• 제목/요약/키워드: reliability functions

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On-line integration of structural identification/damage detection and structural reliability evaluation of stochastic building structures

  • Lei, Ying;Wang, Longfei;Lu, Lanxin;Xia, Dandan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.63 no.6
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    • pp.789-797
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    • 2017
  • Recently, some integrated structural identification/damage detection and reliability evaluation of structures with uncertainties have been proposed. However, these techniques are applicable for off-line synthesis of structural identification and reliability evaluation. In this paper, based on the recursive formulation of the extended Kalman filter, an on-line integration of structural identification/damage detection and reliability evaluation of stochastic building structures is investigated. Structural limit state is expanded by the Taylor series in terms of uncertain variables to obtain the probability density function (PDF). Both structural component reliability with only one limit state function and system reliability with multi-limit state functions are studied. Then, it is extended to adopt the recent extended Kalman filter with unknown input (EKF-UI) proposed by the authors for on-line integration of structural identification/damage detection and structural reliability evaluation of stochastic building structures subject to unknown excitations. Numerical examples are used to demonstrate the proposed method. The evaluated results of structural component reliability and structural system reliability are compared with those by the Monte Carlo simulation to validate the performances of the proposed method.

Reliability analysis of circular tunnel with consideration of the strength limit state

  • Ghasemi, Seyed Hooman;Nowak, Andrzej S.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.879-888
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    • 2018
  • Probability-based design codes have been developed to sufficiently confirm the safety level of structures. One of the most acceptable probability-based approaches is Load Resistance Factor Design (LRFD), which measures the safety level of the structures in terms of the reliability index. The main contribution of this paper is to calibrate the load and resistance factors of the design code for tunnels. The load and resistance factors are calculated using the available statistical models and probability-based procedures. The major steps include selection of representative structures, consideration of the limit state functions, calculation of reliability for the selected structures, selection of the target reliability index and calculation of load factors and resistance factors. The load and resistance models are reviewed. Statistical models of resistance (load carrying capacity) are summarized for strength limit state in bending, shear and compression. The reliability indices are calculated for several segments of a selected circular tunnel designed according to the tunnel manual report (Tunnel Manual). The novelty of this paper is the selection of the target reliability. In doing so, the uniform spectrum of reliability indices is proposed based on the probability paper. The final recommendation is proposed based on the closeness to the target reliability index.

A Reliability Analysis Application and Comparative Study on Probabilistic Structure Design for an Automatic Salt Collector (자동채염기의 확률론적 구조설계 구현을 위한 신뢰성 해석 응용과 비교연구)

  • Song, Chang Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.70-79
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    • 2020
  • This paper describes a comparative study of characteristics of probabilistic design using various reliability analysis methods in the structure design of an automatic salt collector. The thickness sizing variables of the main structural member were considered to be random variables, including the uncertainty of corrosion, which would be an inevitable hazard in the work environment of the automatic salt collector. Probabilistic performance functions were selected from the strength performances of the automatic salt collector structure. First-order reliability method, second-order reliability method, mean value reliability method, and adaptive importance sampling method were applied during the reliability analyses. The probabilistic design performances such as reliability probability and numerical costs based on the reliability analysis methods were compared to the Monte Carlo simulation results. The adaptive importance sampling method showed the most rational results for the probabilistic structure design of the automatic salt collector.

Parameter Estimation and Comparison for SRGMs and ARIMA Model in Software Failure Data

  • Song, Kwang Yoon;Chang, In Hong;Lee, Dong Su
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.193-199
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    • 2014
  • As the requirement on the quality of the system has increased, the reliability is very important part in terms of enhance stability and to provide high quality services to customers. Many statistical models have been developed in the past years for the estimation of software reliability. We consider the functions for NHPP software reliability model and time series model in software failure data. We estimate parameters for the proposed models from three data sets. The values of SSE and MSE is presented from three data sets. We compare the predicted number of faults with the actual three data sets using the NHPP software reliability model and time series model.

Product Liability Prevention Policies through the Improvement of Product Safety and Reliability (제품안전 및 신뢰성 향상을 통한 제조물책임 예방대책)

  • Kim, Jin-Kyu
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.270-278
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    • 2002
  • Product Liability(PL) is a legal policy to deal with global competition by improving domestic industrial competitive power and to reduce the cost of defect products. The purpose of this paper is to address the state of the art solutions to dispute on PL, in reality of a frequent occurrence of global product exchange focussing on product safety that is one of the most important functions of PL and to improve solution of the product safety and reliability responsive to PL. To minimize PL exposure, manufacturers should reflect comprehensive product safety and reliability concepts in establishing PL prevention policies. Total PL prevention policies are composed of total quality management and product safety management system in respect of safety design, risk, and reliability. These PL prevention activities should be performed consistently during the total product life cycle, especially product research and development periods.

