• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
• /
• 제8권2호
• /
• pp.99-109
• /
• 2021

This study aims to examine the causal links between the fiscal components, i.e., government expenditures (GE) and government revenues (GR), and their impact on the economic growth of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region. This analysis considered secondary panel data from 1990 to 2019 at an annual frequency. The data is obtained from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and World Bank Database. A panel cointegration and panel DH causality (Dumitrescu and Hurlin) approach was employed on financial data at an annual frequency from 1990 to 2019. The findings from panel unit root and panel cointegration tests demonstrate that, at first, all the variables are stationary and cointegrated. The panel ARDL disclosed that GE has a long-run connection with GDP, is significantly and positively associated with economic growth in the long run, whereas GR is significant in the short run. The contribution of GE is high in sustaining economic growth as compared to GR. Also, cointegration regression disclosed that GE is more sensitive toward GDP, while GR is less elastic. Lastly, the findings reveal that bidirectional causality exists between GE and GR variables. These results have policy implications for sustainable economic growth in the ASEAN region.

• 통상정보연구
• /
• 제14권3호
• /
• pp.307-322
• /
• 2012

본 논문은 패널 단위근, 패널 공적분, 패널 인과성 검정, 패널 FMOLS(fully modified OLS) 기법을 이용하여 한국의 대 동아시아 수출 결정요인을 분석하였다. 분석결과 변수들이 패널 단위근 검정을 통하여 단위근을 가지며 1차 차분 후 안정적인 자료로 전환됨을 알 수 있었으며, 패널 공적분 통계량 모두 공적분 관계가 존재하지 않는다는 귀무가설을 기각함으로써 적어도 하나의 공적분 벡터가 존재함을 알 수 있었다. 다음으로 패널 벡터오차수정모형을 도입하여 동태적 인과성 분석을 실시하였다. GDP변동이 수출변동에 영향을 미치고 수출변동이 GDP변동에 영향을 미침으로써 수출과 GDP 간에 쌍방적 인과관계가 존재함을 알 수 있었다. 그리고 ODI변동의 오차수정항 계수가 수출변동의 오차수정항 계수보다 약 1.65배 크게 나타나 ODI의 불균형에서 균형으로 조정속도가 수출보다 1.7배 정도 빠름을 확인할 수 있었다. 이와 더불어 패널 GM FMOLS 결과 환율이 1% 상승했을 때 수출이 0.28% 감소하고, GDP가 1% 증가했을 때 수출은 0.77% 증가하고, 해외직접투자가 1% 증가했을 때 수출은 0.11% 증가함을 알 수 있었다.

• 한국지리정보학회지
• /
• 제21권1호
• /
• pp.46-56
• /
• 2018

본 연구에서는 지표면 온도 변화에 미치는 주요 지역특성인자를 도출하고 각각의 인자가 미치는 확률적 영향계수를 추정하였다. 연구대상지역은 충청북도 전역이며 패널 분석을 위해 시 군 행정 단위로 분할하였다. 지표면온도 및 지역특성 시계열자료들은 MODIS 영상과 통계청자료를 사용하여 각각 구축하였다. 그리고 지표면온도와 횡단면자료인 지역특성인자들을 다중회귀관계로 설정하고 패널 모형 분석을 통하여 회귀계수 추정치를 산정하였다. 지표면온도와 지역특성인자는 패널 모형 분석에서 종속변수와 설명변수로 각각 사용하였다. 패널 자료 분석은 상용 통계프로그램 STATA14를 사용하였으며, 일원 개체 고정효과모형이 본 연구의 지표면온도 변화 해석에 가장 적절한 모형으로 선정되었다. 지표면온도 변화에 미치는 설명변수의 영향수준을 나타내는 기여율은 회귀방정식의 추정회귀계수로부터 구했다. 설명변수별 기여율은 도시 공업지역이 3.746로 가장 컸으며, 다음으로 평균고도${\times}$대지면적비율이 2.856, 전력사용량 2.742, 평균풍속 0.553, 비도시관리지역 0.102, 농림지역과 자연 환경보전지역은 0.085와 0.071 그리고 시 군의 평균강우량 한 단위 변화가 지표면온도 변화에 미치는 기여율은 0.003으로 추정되었다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
• /
• 제25권1호
• /
• pp.89-112
• /
• 2016

본 논문은 환경쿠즈네츠곡선가설에 기반을 두고, 경제개발 수준과 기술혁신수준이 다른 전세계 88개 국가에 대한 패널데이터를 이용하여, 기술혁신이 이산화탄소배출량 변화에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 기술혁신이 온실가스배출량에 직접적으로 미치는 효과와 소득수준을 변화시켜 온실가스배출량에 미치는 간접적 효과를 종합해본 결과, 비록 미세하지만 기술혁신은 결과적으로 온실가스배출량을 증가시키는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 패널데이터 모형은 각 '시점 내'에서 변수 간 효과를 분석하는 정태적 모형이라는 한계를 가지고 있다. 이를 개선하기 위해 본 논문에서 채용한 Panel VAR(Panel Vector Auto Regression)모형에서는 기술혁신수준이 시차를 두고 온실가스 배출량에 미치는 영향을 분석할 수 있다. 분석 결과 기술혁신(R&D 투자)과 같은 외생적 충격(Shock)이 일인당 온실가스 배출량 감축에 3년 정도의 시차를 두고 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

