• Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.216-221
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• 2011

c-Jun N-terminal kinase-3 (JNK-3) has been shown to mediate neuronal apoptosis and make the promising therapeutic target for neurodegenerative diseases such as Parkinson's disease, Alzheimer's disease, and other CNS disorders. In order to better understand the structural and chemical features of JNK-3, comparative molecular field analysis (CoMFA) was performed on a series of 3,5-disubstituted quinolines derivatives. The best predictions were obtained CoMFA model ($q^2$=0.707, $r^2$=0.972) and the statistical parameters from the generated 3D-QSAR models were indicated that the data are well fitted and have high predictive ability. The resulting contour map from 3D-QSAR models might be helpful to design novel and more potent JNK3 derivatives.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.5-29
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• 1995

Advanced Traveler Inoformation Systems*ATIS) , as a subsystem of ITS influence the travel choices of dreivers by providing them with historical, real-time and predictive information to supprot travel decisions and consequently improves the speed and quality of travel. For thesuccessul accomplishment of ATIS, the time-dependent variations of traffic in a road network and travel times of vehicles during their journey must be predicted . The purpose of this study is to evaluate the past developments in the dynamic route choice models and to apply the instantaneous dynamic user optimal route choice model. recently formulated with flow propagation constraints by Ran, Boyce and LeBlanc, to the real transportation network of Seocho-Ku in Seoul. As input data for this application, the time-dependent travel rates are estimated and the link travel time function is derived. The modelis validated from three view points : the efficiency of model itself the ability to predict traffic volume and travel time on links, and the optimal traffic control.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.297-306
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• 2004

A plasma is a collection of charged particles and on average is electrically neutral. In fabricating integrated circuits, plasma etching is a key means to transfer a photoresist pattern into an underlayer material. To construct a predictive model of plasma-etching processes, a polynomial neural network (PNN) is applied. This process was characterized by a full factorial experiment, and two attributes modeled are its etch rate and DC bias. According to the number of input variables and type of polynomials to each node, the prediction performance of the PNN was optimized. The various performances of the PNN in diverse environments were compared to three types of statistical regression models and the adaptive network fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). As the demonstrated high-prediction ability in the simulation results shows, the PNN is efficient and much more accurate from the point of view of approximation and prediction abilities.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.51-61
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• 2007

Ridge regression (RR), principal component regression (PCR) and partial least squares regression (PLS) are among popular regression methods for collinear data. While RR adds a small quantity called ridge constant to the diagonal of X'X to stabilize the matrix inversion and regression coefficients, PCR and PLS use latent variables derived from original variables to circumvent the collinearity problem. One problem of PCR and PLS is that they are very sensitive to overfitting. A new regression method is presented by combining RR and PCR and PLS, respectively, in a unified manner. It is intended to provide better predictive ability and improved stability for regression models. A real-world data from NIR spectroscopy is used to investigate the performance of the newly developed regression method.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2001.11c
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• pp.424-427
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• 2001

In this study, we introduce a concept of neurofuzzy polynomial networks (NFPN), a hybrid modeling architecture combining neurofuzzy networks (NFN) and polynomial neural networks(PNN). NFN contributes to the formation of the premise part of the rule-based structure of the NFPN. The consequence part of the NFPN is designed using PNN. The parameters of the membership functions, learning rates and momentum coefficients are adjusted with the use of genetic optimization. We introduce two kinds of NFPN architectures, namely the basic and the modified one. Owing to the specific features of two combined architectures, it is possible to consider the nonlinear characteristics of process system and to obtain the better output performance with superb predictive ability.

• Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.63-67
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• 2012

Crown ratio is the ratio of live crown length to tree height. It is often used as an important predictor variable for tree growth equation. It indicates tree vigor and is a useful parameter in forest health assessment. The objective of the study was to develop crown ratio prediction models for Tectona grandis. Based on the data set from the temporary sample plots, several non linear equations including logistics, Chapman Richard and exponential functions were tested. These functions were evaluated in terms of coefficient of determination ($R^2$) and standard error of the estimate (SEE). The significance of the estimated parameters was also verified. Plot of residuals against estimated crown ratios were observed. Although the logistic model had the highest $R^2$ and the least SEE, Chapman-Richard and Exponential functions were observed to be more consistent in their predictive ability; and were therefore recommended for predicting crown ratio in the stand.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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• v.2 no.3
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• pp.148-157
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• 1996

Availability of input trajectories corresponding to desired output trajectories is often important in designing control systems for batch and other transient processes. In this paper, we propose a predictive control-type model-based iterative learning algorithm which is applicable to finding the nominal input trajectories of a linear time-invariant batch process. Unlike the other existing learning control algorithms, the proposed algorithm can be applied to nonsquare systems and has an ability to adjust noise sensitivity as well as convergence rate. A simple model identification technique with which performance of the proposed learning algorithm can be significantly enhanced is also proposed. Performance of the proposed learning algorithm is demonstrated through numerical simulations.

• Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.81-88
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• 2015

c-Jun N-terminal kinase-3 (JNK3) is a member of the mitogen-activated protein kinase family (MAPK), and plays an important role in neurological disorders. Therefore, identification of selective JNK3 inhibitor may contribute towards neuroprotection therapies. In this work, we performed hologram quantitative structure-activity relationship (HQSAR) on a series of thiophene trisubstituted derivatives. The best predictions were obtained for HQSAR model with $q^2=0.628$ and $r^2=0.986$. Statistical parameters from the generated QSAR models indicated the data is well fitted and have high predictive ability. HQSAR result showed that atom, bond and chirality descriptors play an important role in JNK3 activity and also shows that electronegative groups is highly favourble to enhance the biological activity. Our results could be useful to design novel and selective JNK3 inhibitors.

• Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.241-248
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• 2016

Corticotropin-releasing factor receptors (CRFRs) activate the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis, which is an integral part of the fight or flight response to stress. Increase in CRH level is observed in Alzheimer's disease and major depression and hypoglycemia. Here, we report on the relevant physicochemical parameters required for the CRFR inhibitors. Comparative molecular similarity indices analysis (CoMSIA) was performed with the derivatives of 8-substituted-2-aryl-5-alkylaminoquinolinesas CRFR inhibitors. The best predictions were obtained for the best CoMSIA model with a $q^2$ of 0.576 with 6 components and $r^2$ of 0.977. The statistical parameters from the generated CoMSIA models indicated that the data are well fitted and have high predictive ability. CoMSIA contour maps could be useful in the designing of more potent and novel CRFR derivatives.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.67-80
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• 2017

Over the last few decades, ensemble forecasts based on global climate models have become an important part of climate forecast due to the ability to reduce uncertainty in prediction. Moreover in ensemble forecast, assessing the prediction uncertainty is as important as estimating the optimal weights, and this is achieved through a probabilistic forecast which is based on the predictive distribution of future climate. The Bayesian model averaging has received much attention as a tool of probabilistic forecasting due to its simplicity and superior prediction. In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian model averaging method for probabilistic ensemble forecasting. The proposed method combines a deterministic ensemble forecast based on a multivariate regression approach with Bayesian model averaging. We demonstrate that the proposed method is better in prediction than the standard Bayesian model averaging approach by analyzing monthly average precipitations and temperatures for ten cities in Korea.