• 제목/요약/키워드: probabilistic process

검색결과 389건 처리시간 0.024초

Fatigue life prediction of multiple site damage based on probabilistic equivalent initial flaw model

  • Kim, JungHoon;Zi, Goangseup;Van, Son-Nguyen;Jeong, MinChul;Kong, JungSik;Kim, Minsung
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.443-457
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    • 2011
  • The loss of strength in a structure as a result of cyclic loads over a period of life time is an important phenomenon for the life-cycle analysis. Service loads are accentuated at the areas of stress concentration, mainly at the connection of components. Structural components unavoidably are affected by defects such as surface scratches, surface roughness and weld defects of random sizes, which usually occur during the manufacturing and handling process. These defects are shown to have an important effect on the fatigue life of the structural components by promoting crack initiation sites. The value of equivalent initial flaw size (EIFS) is calculated by using the back extrapolation technique and the Paris law of fatigue crack growth from results of fatigue tests. We try to analyze the effect of EIFS distribution in a multiple site damage (MSD) specimen by using the extended finite element method (XFEM). For the analysis, fatigue tests were conducted on the centrally-cracked specimens and MSD specimens.

의미 분석과 형태소 분석을 이용한 핵심어 인식 시스템 (Key-word Recognition System using Signification Analysis and Morphological Analysis)

  • 안찬식;오상엽
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제13권11호
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    • pp.1586-1593
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    • 2010
  • 확률적 패턴 매칭과 동적 패턴 매칭의 어휘 인식 오류 보정 방법에서는 핵심어를 기반으로 문장을 의미론적으로 분석하므로 형태론적 변형에 따른 핵심어 분석이 어려운 문제점을 가지고 있다. 이를 해결하기 위해 본 연구에서는 음절 복원 알고리즘에서 형태소 분석을 이용하여 인식된 음소 열을 의미 분석 과정을 통해 음소의 의미를 파악하고 형태론적 분석으로 문장을 복원하여 어휘 오인식률을 감소하였다. 시스템 분석을 위해 음소 유사률과 신뢰도를 이용하여 오류 보정률을 구하였으며, 어휘 인식 과정에서 오류로 판명된 어휘에 대하여 오류 보정을 수행하였다. 에러 패턴 학습을 이용한 방법과 오류 패턴 매칭 기반 방법, 어휘 의미 패턴 기반 방법의 성능 평가 결과 2.0%의 인식 향상률을 보였다.

SaaS(Software as a Service) 기반 지방유적도시 구조물 유지관리계측 통합모니터링시스템 구현 (Implementation of an Integrated Monitoring System for Constructional Structures Based on SaaS in Traditional Towns with Local Heritage)

  • 민병원;오용선
    • 한국콘텐츠학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘텐츠학회 2015년도 춘계 종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.15-16
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    • 2015
  • Measuring sensor, equipment, ICT facilities and their software have relatively short life time comparing to constructional structure so that we should exchange or fix them continuously in the process of maintenance and management. In this paper, we propose a novel design of integrated maintenance, management, and measuring monitoring system applying the concept of mobile cloud. For the sake of disaster prevention for constructional structures such as bridge, tunnel, and other traditional buildings in the village of local heritage, we analyze status of these structures in the long term or short term period as well as disaster situations. Collecting data based on mobile cloud and analyzing future expectations based on probabilistic and statistical techniques, we implement our integrated monitoring system for constructional structures to solve these existing problems. Final results of this design and implementation are basically applied to the monitoring system for more than 10,000 structures spread over national land in Korea. In addition, we can specifically apply the monitoring system presented here to a bridge of timber structure in Asan Oeam Village and a traditional house in Andong Hahoe Village to watch them from possible disasters. Total procedure of system design and implementation as well as development of the platform LinkSaaS and application services of monitoring functions implemented on the platform. We prove a good performance of our system by fulfilling TTA authentication test, web accommodation test, and operation test using real measuring data.

