• Title/Summary/Keyword: real estate investment

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The Economic Effect of the Public Financial Expenditure on the National Industrial Complexes (국가산업단지에 대한 재정지출의 경제적 효과)

  • Park Won Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.40 no.1 s.106
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    • pp.47-62
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    • 2005
  • This paper aims at analyzing the economic effect of the public financial expenditure on the national industrial complexes. Since public finance support is indirectly supplied to the national industrial complexes, the economic effect of the public financial expenditure on the national industrial complexes may be analyzed indirectly and circuitously In this contort, this paper uses 3 stage analysis method. In the first stage, the economic effect that the public financial expenditure influence the allotment, production and employment of companies residing in the national industrial complexes is analyzed by multiple regression analysis. In the second stage, the economic effect that the investment on the national industrial complexes influence the national and regional economies is analyzed by multiple regression analysis. In the third stage, the economic effect of the public financial expenditure on the national industrial complexes is analyzed through the compromising the results of the first and second stage. The main results of this paper are as follows. Firstly, public financial expenditure on the infrastructure of national industrial complexes leaded to positive growth of the allotment of companies residing in the national industrial complexes. Additionally, growth of the allotment of companies leaded to the positive effect on the production and employment of companies. And secondly, growth of the allotment of companies leaded to the positive effect on the gross regional domestic production. Finally, financial expenditure on the infrastructure of national industrial complexes leaded to positive effect on the national and regional economic growth through the compromising the results of the first and second stage.

Liquidity-related Variables Impact on Housing Prices and Policy Implications (유동성 관련 변수가 주택가격에 미치는 영향 및 정책적 시사점에 관한 연구)

  • Chun, Haejung
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.585-600
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study related to the liquidity impact of the housing market variables using vector auto-regressive model(VAR) and empirical analysis is to derive some policy implications. October 2003 until May 2012 using monthly data for liquidity variables mortgage rates, mortgage, financial liquidity, as the composite index and nation, Seoul, Gangnam, Gangbuk, the Apartment sales prices were analyzed. Granger Causality Test Results, mortgage rates and mortgage at a bargain price two regions had a strong causal relationship. Since the impulse response analysis, Geothermal difference there, but housing price housing price itself, the most significant ongoing positive (+) reactions were liquidity-related variables are mortgage loans is large and persistent positive (+), financial liquidity weakly positive (+), mortgage interest rates are negative (-), KOSPI, the negative (-) reacted. Liquidity and housing prices that the rise can be and Gangnam in Gangbuk is greater than the factor that housing investment was confirmed empirically. Government to consider the current economic situation, while maintaining low interest rates and liquidity of the market rather than the real estate industry must ensure that activities can be embedded and local enforcement policies should be differentiated according to the policy will be able to reap significant effect.

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Financial Feasibility Analysis for the Development of Urban Telecommunication Facility Purpose Site (도심 통신기반시설용지의 개발을 위한 재무타당성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kyungyong;Jeong, Moonoh;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2015
  • The telecommunication industry has been considered as a national fundamental infrastructure. However, due to the rapid evolution of technology and the change of industry market conditions, the telecommunication infrastructure needs no more huge space for facility and it leads its use to the mixed-use development based on private investment. This study intends to examine the financial feasibility of the development project for the optimal alternative use of telecommunication facility purpose site as a case study based on two types: contributed acceptance and multi-level designation. The NPA and IRR has been analyzed by the simulation of stochastic variables including rent price and its variation rate, vacancy rate, construction cost, capitalization rate and discount rate. The research finding indicates that the two types of development are satisfied with the financial feasibility and it is noteworthy that the rent price turns out to be the most critical factor for the project. Accordingly, it is expected that these research finding can be applied for providing the solid cases of financial feasibility analysis for the development project in limited use of telecommunication facility purpose site.

Comparison of Synchronization Phenomenon & the Changing Rate of the Charter Rates by major cities - Korea, Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Gwangju, Daejeon - (주요 도시별 전세가율의 동조화 현상과 변동률 비교 - 전국, 서울, 부산, 대구, 광주, 대전 -)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il;Lee, Ok-Dong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.197-204
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to find the direction by analyzing the synchronization phenomenon and the change rate of apartment charter rate in Korea, Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Gwangju and Daejeon. For this purpose, this study used a total of 239 monthly data from January 2000 to November 2019 in Kookmin Bank housing statistics. In the correlation analysis, Korea showed the highest relationship in order of Seoul, Busan, Incheon and Daegu. Seoul showed a low figure of 0.3 without any distinctive features from other cities. On the other hand, Busan, Daejeon and Daegu showed high correlations. As a result of the regression analysis, Korea and 5 major cities were all moving in the same direction with positive(+) values. And Busan and Seoul responded significantly to Korea. In the shock response, Korea is most shocked by the change in Seoul. Daegu is relatively shocked by Busan and Daejeon. Seoul's charter rate has declined most strongly in the last three years. Therefore, it is time to be careful not to incur losses due to gap investment. If we look at the relationship between the charter rate and the sale price in future studies, we can better understand the Korean apartment market.

