• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제37권5호
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• pp.198-204
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• 2023

In response to the complexity and time demands of conventional methods for estimating the hydrodynamic coefficients, this study aims to revolutionize ship maneuvering analysis by utilizing automatic identification system (AIS) data and the Support Vector Regression (SVR) algorithm. The AIS data were collected and processed to remove outliers and impute missing values. The rate of turn (ROT), speed over ground (SOG), course over ground (COG) and heading (HDG) in AIS data were used to calculate the rudder angle and ship velocity components, which were then used as training data for a regression model. The accuracy and efficiency of the algorithm were validated by comparing SVR-based estimated hydrodynamic coefficients and the original hydrodynamic coefficients of the Mariner class vessel. The validated SVR algorithm was then applied to estimate the hydrodynamic coefficients for real ships using AIS data. The turning circle test wassimulated from calculated hydrodynamic coefficients and compared with the AIS data. The research results demonstrate the effectiveness of the SVR model in accurately estimating the hydrodynamic coefficients from the AIS data. In conclusion, this study proposes the viability of employing SVR model and AIS data for accurately estimating the hydrodynamic coefficients. It offers a practical approach to ship maneuvering prediction and control in the maritime industry.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.463-470
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• 2016

주파수 영역에서 시계열 자료를 분석함에 있어 스펙트럴 추정량은 매우 유용한 도구이다. 기존의 스펙트럴 추정량은 이상치에 영향을 받을 수밖에 없는 구조로 되어있어서 M-추정법을 활용하여 로버스트 스펙트럴 추정량이 제안되었다. M-추정을 위해서는 조율모수를 적절하게 선택해 주어야 하는데 Pak (2001)이 제안한 방법을 사용할 때의 효과를 연구하였다. 모의실험과 주택가격지수에의 적용을 통하여 효과가 있음을 확인하였다.

• 경영과학
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.69-78
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• 2015

This paper considers a Bayesian Poisson model for multivariate count data using multiplicative rates. More specifically we compose the parameter for overall arrival rates by the product of two parameters, a common effect and an individual effect. The common effect is composed of autoregressive evolution of the parameter, which allows for analysis on seasonal effects on all multivariate time series. In addition, analysis on individual effects allows the researcher to differentiate the time series by whatevercharacterization of their choice. This type of model allows the researcher to specifically analyze two different forms of effects separately and produce a more robust result. We illustrate a simple MCMC generation combined with a Gibbs sampler step in estimating the posterior joint distribution of all parameters in the model. On the whole, the model presented in this study is an intuitive model which may handle complicated problems, and we highlight the properties and possible applications of the model with an example, analyzing real time series data involving customer arrivals to a large retail store.

• 전자공학회논문지S
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• 제36S권1호
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• pp.115-122
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• 1999

본 논문은 음성신호가 카오스 신호임을 확인하고 화자인식 파라미터로 사용하기 위해 상관차원을 분석하였다. 화자식별과 인식 향상을 위하여 개인의 성도특성을 매우 잘 나타내는 음성의 스트레인지 어트렉터를 구성하고 퍼지유사도를 상관차원에 적용하여 퍼지상관차원을 제안하였다. 퍼지상관차원은 어트렉터 구성점들의 상관관계글 퍼지상관적분으로 추정하고 공간차원에 따라 퍼지상관지수가 일정하게 수렴되는 차원값을 구하여 표준패턴 어트렉터와 시험패턴 어트렉터의 변동을 흡수하였다. 퍼지상관차원에 대해 화자와 표준패턴별로 식별오차의 평균값에 따른 거리를 추정함으로써 화자인식파라미터의 타당성을 검토하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.33-39
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• 2013

반응변수의 변환을 고려하는 부분선형모형에서 이상치 문제는 선형모형에서와 마찬가지로 반응변수 변환모수의 추정에 왜곡된 결과를 초래할 수 있다. 이를 해결하기 위해서는 부분선형모형에서 반응변수 변환 모수 추정과 이상치 탐지 과정이 수행되어야 하지만 모형에 포함된 비모수 함수의 비정형성에 따른 어려움이 크다. 본 연구에서는 부분선형모형의 비모수함수에 대한 추정과 순차적 검정, 최대절사우도추정 등과 같은 이상치 제거방법의 적용을 통하여 부분선형모형에서 이상치에 강건한 반응변수 변환 과정을 제안한다. 제안된 방법들은 모의실험과 예제를 통해 효과를 비교 검증한다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제36권2호
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• pp.223-235
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• 2003