System Reliability Analysis for Nonnormal Distributions and Optimization Using Experimental Design Technique (실험계획법을 이용한 비정규 분포에 대한 신뢰도 계산 방법과 최적 설계에의 적용)

  • Seo, Hyun-Seok;Chang, Jin-Ho;Kwak, Byung-Man
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06c
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    • pp.327-332
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    • 2001
  • An experimental design technique is developed for estimating the moments of system response functions. It is easy to implement and provides accurate results compared with other traditional methods. It is based on the work of Taguchi, later improved by D'Errico and Zaino. The existing experimental techniques, however, is applicable only for normally distributed cases. In this article the three-level Taguchi method is extended to obtain optimum choice for levels and weights to handle nonnormal distributions. A systematic procedure for reliability analysis is then proposed by using the Pearson system and the narrow system reliability bounds. Illustrative examples including a tolerance optimization problem are shown very accurate comparing with those by Monte-Carlo simulations and the first-order reliability method.

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The Reliability-based Design Optimization for the Military Communication Equipment considering the Dimension Uncertainty (치수 불확실성이 고려된 군용 통신 장비의 신뢰성 기반 최적설계)

  • Park, Dae-Woong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.1051-1058
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    • 2011
  • The military communication equipment is required the high reliability for operating adequate functions under severe conditions. This reliability is the essential element for the quality of the product, for the uncontrolled factors, such as the clearance, damage of the material, the reduction of stiffness, which are the designer is unable to handle. In this paper, the uncertainty for the dimension was supposed to the probability model for the military communication equipment, and the average of the objective function was minimized for reducing design uncertainty. The reliability-based design optimization which was implemented the limit state function was formulated into the mathematical model, so the reliable optimized structure was implemented than the base-line design.

A Study on the Storage Reliability Determination Model for One-shot System (일회성 시스템의 저장신뢰도 결정 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Kyu;Kang, Wun-Seok;Kang, Sung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2013
  • Some systems such as missiles and ammunitions are used only one time in combat or emergency situation. Predicting correct storage reliability is very important for those systems which are inspected periodically. Many researches have been done for predicting the storage reliability using generally exponential or Weibull failure distribution. However, recent studies show the hazard functions follow various types of failure distributions. So in this paper, we proposed a generalized model that measures the storage reliability regardless of type of failure distributions. And this model reflects inspection error and failures that might be occurred during periodical check and within storage term as well.

Reliability Analysis for a System under Imperfect Repair Using Fourier Transform Technique (Fourier 변환 기법을 이용한 불완전 수리를 실시하는 시스템의 신뢰도 분석)

  • Kim, Ho Gyun;Son, In Soo
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.110-117
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: Biswas and Sarkar [11] found the availability of a system maintained through several imperfect repairs before a replacement is allowed. However they missed a part of coefficients in the integration. This paper corrects the erratum of Biswas and Sarkar [11] and performs the reliability analysis incorporating the optimal number of imperfect repairs. Methods: To find the singularities and residues of the suitable complex-valued function for the availability, the computer package Matlab is used. Also the performance measures are calculated by defining and assigning costs. Results: The accurate availability functions with respect to the numbers of imperfect repairs and the optimal number of imperfect repairs before a replacement are obtained. Conclusion: The reliability for a system under imperfect repair before a replacement is analyzed using Fourier transform technique.

Analysis of Probabilities of Failure and Partial Safety Factors of Armor Units on Tranding and Coastal Harbors (무역항 및 연안항 피복재의 파괴확률과 부분안전계수 해석)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung;Park, Dong-Heon
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.28 no.B
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    • pp.157-165
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    • 2008
  • Level II AFDA and Level III MCS reliability models are applied to analyze the stability of armor units on trading and coastal harbors in Korea. Hudson's formula and Van der Meer's formula are used in this reliability analysis. Also, probability density functions of reliability index and probability of failure are derived by the additional analysis. In addition, the partial safety factors of all harbors related to armor units can be straightforwardly evaluated by the inverse-reliability method. The upper and lower limits and average level of partial safety factors can be statistically investigated with the results of all cases applied in this paper. Therefore, it may be possible to design armor units of new breakwaters including the uncertainty of random variable and target level by using the present results.

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