• Title/Summary/Keyword: real value

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태양광모듈 생산 증설투자에 대한 의사결정: 실물옵션모형에 의한 경영유연성 가치 분석 (On Determining the Size and the Timing of the Capacity Expansion in PV Module Manufacturing: Management Flexibility in Real Options Model)

  • 김경남;선우석호
    • 신재생에너지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.18-27
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    • 2011
  • Management flexibility to adapt its future actions in response to altered future market conditions can expand the value of an investment opportunity by improving its upside potential without the change in the downside losses. Module manufacturers in solar industry continuously have to decide how much and when its production capacity should be expanded with regards to the demand in the global markets. Either over- or under-investment can cause sunk and/or opportunity costs to the module manufacturers. Option of exercising the additional investments only on favorable opportunities can increase total value of the investment. This paper analyzes the case which shows that the expansion of production capacity with more expandibility can have more value than the rigid plan of capacity expansion. The expansion option value is equivalent to KRW 38.286 billion, thus switching the negative NPV of the initial investment opportunity into the positive value. High volatility and the high growth in the cashflows as the major business features of the renewable energy provide condition where real options can play the crucial role in increasing the investment value as well as in determining the size and timing of capacity expansion in the course of capital budgeting process.

부동산보유비중의 기업가치 관련성 : 코스피기업과 코스닥기업의 비교 (The Relationship between Real Estate Holdings and Firm's Value : Comparisons between KOSPI and KOSDAQ Companies)

  • 이찬호
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제9권11호
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    • pp.353-361
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 기업의 부동산보유비중이 기업가치에 어떤 영향을 미치는가에 대하여 코스피시장기업과 코스닥시장기업을 대상으로 분석하였다. 분석기간은 금융위기 기간(2007~2008년), 금융위기 직후기간(2009~2011년), IFRS 도입 이후 기간(2012~2016년)이며, 코스피 2761개 기업연도, 코스닥 3719개 기업연도의 표본을 사용하였다. 회귀분석 결과 전체적으로 기업의 부동산보유비중이 높을수록 기업가치는 음(-)의 관련성을 갖고 있었고, 이를 각 시장별로 비교해 보면 금융위기 기간 중에는 코스피기업과 코스닥기업 모두 통계적으로 유의한 영향을 미치지 않았으며, 금융위기 직후에는 코스닥기업이 코스피기업에 비해 기업가치에 더 큰 음(-)의 영향을 미쳤으나 IFRS도입 이후 최근까지는 코스피기업이 코스닥기업에 비해 기업가치에 더 큰 음(-)의 영향을 미쳤다. 따라서 각 기업은 그 기업에서의 적정한 부동산보유비중 정도를 파악하는데 보다 많은 관심을 가져야 할 것이고 각 기업이 보유한 부동산의 최유효활용방안에 대한 분석과 결정을 끊임없이 해야 할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 부동산보유비중의 기업가치 관련성에 대하여 기간을 3개로 구분하여 각각의 기간에 대하여 코스피시장 기업과 코스닥시장기업에 따른 그 영향정도를 각각 비교한 점에서 차별성을 갖는다. 향후 기업의 부동산보유비중에 영향을 미치는 요인을 포함하는 연구를 희망한다.

실시간 시스템에서 태스크 이용율을 이용한 스케줄링 가능성 검사 (Schedulability Test using task utilization in Real-Time system)

  • 임경현;서재현;박경우
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2005
  • 실시간 스케줄링 알고리즘에서는 비율단조(RM) 스케줄링 알고리즘과 마감시한(EDF) 스케줄링 알고리즘이 가장 일반적으로 사용되고 있다. 이러한 알고리즘에서는 태스크 집합의 전체 이용율 값을 가지고 수행 가능성을 판별하였다. 그러나 임의의 태스크에서 이용율 값이 초과되면 개별 태스크의 한계성을 전혀 예측할 수 없는 문제점이 있었다. 본 논문에서 제안한 알고리즘은 이용율 값이 초과한 태스크를 예측하고, 개별 태스크의 이용율 값을 기반으로 스케줄링 가능성 여부를 판단하는 방법을 제시하였다. 또한, 실시간 시스템에서 스케줄링 가능성 검사의 한계성을 시뮬레이션을 통해 예측하고 결과를 분석하였다.

