• Title/Summary/Keyword: population growth model

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A Special Case of a Two-Sex Model in the Growth of Population

  • Tae Ryung Park
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.207-218
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    • 1997
  • We consider two models for the growth of population with overlaping generations. First, the model we will describe is basically the model given by Leslie(1945). This is only a one-sex model of population age structure and growth. Next, we introduce a model in which couples must be formed before reproduction occurs. If the maximum number of couples is formed, and if the couples are only formed from fermales of age x-a and males of age x at time t, $\alpha$ > 0. Then, we will solve the renewal equations for the reproductive value.

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FRACTIONAL POLYNOMIAL METHOD FOR SOLVING FRACTIONAL ORDER POPULATION GROWTH MODEL

  • Krishnarajulu, Krishnaveni;Krithivasan, Kannan;Sevugan, Raja Balachandar
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.869-878
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents an ecient fractional shifted Legendre polynomial method to solve the fractional Volterra's model for population growth model. The fractional derivatives are described based on the Caputo sense by using Riemann-Liouville fractional integral operator. The theoretical analysis, such as convergence analysis and error bound for the proposed technique has been demonstrated. In applications, the reliability of the technique is demonstrated by the error function based on the accuracy of the approximate solution. The numerical applications have provided the eciency of the method with dierent coecients of the population growth model. Finally, the obtained results reveal that the proposed technique is very convenient and quite accurate to such considered problems.

Development of a Sustainable Regional Economic Growth Model (SREG) Using Multiplier Theory (승수이론을 이용한 지속가능한 지역경제성장모델의 개발)

  • Jung, Nam-Su
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2007
  • This paper develops a Sustainable Regional Economic Growth Model (SREG) which estimates the relation of labor population change and employment increase in each occupation and maximum limits and minimum requirements of employment increase by labor population change in a specified region using multiplier theory. To develop the proposed model, sustainable regional economic growth is defined as a steady increase of labor population over a long term period and the limit of employment increase is defined as the estimated labor population change in the region with no need for commutation from the surrounded areas. Developed model was applied to 67 county in Pennsylvania State and the results revealed that the investment in infrastructure occupations, such as transportation, warehousing, utilities, information, communication, and other public utilities, maximizes the effects for increasing employment, whereas finance, insurance, and real estate occupations have minimum effects for increasing employment. Calculated minimum requirements of occupations show that infra-structure occupations is a critical factor for labor population change and maximum limits of occupations show that agriculture and finance occupations are difficult to increase independently.

Evaluation of Urban Growth Management Policy using Urban Dynamics Model (도시동태모형을 이용한 도시성장관리정책의 평가)

  • 문태훈
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.5-27
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    • 2002
  • This paper evaluate and compare effectiveness of urban growth management measures in Korea using system dynamics model. Simple urban dynamics model was used to compare urban growth management measures. Since the late 1960s, Korean government has been implementing various urban growth management measures without much success. In the 1960s, factories, universities, and public agencies were strongly encouraged to move out to local areas. During the 1970s, regulations on greenbelt area was adopted to prevent urban sprawl. Besides, regulations to prevent location of population inducing facilities, and promoting dislocation of those facilities were implemented simultaneously. During the 1990, regulations on total number of factories in the metropolitan area, development fees were adopted. These various method of urban management were compared. Simulation results shows that promoting decentralization of population, preventing population immigration, expanding greenbelt area are effectiveness ones compared to controlling total number of population inducing facilities, and preventing construction of new industries. Some implications of the findings were discussed.

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Dynamic Study of Tetrahymena pyriformis Growth and Reproduction in Aerobic and Anaerobic Conditions

  • Yoo, Eun-Sun
    • Development and Reproduction
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2011
  • The population growth and reproduction of Tetrahymena pyriformis were studied under shaken (aerobic) and unshaken (anaerobic) conditions by applying the growth models, exponential and logistic growth models and the population growth of Tetrahymena was showed the logistic growth model under both, shaken and unshaken conditions and also, the more oxygenated samples had greater population size (N) and three times faster growth rate (r) than less oxygenated samples during incubation periods.