• 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
• /
• 제38권5호
• /
• pp.271-276
• /
• 2017

Cancer biomarkers are using in the diagnosis, staging, prognosis and prediction of disease progression. But, there are not sufficiently profiled and validated in early detection and risk classification of prostate cancer. In this study, we have devoted to finding a panel of serum biomarkers that are able to detect the diagnosis of prostate cancer. The serum samples were consisted of 111 prostate cancer and 343 control samples and examined. Eleven biomarkers were constructed in this study, and then nine biomarkers were relevant to candidate biomarkers by using t test. Finally, four biomarkers, PSA, ApoA2, CYFRA21.1 and TTR, were selected as the prostate cancer biomarker panel, logistic regression was used to identify algorithms for diagnostic biomarker combinations(AUC = 0.9697). A panel of combination biomarkers is less invasive and could supplement clinical diagnostic accuracy.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제23권2호
• /
• pp.179-187
• /
• 2016

The fixed effects panel probit model faces "incidental parameters problem" because it has a property that the number of parameters to be estimated will increase with sample size. The maximum likelihood estimation fails to give a consistent estimator of slope parameter. Unlike the panel regression model, it is not feasible to find an orthogonal reparameterization of fixed effects to get a consistent estimator. In this note, a hierarchical Bayesian model is proposed. The model is essentially equivalent to the frequentist's random effects model, but the individual specific effects are estimable with the help of Gibbs sampling. The Bayesian estimator is shown to reduce reduced the small sample bias. The maximum likelihood estimator in the random effects model is also efficient, which contradicts Green (2004)'s conclusion.

• East Asian Economic Review
• /
• 제20권4호
• /
• pp.493-517
• /
• 2016

This paper examines the persistent properties of 12 sectoral relative prices between Korea and Japan obtained following the Classification of Individual Consumption according to Purpose (COICOP) over the period of 1985-2016. Applying a new econometric method developed by Pesaran which controls for the cross-section dependence in a panel, we are not able to reject the hypothesis that the sectoral real exchange rates contain a common stochastic trend. On the other hand, the well-known panel unit root tests such as the IPS and LLC tests widely used by previous studies strongly reject the unit root hypothesis. Since the error term of the regression for our panel exhibits significant cross-section dependence, these opposite results justify that the use of the new econometric method is appropriate.

• 대한예방한의학회지
• /
• 제19권3호
• /
• pp.57-66
• /
• 2015

Objective : Private health insurance coverage in Korean medicine has been reduced since October 2009 for preventing unnecessary utilization. The aim of this study is to identify how private health insurance coverage reduction affects on the Korean medicine utilization. Method : We analyzed the Korea Health Panel data from 2008 to 2012. Panel negative binominal regression model was used to analyze the relationship between private health insurance coverage reduction and utilization of outpatient service. Panel tobit regression analysis was used to identify the relationship between private health insurance coverage reduction and health expenditure of outpatient service. Results : Private health insurance coverage reduction significantly dropped both utilization and health expenditure of outpatient service by 9%, 9.22% respectively. In addition, therapeutic utilization significantly decreased up to 10%. Conclusion : Private health insurance coverage reduction seems to have an effect to reduce both utilization and the health expenditure of Korean medicine outpatient service. This effect was more noticeable in the therapeutic utilization. Thus, more elaborate policy will be needed to prevent unnecessary utilization of Korean medicine.

• 한국항해항만학회지
• /
• 제44권5호
• /
• pp.400-406
• /
• 2020

In this study, we first measured the malmquist productivity index by DEA among the Korean public firms. Second, there are 12 public corporations whose productivity (MPI) has decreased compared to 2014. This is mainly because of a decrease in productivity, as well as a decrease in the technical efficiency change index (TECI), impacted by the internal environment, and the increase in productivity because of an increase in the technology change index (TCI) impacted by the external environment. Finally, the analysis of the impact on the management assessment scores showed that the productivity (MPI), scale efficiency (CRS), size of sales, operating profitability, and total capital investment efficiency are significantly related (+), except for the asset turnover, which is a static financial ratio. Meanwhile, the management evaluation scores between the high-productivity public corporations and low-performing public corporations were significantly discriminating. Thus, it is confirmed that the nation's state-run companies must manage their MPIs in a time series to score high in management evaluation.

• 유통과학연구
• /
• 제18권2호
• /
• pp.59-67
• /
• 2020

Purpose: This study examines the relationship between formation of employment subcenters and regional industrial structures in Incheon. Research design, data, and methodology: We used the five-year panel data from 2012 to 2016 in 146 basic municipal units of Incheon to analyze panel regression models. Gross employment density and employment to population ratio were used as indicators of employment subcenters formation. The entropy index and Hachman index were used for analyzing the diversity and heterogeneity of industrial structures. Result: The analyses of two panel regression models showed that for the formation of employment subcenters, both the Entropy and Hachman index were significantly negative in most models. But tertiary industry was shown to have a significant positive relationship in all models. In the wholesale and retail sector, it was found that the average number of employees in the employment subcenters is significantly higher than that in the non-employment subcenters. Conclusions: The specialization of the industrial structure rather than the diversification contributes to the formation of the employment subcenters in Incheon. In particular, it can be considered that the wholesale and retail sector plays a very important role in forming the employment subcenters in many areas of Incheon.