• Title/Summary/Keyword: reliability dependent on time

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Constructing a Competing Risks Model for the Combined Structure with Dependent Relations (종속적 관계를 갖는 혼합구조에 대한 경쟁적 위험모형의 구축)

  • Park, Seonghwan;Park, Jihyun;Bae, Kiho;Ahn, Suneung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.92-98
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    • 2017
  • The rapid growth of engineering technology and the emergence of systemized and large-scale engineering systems have resulted in complexity and uncertainty throughout the lifecycle activities of engineering systems. This complex and large-scale engineering system consists of numerous components, but system failure can be caused by failure of any one of a number of components. There is a real difficulty in managing such a complex and large-scale system as a part. In order to efficiently manage the system and have high reliability, it is necessary to structure a system with a complex structure as a sub-system. Also, in the case of a system in which cause of failures exist at the same time, it is required to identify the correlation of the components lifetime and utilize it for the design policy or maintenance activities of the system. Competitive risk theory has been used as a theory based on this concept. In this study, we apply the competitive risk theory to the models with combined structure of series and parallel which is the basic structure of most complex engineering systems. We construct a competing risks model and propose a mathematical model of net lifetime and crude lifetime for each cause of failure, assuming that the components consisting a parallel system are mutually dependent. In addition, based on the constructed model, the correlation of cause of failure is mathematically analyzed and the hazard function is derived by dividing into net lifetime and crude lifetime.

How to incorporate human failure event recovery into minimal cut set generation stage for efficient probabilistic safety assessments of nuclear power plants

  • Jung, Woo Sik;Park, Seong Kyu;Weglian, John E.;Riley, Jeff
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.110-116
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    • 2022
  • Human failure event (HFE) dependency analysis is a part of human reliability analysis (HRA). For efficient HFE dependency analysis, a maximum number of minimal cut sets (MCSs) that have HFE combinations are generated from the fault trees for the probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of nuclear power plants (NPPs). After collecting potential HFE combinations, dependency levels of subsequent HFEs on the preceding HFEs in each MCS are analyzed and assigned as conditional probabilities. Then, HFE recovery is performed to reflect these conditional probabilities in MCSs by modifying MCSs. Inappropriate HFE dependency analysis and HFE recovery might lead to an inaccurate core damage frequency (CDF). Using the above process, HFE recovery is performed on MCSs that are generated with a non-zero truncation limit, where many MCSs that have HFE combinations are truncated. As a result, the resultant CDF might be underestimated. In this paper, a new method is suggested to incorporate HFE recovery into the MCS generation stage. Compared to the current approach with a separate HFE recovery after MCS generation, this new method can (1) reduce the total time and burden for MCS generation and HFE recovery, (2) prevent the truncation of MCSs that have dependent HFEs, and (3) avoid CDF underestimation. This new method is a simple but very effective means of performing MCS generation and HFE recovery simultaneously and improving CDF accuracy. The effectiveness and strength of the new method are clearly demonstrated and discussed with fault trees and HFE combinations that have joint probabilities.

Experimental Evaluation on Degradation Characteristics of Epoxy Coating by Using Adhesion Force and Impedance (부착력과 임피던스를 이용한 에폭시 도장재 열화 특성에 관한 실험적 평가)

  • Nah, Hwan-Seon;Kim, Noh-Yu;Kwon, Ki-Joo;Song, Young-Chol
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.149-157
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper is to quantitatively investigate aging state of epoxy coating on containment structure at nuclear power plant. In order to evaluate an physical bonding of the epoxy coating, adhesion test was performed on a degraded epoxy coating on concrete specimens fabricated by accelerated aging experiment. In addition, impedance data by ultrasonic test were measured to compare with adhesion data. From almost 50 % of the specimens, aging phenomena of epoxy coating such as pin hole, blistering was discovered. To improve reliability on quality degradation of epoxy, co-relation between two kinds of different data was analyzed. By tracing co-related these data, it was possible to figure out physical state of as-built epoxy coating. The possibility to develop new methodology of time - dependent aging state on epoxy coating was found and discussed.

Degradation of Epoxy Coating due to Aging Acceleration Effects

  • Nah, Hwan Seon;Lee, Chul Woo;Suh, Yong Pyo
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2006
  • This paper is to investigate feasibility on quantitative aging state of epoxy coating on concrete wall in containment structure under operation of nuclear power plants. For evaluating the physical characteristics of the epoxy coating, adhesion strengths of two kinds of degraded epoxy coating systems on both steel surfaces and concrete surfaces were measured via accelerated aging. Comparatively impedance data taken by ultrasonic test were also taken to relate with adhesion data. After aging, in case of concrete, from half of specimens, aging of epoxy coating was developed. As for steel, on $4^{th}$ inspection day, adhesion force was failed. To improve reliability on quality degradation of epoxy, relationship between adhesion and impedance was analyzed. By tracing to co-respond to these data, it was possible to Fig. out physical state of as-built epoxy coating. The possibility to develop new methodology of time - dependent aging state on epoxy coating was found and discussed.

A Comparative Study on the Infinite NHPP Software Reliability Model Following Chi-Square Distribution with Lifetime Distribution Dependent on Degrees of Freedom (수명분포가 자유도에 의존한 카이제곱분포를 따르는 무한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Kim, Jae-Wook
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.372-379
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    • 2017
  • Software reliability factor during the software development process is elementary. Case of the infinite failure NHPP for identifying software failure, the occurrence rates per fault (hazard function) have the characteristic point that is constant, increases and decreases. In this paper, we propose a reliability model using the chi - square distribution which depends on the degree of freedom that represents the application efficiency of software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to the maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, a model selection based on the mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination($R^2$), for the sake of the efficient model, were employed. For the reliability model using the proposed degree of freedom of the chi - square distribution, the failure analysis using the actual failure interval data was applied. Fault data analysis is compared with the intensity function using the degree of freedom of the chi - square distribution. For the insurance about the reliability of a data, the Laplace trend test was employed. In this study, the chi-square distribution model depends on the degree of freedom, is also efficient about reliability because have the coefficient of determination is 90% or more, in the ground of the basic model, can used as a applied model. From this paper, the software development designer must be applied life distribution by the applied basic knowledge of the software to confirm failure modes which may be applied.

