auxiliary costs through connection to the attached general documents required for negotiation by reflecting characteristics of B2B transactions. In addition, it has suggested that those services by the said system should be conveniently used commonly by the export companies and logistics companies through provision of various payment measures, support of foreign currency payment, etc. and security of reliability/system stability, etc. for the compatible payment with other systems as the prerequisite for the successful settlement of the auxiliary costs EPS. It is expected that satisfaction of the uTradeHub users such as export/import companies and logistics companies will be increased, user-oriented customized information services such as raw cost prediction service through calculation of auxiliary costs could be available in the future and efficiency of work processes related to auxiliary costs will be increased, by providing the EPS through various single window based payment measures through establishment of the export/import auxiliary costs payment system.

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The Fundamental Study on Quality Properties of Binary Blended Concrete according to Water Reducing Performance of Chemical Admixture and Estimation Equation of Compressive Strength (화학 혼화제의 감수 성능에 따른 2성분계 콘크리트의 품질특성 및 압축강도 추정식에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwan;Oh, Sung-Rok;Choi, Byung-Keol;Choi, Yun-Wang
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2016
  • In this study, binary blended concrete mix with fly ash and ground granulated blast furnace slag was prepared according to 3 level of water reduction performance of chemical admixture (0%, 8% and 16%) and 3 level of water-cement ratio (40%, 45% and 50%) for evaluation of quality properties of binary blended concrete according to performance of chemical admixture. concrete mix was carried out repetition test of three times in order to secure the reliability. As a result, compressive strength according to performance of chemical admixture was found that difference of strength was about 20% occurred, chemical admixture was showed that a great influence on qualities of concrete. In addition, reflected the effect of performance of chemiacal admixture, prediction model equations for concrete compressive strength was proposed, it was found that more than 85% of the high correlation.

A Development of Traffic Accident Prediction Model at Rural Unsignalized Intersections Using Random Parameter (Random Parameter를 이용한 지방부 무신호교차로 교통사고 예측모형개발)

  • Lee, Kyu-Hoon;Oh, Ju-Taek;Park, Jeong-Soon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.64-75
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    • 2017
  • Previous count models using fixed parameter can not consider the unobserved heterogeneity, as the standard error of the count value is underestimated, excessive t-values are derived thereby reducing the reliability of the model. Also, the study of unsignalized intersections are inadequate because of the difficulty of collecting data and statistical limits for accurate analytical processes compared to the signalized intersections. The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting traffic accidents by constructing the count model using random parameters, and it aimed to distinguish between existing studies based on the rural unsignalized intersections. As a result of the analysis, 7 variables were presented as significant variables, and 2 variables(presence of crosswalk, speed limit) were presented as random parameter.

A Boundary-Scan Based On-Line Circuit Performance Monitoring Scheme (경계 스캔 기반 온-라인 회로 성능 모니터링 기법)

  • Park, Jeongseok;Kang, Taegeun;Yi, Hyunbean
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2016
  • As semiconductor technology has developed, device performance has been improved. However, since device structures became smaller, circuit aging due to operational and environmental conditions can be accelerated. Circuit aging causes a performance degradation and eventually a system error. In reliable systems, a failure due to aging might cause a great disaster. Therefore, these systems need a performance degradation prediction function so that they can take action in advance before a failure occurs. This paper presents an on-line circuit performance degradation monitoring scheme for predicting a failure by detecting performance degradation during circuit normal operation. In our proposed scheme, IEEE 1149.1 output boundary scan cells and TAP controller are reused. The experimental result shows that the proposed architecture can monitor the performance degradation during normal operation without stopping the circuit.

A Study on The Decision of Allowable Bearing Capacity of PHC Piles (PHC Pile의 허용지지력 결정에 관한 연구)

  • 안종필;박주원;이광용
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 1999
  • Analytical studies on piles so far have been directed toward prediction of bearing capacity under vertical loads. Various static and dynamic formulas have been used in predicting the ultimate bearing capacity of a pile. Further, the reliability of these formulas has been verified by comparing the predicted values with the pile load test measurements. Accordingly, by means of the ultimate load from the data measured by the actual field load tests of PHC piles, safety factors were compared and analyzed static and dynamic formula methods applying to 4 different sites. As a result, the safety factor by Meyerhof formula method indicates 3.0 and the safety factor by Hiley formula method indicates 5.0.