The Development and Application of Office Price Index for Benchmark in Seoul using Repeat Sales Model (반복매매모형을 활용한 서울시 오피스 벤치마크 가격지수 개발 및 시험적 적용 연구)

  • Ryu, Kang Min;Song, Ki Wook
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 2020
  • As the fastest growing office transaction volume in Korea, there's been a need for development of indicators to accurately diagnose the office capital market. The purpose of this paper is experimentally calculate to the office price index for effective benchmark indices in Seoul. The quantitative methodology used a Case-Shiller Repeat Sales Model (1991), based on actual multiple office transaction dataset with over minimum 1,653 ㎡ from Q3 1999 to 4Q 2019 in the case of 1,536 buildings within Seoul Metropolitan. In addition, the collected historical data and spatial statistical analysis tools were treated with the SAS 9.4 and ArcGIS 10.7 programs. The main empirical results of research are briefly summarized as follows; First, Seoul office price index was estimated to be 344.3 point (2001.1Q=100.0P) at the end of 2019, and has more than tripled over the past two decades. it means that the sales price of office per 3.3 ㎡ has consistently risen more than 12% every year since 2000, which is far above the indices for apartment housing index, announced by the MOLIT (2009). Second, between quarterly and annual office price index for the two-step estimation of the MIT Real Estate Research Center (MIT/CRE), T, L, AL variables have statistically significant coefficient (Beta) all of the mode l (p<0.01). Third, it was possible to produce a more stable office price index against the basic index by using the Moore-Penrose's pseoudo inverse technique at low transaction frequency. Fourth, as an lagging indicators, the office price index is closely related to key macroeconomic indicators, such as GDP(+), KOSPI(+), interest rates (5-year KTB, -). This facts indicate that long-term office investment tends to outperform other financial assets owing to high return and low risk pattern. In conclusion, these findings are practically meaningful to presenting an new office price index that increases accuracy and then attempting to preliminary applications for the case of Seoul. Moreover, it can provide sincerely useful benchmark about investing an office and predicting changes of the sales price among market participants (e.g. policy maker, investor, landlord, tenant, user) in the future.

Case Study on Fracture Type of Wooden Crib Wall (목재 Crib wall의 파괴유형에 대한 사례연구)

  • Shin, Changgun;Paik, Moonyeol;Hong, Cheolhwa;Bae, Wooseok
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2013
  • Crib wall is one of the segmental grid retaining walls using headers and stretchers to establish the framework of the wall. In this method, grids formed by the intersection of headers and stretchers are generally filled with the gravel to maintain the weight of the wall. Therefore, the construction can be carried out with higher speed and much economically when compared with the concrete retaining wall. Furthermore, it has high drain capacity, and environmentally friendly aspects also have been pointed out because the possibility of the planting at the front of the wall. However, in the wooden crib wall method, the relative movement between the individual headers and stretchers was generally recognized, and stress redistribution in the gravel filling was also observed when subjected to the external loading and self-weight of filling. In this study, it was analyzed fracture types and causes of wooden crib wall through detailed investigation and analysis of a large crib wall construction site. As a results, it occurred the damage in the members of 5.7% in a total of 2,315 locations and the damage of header occurred in the members of a header 80.2%. The 65.7% of the damaged header are concentrated in the lower part of crib wall. Therefore, it was analyzed the differences of fracture types and causes of wooden crib wall depending on the installation position and the kinds of members. It is considered basically the members of various forms of distortion and the grain affecting.

