• Title/Summary/Keyword: negative binomial

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Factors Influencing the Initiation of Treatment after the Diagnosis of Korean Patients with HIV (HIV 감염인의 진단 후 치료 시작에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Shim, Mi-So;Kim, Gwang Suk;Park, Chang Gi
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study has been conducted to identify factors that influence the initiation of treatment after the diagnosis of Korean patients with HIV. Methods: A cross-sectional study design was used, and 290 patients with HIV from outpatient departments of 7 hospitals participated. Self-report questionnaires included items on the days from the primary diagnosis to the initiation of treatment, and the patients' demographic and disease related characteristics. Negative binomial regression model (NBR) was utilized to determine risk factors influencing the initiation of treatment after the diagnosis of the patients with HIV. Results: The skewness of days was 6.62, and the degree of asymmetry of distribution was severe. In NBR, patients who were in their 40s and 50s, female, unmarried and living with their family, jobless, in a middle or high level of economic status, and diagnosed before 2014 showed a higher risk of delayed treatment than patients who were younger, male, married and living with family, in a low level of economic status, and diagnosed in 2014 or afterwards. Conclusion: The findings suggest the necessity of intervention to promote HIV patients' early entry into treatment based on the participants' characteristics.

Understanding the Entertainment Values in the Online Educational Videos

  • Jeong, Seong Bin;Lee, Justin Jemin;Kwak, Kyu Tae
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2018
  • Since the inception of the platform business in educational contents, the prominence of the online educational video has flipped the educational environment. Educational contents have been produced on the internet and allowed learners to access more flexible and student-centered. In fact, the number of people watching the educational content online, such as TED talks and YouTube, has increased during the past decade. The ways of delivering the lecture and the course information in online educational videos are totally different from the traditional lectures. In this paper, we aimed to examine and categorize the online educational videos based on the user's engagement and interest in the course contents. For the study, a negative binomial regression analysis was applied to estimate the effects of the attributes of the traditional lectures by comparatively analyzing the educational videos online. Several values are determined as engaging factors in the online educational videos; hybrid production of education and entertainment, shorter duration, and the number of presenters. From the study, we suggests how to produce engaging educational contents which will appeal the attentions from the users. Moreover, the result of the study may use as a guide to the providers making the productive educational videos.

Analysis of Traffic Accident by Circular Intersection Type in Korea Using Count Data Model (가산자료 모형을 이용한 국내 원형교차로 유형별 교통사고 분석)

  • Kim, Tae Yang;Lee, Min Yeong;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to develop the traffic accident models by circular intersection type using count data model. The number of accident, the number of fatal and injured persons(FSI), and EPDO are calculated from the traffic accident data of TAAS. The circular intersection accident models are developed through Poisson and negative binomial regression analysis. The main results of this study are as follows. First, the null hypotheses that there are differences in the number of traffic accidents, FSI and EPDO by type of circular intersections are rejected. Second, the scale of intersection(median, large), number of approach road, mean width and length of exit road, area of the circulating roadway and central island are selected as factors influencing the number of traffic accidents, FSI and EPDO in rotary. Third, the scale of intersection(median), guide signs(limited speed, direction, roundabout), number of approach road, entry angle, area of the intersection and central island are adopted as factors influencing the number of traffic accidents, FSI and EPDO in roundabout. Finally, transferring from rotary to roundabout could be expected to make the accident decrease.