The effect of irradiation on the wear out of thin oxide film (얇은 산화막의 wear out에 관한 광 조사 효과)

  • Kim, Jae-Ho;Choi, Bok-Kil;Sung, Yung-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1989.11a
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    • pp.114-118
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    • 1989
  • Due to the increased integration density of VLSI circuits a highly reliable thin oxide film is required to fabricate a small geometry MOS device. The behavior of thermal $SiO_2$ under high electric field and current condition has a major effect on MOS device degration and also the practical use of MOS device under irradiation has cause the degration of thin oxide films. In this paper, in order to evaluate the reliability of thin oxides with no stress applied and stressed by the irradiation under low electric field, the tests of TDDB (Time-dependent-dielectric breakdown) are used. Failure times against electric field are examined and acceleration factor is obtained for each case. Based on the experimental data, breakdown wear out limitation for thin oxide films is characterised.

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A Study on Repair Case of Journal and Bearing Damage for 25MW Industrial Gas Turbine (25MW급 산업용 가스터빈의 저널과 베어링 손상 보수사례에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byung Ok;Sun, Kyung Ho;Lee, An Sung
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.64-69
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    • 2012
  • This paper deals with the study on repair case of journal shaft and bearing damage in 25MW industrial gas turbine caused by sudden blackout, operation mistake, and logic abnormal, etc. When a serious accident such as journal and bearing damage in a gas turbine occurs, the domestic local companies having the gas turbine are dependent on manufacturer for all maintenance and repair schedule until now. This case study shows that the damaged gas turbine is normally re-operated itself in domestic by establishing repair schedule in a short period of time, repairing damage journal shaft and tilting pad bearings, and performing rotating test for a reliability check. This paper can be regarded as the important case study of emergency test run experience of the refurbished 25MW gas turbine rotor.

Risk-based optimum repair planning of corroded reinforced concrete structures

  • Nepal, Jaya;Chen, Hua-Peng
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2015
  • Civil engineering infrastructure is aging and requires cost-effective maintenance strategies to enable infrastructure systems operate reliably and sustainably. This paper presents an approach for determining risk-cost balanced repair strategy of corrosion damaged reinforced concrete structures with consideration of uncertainty in structural resistance deterioration. On the basis of analytical models of cover concrete cracking evolution and bond strength degradation due to reinforcement corrosion, the effect of reinforcement corrosion on residual load carrying capacity of corroded reinforced concrete structures is investigated. A stochastic deterioration model based on gamma process is adopted to evaluate the probability of failure of structural bearing capacity over the lifetime. Optimal repair planning and maintenance strategies during the service life are determined by balancing the cost for maintenance and the risk of structural failure. The method proposed in this study is then demonstrated by numerical investigations for a concrete structure subjected to reinforcement corrosion. The obtained results show that the proposed method can provide a risk cost optimised repair schedule during the service life of corroded concrete structures.

A Evaluation Technique for Reliability of Extra-High Voltage Cable Accessories using High Frequency Partial Discharge Measurement (고주파 부분방전 측정에 의한 초고압 접속함 신뢰성 평가 기술)

  • Sin, Du-Seong;Lee, Chang-Yeong;Kim, Chung-Sik;Jeon, Seung-Ik;Kim, Dong-Uk;Park, Wan-Gi
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers C
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.186-195
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, partial discharge (PD) measurement was performed to evaluate the quality of the cable joint and termination constructions. The resistive coupling technique for PD detection using resistivity of semiconducting layer of the cable in the accessories, such as joints and terminations. With high frequency PD (HEPD) measurement, an excellent sensitivity below 20pC could be achieved under unshielded condition. The localization of the defects in the accessories could be identified. During heating cycle, PDs were monitored and analyzed. At that time, the PDs were dependent on the temperature of the heating cycle and showed cyclic behaviors, which were attributed to local delamination of the interfaces, between epoxy unit and stress relief cone(SRC) and between SRC and cable, due to the difference of thermal expansion. As a conclusion, HFPD measurement technique was proven to be an effective diagnostic method for qualification of extra high voltage (EHV) cable accessories. With this technique, the optimal design of the components of the accessories could be verified not only in an early stage but also under operating condition. This technique would result in the improvement of the reliability of the EHV cable accessories.

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The Prediction of Failure Probability of Bridges using Monte Carlo Simulation and Lifetime Functions (몬테칼로법과 생애함수를 이용한 교량의 파괴확률예측)

  • Seung-Ie Yang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.116-122
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    • 2003
  • Monte Carlo method is one of the powerful engineering tools especially to solve the complex non-linear problems. The Monte Carlo method gives approximate solution to a variety of mathematical problems by performing statistical sampling experiments on a computer. One of the methods to predict the time dependent failure probability of one of the bridge components or the bridge system is a lifetime function. In this paper, FORTRAN program is developed to predict the failure probability of bridge components or bridge system by using both system reliability and lifetime function. Monte Carlo method is used to generate the parameters of the lifetime function. As a case study, the program is applied to the concrete-steel bridge to predict the failure probability.