• Title/Summary/Keyword: predictive model

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MODEL PREDICTIVE CONTROL OF NONLINEAR PROCESSES BY USE OF 2ND AND 3RD VOLTERRA KERNEL MODEL

  • Kashiwagi, H.;Rong, L.;Harada, H.;Yamaguchi, T.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.451-454
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    • 1998
  • This paper proposes a new method of Model Predictive Control (MPC) of nonlinear process by us-ing the measured Volterra kernels as the nonlinear model. A nonlinear dynamical process is usually de-scribed as Volterra kernel representation, In the authors' method, a pseudo-random M-sequence is ar plied to the nonlinear process, and its output is measured. Taking the crosscorrelation between the input and output, we obtain the Volterra kernels up to 3rd order which represent the nonlinear characteristics of the process. By using the measured Volterra kernels, we can construct the nonlinear model for MPC. In applying Model Predictive Control to a nonlinear process, the most important thing is, in general, what kind of nonlinear model should be used. The authors used the measured Volterra kernels of up to 3rd order as the process model. The authors have carried out computer simulations and compared the simulation results for the linear model, the nonlinear model up to 2nd Volterra kernel, and the nonlinear model up to 3rd order Vol-terra kernel. The results of computer simulation show that the use of Valterra kernels of up to 3rd order is most effective for Model Predictive Control of nonlinear dynamical processes.

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A Predictive Model of Depression in Rural Elders-Decision Tree Analysis (의사결정나무 분석기법을 이용한 농촌거주 노인의 우울예측모형 구축)

  • Kim, Seong Eun;Kim, Sun Ah
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.442-451
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: This descriptive study was done to develop a predictive model of depression in rural elders that will guide prevention and reduction of depression in elders. Methods: A cross-sectional descriptive survey was done using face-to-face private interviews. Participants included in the final analysis were 461 elders (aged${\geq}$ 65 years). The questions were on depression, personal and environmental factors, body functions and structures, activity and participation. Decision tree analysis using the SPSS Modeler 14.1 program was applied to build an optimum and significant predictive model to predict depression in rural elders. Results: From the data analysis, the predictive model for factors related to depression in rural elders presented with 4 pathways. Predictive factors included exercise capacity, self-esteem, farming, social activity, cognitive function, and gender. The accuracy of the model was 83.7%, error rate 16.3%, sensitivity 63.3%, and specificity 93.6%. Conclusion: The results of this study can be used as a theoretical basis for developing a systematic knowledge system for nursing and for developing a protocol that prevents depression in elders living in rural areas, thereby contributing to advanced depression prevention for elders.

A Model Predictive Control Method of a Cascaded Flying Capacitor Multi-level Rectifier for Solid State Transformer for DC Distribution System (DC 배전용 반도체 변압기를 위한 직렬 연결된 플라잉 커패시터 멀티-레벨 정류기의 모델 예측 제어 방법)

  • Kim, Si-Hwan;Jang, Yeong-Hyeok;Kim, June-Sung;Kim, Rae-Young
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Power Electronics
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.359-365
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    • 2018
  • This study introduces a model predictive control method for controlling a cascaded flying capacitor multilevel rectifier used as an AC-DC rectifier of a solid-state transformer for DC distribution systems. The proposed method reduces the number of states that need to be considered in model predictive control by separately controlling input current, output DC link voltage, and flying capacitor voltage. Thus, calculation time is shortened to facilitate the level expansion of the cascaded flying capacitor multilevel rectifier. The selection of weighting factors did not present difficulties because the weighting factors in the cost function of the conventional model predictive control are not used. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified through computer simulation using powersim and experiment.

Proposal of DNN-based predictive model for calculating concrete mixing proportions accroding to admixture (혼화재 혼입에 따른 콘크리트 배합요소 산정을 위한 DNN 기반의 예측모델 제안)

  • Choi, Ju-Hee;Lee, Kwang-Soo;Lee, Han-Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.11a
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    • pp.57-58
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    • 2022
  • Concrete mix design is used as essential data for the quality of concrete, analysis of structures, and stable use of sustainable structures. However, since most of the formulation design is established based on the experience of experts, there is a lack of data to base it on. are suffering Accordingly, in this study, the purpose of this study is to build a predictive model to use the concrete mixing factor as basic data for calculation using the DNN technique. As for the data set for DNN model learning, OPC and ternary concrete data were collected according to the presence or absence of admixture, respectively, and the model was separated for OPC and ternary concrete, and training was carried out. In addition, by varying the number of hidden layers of the DNN model, the prediction performance was evaluated according to the model structure. The higher the number of hidden layers in the model, the higher the predictive performance for the prediction of the mixing elements except for the compressive strength factor set as the output value, and the ternary concrete model showed higher performance than the OPC. This is expected because the data set used when training the model also affected the training.