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블랙-숄즈모형을 이용한 기술 R&D 투자가치 구간추정 연구 (A Study on Interval Estimation of Technology R&D Investment Value using Black-Scholes Model)

  • 성웅현
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.29-50
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    • 2005
  • Real options provide a new and productive way to view corporate r&d investment decisions. DCF approach is well established and beloved of financial executives, but is known to systematically underestimate investment value under significant uncertainty. Though real options are not inherent in a r&d investment, they can be used to compute the investment value including managerial flexibility like option value. In this paper, we explain how the interval of option value in black-scholes model can be estimated using simulation. We also present a process framework for interval estimation of volatility and efficient of period of investment value. In such a setting, we can obtain the appropriate interval estimation of the expanded investment value.

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MULTIPLE SOLUTIONS FOR THE NONLINEAR PARABOLIC PROBLEM

  • Jung, Tacksun;Choi, Q-Heung
    • 충청수학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.251-259
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    • 2009
  • We investigate the multiple solutions for the nonlinear parabolic boundary value problem with jumping nonlinearity crossing two eigenvalues. We show the existence of at least four nontrivial periodic solutions for the parabolic boundary value problem. We restrict ourselves to the real Hilbert space and obtain this result by the geometry of the mapping.

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Evaluation on Large-scale Biowaste Process: Spent Coffee Ground Along with Real Option Approach

  • Junho Cha;Sujin Eom;Subin Lee;Changwon Lee;Soonho Hwangbo
    • 청정기술
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to introduce a biowaste processing system that uses spent coffee grounds and implement a real options method to evaluate the proposed process. Energy systems based on eco-friendly fuels lack sufficient data, and thus along with conventional approaches, they lack the techno-economic assessment required for great input qualities. On the other hand, real options analysis can estimate the different costs of options, such as continuing or abandoning a project, by considering uncertainties, which can lead to better decision-making. This study investigated the feasibility of a biowaste processing method using spent coffee grounds to produce biofuel and considered three different valuation models, which were the net present value using discounted cash flow, the Black-Scholes and binomial models. The suggested biowaste processing system consumes 200 kg/h of spent coffee grounds. The system utilizes a tilted-slide pyrolysis reactor integrated with a heat exchanger to warm the air, a combustor to generate a primary heat source, and a series of condensers to harness the biofuel. The result of the net present value is South Korean Won (KRW) -225 million, the result of the binomial model is KRW 172 million, and the result of the Black-Scholes model is KRW 1,301 million. These results reveal that a spent coffee ground-related biowaste processing system is worthy of investment from a real options valuation perspective.

산업보건서비스기관의 운영 효율성 분석 - 자료포락분석(DEA)기법을 이용하여 - (Evaluation of Managerial Efficiency in Occupational Health Service Organizations Using the Data Envelopment Analysis Method)

  • 김희정;신의철;김진현
    • 한국직업건강간호학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.108-120
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    • 2002
  • This study analyzed the managerial efficiency of 11 organizations, the branch centers of a occupational health service organization in Korea, using the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method. The DEA is a good method for evaluating health services since it can handle multiple inputs and outputs simultaneously, and also identify the sources and amount of inefficiency. The author approached this study using two efficient models: the monetary value model and the real value model. The DEA method based on the monetary value model included cost factors, while the real value model excluded cost factors. The input variables used were manpower of physicians, medical technicians, nurses, industrial hygienists and administrators; labor, maintenance, and material expenses. The output variables used were the number of medical examinations, workplace evaluations, group health management services and income from each service. The major results were as follows: First, in the monetary value model, 6 out of 11 organizations (54.6%) showed an efficiency score of 1.0, which means that they have been operating in very efficient ways. However, 5 organizations (46.4%) showed themselves to be relatively inefficient. Second, in the real value model, 7 out of 11 organizations (63.4%) showed an efficiency score of 1.0, which means they have been operating efficiently, while 4 organizations (46.4%) showed themselves to be relatively inefficient. Third, the reliability of DEA method were analyzed by comparing the results of the monetary value model and real value model. The results of 8 out of 11 organizations were same in terms of being efficient or not. Thus, the DEA could be a valid application method for occupational health service organizations. Fourth, the organizations that displayed common inefficiency in both the monetary value model and in the real value model 3, 9, and 10, were also considered to be managed inefficiency from expertise opinion. In summary, this study evaluated the efficiency of occupational health service organizations applying the DEA method with different variables, and found that the results of analysis could be valid in terms of both modeling and expert sense. In the future, the DEA method will be used as a useful tool to identify and evaluate the efficiency of occupational health service organizations through more applications and refinements.

