• Title/Summary/Keyword: precipitation amount

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Estimates the Non-Stationary Probable Precipitation Using a Power Model (Power 모형을 이용한 비정상성 확률강수량 산정)

  • Kim, Gwangseob;Lee, Gichun;Kim, Beungkown
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we performed a non-stationary frequency analysis using a power model and the model was applied for Seoul, Daegu, Daejeon, Mokpo sites in Korea to estimate the probable precipitation amount at the target years (2020, 2050, 2080). We used the annual maximum precipitation of 24 hours duration of precipitation using data from 1973 to 2009. We compared results to that of non-stationary analyses using the linear and logistic regression. The probable precipitation amounts using linear regression showed very large increase in the long term projection, while the logistic regression resulted in similar amounts for different target years because the logistic function converges before 2020. But the probable precipitation amount for the target years using a power model showed reasonable results suggesting that power model be able to reflect the increase of hydrologic extremes reasonably well.

Investigating Changes over Time of Precipitation Indicators (강수지표의 시간에 따른 변화 조사)

  • Han, Bong-Koo;Chung, Eun-Sung;Lee, Bo-Ram;Sung, Jang Hyun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.233-250
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    • 2013
  • Gradually or radically change how the characteristics of the climate characteristic using change point analysis for the precipitation indicators were investigated. Significantly the amount, extreme and frequency were separated by precipitation indicators, each indicator RIA(Rainfall Index for Amount), RIE(Rainfall Index for Extremes) and RIF(Rainfall Index for Frequency) was defined. Bayesian Change Point was applied to investigate changing over time of precipitation indicators calculated. As the result of analysis, precipitation indicators in South Korea was found to recently increase all indicators except for the annual precipitation days and 200-yr precipitation. RIA revealed that there was a very clear point of significance for the change in Ulleungdo, Relatively significant results for RIE were identified in Gumi, Jecheon and Seogwipo. Also, since the 1990s, an increase in the number of variation points, and the horizontal width of the fluctuation point was being relatively wider. Based on these results, rethink the precipitation on the assumption of stationarity was judged necessary.

Stochastic simulation of daily precipitation: A copula approach

  • Choi, Changhui;Ko, Bangwon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.245-254
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    • 2014
  • The traditional methods of simulating daily precipitation have paid little attention to the inherent dependence structure between the total precipitation amount and the precipitation frequency for a fixed period of time. To address this issue, we propose a new simulation algorithm using copula in order to incorporate the dependence into the traditional methods. The algorithm consists of two parts: First, while reflecting the observed dependence, we generate the total precipitation amount (S) and the frequency (N) during the period of interest; then we simulate the daily precipitation whose aggregation matches the pair of (N; S) generated in the first part. Our result shows that the proposed method substantially improves the traditional methods.

The Regional Characteristics of Daily Precipitation Intensity in Korea for Recent 30 Years (최근 30년간 한반도 일 강수강도의 지역적 특성)

  • Kim Eun-Hee;Kim Maeng-Ki;Lee Woo-Seop
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.404-416
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    • 2005
  • The seasonal and regional distribution of precipitation in Korea, terms of the amount of precipitation per day, number of days, and intensity was analyzed using precipitation data from 1971 to 2000. The significance level of the linear trend of these data was also investigated using the analysis of variance of each variable. The amount of precipitation per day less than 80 mm per day appeared in the Honam area which also shows a large number of precipitation day value during the fall and winter. However, the lowest amuont of precipitation per day was shown in the Youngnam area. The positive trend of the annual precipitation amount has also been detected in all stations except for a few station in Honam, and the positive trend of precipitation intensity is statistically significant in most of the stations at the Chungcheong and Gyeonggi area. The linear trend of precipitation intensity in these area is found to be significant at the $5\%$ level.

Characteristic Changes of the Changma Season in the 2000s

  • Lee, Jun-Youb;Yoon, Ill-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.422-433
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the characteristic changes of the Changma season in the 2000s. To accomplish this goal, we have used daily rainfall data collected over nearly 40 years (1971 to 2010). The average summer precipitation data including the Changma season were collected from 16 weather stations that are placed across the three major regions (i.e. central region, southern region, and Jeju region) as Korea Meteorological Administration divided. These precipitation data were analyzed to find out characteristic changes of the Changma season. Results of the precipitation data comparison among the major regions that, monthly average precipitation in the central region was the highest in July; its precipitation tended to increase from May to September. In the southern region, the precipitation amount was lowest in June and tended to increase in May, September, and August. In the Jeju region, the precipitation has been the highest in June and July for the past 30 years, whereas September has been highest month in the last 10 years. The precipitation amount in the Jeju region decreased both in June and July, whereas it tended to grow in May, August and September. A correlation coefficient formula by Karl Pearson has been used to find out correlations between the Changma season and the precipitation of the major regions in 2000s and normal years. It was found that the correlation coefficient has decreased from 0.723 to 0.524 in the 2000s (2001 to 2010) compared to normal years (1971 to 2000).

