• 제목/요약/키워드: model performance

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농업기반시설물 양·배수장의 성능저하 요인분석 및 성능평가 모델 개발 (Development of Evaluation Model of Pumping and Drainage Station Using Performance Degradation Factors)

  • 이종혁;이상익;정영준;이제명;윤성수;박진선;이병준;이준구;최원
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권4호
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2019
  • Recently, natural disasters due to abnormal climates are frequently outbreaking, and there is rapid increase of damage to aged agricultural infrastructure. As agricultural infrastructure facilities are in contact with water throughout the year and the number of them is significant, it is important to build a maintenance management system. Especially, the current maintenance management system of pumping and drainage stations among the agricultural facilities has the limit of lack of objectivity and management personnel. The purpose of this study is to develop a performance evaluation model using the factors related to performance degradation of pumping and drainage facilities and to predict the performance of the facilities in response to climate change. In this study, we focused on the pumping and drainage stations belonging to each climatic zone separated by the Korea geographical climatic classification system. The performance evaluation model was developed using three different statistical models of POLS, RE, and LASSO. As the result of analysis of statistical models, LASSO was selected for the performance evaluation model as it solved the multicollinearity problem between variables, and showed the smallest MSE. To predict the performance degradation due to climate change, the climate change response variables were classified into three categories: climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. The performance degradation prediction was performed at each facility using the developed performance evaluation model and the climate change response variables.

제어신호가 제한된 모델기준제어를 위한 가변기준모델 (Variable Reference Model for Model Reference control Subject to Bounded Control Signals)

  • 변경석;송재복
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.241-247
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    • 2000
  • The reference model of an MRC (model reference control) provides the desired trajectory a plant should follow and thus the design of a reference model has a significant effect on control performance. In most control systems control input to a plant has some bounds and it is preferable to make use of as large control inputs as possible within the range of no saturation. In this paper a new approach of selecting the reference model is proposed for bounded control inputs. Design variables of the reference model are determined in such a way that maximizes the performance index within the range of no saturation. Moreover this variable reference model is regularly updated during control. This scheme is verified by application to the servo motor position control system in various simulations. The responses of the MRC with a variable reference model show better tracking performance than that with a fixed reference mode. Moreover by adjusting the update interval of the reference model the control performance can be further improved.

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자료포락분석을 활용한 국방핵심기술 연구개발사업의 성과 분석 (Analyzing the Performance of Defense R&D Projects based on DEA)

  • 임용환;전정환
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.106-123
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    • 2019
  • Demand for performance analysis is increasing for efficient use of limited budgets such as improving investment efficiency and strategic budget allocation in accordance with the continuous increase demand of R&D budget for developing advanced weapon systems in the future battlefields. In accordance with the Act on the Performance Evaluation and Performance Management of the National R&D Projects established in March 2006, the performance analysis has been conducted for the systematic management and utilization of the R&D project performance. It was recognized as a project to achieve self-defense through strengthening the weapons system development capability, however, efficiency evaluation of Defense R&D projects was not much emphasized. Research on the efficiency analysis of defense R&D projects has been conducted in recent years, but most studies focused on corporate efficiency and productivity of defense companies. In this study, we analyzed the three-stage performance of defence R&D projects based on the logical model using the data envelope analysis(DEA) model. We also analyzed performance analysis from various perspectives through R&D type, technology classification and performance model. This study is expected to help defense department improve defense R&D projects and make decision.

Integer-Valued HAR(p) model with Poisson distribution for forecasting IPO volumes

  • SeongMin Yu;Eunju Hwang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.273-289
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we develop a new time series model for predicting IPO (initial public offering) data with non-negative integer value. The proposed model is based on integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) model with a Poisson thinning operator. Just as the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with daily, weekly and monthly averages in a form of cascade, the integer-valued heterogeneous autoregressive (INHAR) model is considered to reflect efficiently the long memory. The parameters of the INHAR model are estimated using the conditional least squares estimate and Yule-Walker estimate. Through simulations, bias and standard error are calculated to compare the performance of the estimates. Effects of model fitting to the Korea's IPO are evaluated using performance measures such as mean square error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) etc. The results show that INHAR model provides better performance than traditional INAR model. The empirical analysis of the Korea's IPO indicates that our proposed model is efficient in forecasting monthly IPO volumes.