Clark 모형의 매개변수 추정방법을 개선하기 위하여, 순간단위도를 gamma 분포형 함수로 가정하여 매개변수를 추정한 후 이를 Clark 모형의 매개변수로 전환하는 간접 추정방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법은 전통적인 Clark 모형의 매개변수 추정방법의 개연적인 부정확성을 개선하는 특징과 더불어 Nash 모형과의 상관성을 파악할 수 있는 장점을 갖고 있다. 제안된 매개변수 추정방법을 위천 유역에 적용한 결과 만족할 수 있는 수준의 추정값을 얻을 수 있었으며 또한 유역의 도달시간-유하면적 관계를 나타내는 합성함수를 구축할 수 있었다. 또한 제안된 매개변수 추정방법은 미계측 유역에 대한 추정에 있어서도 높은 적용성을 보였다. 따라서 제안된 방법론은 기존의 매개변수 추정방법을 보조할 수 있는 충분한 대안으로 판단된다.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.623-632
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• 2007

The objective of this study is analysis of Andong-Dam lake water quality with water quality model. Model parameters of the WASP applied to Lake Andong-Dam were estimated. The methodology is based on grouping water quality constituents and relevant parameters and successively estimating parameters by a trial-and-error procedure. Water qualify system for modeling consisted of BOD, DO, T-N, T-P. The results of water quality modelling using WASP. T-N was maximum affected by K71C(Organic nitrogen mineralization rate) parameter. T-P was maximum affected by K83C(Dissolved organic phosphorus mineralization) parameter, and It did not show a difference almost from the parameter of others and it omitted. BOD was maximum affected by Temperature parameter, it was visible of the reaction due to the KDC(Deoxygenation rate) in afterwords, and it did not show a difference from the parameter of others and it omitted. DO was maximum affect by Temperature parameter, and It did not show a difference almost from the parameter of others and it omitted. The parameter which it presumes from the this study uses a water quality modeling and Actual value and the result with which it compares, error rate the parameter presumption which is appropriate with 1% interior and exterior is investigated, It will reach and it uses and it will be able to apply to the suitable parameter in water quality modelling of the objective area which can be feeded by it becomes.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제54권3호
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• pp.122-132
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• 2005

This paper presents a novel approach based on Prony method to analysis of small signal stability in power system. Prony method is a valuable tool in identifying transfer function and estimating the modal parameter of power system oscillation from measured or computed discrete time signal. This paper define the relative residue of time signal and propose the condition to select low frequency oscillation in each generator. This paper describes the application results of proposed algorithm with respect to KEPCO systems. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm can be used as another tools of power systems analysis.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1997년도 하계학술대회 논문집 F
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• pp.2113-2116
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• 1997

The speed sensorless vector control of induction motor using the rotor speed and flux estimation is widely used. In practice, these schemes depend on the accurate parameters of the machine. If in the vector control scheme an inaccurate parameter of induction motor due to skin effects and to temperature variations is used. it is difficult to achieve correct field orientation. From this reason. we propose robust speed sensorless vector control of induction motor against the variations of parameter and disturbance by using extended Kalman filter. For speed and rotor flux estimation. conventional adaptive flux observer is applied. extended Kalman filter which is correctly capable of estimating rotor flux and load by eliminating virtually influences of structural noises is proposed. Simulation results show the effectiveness of the control strategy proposed here for the induction motor drives.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1991년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.623-626
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• 1991

Crucial to the success of the vector control scheme without speed sensor is up to computing instantaneous position of the rotor flux. In tracing this flux depending on the machine parameter, variations of those factor lead to the non-linear charlcteristic between I/O value and decrease overall efficiency of the vector control scheme. This paper, using recursive least square method estimating instantaneous value of the machine speed and parameter from the shift of current and voltage, proposes an algorithm for compensating the I/O error of the scheme.