• Title/Summary/Keyword: quantitative risk assessment

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Quantitative microbial risk assessment of Campylobacter jejuni in jerky in Korea

  • Ha, Jimyeong;Lee, Heeyoung;Kim, Sejeong;Lee, Jeeyeon;Lee, Soomin;Choi, Yukyung;Oh, Hyemin;Yoon, Yohan
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.274-281
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    • 2019
  • Objective: The objective of this study was to estimate the risk of Campylobacter jejuni (C. jejuni) infection from various jerky products in Korea. Methods: For the exposure assessment, the prevalence and predictive models of C. jejuni in the jerky and the temperature and time of the distribution and storage were investigated. In addition, the consumption amounts and frequencies of the products were also investigated. The data for C. jejuni for the prevalence, distribution temperature, distribution time, consumption amount, and consumption frequency were fitted with the @RISK fitting program to obtain appropriate probabilistic distributions. Subsequently, the dose-response models for Campylobacter were researched in the literature. Eventually, the distributions, predictive model, and dose-response model were used to make a simulation model with @RISK to estimate the risk of C. jejuni foodborne illness from the intake of jerky. Results: Among 275 jerky samples, there were no C. jejuni positive samples, and thus, the initial contamination level was statistically predicted with the RiskUniform distribution [RiskUniform (-2, 0.48)]. To describe the changes in the C. jejuni cell counts during distribution and storage, the developed predictive models with the Weibull model (primary model) and polynomial model (secondary model) were utilized. The appropriate probabilistic distribution was the BetaGeneral distribution, and it showed that the average jerky consumption was 51.83 g/d with a frequency of 0.61%. The developed simulation model from this data series and the dose-response model (Beta Poisson model) showed that the risk of C. jejuni foodborne illness per day per person from jerky consumption was $1.56{\times}10^{-12}$. Conclusion: This result suggests that the risk of C. jejuni in jerky could be considered low in Korea.

Quantitative Safety Assessment for Hydrogen Station (수소 충전소에 대한 정량적 안전성 평가)

  • Seong, D.H.;Rhie, K.W.;Kim, T.H.;Oh, D.S.;Oh, Y.D.;Seo, D.H.;Kim, Y.G.;Kim, E.J.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2012
  • This study is about the quantitative safety assessment of hydrogen station in Korea operating with on-site type. This was written by background information that before qualitative safety assessment to write. For the qualitative safety assessment method, the study used FMEA(failure mode & effect analysis) and HAZOP(hazard & operability), and adopted the FTA(fault tree analysis) as the quantitative safety assessment method. To write the FTA, we wrote FT by Top event that hydrogen leakage can be called most serious accident of hydrogen station. Each base event collect reliability data by reliability data handbook, THERP-HRA and estimation of the engineering. Assessment looked at the high frequency and the possible risk through Gate, Importance, m.cutsets analysis.

Safety Management Information System in Bridges Construction Work (교량 건설공사의 안전관리정보시스템 개발)

  • Park, Jong-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2011
  • There are insufficient models that find problems and solutions for accident prevention through risk assessment and suggest safe work process and work instruction from foundation works to finish work for accident decrease. This paper presents a quantitative risk assessment model by analysis of risk factors in each process such as foundation, erection, pier, pier upper and etc based on accident examples and investigation on actual condition in bridges construction work. In addition, the safety management system was developed to perform risk assessment of construction and use it for effective safety training for labor.

Safety Management Information System in Plants Construction Work (플랜트 건설공사의 안전관리 정보시스템 개발)

  • Park, Jong-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2012
  • There are insufficient models that find problems and solutions for accident prevention through risk assessment and suggest safe work process and work instruction from foundation works to finish work for accident decrease. This paper presents a quantitative risk assessment model by analysis of risk factors in each process such as appurtenant works, temporary works, structural works, equipment work, finishing work and etc based on accident examples and investigation on actual condition in plants construction work. In addition, the safety management system was developed to perform risk assessment of plants construction and use it for effective safety training for labor.

New approach for risk assessment in the railway system (철도시스템의 위험도 평가를 위한 새로운 접근방안)

  • 정의진;이종우;김종기;신덕호;김양모
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.481-485
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    • 2002
  • In these days, as the scale of our technology becomes larger and more highly advanced, the magnitude of an accident tends to be large. For this reason, in some systems whose accident may cause a large-scale and long-term catastrophe, a preliminary and quantitative safety assessment has become required before its construction. A method developed for this requirement is risk assessment. In this study, we focused on the methodology of probabilistic risk assessment, which has been developed mainly in the field of nuclear power industry, and considered the process to adopt this method to railway system in order to establish a scientific and comprehensive way of safety assessment.

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Principles of Chemical Risk Assessment: The ATSDR Perspective

  • Johnson Barry L.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.02a
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    • pp.405-411
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    • 1994
  • Hazardous wastes released into the general environment are of concern to the public and to public health authorities. In response to this concern, the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act, as amended (commonly called Superfund), was enacted in 1980 to provide a framework for environmental, public health, and legal actions concerning uncontrolled releases of hazardous substances. The Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR) was created by Superfund to address the public health issues of hazardous wastes in the community environment. Two key Agency programs, Public Health Assessments and Toxicological Profiles, are designed to assess the risk to human health of exposures to hazardous substances that migrate from waste sites or through emergency releases (e.g., chemical spills). The Agency's public health assessment is a structured process that permits ATSDR to identify which waste sites or other point sources require traditional public health actions (e.g.. human exposure studies, health studies, registries, health surveillance, health advisories). The ATSDR qualitative public health assessment complements the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's quantitative risk assessment. For Superfund purposes, both assessments are sitespecific. ATSDR's toxicological profiles are prepared for priority hazardous substances found most frequently at Superfund sites. Each profile presents the current toxicologic and human health effects information about the substance being profiled. Each profile also contains Minimal Risk Levels (MRLs), a type of risk assessment value. This paper covers ATSDR's experience in conducting public health assessments and developing MRLs, and it relates this experience to recommendations on how to improve chemical risk assessments.

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