• Title/Summary/Keyword: past climate change

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Comparative Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Inventories and Reduction Targets in 16 Metropolitan Cities in Korea (국내 16개 광역시·도의 온실가스 인벤토리 및 감축목표 비교 연구)

  • Park, Nyun-Bae;Jeon, Eui-Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.159-175
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    • 2013
  • Emission reduction targets to respond to climate change have been discussed and set locally, nationally and globally. After Korean government set the national target in 2009, 16 metropolitan cities established voluntary emission reduction targets by 2020. This study review and compare historical greenhouse gas emissions, reduction target by 2020 and strategies in 16 metropolitan cities. Most cities chose a consumption-based inventory approach. Some cities set the reduction target excluding land use change and forestry (LUCF) at 30% against business-as-usual by 2020, while others set the absolute reduction target against past year including LUCF. The stringency of reduction target in metropolitan cities was evaluated differently according to the comparative indicators such as the targets against BAU or past year and per capita emission, etc. Key mitigation sectors were different across metropolitan cities. It is suggested that national government share detailed raw data for metropolitan cities' emission inventory with the local government. Using advanced mitigation model and two types' target based on BAU and historical year and integrating local government's climate change plan with its energy plan are also required.

Assessment of Future Climate Change Impact on Soil Erosion Loss of Metropolitan Area Using Ministry of Environment Land Use Information (환경부 토지이용정보를 이용한 수도권의 미래 기후변화에 따른 토양유실 예측 및 평가)

  • Ha, Rim;Joh, Hyungkyung;Kim, Seongjoon
    • KCID journal
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2014
  • This study is to evaluate the future potential impact of climate change on soil erosion loss in a metropolitan area using Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation(RUSLE) with land use information of the Ministry of Environment and rainfall data for present and future years(30-year period). The spatial distribution map of vulnerable areas to soil erosion was prepared to provide the basis information for soil conservation and long-term land use planning. For the future climate change scenario, the MIROC3.2 HiRes A1B($CO_2720ppm$ level 2100) was downscaled for 2040-2069(2040s) and 2070-2099(2080s) using the stochastic weather generator(LARS-WG) with average rainfall data during past 30 years(1980-2010, baseline period). By applying the climate prediction to the RUSLE, the soil erosion loss was evaluated. From the results, the soil erosion loss showed a general tendency to increase with rainfall intensity. The soil loss increased up to 13.7%(55.7 ton/ha/yr) in the 2040s and 29.8%(63.6 ton/ha/yr) in the 2080s based on the baseline data(49.0 ton/ha/yr).

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Long-term Trends of Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperatures for the Major Cities of South Korea and their Implications on Human Health (한국의 주요 대도시에 대한 일 최고 및 최저 기온의 장기변동 경향과 건강에 미치는 영향 전망)

  • Choi, Byoung-Cheol;Kim, Jiyoung;Lee, Dae-Geun;Kysely, Jan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.171-183
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    • 2007
  • Trends of daily maximum and minimum temperatures in major cities of South Korea (Seoul, Busan, Incheon, Daegu, and Ulsan) during the past 40 years (1961-2000) were investigated. Temperature records for the Chupungryeong station were compared with those of the large cities because of the rural environment of the station. There were distinct warming trends at all stations, although the warming rates depend on each station's local climate and environment. The warming rates in Korea are much greater than the global warming trends, by a factor of 3 to 4. The most increasing rate in daily maximum temperature was at Busan with $0.43^{\circ}C$ per decade, the most increasing rate in daily minimum temperature was at Daegu with $0.44^{\circ}C$ per decade. In general, the warming trends of the cities were most pronounced in winter season with an increasing rate of $0.5^{\circ}C$/decade at least. Diurnal temperature range shows positive or negative trends according to the regional climate and environmental change. The frequency distribution of the daily temperatures for the past 40 years at Seoul and Chupungryeong shows that there have been reductions in cold day frequencies at both stations. The results imply that the impacts on human health might be positive in winter and adverse in summer if the regional warming scenario by the current regional climate model reflects future climate change in Korea.