Comparison of forecasting performance of time series models for the wholesale price of dried red peppers: focused on ARX and EGARCH

  • Lee, Hyungyoug;Hong, Seungjee;Yeo, Minsu
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.859-870
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    • 2018
  • Dried red peppers are a staple agricultural product used in Korean cuisine and as such, are an important aspect of agricultural producers' income. Correctly forecasting both their supply and demand situations and price is very important in terms of the producers' income and consumer price stability. The primary objective of this study was to compare the performance of time series forecasting models for dried red peppers in Korea. In this study, three models (an autoregressive model with exogenous variables [ARX], AR-exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity [EGARCH], and ARX-EGARCH) are presented for forecasting the wholesale price of dried red peppers. As a result of the analysis, it was shown that the ARX model and ARX-EGARCH model, each of which adopt both the rolling window and the adding approach and use the agricultural cooperatives price as the exogenous variable, showed a better forecasting performance compared to the autoregressive model (AR)-EGARCH model. Based on the estimation methods and results, there was no significant difference in the accuracy of the estimation between the rolling window and adding approach. In the case of dried red peppers, there is limitation in building the price forecasting models with a market-structured approach. In this regard, estimating a forecasting model using only price data and identifying the forecast performance can be expected to complement the current pricing forecast model which relies on market shipments.

정보기술성공 모형 기반의 공공앱 성과에 대한 실증분석 : 공공웹 서비스품질과 공공가치의 조절효과 (An Empirical Analysis of Public App Performance Based on Information System Success Model: The Moderating Effects of Service Quality of Public Web and Public Value)

  • 이수인;김상현
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.147-178
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    • 2023
  • Purpose The mail goal of this study is to find out factors influencing users' satisfaction of public application with the emphasis of service quality of public web and public value. For this purpose, we applied IS success model to develop the research model that explains users's satisfaction and public performance. Design/methodology/approach The proposed research model was developed based on IS success model along with two moderating effects - Service Quality of Public Web and Public Value in order to empirically test proposed causal relationships withing the model. A total of 377 survey responses were analyzed by forming the structural equation modeling with AMOS 24.0. Findings The analysis results show that the service, information, and system quality from IS success model are positively associated with user satisfaction, which in turn is positively associated with public app performance. The results also show that the relationship between user satisfaction and public app performance is positively moderated by public value. However, the relationship between public app service quality and user satisfaction isn't moderated by public web service quality.

Development of Performance Model of Profibus Token Passing Protocol

  • Kim, Hyun-Hee;Lee, Kyung-Chang;Lee, Suk
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2002년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.54.3-54
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    • 2002
  • $\textbullet$ Introduction $\textbullet$ Token Passing Protocol : Profibus-FMS $\textbullet$ Performance Model of Profibus Token Passing Protocol $\textbullet$ Calculation of Communication Delay in Performance Model $\textbullet$ Summaries and Conclusions

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발전플랜트 성능데이터 학습에 의한 발전기 출력 추정 모델 (A Predictive Model of the Generator Output Based on the Learning of Performance Data in Power Plant)

