• Title/Summary/Keyword: polynomial regression

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Beverage Sales Data Analysis and Prediction using Polynomial Models (다항식 모델을 이용한 음료 판매 데이터 분석 및 예측)

  • Lee, Min Goo;Park, Yong Kuk;Jung, Kyung Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.701-704
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    • 2014
  • This Paper proposed the analysis and prediction method of beverage sales. We assumed weather had a relationship with beverage sales. We got the output as sales amount from a temperature and humidity of weather as input by using polynomial equation. We had modelling as quadric function with input and output data. In order to verify the effectiveness of proposed method, the sales data were collected over a 4 months during February 2014. The results showed that the proposed method can estimate sales data.

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Moving Object Tracking Scheme based on Polynomial Regression Prediction in Sparse Sensor Networks (저밀도 센서 네트워크 환경에서 다항 회귀 예측 기반 이동 객체 추적 기법)

  • Hwang, Dong-Gyo;Park, Hyuk;Park, Jun-Ho;Seong, Dong-Ook;Yoo, Jae-Soo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.44-54
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    • 2012
  • In wireless sensor networks, a moving object tracking scheme is one of core technologies for real applications such as environment monitering and enemy moving tracking in military areas. However, no works have been carried out on processing the failure of object tracking in sparse sensor networks with holes. Therefore, the energy consumption in the existing schemes significantly increases due to plenty of failures of moving object tracking. To overcome this problem, we propose a novel moving object tracking scheme based on polynomial regression prediction in sparse sensor networks. The proposed scheme activates the minimum sensor nodes by predicting the trajectory of an object based on polynomial regression analysis. Moreover, in the case of the failure of moving object tracking, it just activates only the boundary nodes of a hole for failure recovery. By doing so, the proposed scheme reduces the energy consumption and ensures the high accuracy for object tracking in the sensor network with holes. To show the superiority of our proposed scheme, we compare it with the existing scheme. Our experimental results show that our proposed scheme reduces about 47% energy consumption for object tracking over the existing scheme and achieves about 91% accuracy of object tracking even in sensor networks with holes.

Robust Nonparametric Regression Method using Rank Transformation

    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.574-574
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    • 2000
  • Consider the problem of estimating regression function from a set of data which is contaminated by a long-tailed error distribution. The linear smoother is a kind of a local weighted average of response, so it is not robust against outliers. The kernel M-smoother and the lowess attain robustness against outliers by down-weighting outliers. However, the kernel M-smoother and the lowess requires the iteration for computing the robustness weights, and as Wang and Scott(1994) pointed out, the requirement of iteration is not a desirable property. In this article, we propose the robust nonparametic regression method which does not require the iteration. Robustness can be achieved not only by down-weighting outliers but also by transforming outliers. The rank transformation is a simple procedure where the data are replaced by their corresponding ranks. Iman and Conover(1979) showed the fact that the rank transformation is a robust and powerful procedure in the linear regression. In this paper, we show that we can also use the rank transformation to nonparametric regression to achieve the robustness.

Robust Nonparametric Regression Method using Rank Transformation

  • Park, Dongryeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.575-583
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    • 2000
  • Consider the problem of estimating regression function from a set of data which is contaminated by a long-tailed error distribution. The linear smoother is a kind of a local weighted average of response, so it is not robust against outliers. The kernel M-smoother and the lowess attain robustness against outliers by down-weighting outliers. However, the kernel M-smoother and the lowess requires the iteration for computing the robustness weights, and as Wang and Scott(1994) pointed out, the requirement of iteration is not a desirable property. In this article, we propose the robust nonparametic regression method which does not require the iteration. Robustness can be achieved not only by down-weighting outliers but also by transforming outliers. The rank transformation is a simple procedure where the data are replaced by their corresponding ranks. Iman and Conover(1979) showed the fact that the rank transformation is a robust and powerful procedure in the linear regression. In this paper, we show that we can also use the rank transformation to nonparametric regression to achieve the robustness.