Analysis of Residential Location Preference Factors by Characteristics of Households in the Case of Daegu.Gyeongbuk Households (대구.경북 가구의 가구특성별 주거입지 선호요인 분석)

  • Park, Wonseok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.702-717
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the residential location preference factors by households' characteristics in the case of Daegu Gyeongbuk households. Under this research purpose, firstly, questionnaire survey of Daegu Gyeongbuk was done, and nextly, AHP(Analytic Hierachy Process) with questionnaire survey results was analyzed. The main results of this study are as follows. Firstly, residential location factors most preferred by Daegu Gyeongbuk households is capital gain, followed by living environment, accessibility of public transportation, accessibility of private car traffic and security. Therefore, we can see Daegu Gyeongbuk households prefer investment value and living amenity together as residential location factors. Secondly, according to the results of AHP by age, below 30th prefer accessibility factors, 40th prefer capital gain and school district factors, and above 50th prefer living environment, natural environment and security factors, relatively. Thirdly, according to the results of AHP by household income, low income households prefer living environment and accessibility factors, middle income households prefer capital gain and accessibility factors, and high income households prefer security, accessibility of private car traffic and view/sunlight factors, relatively.

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Determination of Urban-Life Housing Price and Return Ratio by Location (도시형생활주택의 입지별 분양가격 및 수익률 결정요인)

  • Park, Jin-A;Woo, Chul-Min;Baik, Min-Seok;Shim, Gyo-Eon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.469-481
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    • 2012
  • The demand for small-sized housing has been increasing due to the recession of real-estate price and the increase of small-sized households. Especially, the demand for affordable housing has been increasing since the style of housing and the location fits the lifestyle of small-sized household. In addition, many investors have been buying it because it has advertised as an investment property holding high-return ratio. However, an empirical analysis about the selling price and the return ratio has not been done yet. Therefore, the purpose of the research is having the empirical analysis based on the selling price and return ration by examining the affordable housing in Seoul. The urban-life housing more than 50 generations of the Seoul was irradiated for the analysis. And the linear regression analysis and PLS(Partial Least Square Regression) analysis was used for the empirical analysis. The result of analysis, based on the linear regression analysis, showed that factors including neighboring housing price and subway catchment area have a significant effect to the determinant factors of housing price. The analysis for return ratio showed neighboring housing price, subway catchment area and amenities affects the ratio. Especially, the fault of using small sample was covered by using the partial least square regression in this research.

A Study on the Prediction for Apartment Sales Price: Focusing on the Basic Property, Economy, Education, Culture and Transportation Properties in S city, Gyeonggi-do (아파트 매매가격 예측에 관한 연구: 경기도 S시 아파트 기본속성과 경제·교육·문화·교통 속성을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Seonghun;Lee, Jung-Mok;Lee, Hyang-Seob;Yu, Su-Han;Shin, WooJin;Yu, Jong-Pil
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.109-124
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    • 2020
  • In Korea, despite much interest in real estate, it is not easy to predict prices. Because apartments are both residential spaces and investment materials. Key figures affecting the price of apartments vary widely, and there are also regional characteristics. This study was conducted to derive the factors and characteristics that affect the sale price of apartments in S City, Gyeonggi-do. In general, people diagnose that better subway accessibility leads to higher apartment sales price. Nevertheless, in the case of S City, the price was slightly lower as it was closer to Line 1, but the higher the subway accessibility at Shinbundang Line, the higher the price. The five-year average of government bonds and the price were inversely related, and it was found to be proportional to the M2 balance and the price. The floor area ratio and the total number of parking lots had a great influence on the price, and the presence of department stores and discount marts within 1.5 km were the most important factors in the area of cultural aspect.

A Study on the Forecasting Trend of Apartment Prices: Focusing on Government Policy, Economy, Supply and Demand Characteristics (아파트 매매가 추이 예측에 관한 연구: 정부 정책, 경제, 수요·공급 속성을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jung-Mok;Choi, Su An;Yu, Su-Han;Kim, Seonghun;Kim, Tae-Jun;Yu, Jong-Pil
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.91-113
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    • 2021
  • Despite the influence of real estate in the Korean asset market, it is not easy to predict market trends, and among them, apartments are not easy to predict because they are both residential spaces and contain investment properties. Factors affecting apartment prices vary and regional characteristics should also be considered. This study was conducted to compare the factors and characteristics that affect apartment prices in Seoul as a whole, 3 Gangnam districts, Nowon, Dobong, Gangbuk, Geumcheon, Gwanak and Guro districts and to understand the possibility of price prediction based on this. The analysis used machine learning algorithms such as neural networks, CHAID, linear regression, and random forests. The most important factor affecting the average selling price of all apartments in Seoul was the government's policy element, and easing policies such as easing transaction regulations and easing financial regulations were highly influential. In the case of the three Gangnam districts, the policy influence was low, and in the case of Gangnam-gu District, housing supply was the most important factor. On the other hand, 6 mid-lower-level districts saw government policies act as important variables and were commonly influenced by financial regulatory policies.