Impact of Level of Physical Activity on Healthcare Utilization among Korean Adults (성인의 신체활동 정도가 의료이용에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Ji-Yun;Park, Seung-Mi
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was done to identify the impact of physical activity on healthcare utilization among Korean adults. Methods: Drawing from the 2008 Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES IV-2), data from 6,521 adults who completed the Health Interview and Health Behavior Surveys were analyzed. Association between physical activity and healthcare utilization was tested using the $X^2$-test. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to calculate the odds ratios of using outpatient and inpatient healthcare for different levels of physical activity after adjusting for predisposing, enabling, and need factors. A generalized linear model applying a negative binomial distribution was used to determine how the level of physical activity was related to use of outpatient and inpatient healthcare. Results: Physically active participants were 16% less likely to use outpatient healthcare (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.97) and 23% less likely to use inpatient healthcare (OR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.63-0.93) than physically inactive participants. Levels of outpatient and inpatient healthcare use decreased as levels of physical activity increased, after adjusting for relevant factors. Conclusion: An independent association between being physically active and lower healthcare utilization was ascertained among Korean adults indicating a need to develop nursing intervention programs that encourage regular physical activity.

Analysis on Determinant & Substitutive Relationship for Family Restaurant's Visit Demand (패밀리레스토랑 방문수요 결정요인 및 대체관계 분석)

  • Yoo, Chang-Keun;Yoon, Dong-Hwan;Lee, Min-Seok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.418-427
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate demand-determinant factors based on the number of visits and substitutive relations inter-restaurants, which are four major domestic family restaurants. Findings indicate that the factors of demand-determinant for visiting are affected by demographic characteristics, brand images of family restaurants, and the rate of the number of visits. In addition, this study used partial co-relation analysis to determine the substitutive relations of competitive restaurants. Considering these results, this study suggests how family restaurants' marketing strategy could be differentiated by discriminating the determinant factors which affect the number of visits. Also, this study makes it possible to arrange the opportunity to strengthen restaurants' competitiveness by examining competitive relations to the inter-restaurants.

Impacts of Pre-signals on Traffic Crashes at 4-leg Signalized Intersections (전방신호기가 교통사고에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Kim, Byeongeun;Lee, Youngihn
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.135-146
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : This study aimed to analyze the impact the operation of pre-signals at 4-leg signalized intersections and present primary environmental factors of roads that need to be considered in the installation of pre-signals. METHODS : Shift of proportions safety effectiveness evaluation method which assesses shifts in proportions of target collision types to determine safety effectiveness was applied to analyze traffic crash by types. Also, Empirical Bayes before/after safety effectiveness evaluation method was adapted to analyze the impact pre-signal installation. Negative binomial regression was conducted to determine SPF(safety performance function). RESULTS : Pre-signals are effective in reducing the number of head on, right angle and sideswipe collisions and both the total number of personal injury crashes and severe crashes. Also, it is deemed that each factor used as an independent variable for the SPF model has strong correlation with the total number of personal injury crashes and severe crashes, and impacts general traffic crashes as a whole. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests the following should be considered in pre-signal installation on intersections. 1) U-turns allowed in the front and rear 2) A high number of roads that connect to the intersection 3) Many right-turn traffic flows 4) Crosswalks installed in the front and rear 5) Insufficient left-turn lanes compared to left-turn traffic flows or no left-turn-only lane.

Prediction of the Number of Food Poisoning Occurrences by Microbes (원인균별 식중독 발생 건수 예측)

  • Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.923-932
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a method to predict the number of foodborne disease outbreaks by microbes. The weekly data of food poisoning occurrences by microbes in Korea contain many zero-valued observations and have dependency between outbreaks. In order to model both phenomena, the number of food poisonings is predicted by an autoregressive model and the probabilities of food poisoning occurrences by microbes (given the total of food poisonings) are estimated by the baseline category logit model. The predicted number of foodborne disease outbreaks by a microbe is obtained by multiplying the predicted number of foodborne disease outbreaks and the estimated probability of the food poisoning by the corresponding microbe. The mean squared error and the mean absolute value error are evaluated to compare the performances of the proposed method and the zero-inflated model.

