• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.285-293
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• 2010

The traditional methods for evaluating response surface designs are alphabetic optimality criteria. These single-number criteria such as D-, A-, G- and V-optimality do not completely reflect the prediction variance characteristics of the design in question. Alternatives to single-numbers summaries include graphical displays of the prediction variance across the design regions. We can suggest the animated quantile plots as the animation of the quantile plots and use these animated quantile plots for comparing and evaluating response surface designs.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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• v.34S no.9
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• pp.91-98
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• 1997

In this paper, a new pixel decimation algorithm for the estimation of motion vector is proposed. In traditional methods, the computational cost can be reduced since only part of the pixels are used for motion vector calculation. But these methods limits the accuracy ofmotion vector because of the same reason. We derive a selection criteria of subsampled pixels that can reduce the probablity of false motion vector detection based on stochastic point of view. By using this criteria, a new pixel decimation algorithm that can reduce the prediction error with similar computational cost is presented. The simulation results applied to standard images haveshown that the proposed algorithm has less mean absolute prediction error than conventional pixel decimation algorithm.

• Coupled systems mechanics
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.55-74
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• 2017

The evaluation of torsional effects on multistory buildings remains an open issue, despite considerable research efforts and numerous publications. In this study, a large number of multiple test structures are considered with normally distributed topological attributes, in order to quantify the statistically derived relationships between the torsional criteria and response parameters. The linear regression analysis results, depict that the center of twist and the ratio of torsion (ROT) index proved numerically to be the most reliable criteria for the prediction of the modal rotation and displacements, however the residuals distribution and R-squared derived for the ductility demands prediction, was not constant and low respectively. Thus, the assessment of the torsional parameters' contribution to the nonlinear structural response was investigated using artificial neural networks. Utilizing the connection weights approach, the Center of Strength, Torsional Stiffness and the Base Shear Torque curves were found to exhibit the highest impact numerically, while all the other torsional indices' contribution was investigated and quantified.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.195-208
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• 2009

A conventional single design optimality criterion has been used to select an efficient experimental design. But, since an experimental design is constructed with respect to an optimality criterion pre specified by investigators, an experimental design obtained from one optimality criterion which is superior to other designs may perform poorly when the design is evaluated by another optimality criterion. In other words, none of these is entirely satisfactory and even there is no guarantee that a design which is constructed from using a certain design optimality criterion is also optimal to the other design optimality criteria. Thus, it is necessary to develop certain special types of experimental designs that satisfy multiple design optimality criteria simultaneously because these multi-optimal designs (MODs) reflect the needs of the experimenters more adequately. In this article, we present a heuristic approach to construct second-order response surface designs which are more flexible and potentially very useful than the designs generated from a single design optimality criterion in many real experimental situations when several competing design optimality criteria are of interest. In this paper, over cuboidal design region for $3\;{\leq}\;k\;{\leq}\;5$ variables, we construct multi-optimal designs (MODs) that might moderately satisfy two famous alphabetic design optimality criteria, G- and IV-optimality criteria using a GA which considers a certain amount of randomness. The minimum, average and maximum scaled prediction variances for the generated response surface designs are provided. Based on the average and maximum scaled prediction variances for k = 3, 4 and 5 design variables, the MODs from a genetic algorithm (GA) have better statistical property than does the theoretically optimal designs and the MODs are more flexible and useful than single-criterion optimal designs.

• Journal of Korea Foundry Society
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• v.33 no.2
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• pp.63-68
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• 2013

Generally, metal is the most important material used in many engineering applications. Therefore, it is important to understand and predict the damage of metal as result of the impact. The objective of this research is to evaluate the damage criterion on the impact performance of A356 Al-alloy castings. Both experimental method and computational analysis were used to achieve the research objective. In this paper, we performed impact test according to various impact velocities to the A356 cast aluminium specimen for damage prediction. Impact computational simulation was done by applying properties obtained from the tensile test, and damages was predicted according to the damage criteria based plastic work. The good agreement of the results between the experiment and computer simulation shows that the reliability of the proposed FE simulation method to predict fracture of A356 casting components by impact.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.54 no.8
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• pp.3027-3033
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• 2022

Background: In this study, various types of deep-learning models for predicting in vitro radiosensitivity from gene-expression profiling were compared. Methods: The clonogenic surviving fractions at 2 Gy from previous publications and microarray gene-expression data from the National Cancer Institute-60 cell lines were used to measure the radiosensitivity. Seven different prediction models including three distinct multi-layered perceptrons (MLP), four different convolutional neural networks (CNN) were compared. Folded cross-validation was applied to train and evaluate model performance. The criteria for correct prediction were absolute error < 0.02 or relative error < 10%. The models were compared in terms of prediction accuracy, training time per epoch, training fluctuations, and required calculation resources. Results: The strength of MLP-based models was their fast initial convergence and short training time per epoch. They represented significantly different prediction accuracy depending on the model configuration. The CNN-based models showed relatively high prediction accuracy, low training fluctuations, and a relatively small increase in the memory requirement as the model deepens. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that a CNN-based model with moderate depth would be appropriate when the prediction accuracy is important, and a shallow MLP-based model can be recommended when either the training resources or time are limited.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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• 2005.05a
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• pp.163-166
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• 2005

