• Title/Summary/Keyword: predictive likelihood

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Predictions for Progressively Type-II Censored Failure Times from the Half Triangle Distribution

  • Seo, Jung-In;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.93-103
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    • 2014
  • This paper deals with the problem of predicting censored data in a half triangle distribution with an unknown parameter based on progressively Type-II censored samples. We derive maximum likelihood predictors and some approximate maximum likelihood predictors of censored failure times in a progressively Type-II censoring scheme. In addition, we construct the shortest-length predictive intervals for censored failure times. Finally, Monte Carlo simulations are used to assess the validity of the proposed methods.

Low Complexity Noise Predictive Maximum Likelihood Detection Method for High Density Perpendicular Magnetic Recording: (고밀도 수직자기기록을 위한 저복잡도 잡음 예측 최대 유사도 검출 방법)

  • 김성환;이주현;이재진
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.27 no.6A
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    • pp.562-567
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    • 2002
  • Noise predictive maximum likelihood(NPML) detector embeds noise predictions/ whitening process in branch metric calculation of Viterbi detector and improves the reliability of branch metric computation. Therefore, PRML detector with a noise predictor achieves some performance improvement and has an advantage of low complexity. This paper shows that NP(1221)ML system through noise predictive PR-equalized signal has less complexity and better performance than high order PR(12321)ML system in high density perpendicular magnetic recording. The simulation results are evaluated using (1) random sequence and (2) run length limited (1,7) sequence, and they are applied to linear channel and nonlinear channel with normalized linear density $1.0{\leq}K_p{\leq}3.0$.

Implementation of Noise Predictive Maximum Likelihood Detector in High Density Perpendicular Magnetic Recording (고밀도 수직자기기록에서 잡음 예측 최대 유사도 시스템에 대한 검출기 구현)

  • 김성환;이재진
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.28 no.3C
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    • pp.336-342
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    • 2003
  • Noise predictive maximum likelihood(NPML) detector embeds noise prediction/whitening process in branch metric calculation of Viterbi detector and improves the reliability of branch metric computation. Therefore, PRML detector with a noise predictor achieves some performance improvement and has an advantage of low complexity. This thesis random sequences are applied to linear channel. In perpendicular magnetic recording density KP=2.5, NP(121)ML and NP(1221)ML detection system which is based on a noise predictive PR-equalized signal are evaluated by the Performance through a computing simulation. Therefore, NPML systems are implemented and are verified by VHDL.

Estimation Model of Wind speed Based on Time series Analysis (시계열 자료 분석기법에 의한 풍속 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Keon-Hoon;Jung, Young-Seok;Ju, Young-Chul
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.288-293
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    • 2008
  • A predictive model of wind speed in the wind farm has very important meanings. This paper presents an estimation model of wind speed based on time series analysis using the observed wind data at Hangyeong Wind Farm in Jeju island, and verification of the predictive model. In case of Hangyeong Wind Farm and Haengwon Wind Farm, The ARIMA(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) predictive model was appropriate, and the wind speed estimation model was developed by means of parametric estimation using Maximum likelihood Estimation.

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Integration of Multi-spectral Remote Sensing Images and GIS Thematic Data for Supervised Land Cover Classification

  • Jang Dong-Ho;Chung Chang-Jo F
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.315-327
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    • 2004
  • Nowadays, interests in land cover classification using not only multi-sensor images but also thematic GIS information are increasing. Often, although useful GIS information for the classification is available, the traditional MLE (maximum likelihood estimation techniques) does not allow us to use the information, due to the fact that it cannot handle the GIS data properly. This paper propose two extended MLE algorithms that can integrate both remote sensing images and GIS thematic data for land-cover classification. They include modified MLE and Bayesian predictive likelihood estimation technique (BPLE) techniques that can handle both categorical GIS thematic data and remote sensing images in an integrated manner. The proposed algorithms were evaluated through supervised land-cover classification with Landsat ETM+ images and an existing land-use map in the Gongju area, Korea. As a result, the proposed method showed considerable improvements in classification accuracy, when compared with other multi-spectral classification techniques. The integration of remote sensing images and the land-use map showed that overall accuracy indicated an improvement in classification accuracy of 10.8% when using MLE, and 9.6% for the BPLE. The case study also showed that the proposed algorithms enable the extraction of the area with land-cover change. In conclusion, land cover classification results produced through the integration of various GIS spatial data and multi-spectral images, will be useful to involve complementary data to make more accurate decisions.