Enhancement of Land Load Estimation Method in TMDLs for Considering of Climate Change Scenarios (기후변화를 고려하기 위한 오염총량관리제 토지계 오염부하량 산정 방식 개선)

  • Ryu, Jichul;Park, Yoon Sik;Han, Mideok;Ahn, Ki Hong;Kum, Donghyuk;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Park, Bae Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.212-219
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    • 2014
  • In this study, a land pollutant load calculation method in TMDLs was improved to consider climate change scenarios. In order to evaluate the new method, future change in rainfall patterns was predicted by using SRES A1B climate change scenarios and then post-processing methods such as change factor (CF) and quantile mapping (QM) were applied to correct the bias between the predicted and the observed rainfall patterns. Also, future land pollutant loads were estimated by using both the bias corrected rainfall patterns and the enhanced method. For the results of bias correction, both methods (CF and QM) predicted the temporal trend of the past rainfall patterns and QM method showed future daily average precipitation in the range of 1.1~7.5 mm and CF showed it in the range of 1.3~6.8 mm from 2014 to 2100. Also, in the result of the estimation of future land pollutant loads using the enhanced method (2020, 2040, 2100), TN loads were in the range of 4316.6~6138.6 kg/day and TP loads were in the range of 457.0~716.5 kg/day. However, each result of TN and TP loads in 2020, 2040, 2100 was the same with the original method. The enhanced method in this study will be useful to predict land pollutant loads under the influence of climate change because it can reflect future change in rainfall patterns. Also, it is expected that the results of this study are used as a base data of TMDLs in case of applying for climate change scenarios.

A Study on Domestic Research Trends (2001-2020) of Forest Ecology Using Text Mining (텍스트마이닝을 활용한 국내 산림생태 분야 연구동향(2001-2020) 분석)

  • Lee, Jinkyu;Lee, Chang-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.110 no.3
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    • pp.308-321
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze domestic research trends over the past 20 years and future direction of forest ecology using text mining. A total of 1,015 academic papers and keywords data related to forest ecology were collected by the "Research and Information Service Section" and analyzed using big data analysis programs, such as Textom and UCINET. From the results of word frequency and N-gram analyses, we found domestic studies on forest ecology rapidly increased since 2011. The most common research topic was "species diversity" over the past 20 years and "climate change" became a major topic since 2011. Based on CONCOR analysis, study subjects were grouped intoeight categories, such as "species diversity," "environmental policy," "climate change," "management," "plant taxonomy," "habitat suitability index," "vascular plants," and "recreation and welfare." Consequently, species diversity and climate change will remain important topics in the future and diversifying and expanding domestic research topics following global research trendsis necessary.

The Change of The Average Discomfort Index from June to September during The Past 10 Years (한반도의 여름철 불쾌지수 특성 분석)

  • Jang, You-Jung;Heo, Hye-Sook;Kim, Baek-Jo;Kim, Seong-Kyoun;Hong, Gi-Man;Lee, Woo-Kyun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes spatio-temporal variability of discomfort index for summer the during the past ten years(2001~2010) in the Korean Peninsula, and considers the application possibility of discomfort index as a preliminary data for various phenomenon of society based on the analysis. Discomfort index defined as daily representative value was estimated using hourly temperature and humidity data which are observed 60 weather stations managed by Korea Meteorological Administration. The result indicates that the discomfort index in summer keeps the level at which one feels unpleasant, and the level increased steadily as temperature is rising. And discomfort index in 3 pm and on August are the highest during the day and year. Gangwon-do have shown the lowest discomfort index among the provinces. Variability analysis of discomfort index due to climate changes can be used for making policies in various fields such as industry and public health field.

Past and Future Epidemiological Perspectives and Integrated Management of Rice Bakanae in Korea

