• Title/Summary/Keyword: modified regression model

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Prediction of Concrete Compressive Strength by a Modified Rate Constant Model (수정 반응률 상수 모델에 의한 콘크리트 압축강도의 예측)

  • 한상훈;김진근;문영호
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2000
  • This paper discusses the validity of models predicting the compressive strength of concrete subjected to various temperature histories and the shortcomings of existing rate constant model and apparent activation energy concept. Based on the discussion, a modified rate constant model is proposed. The modified rate constant model, in which apparent activation energy is a nonlinear function of curing temperature and age, accurately estimates the development of the experimental compressive strengths by a few researchers. Also, the apparent activation energy of concrete cured with high temperature decreases rapidly with age, but that of concrete cured with low temperature decreases gradually with age. Finally generalized models to predict apparent activation energy and compressive strength are proposed, which are based on the regression results.

Testing for A Change Point by Model Selection Tools in Linear Regression Models

  • Yoon, Yong-Hwa;Kim, Jong-Tae;Cho, Kil-Ho;Shin, Kyung-A
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.655-665
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    • 2000
  • Several information criterions, Schwarz information criterion (SIC), Akaike information criterion (AIC), and the modified Akaike information criterion ($AIC_c$), are proposed to locate a change point in the multiple linear regression model. These methods are applied to a stock Exchange data set and compared to the results.

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Survival Function Estimation for the Proportional Hazards Regression Model

  • Cha, Young Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 1990
  • The purpose of this paper is to propose the modified semiparametric estimators for survival function in the Cox's regression model with randomly censored data based on Tsiatis and Breslow estimators, and present their asymptotic variances estimates. The proposed estimators are compared to Tsiatis, Breslow, and Kaplan-Meier estimators through a small-sample Monte Carlo study. The simulation results show that the proposed estimators are preferred for small sample sizes.

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Equilibrium Moisture Contents and Thin Layer Drying Equations of Cereal Grains and Mushrooms (II) - for Oak Mushroom (Lentinus erodes) - (곡류 및 버섯류의 평형함수율 및 박층건조방정식에 관한 연구(II) - 표고버섯에 대하여 -)

  • Keum, D. H.;Kim, H.;Hong, N. U.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 2002
  • Desorption equilibrium moisture contents of oak mushroom were measured by the static method using salt solutions at flour temperature levels of 35$\^{C}$, 45$\^{C}$, 55$\^{C}$ and 6$\^{C}$ and five relative humidity levels in the range from 11.0% to 90.8%. EMC data were fitted to the modified Henderson, Chung-Pfost, modified Halsey and modified Oswin models using nonlinear regression analysis. Drying tests far oak mushroom were conducted in an experimental dryer equipped with air conditioning unit. The drying test were performed in triplicate at flour air temperatures of 35$\^{C}$, 45$\^{C}$, 55$\^{C}$ and 65$\^{C}$ and three relative humidities of 30%, 50% and 70% respectively. Measured moisture ratio data were fitted to the selected four drying models(Lewis, Page, simplified diffusion and Thompson models) using stepwise multiple regression analysis. The results of comparing root mean square errors for EMC models showed that modified Halsey was the best model, and modified Oswin models could be available far oak mushroom. The results of comparing coefficients of determination and root mean square errors of moisture ratio for four drying models showed that Page model were found to fit adequately to all drying test data with a coefficient of determination of 0.9990 and root mean square error of moisture ratio of 0.00739.

Generalization of modified systematic sampling and regression estimation for population with a linear trend (선형추세를 갖는 모집단에 대한 변형계통표집의 일반화와 회귀추정법)

  • Kim, Hyuk-Joo;Kim, Jeong-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1103-1118
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    • 2009
  • When we wish to estimate the mean or total of a finite population, the numbering of the population units is of importance. In this paper, we have proposed two methods for estimating the mean or total of a population having a linear trend, for the case when the reciprocal of the sampling fraction is an even number and the sample size is an odd number. The first method involves drawing a sample by using a method which is a generalization of Singh et al's (1968) modified systematic sampling, and using interpolation in determining the estimator. The second method involves selecting a sample by modified systematic sampling, and estimating the population parameters by the regression estimation method. Under the criterion of the expected mean square error based on Cochran's (1946) infinite superpopulation model, the proposed methods have been compared with existing methods. We have also made a comparison between the two proposed methods.

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A Study on Sea Trial Test Scenario for Estimation of Hydrodynamic Rotary Derivatives (선수동요 동유체마력 추정을 위한 시운전)

  • Yoon, Hyeon-Kyu
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.43 no.1 s.145
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    • pp.50-58
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    • 2006
  • Free running model tests gives us only maneuvering indices not hydrodynamic derivatives. For this reason, system identification method has been applied to the measured data to identify mathematical model describing hydrodynamic force. However It is difficult to obtain complete set of maneuvering derivatives because of strong correlation of sway velocity and yaw rate. Therefore, in this paper, we assumed that sway velocity related coefficients would be obtained by oblique towing test. and then proposed new procedure to estimate yaw related coefficients. To do this, correlation and regression analyses were carried out to establish modified model and estimate maneuvering derivatives. Also D-optimal rudder input scenario was found based on the modified model and confirmed the validity of its sufficient richness as a input scenario.