A hole expansion process is an important process in producing a hub-hole in a wheel disc of a vehicle. In this process, the main parameter is the formability of a material that is expressed as the hole expansion ratio. The hub-hole expansion process is different from conventional forming processes or hole flanging processes from the view-point of its deformation mode and forming of a thick plate. In the process, a crack is occurred in the upper edge of a hole as the hole is expanded. Since prediction of the forming limit by hole expansion experiment needs tremendous time and effort, an appropriate fracture criterion has to be developed fur finite element analysis to define forming limit of the material. In this paper, the hole expansion process of a hub-hole is studied by finite element analysis with ABAQUS/standard considering several ductile fracture criteria. The fracture mode and hole expansion ratio is compared with respect to the various fracture criteria. These criteria do not predict its fracture mode or hole expansion ratio adequately and show deviation from experimental results of hole expansion. A modified ductile fracture criterion is newly proposed to consider the deformation characteristics of a material accurately in a hole expansion process. A fracture propagation analysis at the hub-hole edge is also performed for high accuracy of prediction using the new fracture criterion proposed.

• Tribology and Lubricants
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• v.20 no.5
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• pp.252-258
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• 2004

In this study, using high cycle fatigue (HCF) criteria, the simulation of rolling contact fatigue is conducted under elliptical contact. The HCF criteria fall into three categories: the critical plane approach, the stress invariant approach and the approach based on the mesoscopic scale. The accurate calculation of contact stresses and subsurface stresses is essential to the prediction of crack initiation life. Contact stresses are obtained by contact analysis of a semi-infinite solid based on the use of influence functions and the subsurface stress field is obtained using rectangular patch solutions. The simulation results show that the critical load is decreasing rapidly and the site of crack initiation also moves rapidly to the surface from the subsurface when the friction coefficient exceeds a specific value for all of three fatigue criteria.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.7
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• pp.485-493
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• 2021

Groundwater is an important water resource that can be used along with surface water. In particular, in the case of island regions, research on groundwater level variability is essential for stable groundwater use because the ratio of groundwater use is relatively high. Researches using artificial intelligence models (AIs) for the prediction and analysis of groundwater level variability are continuously increasing. However, there are insufficient studies presenting evaluation criteria to judge the appropriateness of groundwater level prediction. This study comprehensively analyzed the research results that predicted the groundwater level using AIs for various regions around the world over the past 20 years to present the range of allowable groundwater level prediction errors. As a result, the groundwater level prediction error increased as the observed groundwater level variability increased. Therefore, the criteria for evaluating the adequacy of the groundwater level prediction by an AI is presented as follows: less than or equal to the root mean square error or maximum error calculated using the linear regression equations presented in this study, or NSE ≥ 0.849 or R² ≥ 0.880. This allowable prediction error range can be used as a reference for determining the appropriateness of the groundwater level prediction using an AI.

• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2011.02a
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• pp.432-438
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• 2011

The purpose of the present thesis is to develop bankruptcy prediction models capable of being applied to the Korean construction industry and to deduce an optimal model through comparative evaluation of final developed models. A study population was selected as general contractors in the Korean construction industry. In order to ease the sample securing and reliability of data, it was limited to general contractors receiving external audit from the government. The study samples are divided into a bankrupt company group and a non-bankrupt company group. The bankruptcy, insolvency, declaration of insolvency, workout and corporate reorganization were used as selection criteria of a bankrupt company. A company that is not included in the selection criteria of the bankrupt company group was selected as a non-bankrupt company. Accordingly, the study sample is composed of a total of 112 samples and is composed of 48 bankrupt companies and 64 non-bankrupt companies. A financial ratio was used as early predictors for development of an estimation model. A total of 90 financial ratios were used and were divided into growth, profitability, productivity and added value. The MDA (Multivariate Discriminant Analysis) model and BLRA (Binary Logistic Regression Analysis) model were used for development of bankruptcy prediction models. The MDA model is an analysis method often used in the past bankruptcy prediction literature, and the BLRA is an analysis method capable of avoiding equal variance assumption. The stepwise (MDA) and forward stepwise method (BLRA) were used for selection of predictor variables in case of model construction. Twenty two variables were finally used in MDA and BLRA models according to timing of bankruptcy. The ROC-Curve Analysis and Classification Analysis were used for analysis of prediction performance of estimation models. The correct classification rate of an individual bankruptcy prediction model is as follows: 1) one year ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 83.04%, BLRA: 93.75%); 2) two years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 77.68%, BLRA: 78.57%); 3) 3 years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 84.82%, BLRA: 91.96%). The AUC (Area Under Curve) of an individual bankruptcy prediction model is as follows. : 1) one year ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 0.933, BLRA: 0.978); 2) two years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 0.852, BLRA: 0.875); 3) 3 years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 0.938, BLRA: 0.975). As a result of the present research, accuracy of the BLRA model is higher than the MDA model and its prediction performance is improved.