An Implementation of Classification Method of Osteoporosis using CT images (CT 영상을 이용한 골다공증 분류 방법의 구현)

  • Jung, Sung-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we propose a method of measuring bone mineral density in a peripheral-type clinical X-ray CT using a phantom, and we propose a method of classifying osteoporosis using bone mineral density and bone structure parameters together. It segments the trabecular bone region and cortical bone region for the six sections of the phantom and calculates the average HU value of the segmented regions. By using these values, it derives an expression converting HU value to bone mineral density. It segments trabecular bone of 1 cm region in the end part of distal radius and extracts the bone mineral density and structural parameters for the trabecular bone region. We extracted bone mineral density and structural parameters for the 18 subjects each of normal and osteoporotic group. We carried out classification experiments using three classification methods; SAD, SVM, ANN. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, likelihood ratio of the classification was improved in the order of ANN, SVM and SAD. Also, The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, likelihood ratio of the classification was improved when we use the bone mineral density and structural parameters together.

A Dual Noise-Predictive Partial Response Decision-Feedback Equalizer for Perpendicular Magnetic Recording Channels (수직 자기기록 채널을 위한 쌍 잡음 예측 부분 응답 결정 궤환 등화기)

  • 우중재;조한규;이영일;홍대식
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.28 no.9C
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    • pp.891-897
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    • 2003
  • Partial response maxim likelihood (PRML) is a powerful and indispensable detection scheme for perpendicular magnetic recording channels. The performance of PRML can be improved by incorporating a noise prediction scheme into branch metric computations of Viterbi algorithm (VA). However, the systems constructed by VA have shortcomings in the form of high complexity and cost. In this connection, a new simple detection scheme is proposed by exploiting the minimum run-length parameter d=1 of RLL code. The proposed detection scheme have a slicer instead of Viterbi detector and a noise predictor as a feedback filter. Therefore, to improve BER performance, the proposed detection scheme is extended to dual detection scheme for improving the BER performance. Simulation results show that the proposed scheme has a comparable performance to noise-predictive maximum likelihood (NPML) detector with less complexity when the partial response (PR) target is (1,2,1).

RELIABILITY PREDICTION BASED ON DEGRADATION DATA

  • Kim, Jae-Joo;Jeong, Hai-Sung;Na, Myung-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 2000
  • As monitoring, testing, and measuring techniques develop, predictive control of components and complete systems have become more practical and affordable. In this paper we develop a statistics-based approach assuming nonlinear degradation paths and time-dependent standard deviation. This approach can be extended to provide reliability estimates and limit value determination in the censoring case fur predictive maintenance policy.

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EVALUATION OF DIAGNOSTIC TESTS WITH MULTIPLE DIAGNOSTIC CATEGORIES

  • Birkett N.J.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.02b
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    • pp.154-157
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    • 1994
  • The evaluation of diagnostic tests attempts to obtain one or more statistical parameters which can indicate the intrinsic diagnostic utility of a test. Sensitivity. specificity and predictive value are not appropriate for this use. The likelihood ratio has been proposed as a useful measure when using a test to diagnose one of two disease states (e.g. disease present or absent). In this paper, we generalize the likelihood ratio concept to a situation in which the goal is to diagnose one of several non-overlapping disease states. A formula is derived to determine the post-test probability of a specific disease state. The post-test odds are shown to be related to the pre-test odds of a disease and to the usual likelihood ratios derived from considering the diagnosis between the target diagnosis and each alternate in turn. Hence, likelihood ratios derived from comparing pairs of diseases can be used to determine test utility in a multiple disease diagnostic situation.

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Statistical Inference in Non-Identifiable and Singular Statistical Models

  • Amari, Shun-ichi;Amari, Shun-ichi;Tomoko Ozeki
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.179-192
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    • 2001
  • When a statistical model has a hierarchical structure such as multilayer perceptrons in neural networks or Gaussian mixture density representation, the model includes distribution with unidentifiable parameters when the structure becomes redundant. Since the exact structure is unknown, we need to carry out statistical estimation or learning of parameters in such a model. From the geometrical point of view, distributions specified by unidentifiable parameters become a singular point in the parameter space. The problem has been remarked in many statistical models, and strange behaviors of the likelihood ratio statistics, when the null hypothesis is at a singular point, have been analyzed so far. The present paper studies asymptotic behaviors of the maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayesian predictive estimator, by using a simple cone model, and show that they are completely different from regular statistical models where the Cramer-Rao paradigm holds. At singularities, the Fisher information metric degenerates, implying that the cramer-Rao paradigm does no more hold, and that he classical model selection theory such as AIC and MDL cannot be applied. This paper is a first step to establish a new theory for analyzing the accuracy of estimation or learning at around singularities.

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