Soccer goal distributions in K-league (K-리그에서 축구 골의 분포)

  • Lee, Jang Taek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1231-1239
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    • 2014
  • In this paper we analyse the distributions of the number of goals scored by home teams and away teams in K-league soccer outcomes between 1983 and 2012. Real soccer data is explained in K-league using statistical distributions such that Poisson, negative binomial, extreme value and zero inflated Poisson. How close the goals of home and away fits the different distributions are tested by performing chi-square goodness of fit tests. According to these tests, the Poisson distribution gives the best fit to the home goals data. But it is best to model the away goals data on zero inflated Poisson distribution. Also, there is some weak evidence of the dependence for home and away goals.

Fitting Distribution of Accident Frequency of Freeway Horizontal Curve Sections & Development of Negative Binomial Regression Models (고속도로 평면선형상 사고빈도분포 추정을 통한 음이항회귀모형 개발 (기하구조요인을 중심으로))

  • 강민욱;도철웅;손봉수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.197-204
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    • 2002
  • 교통사고예측 및 예방을 위해서는 실제적으로 도로설계과정에서 제어가 가능한 도로 기하구조요소에 대한 사고관계를 파악함이 타당하다. 즉, 도로의 설계자는 도로건설에 앞서 기하구조요소와 사고와의 관계를 현장자료를 통해 정확히 밝혀 도로설계에 반영해야 한다. 이를 위해, 교통사고의 빈도분포를 박히는 것은 가장 기본이 되는 일이며, 교통사고 예측모형개발에 선행되어야 한다. 일반적으로 교통사고건수의 경우 분산이 평균보다 큰 과분산(overdispersion)의 특징을 가지고 있어 음이항 분포를 따른다고 알려져 있다. 따라서 본 논문은 사고모형의 개발에 앞서, 사고발생지점에 대한 도로설계요소와 기타 잠재적인 사고발생 관련요인이 비교적 잘 파악되어있는 호남고속도로를 중심으로 평면 선형상 곡선부에 대하여 교통사고의 분포를 적합도 검정을 통해 알아보고자 하였다. 사고자료는 한국도로송사의 호남고속도로 5년(1996∼2000)간 자료를 분석에 맞게 정리하였으며, 강민욱과 송봉수(2002)에서 제시한 평면선형에 있어서의 구간분할법을 이용하여 배향곡선구간과 단일곡선구간에 대한 사고분석을 하였다. 적합도 분석결과, 예상대로 음이항분포가 사고건수를 설명하기에 가장 적합한 확률분포로 제시되었으며, 이를 통해 최우추정법을 이용한 음이항회귀모형을 개발하였다. 구간분할법을 적용한 음이항회귀모형의 경우, 기존의 확률회귀토형에 비하여 높은 결정계수를 갖았으며, 모형에서 적용된 기하구조요소로는 차량 노출계수, 곡선반경, 단위거리 당 편경사변화값 등이다.

Inward Technology Licensing, Financial Slack, and Internal Innovation in New Technology-Based Firms Located in Isolated Areas

  • JANG, Yongseok;HADLEY, Brandy;LEE, Woo Jin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2019
  • The paper aims to evaluate the combination of strategies that influence the success of New Technology Based Firms (NTBFs) located in isolated areas with resource constraints. We utilize the Kauffman Firm Survey to construct a subset of 224 firms operating in primary metal manufacturing industries and who are located in non-thriving areas. We focus on the impact of technological strategy, in the form of Inward Technology Licensing (ITL), combined with financial strategy, in the form of increased financial slack. Using a negative binomial-specification technique to model these relations, we find that ITL positively impacts internal innovation in the firm and this relation is strengthened by the presence of greater financial slack. This positive impact of financial slack supports the behavioral theory of the firm rather than agency theory in that financial slack enables further innovation rather than stifling it. This research confirms the importance of resource acquisition, suggesting that entrepreneurs may utilize external sources of knowledge in an effort to build a favorable situation when facing the challenges of location. Finally, by presenting evidence showing the compatibility of a financial strategy with a knowledge strategy (ITL), this study emphasizes the importance to entrepreneurs of choosing the proper combination of varying strategies.