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http://dx.doi.org/10.7465/jkdi.2014.25.6.1231

Soccer goal distributions in K-league  

Lee, Jang Taek (Department of Applied Statistics, Dankook University)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society / v.25, no.6, 2014 , pp. 1231-1239 More about this Journal
Abstract
In this paper we analyse the distributions of the number of goals scored by home teams and away teams in K-league soccer outcomes between 1983 and 2012. Real soccer data is explained in K-league using statistical distributions such that Poisson, negative binomial, extreme value and zero inflated Poisson. How close the goals of home and away fits the different distributions are tested by performing chi-square goodness of fit tests. According to these tests, the Poisson distribution gives the best fit to the home goals data. But it is best to model the away goals data on zero inflated Poisson distribution. Also, there is some weak evidence of the dependence for home and away goals.
Keywords
Goal distributions; K-league; Poisson; zero inflated Poisson;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 5  (Citation Analysis)
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