• Title/Summary/Keyword: multi-hazard analysis

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UsN based Soundness Monitoring Diagnosis System of Power Transmission Steel Tower (UsN 기반의 송전철탑 건전성 감시진단시스템 기본설계)

  • Lee, Dong-Cheol;Bae, Ul-Lok;Kim, Woo-Jung;Min, Bung-Yun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.56-62
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, design method for power tower hazard diagnosis/predition system based on UsN was proposed. The proposed method used multi-hybrid sensors to measure rotation, displacement, and inclination state of power tower, and made decision/prediction of hazard of power tower. System design was made with requirement analysis of monitoring for transmission power facility and use of MEMS and optic fiber sensors. For hazard decision, analysis of correlation was made using sensor output. LN based on IEC61850,international standard for digital substation, was also proposed. For transmission facility monitoring, digital substation and power tower were considered as parts of power facility networks.

Estimating causal effect of multi-valued treatment from observational survival data

  • Kim, Bongseong;Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.675-688
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    • 2020
  • In survival analysis of observational data, the inverse probability weighting method and the Cox proportional hazards model are widely used when estimating the causal effects of multiple-valued treatment. In this paper, the two kinds of weights have been examined in the inverse probability weighting method. We explain the reason why the stabilized weight is more appropriate when an inverse probability weighting method using the generalized propensity score is applied. We also emphasize that a marginal hazard ratio and the conditional hazard ratio should be distinguished when defining the hazard ratio as a treatment effect under the Cox proportional hazards model. A simulation study based on real data is conducted to provide concrete numerical evidence.

Analysis of Reflection Coefficients of Random Waves Propagating over Multi-arrayed trenchs (다열 함몰지형을 통과하는 불규칙 파랑의 반사해석)

  • Kang, Gyu-Young;Jung, Tae-Hwa;Cho, Yong-Sik
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.213-216
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    • 2008
  • In this study, reflection coefficients of regular and random waves propagating over multi-arrayed trenchs are calculated respectively. When the row of trench is 3, the reflection coefficient of regular waves is more than 0.7 as maximum value. Similarly, when the row of trench is 3 and $d/L_1$ is 0.22, reflection coefficient of multi-directional random waves is more than 0.4 maximally.

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Optimum Design of a Simple Slope considering Multi Failure Mode (다중 파괴모드를 고려한 단순 사면의 최적 설계)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ki;Shin, Min-Ho;Choi, Chan-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2010
  • Conventional slope stability analysis is focused on calculating minimum factor of safety or maximum probability of failure. To minimize inherent uncertainty of soil properties and analytical model and to reflect various analytical models and its failure shape in slope stability analysis, slope stability analysis method considering simultaneous failure probability for multi failure mode was proposed. Linear programming recently introduced in system reliability analysis was used for calculation of simultaneous failure probability. System reliability analysis for various analytical models could be executed by this method. Optimum design to determine angle of a simple slope is executed for multi failure mode using linear programming. Because of complex consideration for various failure shapes and modes, it is possible to secure advanced safety by using simultaneous failure probability.

Prediction of Stream Flow on Probability Distributed Model using Multi-objective Function (다목적함수를 이용한 PDM 모형의 유량 분석)

  • Ahn, Sang-Eok;Lee, Hyo-Sang;Jeon, Min-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2009
  • A prediction of streamflow based on multi-objective function is presented to check the performance of Probability Distributed Model(PDM) in Miho stream basin, Chungcheongbuk-do, Korea. PDM is a lumped conceptual rainfall runoff model which has been widely used for flood prevention activities in UK Environmental Agency. The Monte Carlo Analysis Toolkit(MCAT) is a numerical analysis tools based on population sampling, which allows evaluation of performance, identifiability, regional sensitivity and etc. PDM is calibrated for five model parameters by using MCAT. The results show that the performance of model parameters(cmax and k(q)) indicates high identifiability and the others obtain equifinality. In addition, the multi-objective function is applied to PDM for seeking suitable model parameters. The solution of the multi-objective function consists of the Pareto solution accounting to various trade-offs between the different objective functions considering properties of hydrograph. The result indicated the performance of model and simulated hydrograph are acceptable in terms on Nash Sutcliffe Effciency*(=0.035), FSB(=0.161), and FDBH(=0.809) to calibration periods, validation periods as well.