Improvement and Validation of an Overlay Design Equation in Seoul (서울형 포장설계식 개선 및 검증)

  • Kim, Won Jae;Park, Chang Kyu;Son, Tran Thai;Phuc, Le Van;Lee, Hyun Jong
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2017
  • PURPOSES : The objective of this study is to develop a simple regression model in designing the asphalt concrete (AC) overlay thickness using the Mechanistic-empirical pavement design guide (MEPDG) program. METHODS : To establish the AC overlay design equation, multiple regression analyses were performed based on the synthetic database for AC thickness design, which was generated using the MEPDG program. The climate in Seoul city, a modified Hirsh model for determining dynamic modulus of asphalt material, and a new damaged master curve approach were used in this study. Meanwhile, the proposed rutting model developed in Seoul city was then used to calibrate the rutting model in the MEPDG program. The AC overlay design equation is a function of the total AC thickness, the ratio of AC overlay thickness and existing AC thickness, the ratio of existing AC modulus and AC overlay modulus, the subgrade condition, and the annual average daily truck traffic (AADTT). RESULTS : The regression model was verified by comparing the predicted AC thickness, the AADTT from the model and the MEPDG. The regression model shows a correlation coefficient of 0.98 in determining the AC thickness and 0.97 in determining AADTT. In addition, the data in Seoul city was used to validate the regression model. The result shows that correlation coefficient between the predicted and measured AADTT is 0.64. This indicates that the current model is more accuracy than the previous study which showed a correlation coefficient of 0.427. CONCLUSIONS:The high correlation coefficient values indicate that the regression equations can predict the AC thickness accurately.

Advanced Self-Organizing Neural Networks Based on Competitive Fuzzy Polynomial Neurons (경쟁적 퍼지다항식 뉴런에 기초한 고급 자기구성 뉴럴네트워크)

  • 박호성;박건준;이동윤;오성권
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers D
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we propose competitive fuzzy polynomial neurons-based advanced Self-Organizing Neural Networks(SONN) architecture for optimal model identification and discuss a comprehensive design methodology supporting its development. The proposed SONN dwells on the ideas of fuzzy rule-based computing and neural networks. And it consists of layers with activation nodes based on fuzzy inference rules and regression polynomial. Each activation node is presented as Fuzzy Polynomial Neuron(FPN) which includes either the simplified or regression polynomial fuzzy inference rules. As the form of the conclusion part of the rules, especially the regression polynomial uses several types of high-order polynomials such as linear, quadratic, and modified quadratic. As the premise part of the rules, both triangular and Gaussian-like membership (unction are studied and the number of the premise input variables used in the rules depends on that of the inputs of its node in each layer. We introduce two kinds of SONN architectures, that is, the basic and modified one with both the generic and the advanced type. Here the basic and modified architecture depend on the number of input variables and the order of polynomial in each layer. The number of the layers and the nodes in each layer of the SONN are not predetermined, unlike in the case of the popular multi-layer perceptron structure, but these are generated in a dynamic way. The superiority and effectiveness of the Proposed SONN architecture is demonstrated through two representative numerical examples.

Study on the Estimation of Duncan & Chang Model Parameters-initial Tangent Modulus and Ultimate Deviator Stress for Compacted Weathered Soil (다짐 풍화토의 Duncan & Chang 모델 매개변수-초기접선계수와 극한축차응력 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Kunsun
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2018
  • Duncan & Chang(1970) proposed the Duncan-Chang model that a linear relation of transformed stress-strain plots was reconstituted from a nonlinear relation of stress-strain curve of triaxial compression test using hyperbolic theory so as to estimate an initial tangent modulus and ultimate deviator stress for the soil specimen. Although the transformed stress-strain plots show a linear relationship theoretically, they actually show a nonlinearity at both low and high values of strain of the test. This phenomenon indicates that the stress-strain curve is not a complete form of a hyperbola. So, if linear regression analyses for the transformed stress-strain plot are performed over a full range of strain of a test, error in the estimation of their linear equations is unavoidable depending on ranges of strain with non-linearity. In order to reduce such an error, a modified regression analysis method is proposed in this study, in which linear regression analyses for transformed stress-strain plots are performed over the entire range of strain except the range the non-linearity is shown around starting and ending of the test, and then the initial tangent modulus and ultimate deviator stresses are calculated. Isotropically consolidated-drained triaxial compression tests were performed on compacted weathered soil with a modified Proctor density to obtain their model parameters. The modified regression analyses for transformed stress-strain plots were performed and analyzed results are compared with results estimated by 2 points method (Duncan et al., 1980). As a result of analyses, initial tangent moduli are about 4.0% higher and ultimate deviator stresses are about 2.9% lower than those values estimated by Duncan's 2 points method.

Estimation of Rainfall-runoff Erosivity Using Modified Institute of Agricultural Sciences Index (수정 IAS 지수를 이용한 강우침식인자 추정)

  • Lee, Joon-Hak;Oh, Kyoung-Doo;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.8
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    • pp.619-628
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the existing method of calculating rainfall-runoff erosivity using monthly precipitation, such as Fournier's index, modified Fournier's index, IAS (Institute of Agricultural Sciences) index, etc., and to present more reasonable regression model based on monthly rainfall data in Korea. This study introduced a new simplified method of calculating rainfall-runoff erosivity based on monthly precipitation, called by modified IAS index. It was expanded form IAS index which is the simple calculation method by summing up the rainfall amount of two months with maximum amount. Monthly precipitation and annual rainfall-runoff erosivity at 21 weather stations for over 25 years were used to analyze correlation relationship and regression model. The result shows that modified IAS index is the more reasonable parameter for estimating rainfall-runoff erosivity of the middle-western and south-western regions in Korea.