• Title/Summary/Keyword: real value

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On Determining the Size and the Timing of the Capacity Expansion in PV Module Manufacturing: Management Flexibility in Real Options Model (태양광모듈 생산 증설투자에 대한 의사결정: 실물옵션모형에 의한 경영유연성 가치 분석)

  • Kim, Kyung-Nam;SonU, Suk-Ho
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.18-27
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    • 2011
  • Management flexibility to adapt its future actions in response to altered future market conditions can expand the value of an investment opportunity by improving its upside potential without the change in the downside losses. Module manufacturers in solar industry continuously have to decide how much and when its production capacity should be expanded with regards to the demand in the global markets. Either over- or under-investment can cause sunk and/or opportunity costs to the module manufacturers. Option of exercising the additional investments only on favorable opportunities can increase total value of the investment. This paper analyzes the case which shows that the expansion of production capacity with more expandibility can have more value than the rigid plan of capacity expansion. The expansion option value is equivalent to KRW 38.286 billion, thus switching the negative NPV of the initial investment opportunity into the positive value. High volatility and the high growth in the cashflows as the major business features of the renewable energy provide condition where real options can play the crucial role in increasing the investment value as well as in determining the size and timing of capacity expansion in the course of capital budgeting process.

The Relationship between Real Estate Holdings and Firm's Value : Comparisons between KOSPI and KOSDAQ Companies (부동산보유비중의 기업가치 관련성 : 코스피기업과 코스닥기업의 비교)

  • Lee, Chan-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.11
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    • pp.353-361
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze how Corporate Real Estate Ratio affects Firm's Value for KOSPI Companies and KOSDAQ Companies. The period of analysis is the period of the Financial Crisis (2007-2008), the period immediately after the Financial Crisis (2009-2011), and the period following the introduction of IFRS (2012-2016). The samples of 2761 KOSPI Companies years and 3719 KOSDAQ Companies years are used in this study. The result of Regression Analysis shows that the higher Corporate Real Estate Ratio is, the more negative Firm's Value is. In the comparison of markets, both KOSPI Companies and KOSDAQ Companies had no statistically significant effects during the Financial Crisis. Although KOSDAQ Companies had a greater negative effect on the Firm's Value than KOSPI Companies right after the Financial Crisis, KOSPI Companies have had a greater negative influence on the Firm's Value than KOSDAQ Companies since the introduction of IFRS. Therefore, each corporation should pay more attention to identifying the appropriate amount of their Corporate Real Estate Ratio and should continue to analyze and make decisions on the most efficient use of real estate which is owned by each company. This study shows speciality in dividing into three period, such as the period of the Financial Crisis, the period immediately after the Financial Crisis, and the period following the introduction of IFRS and comparing the degree of influence on the KOSPI Companies and KOSDAQ Companies for the each period. I hope to study the factors that affect the company's real estate policy.

Schedulability Test using task utilization in Real-Time system (실시간 시스템에서 태스크 이용율을 이용한 스케줄링 가능성 검사)

  • Lim Kyung-Hyun;Seo Jae-Hyeon;Park Kyung-Woo
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2005
  • The Rate Monotonic(RM) scheduling algorithm and Earliest Deadline First(EDF) scheduling algorithm are normally used in Real-Time scheduling algorithm. In those scheduling algorithm, we could predict the performance possibility with total utilization value of task group. But. it had problems with prediction of the boundedness in individual task when the utilization value was over in temporary task. In this paper, the suggested scheduling algorithm can predict task when the utilization value was over and it suggested the method of predicting scheduling possibility based on the utilization value of individual task as well. it predicted the boundedness of scheduling possibility test through simulation In Real-Time scheduling algorithm and analyzed the result.

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A Study on Interval Estimation of Technology R&D Investment Value using Black-Scholes Model (블랙-숄즈모형을 이용한 기술 R&D 투자가치 구간추정 연구)

  • Seong, Ung-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.29-50
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    • 2005
  • Real options provide a new and productive way to view corporate r&d investment decisions. DCF approach is well established and beloved of financial executives, but is known to systematically underestimate investment value under significant uncertainty. Though real options are not inherent in a r&d investment, they can be used to compute the investment value including managerial flexibility like option value. In this paper, we explain how the interval of option value in black-scholes model can be estimated using simulation. We also present a process framework for interval estimation of volatility and efficient of period of investment value. In such a setting, we can obtain the appropriate interval estimation of the expanded investment value.

