• Title/Summary/Keyword: model-based method

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A Bayesian Model-based Clustering with Dissimilarities

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Raftery, Adrian
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2003
  • A Bayesian model-based clustering method is proposed for clustering objects on the basis of dissimilarites. This combines two basic ideas. The first is that tile objects have latent positions in a Euclidean space, and that the observed dissimilarities are measurements of the Euclidean distances with error. The second idea is that the latent positions are generated from a mixture of multivariate normal distributions, each one corresponding to a cluster. We estimate the resulting model in a Bayesian way using Markov chain Monte Carlo. The method carries out multidimensional scaling and model-based clustering simultaneously, and yields good object configurations and good clustering results with reasonable measures of clustering uncertainties. In the examples we studied, the clustering results based on low-dimensional configurations were almost as good as those based on high-dimensional ones. Thus tile method can be used as a tool for dimension reduction when clustering high-dimensional objects, which may be useful especially for visual inspection of clusters. We also propose a Bayesian criterion for choosing the dimension of the object configuration and the number of clusters simultaneously. This is easy to compute and works reasonably well in simulations and real examples.

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Evaluation of a Traffic Noise Predictive Model for an Active Noise Cancellation (ANC) System (능동형 소음저감 기법을 위한 도로교통소음 예측 모형 평가 연구)

  • An, Deok Soon;Mun, Sung Ho;An, Oh Seong;Kim, Do Wan
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this thesis is to evaluate the effectiveness of an active noise cancellation (ANC) system in reducing the traffic noise level against frequencies from the predictive model developed by previous research. The predictive model is based on ISO 9613-2 standards using the Noble close proximity (NCPX) method and the pass-by method. This means that the use of these standards is a powerful tool for analyzing the traffic noise level because of the strengths of these methods. Traffic noise analysis was performed based on digital signal processing (DSP) for detecting traffic noise with the pass-by method at the test site. METHODS : There are several analysis methods, which are generally divided into three different types, available to evaluate traffic noise predictive models. The first method uses the classification standard of 12 vehicle types. The second method is based on a standard of four vehicle types. The third method is founded on 5 types of vehicles, which are different from the types used by the second method. This means that the second method not only consolidates 12 vehicle types into only four types, but also that the results of the noise analysis of the total traffic volume are reflected in a comparison analysis of the three types of methods. The constant percent bandwidth (CPB) analysis was used to identify the properties of different frequencies in the frequency analysis. A-weighting was applied to the DSP and to the transformation process from analog to digital signal. The root mean squared error (RMSE) was applied to compare and evaluate the predictive model results of the three analysis methods. RESULTS : The result derived from the third method, based on the classification standard of 5 vehicle types, shows the smallest values of RMSE and max and min error. However, it does not have the reduction properties of a predictive model. To evaluate the predictive model of an ANC system, a reduction analysis of the total sound pressure level (TSPL), dB(A), was conducted. As a result, the analysis based on the third method has the smallest value of RMSE and max error. The effect of traffic noise reduction was the greatest value of the types of analysis in this research. CONCLUSIONS : From the results of the error analysis, the application method for categorizing vehicle types related to the 12-vehicle classification based on previous research is appropriate to the ANC system. However, the performance of a predictive model on an ANC system is up to a value of traffic noise reduction. By the same token, the most appropriate method that influences the maximum reduction effect is found in the third method of traffic analysis. This method has a value of traffic noise reduction of 31.28 dB(A). In conclusion, research for detecting the friction noise between a tire and the road surface for the 12 vehicle types needs to be conducted to authentically demonstrate an ANC system in the Republic of Korea.

A Climate Prediction Method Based on EMD and Ensemble Prediction Technique

  • Bi, Shuoben;Bi, Shengjie;Chen, Xuan;Ji, Han;Lu, Ying
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2018
  • Observed climate data are processed under the assumption that their time series are stationary, as in multi-step temperature and precipitation prediction, which usually leads to low prediction accuracy. If a climate system model is based on a single prediction model, the prediction results contain significant uncertainty. In order to overcome this drawback, this study uses a method that integrates ensemble prediction and a stepwise regression model based on a mean-valued generation function. In addition, it utilizes empirical mode decomposition (EMD), which is a new method of handling time series. First, a non-stationary time series is decomposed into a series of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs), which are stationary and multi-scale. Then, a different prediction model is constructed for each component of the IMF using numerical ensemble prediction combined with stepwise regression analysis. Finally, the results are fit to a linear regression model, and a short-term climate prediction system is established using the Visual Studio development platform. The model is validated using temperature data from February 1957 to 2005 from 88 weather stations in Guangxi, China. The results show that compared to single-model prediction methods, the EMD and ensemble prediction model is more effective for forecasting climate change and abrupt climate shifts when using historical data for multi-step prediction.

Development of a Pipe Modeling System based on the Hull Structural Model Applying the Rapid Pipe Routing Method (쾌속 배관 라우팅 방법을 적용한 선체 구조 모델 기반의 배관 모델링 시스템 개발)

  • Roh, Myung-Il;Choi, Woo-Young;Lee, Kyu-Yeul
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.321-329
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    • 2007
  • The present pipe modeling method requires detailed inputs from a designer to generate a pipe model, and thus it takes much time for the designer to perform such task. Moreover, the pipe model has no relation with the hull structure. Thus, it is time-consuming and requires much effort if design changes arise. In this study, a generating method that generates quickly many pipes using a pipe tray and a conversion method that converts automatically the pipes into objects related with the hull structure are proposed. A pipe modeling system based on the proposed methods is developed. The applicability of the developed system is demonstrated by applying it to the generation of the pipe model of a deadweight 300,000 ton VLCC(Very Large Crude oil Carrier). The results show that the developed system can quickly generate the pipe model in relation with the hull structure.

