• Title/Summary/Keyword: previous bid price

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A Comparative Study on the Determinants of Bid Price Ratio Apartments and Factories in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권 아파트와 공장 경매낙찰가율 결정요인에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Shin, Chang-gook;Chun, hae-jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.255-266
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    • 2021
  • Investment demand for factory facilities has increased due to the balloon effect caused by housing price regulation. This study investigated the impact of the real estate market and macroeconomic factors on the bid price ratio of apartment auctions and factory auctions, focusing on the metropolitan area. To this end, we reviewed theories and previous studies on real estate auctions, and examined how macroeconomic variables affect bid price ratio of apartments and factories using the panel vector autoregressive model. It was found that the increase in the apartment bid price ratio increases as the participation in apartment auctions increases. However, as the factory bid price ratio increases, the factory bid price ratio does not increase, it was confirmed that the positive (+) relationship between the successful bid price ratio and the bid price ratioe does not exist, unlike previous studies. Based on the analysis results, it is suggested that the real estate market and macroeconomic factors should be considered for the stable operation of the related relevant auction system. This study has limitations in that it is limited to the metropolitan area. In the future, research that expands the scope of research to the whole country and provinces should be conducted.

Reserve Price Recommendation Methods for Auction Systems Based on Time Series Analysis (경매 시스템에서 시계열 분석에 기반한 낙찰 예정가 추천 방법)

  • Ko Min Jung;Lee Yong Kyu
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.141-155
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    • 2005
  • It is very important that sellers provide reasonable reserve prices for auction items in internet auction systems. Recently, an agent has been proposed to generate reserve prices automatically based on the case similarity of information retrieval theory and the moving average of time series analysis. However, one problem of the previous approaches is that the recent trend of auction prices is not well reflected on the generated reserve prices, because it simply provides the bid price of the most similar item or an average price of some similar items using the past auction data. In this paper. in order to overcome the problem. we propose a method that generates reserve prices based on the moving average. the exponential smoothing, and the least square of time series analysis. Through performance experiments. we show that the successful bid rate of the new method can be increased by preventing sellers from making unreasonable reserve prices compared with the previous methods.

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EVALUATION OF COST-TIME RELATIONSHIPS FOR CONTRACTORS PARTICIPATING IN COST-PLUS-TIME BIDDING

  • Saeed Abdollahi Sean Pour;Hyung Seok David Jeong
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.479-487
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    • 2013
  • State Highway Agencies (SHAs) have started utilizing cost-plus-time bidding (A+B bidding) since Federal Highway Agency (FHWA) declared it operational on May 4, 1995. Although this technique has successfully accelerated many projects by incorporating construction time in the bidding competition, a framework to illustrate the interactions of incentive/disincentive (I/D) rates on the competitiveness of contractors participating in the bid competition is yet to be developed. In a previous research, authors indicated that for each bid competition there is an efficient cap for I/D rates which are dictated by the capabilities of contractors in project acceleration. However, the results of previous study were based on the assumption that there is a statistically significant relationship between cost and time. In this study, the entire cost-plus-time projects implemented by the Oklahoma Department of Transportation (ODOT) were investigated. Then the significance of relationship between cost and time were analyzed for each contractor utilizing Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) technique, and the price-time function of each contractor was determined by regression analysis. The results of the analysis indicate that there is a significant relationship between cost and time for the majority of contractors. However, a quadratic relationship is not always significant and for some contractors a linear price-time relationship is significant. The results of this project can be used not only by ODOT to optimize the incentive/disincentive rates but also by contractors to determine the most competitive strategies of other bid participants.

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Improved Escalation Method for the Cost Estimation System using Previous Bid Price in Public Construction Projects (공공 건설공사에서의 실적공사비 적용에 따른 물가변동률 산정기준 개선방안)

  • Baek, Seung-Ho;Kang, Tai-Kyung;Lee, Yoo-Sub
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.108-114
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    • 2012
  • Escalation method examining the changes in price index has been widely utilized in public construction projects. The previous escalation method determined estimated changes in price based on the average unit price of contract items over a period of time. In relation to this method, the issue has been raised that the fluctuation rates of previous method show different trends compared with other related price indices, as the influence of the small group of contract items with large unit prices overwhelms the others. This research suggested an improved escalation method which estimates the fluctuation rate by examining the changes in CCI (construction cost index) and applies it to the total amount or the partial amount deducted for labor cost in price escalation for previous bid price method. To verify the improvement, a case study is conducted on an educational facility, and the fluctuation rate was estimated in two different base periods (short term, long term). The results over the long term showed similar tendencies to those of related price indices, as well as significant differences in fluctuation rates compared to those of the previous method.

Application of Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Profitability-Evaluation of Apartment Reconstruction Projects (아파트 재건축사업의 수익성평가에 대한 확률적 위험도 분석 모형 적용방안)

  • Woo, Kwang-Min;Lee, Hak-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2006
  • It was found that Korean Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of cost estimate of public construction projects had some side effects such as jerry-build construction and over-estimation because it failed to reflect the current price and the state-of-the-art construction methods in a changing construction environment. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004. This paper presents analytic criteria and a process model for deducing more current and reasonable historical construction cost for contract items from not only previous contract prices but also all of the other bid prices that were not contracted. The procedure of estimating actual unit cost proposed in this paper focuses on the removal of abnormal values including strategically too low or high prices and the time correction. In addition, basic research is conducted for the correction of actual unit cost through the analysis of fluctuation of bid price depending on bidding types and rates of successful bid. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process model for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.