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Finite element analysis of a CFRP reinforced retaining wall

  • Ouria, Ahad;Toufigh, Vahab;Desai, Chandrakant;Toufigh, Vahid;Saadatmanesh, Hamid
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.757-774
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    • 2016
  • Soils are usually weak in tension therefore different materials such as geosynthetics are used to address this inadequacy. Worldwide annual consumption of geosynthetics is close to $1000million\;m^2$, and the value of these materials is probably close to US$1500 million. Since the total cost of the construction is at least four or five times the cost of the geosynthetic itself, the impact of these materials on civil engineering construction is very large indeed. Nevertheless, there are several significant problems associated with geosynthetics, such as creep, low modulus of elasticity, and susceptibility to aggressive environment. Carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) was introduced over two decades ago in the field of structural engineering that can also be used in geotechnical engineering. CFRP has all the benefits associated with geosynthetics and it boasts higher strength, higher modulus, no significant creep and reliability in aggressive environments. In this paper, the performance of a CFRP reinforced retaining wall is investigated using the finite element method. Since the characterization of behavior of soils and interfaces are vital for reliable prediction from the numerical model, soil and interface properties are obtained from comprehensive laboratory tests. Based on the laboratory results for CFRP, backfill soil, and interface data, the finite element model is used to study the behavior of a CFRP reinforced wall. The finite element model was verified based on the results of filed measurements for a reference wall. Then the reference wall simulated by CFRP reinforcements and the results. The results of this investigations showed that the safety factor of CFRP reinforced wall is more and its deformations is less than those for a retaining wall reinforced with ordinary geosynthetics while their construction costs are in similar range.

A Semi-Implicit Integration for Rate-Dependent Plasticity with Nonlinear Kinematic Hardening (비선형 이동경화를 고려한 점소성 모델의 내연적 적분)

  • Yoon, Sam-Son;Lee, Soon-Bok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.9
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    • pp.1562-1570
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    • 2003
  • The prediction of the inelastic behavior of the structure is an essential part of reliability assessment procedure, because most of the failures are induced by the inelastic deformation, such as creep and plastic deformation. During decades, there has been much progress in understanding of the inelastic behavior of the materials and a lot of inelastic constitutive equations have been developed. The complexity of these constitutive equations generally requires a stable and accurate numerical method. The radial return mapping is one of the most robust integration scheme currently used. Nonlinear kinematic hardening model of Armstrong-Fredrick type has recovery term and the direction of kinematic hardening increment is not parallel to that of plastic strain increment. In this case, The conventional radial return mapping method cannot be applied directly. In this investigation, we expanded the radial return mapping method to consider the nonlinear kinematic hardening model and implemented this integration scheme into ABAQUS by means of UMAT subroutine. The solution of the non-linear system of algebraic equations arising from time discretization with the generalized midpoint rule is determined using Newton method and bisection method. Using dynamic yield condition derived from linearization of flow rule, the integration scheme for elastoplastic and viscoplastic constitutive model was unified. Several numerical examples are considered to demonstrate the efficiency and applicability of the present method.

Prediction of Lift Performance of Automotive Glass Using Finite Element Analysis (유한요소해석을 통한 자동차용 글라스의 승강성능 예측)

  • Moon, Hyung-Il;Kim, Heon-Young;Choi, Cheon;Lee, In-Heok;Kim, Do-Hyung
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.11
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    • pp.1749-1755
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    • 2010
  • The performance of power window system was decided by driving characteristics of the window regulator part and reaction by the glass run. The performance of power window system usually has been predicted by experimental methods. In this paper, an analytical method using the explicit code was suggested to overcome the limit of the experimental methods. The friction coefficient of glass run was obtained by the friction test at various conditions and the Mooney-Rivlin model was used. Also, a mechanism of window regulator consisted of the fast belt system and the slip ring elements. And, we conducted the analysis considering characteristic of a motor and obtained the lifting speed of automotive glass with high reliability