  • Soobin, Shin;Hyunjoo, Ryu;Yoon-Ju, Yoon;Jin-Yong, Jung;Gudam, Kwon;Nahyun, Lee;Na Hee, Kim;Rowoon, Lee;Jiseon, Oh;Minju, Baek;Yoon Soo, Choi;Jungho, Lee;Kwang-Hyung, Kim
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2023
  • In the past, rice bakanae was considered an endemic disease that did not cause significant losses in Korea; however, the disease has recently become a serious threat due to climate change, changes in farming practices, and the emergence of fungicide-resistant strains. Since the bakanae outbreak in 2006, its incidence has gradually decreased due to the application of effective control measures such as hot water immersion methods and seed disinfectants. However, in 2013, a marked increase in bakanae incidence was observed, causing problems for rice farmers. Therefore, in this review, we present the potential risks from climate change based on an epidemiological understanding of the pathogen, host plant, and environment, which are the key elements influencing the incidence of bakanae. In addition, disease management options to reduce the disease pressure of bakanae below the economic threshold level are investigated, with a specific focus on resistant varieties, as well as chemical, biological, cultural, and physical control methods. Lastly, as more effective countermeasures to bakanae, we propose an integrated disease management option that combines different control methods, including advanced imaging technologies such as remote sensing. In this review, we revisit and examine bakanae, a traditional seed-borne fungal disease that has not gained considerable attention in the agricultural history of Korea. Based on the understanding of the present significance and anticipated risks of the disease, the findings of this study are expected to provide useful information for the establishment of an effective response strategy to bakanae in the era of climate change.

Analysis of Suspended Solid of Andong and Imha Basin According to the Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 안동·임하호 유역의 부유사량 분석)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Kim, Jung-Yeol;Ahn, So-Ra;Sim, Jeong-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2010
  • This study analyzed the change of flowout and suspend solid in Andong and Imha basin according to the climate change to develop evaluation index about turbid water occurrence possibility and to support the countermeasures for turbid water management using GIS-based Soil and Water Assessment Tools (SWAT). MIROC3.2 hires model values of A1B climate change scenario that were supplied by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) were applied to future climage change data. Precipitation and temperature were corrected by applying the output value of 20th Century Climate Coupled Model (20C3M) based on past climate data during 1977 and 2006 and downscaled with Change Factor (CF) method. And future climate change scenarios were classified as three periods (2020s, 2050s, 2080s) and the change of flowout and suspended solid according to the climate change were estimated by coupling modeled value with SWAT model. Flowout and suspended solid of Andong and Imha basin in 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s were simulated as increasing compared with standard year (2006). Also, as the result of seasonal change, flowout and suspended solid of Andong and Imha basin in spring, autumn, and winter showed as increasing compared with standard year. And them of Andong and Imha basin in summer were analyzed as decreasing compared with standard year.

Analysis of trend and variation characteristics of UNEP and MDM climate indices: the case study of Chungcheong-do province (UNEP와 MDM 기후지수의 추세 및 변동 특성 분석: 충청도 지역을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Hyungon;Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.999-1009
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    • 2021
  • As the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events due to climate change are increasing in recent years, it is very important to evaluate and analyze climate conditions to manage and respond to the negative effects of climate change in advance. In this study, the trends and characteristics of regional climate change were analyzed by calculating the climate indices for the Chungcheong Province. Annual and monthly UNEP-MP, UNEP-PM and MDM indices were calculated using daily data from 1973-2020 collected from 10 synoptic meteorological stations operated by the Korea Meteorological Administration. The normality of climate data was analyzed through the KS test, and the climate change trend was analyzed by applying the Spearman and Pearson methods. The Chungcheongnam-do region had a relatively humid climate than the Chungcheongbuk-do region, and the annual climate indices showed a dry climate trend in Cheongju and Chungju, while the climate of Seosan and Buyeo was becoming humid. Based on the monthly trend change analysis, a humid climate trend was observed in summer and autumn, while a dry climate trend was observed in spring and winter. Comparison of climate indices during the past (2001-2010) and the recent (2011-2020) years showed a higher decrease in the average climate indices during the last 10 years and a gradually drying climate change trend was recorded.

The impact of climate change on the European Alps : Artificial snow and environmental problems (긴급제언 - 유럽알프스지역의 기후변화 영향 : 인공설(雪)과 환경문제)

  • Lee, Yeong-Heui
    • Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.28-32
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    • 2012
  • The European Alps face a number of major threats - from habitat loss to pollution, from mass tourism to the impacts of climate change. The European alpine climate has changed significantly during the past century, with temperatures increasing more than twice the global average. This makes alpine mountains especially vulnerable to changes in the hydrological cycle and decreases in snow and glacier cover, which are already occurring. In winter, artificial snow-making is currently the most widespread strategy to extend and supplement natural snow cover and secure winter tourism. Artificial snow-making is not only very costly, but also has knock-on effects such as increased water consumption and energy demand or ecological damage, which may lead to negative externalities. The European Alps facing the challenge of changing climate and anthropogenic pressures.

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