A Study on Method for Damage Calculation Caused by Bid Rigging in Alternative Tenders for Construction Projects -Utilizing the Difference of the Design Score & Bidding Rate as Factor - (건설공사 대안입찰 담합으로 인한 손해액 산정모델 연구 - 설계점수 및 투찰률 차이 인자 활용 -)

  • Min, Byeong-Uk;Park, Hyung-Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.741-749
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to propose a rational and scientific damage calculation model in relation to damages caused by bid rigging in construction projects. Previous studies and precedents in relation to calculating damages from bid rigging suggest that the main issue was the lack of consideration in standards for deciding successful bids, selection of inadequate standard comparative markets, insufficiency in analyzing the appropriateness of competitive bid price influence factors, and absence of calculation model verification. In order to improve on these issues, a damage calculation method on alternative tenders for construction projects was proposed. For this calculation model, first, a standard market adequate to the successful bid selection standards was determined, second, an appropriate factor was selected by analyzing the correlation between competitive bid price influence factors, and third, a regression analysis was conducted on the selected factor. Lastly, this was demonstrated through verification of appropriateness, significance & normality of the proposed model and application of actual bid rigging cases. Through the proposed calculation model, this study seeks to serve as a base to prevent opportunity damages for parties involved in related court cases by early resolution of disputes and relief from issues of unfair damage burdens on a particular party.

A Study on the Time Series Analysis of the Actual Unit Cost based on the Bid Prices (시계열을 이용한 실적단가 예측방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Won-Young;Seo, Jong-Won;Kang, Sang-Hyeok;Choi, Bong-Joon
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.50-57
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    • 2009
  • The Korea Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of Cost estimate of public construction projects is failed to reflect the fluctuation of current construction cost. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004 and to reduce the use of Korean Standard of Estimate. This paper presents a series of process and the methodology for computing Actual Cost and analyzing the fluctuation patterns based on not only previous contract prices which made a successful bid but also all of the other bid prices. Also, this paper mainly handles a device for extracting strategic bid price such as low price bid for assuring reliable data and for predicting the construction cost which is built by Wavelet Analysis of Time series Analysis data and Neural Network. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.

A Study on Estimating Method for Actual Unit Cost Based on Bid Prices in Public Construction Projects (시설공사 입찰단가를 활용한 실적단가의 산정 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Sang-Hyeok;Park, Won-Young;Song, Soon-Ho;Seo, Jong-Won
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 2006
  • It was found that Korean Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of cost estimate of public construction projects had some side effects such as jerry-build construction and over-estimation because it failed to reflect the current price and the state-of-the-art construction methods in a changing construction environment. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004. This paper presents analytic criteria and a process model for deducing more current and reasonable historical construction cost for contract items from not only previous contract prices but also all of the other bid prices that were not contracted. The procedure of estimating actual unit cost proposed in this paper focuses on the removal of abnormal values including strategically too low or high prices and the time correction. In addition, basic research is conducted for the correction of actual unit cost through the analysis of fluctuation of bid price depending on bidding types and rates of successful bid. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process model for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.

Analysis of the ordering factors influencing the awarding price ratio of service contract in KONEPS

  • Jung-Sung Ha;Tae-Hong Choi;Wan-Sup Cho
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.12
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    • pp.239-248
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors for service contracts that affect the successful bid price rate, focusing on the case of the country market. In the study, ordering organizations and bidders differentiated themselves from existing studies by analyzing service contracts that affect the successful bid price rate in a wide range of country markets. Comparative analysis of the awarding price ratio for services, this work provides a comparable result to the existing results in the previous literature. The analytical model used five independent variables such as budget, contract method, the days of the public notice, the awarding method, and the lowest awarding ratio. In the survey and analysis, big data was collected using text mining for service bids for Nara Market over the past 18 years and data was analyzed in a multi-dimensional way. The results of the analysis are as follows, (1) if budget does not determine the awarding price ratio. This is not the case in small amounts. (2) The contract method affects the awarding price ratio. (3) The days of the public notice increase, the awarding price ratio decrease. (4) the awarding method affects the awarding price ratio. (5) The lowest awarding ratio determines the awarding price ratio. Based on the results of empirical analysis, policy implications were sought.

The effect of auction frequency and transaction volume on auction performance in internet auction (인터넷 경매에서 경매빈도와 거래규모가 경매 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Jong-Han;Kim, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.159-170
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    • 2011
  • In procurement auctions, auction frequency and transaction volume per auction have been analyzed as important factors in determining auction performance. However, there is no empirical study on the effect of auction frequency and transaction volume in procurement auction. Current studies mainly focus on bidder behavior analysis and new system design in procurement auction. In the study, we analyze the effect of two factors on relative winning price empirically by using real auction data from MRO procurement outsourcing company in Korea. From the results, we find the winning price is lower when the frequency of auction with same item category is lower. The low frequency of auctions means participating bidders have limited information of previous auctions and they bid their best price to win the current auction due to less opportunity of reopening the auction in near future. The larger purchase amounts of MRO items didn’t results in lower winning price, contrary to our hypothesis. The possible reason is that the price of MRO items already reflects the economy of scales and the increased volume per auction do not cause the further discount of MRO items from the auction.