  • 양학진;김성근
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권12호
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    • pp.8753-8759
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    • 2015
  • 터빈 발전 사이클에서의 안정적인 발전 출력 유지관리를 위해서는 검증된 성능 측정 데이터 그룹과 이를 바탕으로 한 발전 출력 성능 계산 절차의 수립이 필요하다. ASME PTC(Performance Test Code)의 성능 계산 절차를 기반으로 본 연구에서는 터빈 출력에 의한 발전기 출력 성능 산정을 위해서 터빈 팽창선 모델과 발전기 출력 측정 데이터의 입력 검증 모델을 구성하였다. 또한 불확실한 측정 데이터에 대한 검증 모델도 구성하였다. 지난 연구에서는 신경회로망과 커널 회귀의 학습 방법을 사용하였으나 본 연구에서는 미측정 데이터에 대한 보완을 하기 위하여 서포트 벡터 머신 모델을 사용하여 발전기 출력 계산 데이터의 학습 모델을 구성하였으며, 학습 모델 구성을 위해서 관련 변수의 선정을 위한 절차와 학습 데이터 구간을 설정하는 알고리듬을 개발하였다. 학습의 결과 오차는 약 1% 범위 안에 있게 되어 추정 및 학습 모델로서 유용함을 입증하였다. 이 학습 모델을 사용하여 측정 데이터 중 상실된 부분에 대한 추정 모델을 구성함으로써, 터빈 사이클 보정 성능 계산의 신뢰성을 향상시킬 수 있음을 검증하였다.

EA 서비스 성과모형 개발 및 품질항목별 AHP 분석 (Development of Performance Model for EA Service and AHP Analysis of Quality Items)

  • 신다울;박일규
    • 정보화연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.467-478
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    • 2013
  • 범정부 EA 정보를 활용하여 국가 및 개별기관 차원의 주요 성과가 대내 외적으로 나타나고 있는 현 시점에서 EA 서비스 및 성과에 대한 연구 필요성이 제기되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 '서비스로서의 EA'의 특징적 요소를 유형화하여 EA 서비스 성과모형을 개발하고, 성과모형을 구성하는 품질항목별 가중치 차이를 AHP 분석기법을 활용하여 도출하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 EA 서비스 및 성과, 공공서비스 품질 관련 광범위한 이론적 연구와 논리적 추론과정을 통해 범용적인 서비스 측정 도구로 활용되고 있는 SERVQUAL을 적용한 EA 서비스 성과모형을 개발하였고, 모형을 구성하는 품질항목간 상대적 가중치를 산출하였다. 가중치 분석결과, EA담당자-EA정보-EA교육-EA정책/제도-EA운영시스템 순으로 중요도 차이를 보이는 것으로 분석되었다. 이는 EA 성과향상을 위해서는 EA정책/제도 운영시스템과 같은 품질항목 보다는 EA담당자 정보 교육과 같은 품질항목을 비중 있게 관리해야 함을 보여주고 있으며, 본 연구는 서비스 품질 측정 평가 모델로 국내 외에서 각광 받고 있는 서브퀄 모형(SERVQUAL Model)에 공공부문 EA 서비스를 접목한 국내 최초의 연구로서 실무적 및 이론적으로 시사하는 바가 크다.

다양한 재료에서 발생되는 연기 및 불꽃에 대한 YOLO 기반 객체 탐지 모델 성능 개선에 관한 연구 (Research on Improving the Performance of YOLO-Based Object Detection Models for Smoke and Flames from Different Materials )

  • 권희준;이보희;정해영
    • 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.261-273
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    • 2024
  • This paper is an experimental study on the improvement of smoke and flame detection from different materials with YOLO. For the study, images of fires occurring in various materials were collected through an open dataset, and experiments were conducted by changing the main factors affecting the performance of the fire object detection model, such as the bounding box, polygon, and data augmentation of the collected image open dataset during data preprocessing. To evaluate the model performance, we calculated the values of precision, recall, F1Score, mAP, and FPS for each condition, and compared the performance of each model based on these values. We also analyzed the changes in model performance due to the data preprocessing method to derive the conditions that have the greatest impact on improving the performance of the fire object detection model. The experimental results showed that for the fire object detection model using the YOLOv5s6.0 model, data augmentation that can change the color of the flame, such as saturation, brightness, and exposure, is most effective in improving the performance of the fire object detection model. The real-time fire object detection model developed in this study can be applied to equipment such as existing CCTV, and it is believed that it can contribute to minimizing fire damage by enabling early detection of fires occurring in various materials.