Performance Improvement in the Multi-Model Based Speech Recognizer for Continuous Noisy Speech Recognition (연속 잡음 음성 인식을 위한 다 모델 기반 인식기의 성능 향상에 대한 연구)

  • Chung, Yong-Joo
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2008
  • Recently, the multi-model based speech recognizer has been used quite successfully for noisy speech recognition. For the selection of the reference HMM (hidden Markov model) which best matches the noise type and SNR (signal to noise ratio) of the input testing speech, the estimation of the SNR value using the VAD (voice activity detection) algorithm and the classification of the noise type based on the GMM (Gaussian mixture model) have been done separately in the multi-model framework. As the SNR estimation process is vulnerable to errors, we propose an efficient method which can classify simultaneously the SNR values and noise types. The KL (Kullback-Leibler) distance between the single Gaussian distributions for the noise signal during the training and testing is utilized for the classification. The recognition experiments have been done on the Aurora 2 database showing the usefulness of the model compensation method in the multi-model based speech recognizer. We could also see that further performance improvement was achievable by combining the probability density function of the MCT (multi-condition training) with that of the reference HMM compensated by the D-JA (data-driven Jacobian adaptation) in the multi-model based speech recognizer.

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Sensorless Vector Control of Induction Motor Using the Flux Estimator (자속추정기를 이용한 유도전동기 센서리스 벡터제어)

  • 김경서;조병국
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers B
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a flux estimator for the sensorless vector control of induction motors. The proposed method utilize the combination of the voltage model based on stator equivalent model and the current model based on rotor equivalent model, which enables stable estimation of rotor flux in high speed region and in low speed region. The dynamic performance of proposed method is verified through the experiment. The experimental results show that motors ran easily start even under 150[%] load condition and operate continuously below 0.5[Hz].

A New Mail Survey Method for Sensitive Character without Using Randomization Device

  • Ki Hak Hong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.735-741
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    • 1997
  • In the present paper, we propose a new randomization device free mail survey method. The estimator based on proposed model is unbiased and more efficient than the estimator based on SIngh, Mangat and Singh model (SMS-model)(1993) when $\pi$<1/2, and more protective than SMS-model in view of the protection of privacy regardless of the values of $\pi$ and $\pi_Y$ only if we count the number of say 'Yes' from the respondents. However, If we consider the respondents that say 'No', the SMS-model is more protective than our model.

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A Method based on Ontology for detecting errors in the Software Design (온톨로지 기반의 소프트웨어 설계에러검출방법)

  • Seo, Jin-Won;Kim, Young-Tae;Kong, Heon-Tag;Lim, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Chi-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.10
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    • pp.2676-2683
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    • 2009
  • The objective of this thesis is to improve the quality of a software product based on the enhancement of a software design quality using a better error detecting method. Also, this thesis is based on a software design method called as MOA(Methodology for Object to Agents) which uses an ontology based ODES(A Method based on Ontology for Detecting Errors in the Software Design) model as a common information model. At this thesis, a new format of error detecting method was defined. The method is implemented during a transformation process from UML model to ODES model using a ODES model, a Inter-View Inconsistency Detection technique and a combination of ontologic property of consistency framework and related rules. Transformation process to ODES model includes lexicon analysis and meaning analysis of a software design using of multiple mapping table at algorithm for the generation of ODES model instance.

A frequency domain adaptive PID controller based on non-parametric plant model representation

  • Egashira, Toyokazu;Iwai, Zenta;Hino, Mitsushi;Takeyama, Yoshikazu;Ono, Taisuke
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.165-168
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we propose a design method of PID adaptive controller based on frequency domain analysis. The method is based on the estimation of a nonparametric process model in the frequency domain and the determination of the PID controller parameters by achieving partial model matching so as to minimize a performance function concerning to relative model error between the loop transfer function of the control system and the desired system. In the design method the process is represented only by a discrete set of points on the Nyquist curve of the process. Therefore it is not necessary to estimate a full order parameterized process model.

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Leave-one-out Bayesian model averaging for probabilistic ensemble forecasting

  • Kim, Yongdai;Kim, Woosung;Ohn, Ilsang;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 2017
  • Over the last few decades, ensemble forecasts based on global climate models have become an important part of climate forecast due to the ability to reduce uncertainty in prediction. Moreover in ensemble forecast, assessing the prediction uncertainty is as important as estimating the optimal weights, and this is achieved through a probabilistic forecast which is based on the predictive distribution of future climate. The Bayesian model averaging has received much attention as a tool of probabilistic forecasting due to its simplicity and superior prediction. In this paper, we propose a new Bayesian model averaging method for probabilistic ensemble forecasting. The proposed method combines a deterministic ensemble forecast based on a multivariate regression approach with Bayesian model averaging. We demonstrate that the proposed method is better in prediction than the standard Bayesian model averaging approach by analyzing monthly average precipitations and temperatures for ten cities in Korea.