• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국콘크리트학회 2003년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
• /
• pp.181-186
• /
• 2003

There are many uncertainties in structural failures or structures, so probabilistic failure cause assessment should be performed in order to consider the uncertainties. However, in many cases of forensic engineering, the failure cause assessments are performed by deterministic approach though number of uncertainties are existed in the failures or structures. Thus, deterministic approach may have possibility for leading to unreasonable and unrealistic failure cause assessment due to ignorance of the uncertainties. Therefore, probabilistic approach is needed to complement the shortcoming of deterministic approach and to perform the more reasonable and realistic failure cause assessment. In this study, reliability-based failure cause assessment (reliability based forensic engineering) is performed, which can incorporate uncertainties in failures and structures. For more practical application, the modified ETA technique is proposed, which automatically generates the defected structural model, performs structural analysis and reliability analysis, and calculates the failure probabilities of the failure events and the occurrence probabilities of the failure scenarios. Also, for more precise reliability analysis, uncertainties are estimated more reasonably by using bayesian approach based on the experimental laboratory testing data in forensic report.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
• /
• 제54권11호
• /
• pp.548-556
• /
• 2005

Reliability evaluation of power distribution system is very important to both power utilities and customers. It present the probabilistic number and duration of interruption such as failure rate, SATDI, SAIFI, and CAIDI. However, it has a fatal weakness at reliability index because of accuracy of failure rate. In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate(TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) in Korea. For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential(random failure) and Weibull(aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate(MfR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR

• Earthquakes and Structures
• /
• 제6권6호
• /
• pp.689-713
• /
• 2014

The seismic vulnerability of stone masonry buildings is studied on the basis of their fragility curves. In order to account for out-of-plane failure modes, normally disregarded in past studies, linear static Finite Element analysis in 3D of prototype regular buildings is performed using a nonlinear biaxial failure criterion for masonry. More than 1100 analyses are carried out, so as to cover the practical range of the most important parameters, namely the number of storeys, percentage of side length in exterior walls taken up by openings, wall thickness, plan dimensions and number of interior walls, type of floor and pier height-to-length ratio. Results are presented in the form of damage and fragility curves. The fragility curves correspond well to the damage observed in masonry buildings after strong earthquakes and are in good agreement with other fragility curves in the literature. They confirm what is already known, namely that buildings with stiff floors or higher percentage of load-bearing walls are less vulnerable, and that large openings, taller storeys, larger number of storeys, higher wall slenderness and higher ratio of clear height to horizontal length of walls increase the vulnerability, but show also by how much.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제11권2호
• /
• pp.77-87
• /
• 1982

The choice if constants that define a life testing procedure is considered in terms of the test termination time (censoring time) and the number of items to be tested subject to a given range of variance of the expected life time, where the failure time of life testing is exponentially distributed.

• Smart Structures and Systems
• /
• 제30권1호
• /
• pp.49-62
• /
• 2022

Experimental and discrete element methods were used to investigate the effects of triple joints lengths and triple joint angle on the failure behavior of rock mass under uniaxial compressive test. Concrete samples with dimension of 20 cm × 20 cm × 5 cm were prepared. Within the specimen, three imbedded joint were provided. The joint lengths were 2 cm, 4cm and 6 cm. In constant joint lengths, the angle between middle joint and other joints were 30°, 60°, 90°, 120° and 150°. Totally 15 different models were tested under compression test. The axial load rate on the model was 0.05 mm/min. Concurrent with experimental tests, the models containing triple joints, length and joint angle are similar to the experiments, were numerical by Particle flow code in two dimensions (PFC2D). Loading rate in numerical modelling was 0.05 mm/min. Tensile strength of material was 1 MPa. The results show that the failure behaviors of rock samples containing triple joints were governed by both of the angle and the length of the triple joints. The uniaxial compressive strengths (UCS) of the specimens were related to the fracture pattern and failure mechanism of the discontinuities. Furthermore, it was shown that the compressive behavior of discontinuities is related to the number of the induced tensile cracks which are increased by decreasing the joint length. Along with the damage failure of the samples, the acoustic emission (AE) activities are excited. There were only a few AE hits in the initial stage of loading, then AE hits rapidly grow before the applied stress reached its peak. In addition, every stress drop was accompanied by a large number of AE hits. Finally, the failure pattern and failure strength are similar in both methods i.e., the experimental testing and the numerical simulation methods.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
• /
• 제8권2호
• /
• pp.121-132
• /
• 1998