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Design and Implementation of an Active Power Filter Using Model Predictive Controller

  • Haeri, Mohammad;Zeinali, Mahdi
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.1975-1980
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    • 2004
  • A parallel active power filter is designed and implemented to compensate for undesired current harmonics generated by a nonlinear load. The filter works based on PWM strategy and control signal is generated using a model predictive controller. To evaluate the achievements, a PI controller is also designed and implemented. Experimental results indicate about 50% increase in the efficiency over PI controller.

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Robust Model Predictive Control Using Polytopic Description of Input Constraints

  • Lee, Sang-Moon
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.566-569
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose a less conservative a linear matrix inequality (LMI) condition for the constrained robust model predictive control of systems with input constraints and polytopic uncertainty. Systems with input constraints are represented as perturbed systems with sector bounded conditions. For the infinite horizon control, closed-loop stability conditions are obtained by using a parameter dependent Lyapunov function. The effectiveness of the proposed method is shown by an example.

The application of model predictive control for multi-loop control structure (다중루프 제어구조에의 모델예측제어의 적용)

  • 문혜진;이광순
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1996.10b
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    • pp.1400-1403
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    • 1996
  • In this study, we applied the model predictive control(MPC) to Multi-loop control structure. Since MPC has many advantage for MIMO process and constraints handling, it induces the better performance to apply MPC to multi-loop control. And we suggest the advanced method to reduce the calculation load using the wavelet transform. It shows the possibility to substitute the existing PID control based structure with MPC.

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Bayesian Prediction Inference for Censored Pareto Model

  • Ko, Jeong-Hwan;Kim, Young-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.147-154
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    • 1999
  • Using a noninformative prior and an inverted gamma prior, the Bayesian predictive density and the prediction intervals for a future observation or the p - th order statistic of n' future observations from the censord Pareto model have been obtained. In additions, numerical examples are given in order to illustrate the proposed predictive procedure.

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Neural Model Predictive Control for Nonlinear Chemical Processes

  • Song, Jeong-Jun;Park, Sunwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1993.06a
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    • pp.899-902
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    • 1993
  • A neural model predictive control strategy combining a neural network for plant identification and a nonlinear programming algorithm for solving nonlinear control problems is proposed. A constrained nonlinear optimization approach using successive quadratic programming combined with neural identification network is used to generate the optimum control law for complex continuous chemical reactor systems that have inherent nonlinear dynamics. The neural model predictive controller (MNPC) shows good performances and robustness. To whom all correspondence should be addressed.

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DESIGN OF A PWR POWER CONTROLLER USING MODEL PREDICTIVE CONTROL OPTIMIZED BY A GENETIC ALGORITHM

  • Na, Man-Gyun;Hwang, In-Joon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2006
  • In this study, the core dynamics of a PWR reactor is identified online by a recursive least-squares method. Based on the identified reactor model consisting of the control rod position and the core average coolant temperature, the future average coolant temperature is predicted. A model predictive control method is applied to designing an automatic controller for the thermal power control of PWR reactors. The basic concept of the model predictive control is to solve an optimization problem for a finite future at current time and to implement as the current control input only the first optimal control input among the solutions of the finite time steps. At the next time step, this procedure for solving the optimization problem is repeated. The objectives of the proposed model predictive controller are to minimize both the difference between the predicted core coolant temperature and the desired temperature, as well as minimizing the variation of the control rod positions. In addition, the objectives are subject to the maximum and minimum control rod positions as well as the maximum control rod speed. Therefore, a genetic algorithm that is appropriate for the accomplishment of multiple objectives is utilized in order to optimize the model predictive controller. A three-dimensional nuclear reactor analysis code, MASTER that was developed by the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) , is used to verify the proposed controller for a nuclear reactor. From the results of a numerical simulation that was carried out in order to verify the performance of the proposed controller with a $5\%/min$ ramp increase or decrease of a desired load and a $10\%$ step increase or decrease (which were design requirements), it was found that the nuclear power level controlled by the proposed controller could track the desired power level very well.