Characteristics of Precipitation and Temperature at Ulleung-do and Dok-do, Korea for Recent Four Years(2005~2008) (최근 4년간(2005~2008) 울릉도와 독도의 강수 및 기온 특성)

  • Lee, Young-Gon;Kim, Baek-Jo;Park, Gil-Un;Ahn, Bo-Young
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.1109-1118
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    • 2010
  • Characteristics of precipitation and temperature in Ulleung-do and Dok-do were analyzed with hourly accumulated precipitation and mean temperature data obtained from Automatic Weather System(AWS) for latest four years(2005~2008). In Ulleung-do, total annual mean precipitation for this period is 1,574.4 mm, which shows larger amount than 1434.2 mm of whole Korean peninsula for latest 10 years(1999~2008) and 1,236.2 mm at Ulleung-do on common years(1971~2000), shows that the trend of precipitation gradually increases during the recent years. This amount is also 1.4 times larger than the total annual mean precipitation of 660.1 mm in Dok-do. Mean precipitation intensity(mm $h^{-1}$) at each time of a day in each month at Ulleung-do represents that the maximum values larger than $3.0\;mm\;h^{-1}$ were shown in May and on 0200 LST, whereas these were found in August and 0700 LST with $3.1\;mm\;h^{-1}$ in Dok-do. The difference of the precipitation amount and its intensity between Uleung-do and Dok-do is explained by the topological effect came from each covering area, and this fact is also identified from similar comparison of the precipitation characteristics for the islands in West Sea. The annual mean temperature of $14.0^{\circ}C$ in Dok-do is $1.2^{\circ}C$ higher than that of $12.8^{\circ}C$ in Ulleung-do. Trends of monthly mean temperature in both islands are shown to increase for the observed period.

Water Resources Utilization Pattern of JangSung Reservoir (장성호 수자원 이용 패턴)

  • Yoon, Kwang-Sik;Han, Kuk-Heon;Yoon, Suk-Gun;Jung, Jae-Woon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.291-294
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    • 2003
  • The Water resources utilization pattern of Jangsung reservoir was studied. The observed precipitation and existing reservoir operation data such as irrigation amount, reservoir storage, river maintenance requirement, flood control discharge were collected for ten years period and analyzed. Major findings of this study are as follows: The observed average, minimum, maximum annual precipitation were 905.1mm, 1,977.3mm, 1,554.3mm during study period, respectively. The average annual irrigation amount was 554.5mm, irrigation amount of drought years of '92 and '94 was 604.6mm, 679.2mm, respectively. However, irrigation amount of extended drought year '95 was 384.9mm. It showed that supplying capacity of Jangsung reservoir was limited when consecutive 2 year drought occurred. The main water resources usage of Jangsung reservoir was irrigation, but flood control discharge exceed irrigation amount exceptionally when high precipitation occurred. The reservoir operation record revealed that discharge for river maintenance was delivered even drought years.

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A Comparison of the Methods for Estimating the Missing Precipitation Values Ungauged (미계측 결측 강수자료 보완 방법의 비교)

  • Yoo, Ju-Hwan;Choi, Yong-Joon;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1427-1430
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    • 2009
  • The amount and the continuity of the precipitation data used in a hydrological analysis may exert a big influence on the reliability of the analysis. It is a fundamental process to estimate the missing data caused by such as a breakdown of the rainfall recording machine or to expand a short period of rainfall data. In this study the eight methods widely used as methods for estimating are compared. The data used in this research is the annual precipitation amount during 17 years at the Cheolwon station including an ungauged period of 15 years and its five surrounding stations. By use of this certified method the ungauged precipitation values at the Cheolweon station is estimated and the areal average of annual precipitation for 32 years at the Han River basin is calculated.

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Stable Isotopic Variation of Precipitation in Pohang, Korea (포항 강수의 안정 동위원소 조성 변화)

  • Lee, Kwang-Sik;Chung, Jae-Il
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.321-325
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    • 1997
  • In this paper an attempt is made to explain some of the factors controlling oxygen and hydrogen isotopic variations of precipitation in Pohang by analysing the IAEA data (1961~1976) through statistical correlations and trend observations. During this period, the values of ${\delta}^{18}O$ and D varied widely from -17.80 to +0.07‰, and from -131.9 to +7.7‰, respectively, and fall along a local meteoric water line defined by ${\delta}D=(8.05{\pm}0.32)$ ${\delta}^{18}O+(12.72{\pm}2.44)$ (n=108, ${\gamma}^2=0.86$). The ${\delta}^{18}O$ and ${\delta}D$ values of the precipitation appear to be little dependent on temperature. Although the amount effect is clearly shown in summer precipitation of 1963 and 1965, the isotopic composition of summer precipitation seems not to be greatly dependent on the amount of precipitation.

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The Synoptic Meteorological Characteristics of Spring Rainfall in South Korea during 2008~2012 (최근 5년(2008~2012) 간 우리나라에 내린 봄비의 종관기상학적 특성)

  • Park, So-Yeon;Lee, Yong-Gon;Kim, Jung-Yun;Ahn, Suk-Hee;Kim, Baek-Jo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2013
  • Spring rainfall events were comprehensively analyzed based on the distribution of precipitation amount and the related synoptic weather between 2008~2012. Forty-eight cases are selected among the rain events of the entire country, and each distribution of the 24-hour accumulated precipitation amount is classified into three types: evenly distributed rain(Type 1), more rain in the southern area and south coast region (Type 2), and more rain in the central region (Type 3), respectively. Type 1 constitutes the largest part(35 cases, 72.9%) with mean precipitation amount of 19.4 mm, and the 17 cases of Type 1 are observed in March. Although Type B and C constitutes small parts (11 cases, 22.9% and 2 cases, 4.2%), respectively. The precipitation amount of these types is greater than 34.5 mm and occurred usually in April. The main synoptic weather patterns affecting precipitation distribution are classified into five patterns according to the pathway of low pressures. The most influential pattern is type 4, and this usually occurs in March, April, and May (Low pressures from the north and the ones from the west and south consecutively affect South Korea, 37.5%). The pattern 3(Low pressures from the south affect South Korea, 25%) happens mostly in April, and the average precipitation is usually greater than 30 mm. This value is relatively higher than the values in any other patterns.