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An Application of Response Surface Experiments to Control the Quality of Industrial Products : Model Fitting and Prediction of Responses (공업제품의 질을 관리하기 위한 반응표면 실험의 응용 - 통계적 모형 적합과 반응의 예측을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Seong-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.14-17
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    • 1978
  • In response surface experiments, a polynomial regression model is often used to fit the response surface to explore the functional relationship between a response variable and several independent variables, and to determine the optimum operating conditions, which would be desirable to control the quality of industrial products. The problem considered in this paper is that of selecting subsets of polynomial terms from a given polynomial model so as to achieve "improved" response surfaces in estimation of the response. Such improvement in fitting the response surfaces would be very helpful to determine the optimum operating conditions and to explore the functional relationship with better precision. A criterion is proposed for selection of polynomial terms and illustrated with an industrial example.

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Adaptive Regression by Mixing for Fixed Design

  • Oh, Jong-Chul;Lu, Yun;Yang, Yuhong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.713-727
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    • 2005
  • Among different regression approaches, nonparametric procedures perform well under different conditions. In practice it is very hard to identify which is the best procedure for the data at hand, thus model combination is of practical importance. In this paper, we focus on one dimensional regression with fixed design. Polynomial regression, local regression, and smoothing spline are considered. The data are split into two parts, one part is used for estimation and the other part is used for prediction. Prediction performances are used to assign weights to different regression procedures. Simulation results show that the combined estimator performs better or similarly compared with the estimator chosen by cross validation. The combined estimator generates a similar risk to the best candidate procedure for the data.

Wage Determinants Analysis by Quantile Regression Tree

  • Chang, Young-Jae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.293-301
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    • 2012
  • Quantile regression proposed by Koenker and Bassett (1978) is a statistical technique that estimates conditional quantiles. The advantage of using quantile regression is the robustness in response to large outliers compared to ordinary least squares(OLS) regression. A regression tree approach has been applied to OLS problems to fit flexible models. Loh (2002) proposed the GUIDE algorithm that has a negligible selection bias and relatively low computational cost. Quantile regression can be regarded as an analogue of OLS, therefore it can also be applied to GUIDE regression tree method. Chaudhuri and Loh (2002) proposed a nonparametric quantile regression method that blends key features of piecewise polynomial quantile regression and tree-structured regression based on adaptive recursive partitioning. Lee and Lee (2006) investigated wage determinants in the Korean labor market using the Korean Labor and Income Panel Study(KLIPS). Following Lee and Lee, we fit three kinds of quantile regression tree models to KLIPS data with respect to the quantiles, 0.05, 0.2, 0.5, 0.8, and 0.95. Among the three models, multiple linear piecewise quantile regression model forms the shortest tree structure, while the piecewise constant quantile regression model has a deeper tree structure with more terminal nodes in general. Age, gender, marriage status, and education seem to be the determinants of the wage level throughout the quantiles; in addition, education experience appears as the important determinant of the wage level in the highly paid group.

Estimation of Density via Local Polynomial Tegression

  • Park, B. U.;Kim, W. C.;J. Huh;J. W. Jeon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 1998
  • A method of estimating probability density using regression tools is presented here. It is based on equal-length binning and locally weighted approximate likelihood for bin counts. The method is particularly useful for densities with bounded supports, where it automatically corrects edge effects without using boundary kernels.

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Comparison of Sampling and Estimation Methods for Economic Optimization of Cumene Production Process (쿠멘 생산 공정의 경제성 최적화를 위한 샘플링 및 추정법의 비교)

  • Baek, Jong-Bae;Lee, Gibaek
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.52 no.5
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    • pp.564-573
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    • 2014
  • Economic optimization of cumene manufacturing process to produce cumene from benzene and propylene was studied. The chosen objective function was the operational profit per year that subtracted capital cost, utility cost, and reactants cost from product revenue and other benefit. The number of design variables of the optimization are 6. Matlab connected to and controlled Unisim Design to calculate operational profit with the given design variables. As the first step of the optimization, design variable points was sampled and operational profit was calculated by using Unisim Design. By using the sampled data, the estimation model to calculate the operational profit was constructed, and the optimization was performed on the estimation model. This study compared second order polynomial and support vector regression as the estimation method. As the sampling method, central composite design was compared with Hammersley sequence sampling. The optimization results showed that support vector regression and Hammersley sequence sampling were superior than second order polynomial and central composite design, respectively. The optimized operational profit was 17.96 MM$ per year, which was 12% higher than 16.04 MM$ of base case.