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MULTIPLE SOLUTIONS FOR THE NONLINEAR PARABOLIC PROBLEM

  • Jung, Tacksun;Choi, Q-Heung
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.251-259
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    • 2009
  • We investigate the multiple solutions for the nonlinear parabolic boundary value problem with jumping nonlinearity crossing two eigenvalues. We show the existence of at least four nontrivial periodic solutions for the parabolic boundary value problem. We restrict ourselves to the real Hilbert space and obtain this result by the geometry of the mapping.

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Evaluation on Large-scale Biowaste Process: Spent Coffee Ground Along with Real Option Approach

  • Junho Cha;Sujin Eom;Subin Lee;Changwon Lee;Soonho Hwangbo
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to introduce a biowaste processing system that uses spent coffee grounds and implement a real options method to evaluate the proposed process. Energy systems based on eco-friendly fuels lack sufficient data, and thus along with conventional approaches, they lack the techno-economic assessment required for great input qualities. On the other hand, real options analysis can estimate the different costs of options, such as continuing or abandoning a project, by considering uncertainties, which can lead to better decision-making. This study investigated the feasibility of a biowaste processing method using spent coffee grounds to produce biofuel and considered three different valuation models, which were the net present value using discounted cash flow, the Black-Scholes and binomial models. The suggested biowaste processing system consumes 200 kg/h of spent coffee grounds. The system utilizes a tilted-slide pyrolysis reactor integrated with a heat exchanger to warm the air, a combustor to generate a primary heat source, and a series of condensers to harness the biofuel. The result of the net present value is South Korean Won (KRW) -225 million, the result of the binomial model is KRW 172 million, and the result of the Black-Scholes model is KRW 1,301 million. These results reveal that a spent coffee ground-related biowaste processing system is worthy of investment from a real options valuation perspective.

Evaluation of Managerial Efficiency in Occupational Health Service Organizations Using the Data Envelopment Analysis Method (산업보건서비스기관의 운영 효율성 분석 - 자료포락분석(DEA)기법을 이용하여 -)

  • Kim, Hee-Jeong;Shin, Eui-Chul;Kim, Jin-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Occupational Health Nursing
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.108-120
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    • 2002
  • This study analyzed the managerial efficiency of 11 organizations, the branch centers of a occupational health service organization in Korea, using the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method. The DEA is a good method for evaluating health services since it can handle multiple inputs and outputs simultaneously, and also identify the sources and amount of inefficiency. The author approached this study using two efficient models: the monetary value model and the real value model. The DEA method based on the monetary value model included cost factors, while the real value model excluded cost factors. The input variables used were manpower of physicians, medical technicians, nurses, industrial hygienists and administrators; labor, maintenance, and material expenses. The output variables used were the number of medical examinations, workplace evaluations, group health management services and income from each service. The major results were as follows: First, in the monetary value model, 6 out of 11 organizations (54.6%) showed an efficiency score of 1.0, which means that they have been operating in very efficient ways. However, 5 organizations (46.4%) showed themselves to be relatively inefficient. Second, in the real value model, 7 out of 11 organizations (63.4%) showed an efficiency score of 1.0, which means they have been operating efficiently, while 4 organizations (46.4%) showed themselves to be relatively inefficient. Third, the reliability of DEA method were analyzed by comparing the results of the monetary value model and real value model. The results of 8 out of 11 organizations were same in terms of being efficient or not. Thus, the DEA could be a valid application method for occupational health service organizations. Fourth, the organizations that displayed common inefficiency in both the monetary value model and in the real value model 3, 9, and 10, were also considered to be managed inefficiency from expertise opinion. In summary, this study evaluated the efficiency of occupational health service organizations applying the DEA method with different variables, and found that the results of analysis could be valid in terms of both modeling and expert sense. In the future, the DEA method will be used as a useful tool to identify and evaluate the efficiency of occupational health service organizations through more applications and refinements.