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Naval ship's susceptibility assessment by the probabilistic density function

  • Kim, Kwang Sik;Hwang, Se Yun;Lee, Jang Hyun
    • Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • 제1권4호
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    • pp.266-271
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    • 2014
  • The survivability of the naval ship is the capability of a warship to avoid or withstand a hostile environment. The survivability of the naval ship assessed by three categories (susceptibility, vulnerability and recoverability). The magnitude of susceptibility of a warship encountering with threat is dependent upon the attributes of detection equipment and weapon system. In this paper, as a part of a naval ship's survivability analysis, an assessment process model for the ship's susceptibility analysis technique is developed. Naval ship's survivability emphasizing the susceptibility is assessed by the probability of detection, and the probability of hit. Considering the radar cross section (RCS), the assessment procedure for the susceptibility is described. It's emphasizing the simplified calculation model based on the probability density function for probability of hit. Assuming the probability of hit given a both single-hit and multiple-hit, the susceptibility is accessed for a RCS and the hit probability for a rectangular target is applied for a given threat.

지구물리자료의 역산해석에 관한 개관 (Review on the inversion Analysis of Geophysical Data)

  • 김희준;정승환
    • 지구물리와물리탐사
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.112-121
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    • 1999
  • This article reviews the development of geophysical inverse theory. In a series of articles published in 1967, 1968, and 1979, G. Backus and F. Gilbert a trade-off between model resolution and estimation errors in geophysical inverse problems, and gave a criterion to compromise the reciprocal relation. Although the criterion was not clear in the physical point of view, it had been extensively used in the interpretation of geophysical date in the 1970s. This was the starting point of the fruitful development of inverse theory in geophysics. A reasonable criterion to compromise the reciprocal relation was derived to solve linear problems by D. D. jackson in 1979, introducing the concept of a priori information about unknown model parameters. This Jackson's approach was extended to solve nonlinear problems on the basis o probabilistic approach to the inverse problems formulated by A. Tarantola and B. Vallete in 1982. At the end of 1980s ABIC (Akaike Bayesian Information Criterion) was introduced for selecting a more reasonable model in geophysics. Now the date inversion is regarded as the process of extracting new information from observed data, combining in with a priori information about model parameters, and constructing a more clear image of model.

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제주도 계통에서의 풍력발전기 및 ESS를 고려한 신뢰도 평가 (Reliability Evaluation with Wind Turbine Generators and an Energy Storage System for the Jeju Island Power System)

  • 오웅진;이연찬;임진택;최재석;윤용범;장병훈;조성민
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제64권1호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes probabilistic reliability evaluation model of power system considering Wind Turbine Generator(WTG) integrated with Energy Storage System(ESS). Monte carlo sample state duration simulation method is used for the evaluation. Because the power output from WTG units usually fluctuates randomly, the power cannot be counted on to continuously satisfy the system load. Although the power output at any time is not controllable, the power output can be utilized by ESS. The ESS may make to smooth the fluctuation of the WTG power output. The detail process of power system reliability evaluation considering ESS cooperated WTG is presented using case study of Jeju island power system in the paper.

Improving Durability Performance of Reinforced Concrete Structures with Probabilistic Analysis

  • Ferreira, Rui Miguel
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2008
  • In recent years, much research work has been performed on durability design and long-term performance of concrete structures in marine environments. In particular, the development of new procedures for probability-based durability design has been shown to provide a more realistic basis for the analysis. This approach has been successfully applied to several new concrete structures, where requirements for a more controlled durability and service life have been specified. For reinforced concrete structures in a marine environment, it is commonly assumed that the dominant degradation mechanism is the corrosion of the reinforcement due to the presence of chlorides. The design approach is based on the verification of durability limit states, examples of which are: depassivation of reinforcement, cracking and spalling due to corrosion, and collapse due to cross section loss of reinforcement. With this design approach the probability of failure can be determined as a function of time. In the present paper, a probability-based durability performance analysis is used in order to demonstrate the importance of the durability design approach of concrete structures in marine environments. In addition, the sensitivity of the various durability parameters affecting and controlling the durability of concrete structures in a marine environment is studied. Results show that the potential of this approach to assist durability design decisions making process is great. Based the crucial information generated, it is possible to prolong the service life of structures while simultaneously optimizing the final design solution.