Many cases of information systems (IS) failure have still continued to be reported ever since computer-based information systems were introduced to process business transactions in the early 1950s. Because an enormous amount of budgets is currently invested on information technology in many organizations, failures and problems of information systems may serve as key culprits to serious business problems which will face the organizations. Thus, there have been a number of studies on IS failures which aimed to identify causes and reasons for such failures and reveal their inherent nature, Some studies developed conceptual frameworks to classify categories of diverse IS failure phenomena. However, little research performed an empirical study to investigate the underlying structure of IS failures perceived by IS professionals by measuring their perception. In this regard, the current study collected systems developers perceptual data towards IS failure phenomena to identify what constitute IS failure. The data was analyzed using a multidimensional scaling program and ten categories of problems were identified to constitute the IS failure structure, It was found that most categories were related to problems with users, hardware, and systems quality.

• 한국안전학회지
• /
• 제26권6호
• /
• pp.104-110
• /
• 2011

In FMEA, the risk priority number(RPN) is used for risk evaluation on each failure mode. It is obtained by multiplying three components, i.e., severity, occurrence, and detectability of the corresponding failure mode. Each of the three components are usually determined on the basis of the past experience and technical knowledge. But this approach is not strictly objective in evaluating risk of a given failure mode and thus provide somewhat less scientific measure of risk. Assuming a homogeneous Poisson process for occurrence of the failures and causes, we propose a more scientific approach to evaluation of risk in FMEA. To quantify severity of each failure mode, the mission period is taken into consideration for the system. If the system faces no failure during its mission period, there are no losses. If any failure occurs during its mission period, the losses corresponding to the failure mode incurs. A longer remaining mission period is assumed to incur a larger loss. Detectability of each failure mode is then incorporated into the model assuming an exponential probability law for detection time of each failure cause. Based on the proposed model, an illustrative example and numerical analyses are provided.

• 한국CDE학회논문집
• /
• 제20권1호
• /
• pp.36-43
• /
• 2015

Recently, a number of evaluation studies on availability of plant were carried out. This study was conducted to verify of the reliability of a simulation with some variable such as configuration of process, failure probability density function and the number of iteration times for the natural gas liquefaction plant. The error rate of the KICT-RAM solution was evaluated as 0.03~1.79% compared with the result of the MAROS(commercial solution). And the error-rate change was observed in the range of 0.03~1.75 on the condition of the iteration times as 30, 100, 250. As a result the plant availability evaluation approach of KICT-RAM solution was verified as reasonable. However, the careful approach was required to use the solution because the error-rate increased according to iteration times change.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
• /
• 제31권4호
• /
• pp.375-384
• /
• 2022

The variation of the undrained shear strength (c_u) is an important consideration for assessing slope stability in engineering practice. Previous studies focused on the three-dimensional (3D) stability of slopes in normally consolidated clays generally assume the undrained shear strength increases linearly with depth but does not vary in the horizontal direction. To assess the 3D stability of slopes with spatially varying undrained shear strength, the kinematic approach of limit analysis was adopted to obtain the upper bound solution to the stability number based on a modified failure mechanism. Three types failure mechanism: the toe failure, face failure and below-toe failure were considered. A serious of charts was then presented to illustrate the effect of key parameters on the slope stability and failure geometry. It was found that the stability and failure geometry of slopes are significantly influenced by the gradient of c_u in the depth direction. The influence of c_u profile inclination on the slope stability was found to be pronounced when the increasing gradient of c_u in the depth direction is large. Slopes with larger width-to-height ratio B/H are more sensitive to the variation of c_u profile inclination.

• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국콘크리트학회 1993년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
• /
• pp.113-118
• /
• 1993

A method for approximating the failure surfaces for columns in compression and biaxial bending was proposed by using the moments along the line of a diagonal of the section. This method showed the better approximations for the failure surfaces of columns than the method of ACI. To calculate the moments along the line of a diagonal of the section, an approximate method which is not influenced by the number of steel s and the location of inner steels was proposed This method gave satisfactory approximations for practical sections of columns.