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Try to Use a New Valuation Approach: Application of the Real Options Pricing Method to an Aerospace Project (항공우주 거대산업 프로젝트의 가치평가에 대한 소고 - 실물옵션 가치평가법의 적용을 중심으로)

  • 최수미
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2002.05b
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    • pp.181-198
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    • 2002
  • This article describes a methodology for evaluating huge aerospace R&D investments using the real options pricing method. Option pricing has been proposed as a useful approach for modeling investment in R&D. Two important features of R&D investments are that an R&D project takes time to complete and that the outcome of R&D investments is highly uncertain. This makes the analysis of R&D investments difficult. Traditional tools for project evaluation, like IRR or the NPV, are inadequate for coping with the high uncertainty. Hence, In this article I propose a log-transformed binomal lattice method, and it will show that option pricing might be an adequate framework for evaluating such types of aerospace investments.

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The Effect of Storytelling on Purchase Behavior in Local Food Restaurant (향토음식점의 스토리텔링이 구매행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Ah-Reum;Cho, Mi-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.764-769
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    • 2010
  • The aim of this study was to examine how customers perceive storytelling at a real local restaurant and to understand how consumption reflects their evaluation by understanding their values. Participants received information from a real local restaurant in the Gangneung area to examine the effects of storytelling and to evaluate their affective attitudes towards local restaurant stories, word-of-mouth intentions, and purchasing intentions using a seven-point Likert scale. A total of 310 consumers were used. A factor analysis was performed to identify consumption value characteristics and factor structure, which consisted economic value, emotional value, and epistemic value. To test whether local restaurant consumers could be classified into homogenous groups based on their consumption values, a three cluster solution was selected, and a Kmeans cluster analysis was performed. As a result, three groups were identified and labeled appropriate for their scores based on each of the consumption values; emotional value-oriented consumers to cluster 1, epistemic value-oriented consumers to cluster 2, and economic value-oriented consumers to cluster 3. An analysis of variance was used to examine the differences in the affective attitudes towards storytelling at the local restaurant, purchasing intentions, and word-of-mouth intentions across the three clusters. The epistemic value-oriented consumers had the highest score for all three variables. In contrast, economic value-oriented consumers had the lowest scores for the three variables. A regression analysis revealed that affective attitudes towards storytelling were significantly affected by these three consumption values. It also showed that positive affective attitudes towards storytelling were associated with higher purchasing intention and word-of-mouth. The significance of this study was to show how customers perceive storytelling at a real restaurant and reflect on their evaluation by understanding their consumption values. As a result, this study examined the potential power of storytelling as an effective marketing communication tool for local restaurants.

Economic Evaluation of National Highway Construction Projects using Real Option Pricing Models (실물옵션 가치평가모형을 이용한 국도건설사업의 경제적 가치 평가)

  • Jeong, Seong-Yun;Kim, Ji-Pyo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : This study evaluates the economic value of national highway construction projects using Real Option Pricing Models. METHODS : We identified the option premium for uncertainties associated with flexibilities according to the future's change in national highway construction projects. In order to evaluate value of future's underlying asset, we calculated the volatility of the unit price per year for benefit estimation such as VOTS, VOCS, VICS, VOPCS and VONCS that the "Transportation Facility Investment Evaluation Guidelines" presented. RESULTS : We evaluated the option premium of underlying asset through a case study of the actual national highway construction projects using ROPM. And in order to predict the changes in the option value of the future's underlying asset, we evaluated the changes of option premium for future's uncertainties by the defer of the start of construction work, the contract of project scale, and the abandon of project during pre-land compensation stages that were occurred frequently in the highway construction projects. Finally we analyzed the sensitivity of the underlying asset using volatility, risk free rate and expiration date of option. CONCLUSIONS : We concluded that a highway construction project has economic value even though static NPV had a negative(-) value because of the sum of the existing static NPV and the option premium for the future's uncertainties associated with flexibilities.