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항공우주 거대산업 프로젝트의 가치평가에 대한 소고 - 실물옵션 가치평가법의 적용을 중심으로 (Try to Use a New Valuation Approach: Application of the Real Options Pricing Method to an Aerospace Project)

  • 최수미
    • 한국기술혁신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국기술혁신학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.181-198
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    • 2002
  • This article describes a methodology for evaluating huge aerospace R&D investments using the real options pricing method. Option pricing has been proposed as a useful approach for modeling investment in R&D. Two important features of R&D investments are that an R&D project takes time to complete and that the outcome of R&D investments is highly uncertain. This makes the analysis of R&D investments difficult. Traditional tools for project evaluation, like IRR or the NPV, are inadequate for coping with the high uncertainty. Hence, In this article I propose a log-transformed binomal lattice method, and it will show that option pricing might be an adequate framework for evaluating such types of aerospace investments.

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향토음식점의 스토리텔링이 구매행동에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Storytelling on Purchase Behavior in Local Food Restaurant)

  • 박아름;조미숙
    • 한국식생활문화학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.764-769
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    • 2010
  • The aim of this study was to examine how customers perceive storytelling at a real local restaurant and to understand how consumption reflects their evaluation by understanding their values. Participants received information from a real local restaurant in the Gangneung area to examine the effects of storytelling and to evaluate their affective attitudes towards local restaurant stories, word-of-mouth intentions, and purchasing intentions using a seven-point Likert scale. A total of 310 consumers were used. A factor analysis was performed to identify consumption value characteristics and factor structure, which consisted economic value, emotional value, and epistemic value. To test whether local restaurant consumers could be classified into homogenous groups based on their consumption values, a three cluster solution was selected, and a Kmeans cluster analysis was performed. As a result, three groups were identified and labeled appropriate for their scores based on each of the consumption values; emotional value-oriented consumers to cluster 1, epistemic value-oriented consumers to cluster 2, and economic value-oriented consumers to cluster 3. An analysis of variance was used to examine the differences in the affective attitudes towards storytelling at the local restaurant, purchasing intentions, and word-of-mouth intentions across the three clusters. The epistemic value-oriented consumers had the highest score for all three variables. In contrast, economic value-oriented consumers had the lowest scores for the three variables. A regression analysis revealed that affective attitudes towards storytelling were significantly affected by these three consumption values. It also showed that positive affective attitudes towards storytelling were associated with higher purchasing intention and word-of-mouth. The significance of this study was to show how customers perceive storytelling at a real restaurant and reflect on their evaluation by understanding their consumption values. As a result, this study examined the potential power of storytelling as an effective marketing communication tool for local restaurants.

실물옵션 가치평가모형을 이용한 국도건설사업의 경제적 가치 평가 (Economic Evaluation of National Highway Construction Projects using Real Option Pricing Models)

  • 정성윤;김지표
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : This study evaluates the economic value of national highway construction projects using Real Option Pricing Models. METHODS : We identified the option premium for uncertainties associated with flexibilities according to the future's change in national highway construction projects. In order to evaluate value of future's underlying asset, we calculated the volatility of the unit price per year for benefit estimation such as VOTS, VOCS, VICS, VOPCS and VONCS that the "Transportation Facility Investment Evaluation Guidelines" presented. RESULTS : We evaluated the option premium of underlying asset through a case study of the actual national highway construction projects using ROPM. And in order to predict the changes in the option value of the future's underlying asset, we evaluated the changes of option premium for future's uncertainties by the defer of the start of construction work, the contract of project scale, and the abandon of project during pre-land compensation stages that were occurred frequently in the highway construction projects. Finally we analyzed the sensitivity of the underlying asset using volatility, risk free rate and expiration date of option. CONCLUSIONS : We concluded that a highway construction project has economic value even though static NPV had a negative(-) value because of the sum of the existing static NPV and the option premium for the future's uncertainties associated with flexibilities.