A Study of Torsional and Distortional Analysis of Thin-walled Multicell Box Girder Using Shell Elements (쉘요소를 이용한 박판다실박스거더에서의 비틀림과 뒤틀림 해석기법 연구)

  • Kim, Seung-Jun;Park, Jong-Sub;Kim, Sung-Nam;Kang, Young-Jong
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.71-74
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    • 2007
  • Thin-walled multicell box girders subjected to an eccentric load can be produced the three global behaviors of flexure, torsion, and distortion. But it is very difficult to evaluate each influences of major behaviors numerically. If we can decompose an eccentric load P into flexural, torsional, and distortional forces, we can execute quantitative analysis each influences of major behaviors. Decomposition of Applied Load for Thin-walled Rectangular multi-cell box girders is researched by Park, Nam-Hoi(Development of a multicell Box Beam Element Including Distortional Degrees of Freedom, 2003). But researches about thin-walled trapezoidal multi-cell section is insufficient. So, this paper deals with decomposition process and independent analysis method of multi-cell box girders include trapezoidal section.

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Assessment of Post-Earthquake Fire Behavior of a Steel MRF Building in a Low Seismic Region

  • Chicchi, Rachel;Varma, Amit
    • International journal of steel structures
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1470-1481
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    • 2018
  • Building-level response to post-earthquake fire hazards in steel buildings has been assessed using primarily two-dimensional analyses of the lateral force resisting system. This approach may not adequately consider potential vulnerabilities in the gravity framing system. For this reason, three-dimensional (3D) finite element models of a 10-story case study building with perimeter moment resisting frames were developed to analyze post-earthquake fire events and better understand building response. Earthquakes are simulated using ground motion time histories, while Eurocode parametric time-temperature curves are used to represent compartment fires. Incremental dynamic analysis and incremental fire analysis procedures capture a range of hazard intensities. Findings show that the structural response due to earthquake and fire hazards are somewhat decoupled from one another. Regardless of the level of plastic hinging present in the moment framing system due to a seismic event, gravity column failure is the initiating failure mode in a fire event.

외국의 코호트 연구 현황

  • Jo Seong-Il
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.30-37
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    • 2003
  • o Cohort study became the major approach to study of chronic diseases such as CVD and cancer o Cohort can be population-based or volunteer-based o Types of be population-be categorized by source population and selection mechanism o More and more cohort studies involve biological specimens, such as blood, urine, toenail, cheek cells, etc. o Multi-center and multi-national collaboration is an effective way to increase sample size. o Current statistical method typically use time-to-event analysis by Cox proportional hazard model.

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Effects of Uncertain Spatial Data Representation on Multi-source Data Fusion: A Case Study for Landslide Hazard Mapping

  • Park No-Wook;Chi Kwang-Hoon;Kwon Byung-Doo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.393-404
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    • 2005
  • As multi-source spatial data fusion mainly deal with various types of spatial data which are specific representations of real world with unequal reliability and incomplete knowledge, proper data representation and uncertainty analysis become more important. In relation to this problem, this paper presents and applies an advanced data representation methodology for different types of spatial data such as categorical and continuous data. To account for the uncertainties of both categorical data and continuous data, fuzzy boundary representation and smoothed kernel density estimation within a fuzzy logic framework are adopted, respectively. To investigate the effects of those data representation on final fusion results, a case study for landslide hazard mapping was carried out on multi-source spatial data sets from Jangheung, Korea. The case study results obtained from the proposed schemes were compared with the results obtained by traditional crisp boundary representation and categorized continuous data representation methods. From the case study results, the proposed scheme showed improved prediction rates than traditional methods and different representation setting resulted in the variation of prediction rates.