Population growth and carbon dioxide emission: An investigation of the Africa perspective

  • Saka, Abdulrasaki
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2014
  • This study examines the relationship between population growth and carbon dioxide emissions in the context of Africa perspective. Population growth and carbon dioxide emissions helped identify the key driving forces of environmental impacts by including other predictors in all the different income levels of all sampled countries in Africa. To explore the role of population growth in the emissions of carbon dioxide, this research employed a panel data set of 52 Africa countries from 1960 to 2012 using fixed effects, random effects and GLS/FGLS estimators to estimate the modified STIRPAT model. The results found that a 1% increase in population growth suggests an increase in carbon dioxide emission loads by about 0.33%, 1.08%, 0.57% and 2.32% on the average, controlling for all other anthropogenic driving forces, for LICA, LMICA, UICA and HICA respectively. There is a significant relationship between population growth and carbon dioxide emissions in all the national income levels in Africa.

Korea's Demographic Transition and Long-Term Growth Projection Based on an Overlapping Generations Model

  • KWON, KYOOHO
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.25-51
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    • 2017
  • This paper employs an Overlapping Generations Model to quantify the impacts of Korea's demographic transition toward an older population on the total output growth rate. The model incorporates the projected population through 2060 according by Statistics Korea. The effects of the low fertility and increased life expectancy rates are studied. The model is considered suitable for analyzing the effects of demographic changes on the Korean economy. Under the assumption that the TFP growth rate will not slow considerably in the future, remaining at 1.3% per annum, the gross output growth rate of the Korean economy is projected to slow to 1.1% per annum in the 2050s, from 4.0% in the 2000s. The shrinking workforce due to the decline in fertility plays a significant role in the deceleration of the Korean economy. The increased life expectancy rate is expected to mitigate the negative effect, but the magnitude of its effect is found to be limited.

Establishment of the Measurement Model about the Adequate Urban Development Density using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 도시개발밀도의 적정성 평가 모델 구축 연구)

  • 전유신;문태훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2003.08a
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper was developing a development density control model for urban growth management, using system dynamics modeling. The density control model was developed to see how urban growth, transition, and decay occur depending on the interaction among population, houses, industry structure, land and urban infrastructure such as road, water supply, and sewage treatment facilities. Suggesting adequate level of development density control using the model was another purpose of this paper. The model was applied to An'yang city to estimate the maximum number of population, industry structures, houses, and cars that can be adequately sustained with the current An'yang city's infrastructur capacity. The computer simulation results shows that the city is overpopulated by some 90,000 people. To reduce the population to the adequate level that the current urban infrastructure can sustain, the current city regulation on floor area ratio are needed to be strengthened at least 20 to 35%.

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Review of Population Policy in Korea (우리나라 인구정책방향의 재음미)

  • 이규식;김택일
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.32-49
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    • 1988
  • The social conditions in Koreas until 1950s were similar to the model phenomena of low level eqilibrium trap which was named by Prof. Nelson, with the continuation of high population growth rate and low economic growth rate. To escape from the trap, Korean government adopted two different policies, one is economic development plans and the other is family planning programs. Theses policies were successful in both increasing the national products and decreasing the population growth rate. In 1985 per capita GNP increased to over two thousand dollars, fertility rate reduced to replacement level(2.1) and unemployment rate was stabilized at 4 percent level. From various prospects, we were successfully escaped from the Malthusian trap and many economists, who studied developed countries, belive that population growth has positive effects on technological progress, economies of scale, specialization, individual attitude on work, and economic growth. Therefore we need to reexamine the anti-natalistic population policy of Korea in this situation.

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Population changes and growth modeling of Salmonella enterica during alfalfa seed germination and early sprout development

  • Kim, Won-Il;Ryu, Sang Don;Kim, Se-Ri;Kim, Hyun-Ju;Lee, Seungdon;Kim, Jinwoo
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.1865-1869
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    • 2018
  • This study examined the effects of alfalfa seed germination on growth of Salmonella enterica. We investigated the population changes of S. enterica during early sprout development. We found that the population density of S. enterica, which was inoculated on alfalfa seeds was increased during sprout development under all experimental temperatures, whereas a significant reduction was observed when S. enterica was inoculated on fully germinated sprouts. To establish a model for predicting S. enterica growth during alfalfa sprout development, the kinetic growth data under isothermal conditions were collected and evaluated based on Baranyi model as a primary model for growth data. To elucidate the influence of temperature on S. enterica growth rates, three secondary models were compared and found that the Arrhenius-type model was more suitable than others. We believe that our model can be utilized to predict S. enterica behavior in alfalfa sprout and to conduct microbial risk assessments.