Probability analysis of optimal design for fatigue crack of aluminium plate repaired with bonded composite patch

  • Errouane, H.;Deghoul, N.;Sereir, Z.;Chateauneuf, A.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제61권3호
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    • pp.325-334
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    • 2017
  • In the present study, a numerical model for probability analysis of optimal design of fatigue non-uniform crack growth behaviour of a cracked aluminium 2024 T3 plate repaired with a bonded composite patch is investigated. The proposed 3D numerical model has advanced in literatures, which gathers in a unique study: problems of reliability, optimization, fatigue, cracks and repair of plates subjected to tensile loadings. To achieve this aim, a finite element modelling is carried out to determine the evolution of the stress intensity factor at the crack tip Paris law is used to predict the fatigue life for a give n crack. To have an optimal volume of our patch satisfied the practical fatigue life, a procedure of optimization is proposed. Finally, the probabilistic analysis is performed in order to a show that optimized patch design is influenced by uncertainties related to mechanical and geometrical properties during the manufacturing process.

체계신뢰성에 기초한 교량의 시스템여용성 및 저항강도 평가 (SYSTEM RELIABILITY-BASED EVALUATION OF BRIDGE SYSTEM REDUNDANCY AND STRENGTH)

  • 조효남;이승재;임종권
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1993년도 가을 학술발표회논문집
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    • pp.240-247
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    • 1993
  • The precise prediction of reserved carrying capacity of bridge as a system is extremely difficult especially when the bridges are highly redundant and significantly deteriorated or damaged. This paper is intended to propose a new approach for the evaluation of reserved system carrying capacity of bridges in terms of equivalent system-strength, which may be defined as a bridge system-strength corresponding to the system reliability of the bridge. This can be derived from an inverse process based on the concept of FOSM form of system reliability index. It may be emphasized that this approach is very useful for the evaluation of the deterministic system redundancy and reserve strength which are measured in terms of either probabilistic system redundancy factor and reserve factor or deterministic system redundancy factor and reserve factor. The system reliability of bridges is formulated as a parallel-series model obtained from the FAM(Failure Mode Approach) based on the major failure mechanisms. AFOSM and IST methods are used for the reliability analysis of the proposed models. The proposed approach and method for the system redundancy and reserve safety/strength are applied to the safety assessment of actual RC and steel box-girder bridges. The results of the evaluation of reserved system safety or bridge system-strength in terms of the system redundancy and the system safety/strength are significantly different from those of element reliability-based or conventional methods.

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Development of a Fully-Coupled, All States, All Hazards Level 2 PSA at Leibstadt Nuclear Power Plant

  • Zvoncek, Pavol;Nusbaumer, Olivier;Torri, Alfred
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.426-433
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    • 2017
  • This paper describes the development process, the innovative techniques used and insights gained from the latest integrated, full scope, multistate Level 2 PSA analysis conducted at the Leibstadt Nuclear Power Plant (KKL), Switzerland. KKL is a modern single-unit General Electric Boiling Water Reactor (BWR/6) with Mark III Containment, and a power output of $3600MW_{th}/1200MW_e$, the highest among the five operating reactors in Switzerland. A Level 2 Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) analyses accident phenomena in nuclear power plants, identifies ways in which radioactive releases from plants can occur and estimates release pathways, magnitude and frequency. This paper attempts to give an overview of the advanced modeling techniques that have been developed and implemented for the recent KKL Level 2 PSA update, with the aim of systematizing the analysis and modeling processes, as well as complying with the relatively prescriptive Swiss requirements for PSA. The analysis provides significant insights into the absolute and relative importances of risk contributors and accident prevention and mitigation measures. Thanks to several newly developed techniques and an integrated approach, the KKL Level 2 PSA report exhibits a high degree of reviewability and maintainability, and transparently highlights the most important risk contributors to Large Early Release Frequency (LERF) with respect to initiating events, components, operator actions or seismic component failure probabilities (fragilities).