• Title/Summary/Keyword: meteorological factors

검색결과 796건 처리시간 0.025초

UM-CMAQ-Pollen 모델의 참나무 꽃가루 배출량 산정식 개선과 예측성능 평가 (Improvement and Evaluation of Emission Formulas in UM-CMAQ-Pollen Model)

  • 김태희;서윤암;김규랑;조창범;한매자
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제29권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-12
    • /
    • 2019
  • For the allergy patient who needs to know the situation about the extent of pollen risk, the National Institute of Meteorological Sciences developed a pollen forecasting system based on the Community Multiscale Air Quality Modeling (CMAQ). In the old system, pollen emission from the oak was estimated just based on the airborne concentration and meteorology factors, resulted in high uncertainty. For improving the quality of current pollen forecasting system, therefore the estimation of pollen emission is now corrected based on the observation of pollen emission at the oak forest to better reflect the real emission pattern. In this study, the performance of the previous (NIMS2014) and current (NIMS2016) model system was compared using observed oak pollen concentration. Daily pollen concentrations and emissions were simulated in pollen season 2016 and accuracy of onset and end of pollen season were evaluated. In the NIMS2014 model, pollen season was longer than actual pollen season; The simulated pollen season started 6 days earlier and finished 13.25 days later than the actual pollen season. The NIMS2016 model, however, the simulated pollen season started only 1.83 days later, and finished 0.25 days later than the actual pollen season, showing the improvement to predict the temporal range of pollen events. Also, the NIMS2016 model shows better performance for the prediction of pollen concentration, while there is a still large uncertainty to capture the maximum pollen concentration at the target site. Continuous efforts to correct these problems will be required in the future.

Meteorological characteristic and satellite monitoring for red tide in the Korean coasts

  • Yoon, Hong-Joo;Kim, Seung-Cheul
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한원격탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of ACRS 2003 ISRS
    • /
    • pp.873-875
    • /
    • 2003
  • It was studied the relationship between the red tide occurrence and the meteorological factors, and the satellite monitoring for red tide. From 1990 through 2001, the red tide continuously appeared and the number of red tide occurrence increased every year. A common condition for the red tide occurrence was heavy precipitation 2${\sim}$4 days earlier, and the favorable conditions for the red tide formation were high air temperature, proper sunshine and light winds for the day in red tide occurrence. From satellite images, it was possible to monitor the spatial distributions and concentrations of red tide.

  • PDF

울릉도의 기상이 지역 관광산업에 미치는 영향 (The Impact of Meteorological Factors on Ulleung-do's Tourism Industry)

  • 공상민;김인겸;김순;정지훈;김백조
    • 한국기후변화학회지
    • /
    • 제4권3호
    • /
    • pp.221-233
    • /
    • 2013
  • 우리나라는 전지구 평균보다 기후변화가 급속히 진행되고 있어서 관광객 수와 기상요소 간의 관계 분석을 통해 기후변화시대를 대비하는 관광산업의 전략수립이 요구된다. 울릉도는 지역내 산업에서 관광업이 차지하는 비중이 70%에 달하며, 육지에서 먼 도서지역으로서 기상의 영향을 많이 받는다고 할 수 있다. 울릉도는 연도별 강수량 추세에서 거의 변화가 없고, 주로 여름과 가을에 많은 강수를 보이는데, 2010년과 2011년엔 겨울의 강수량이 많았다. 강수 강도는 5월-오후/6월-오전이 높았고, 7~9월은 오전 오후 구분없이 높게 나타났다. 울릉도의 강수(강수량, 강수일수)와 동해상(남부, 중부) 특보(경보, 주의보)를 중심으로 울릉도에 입도하는 관광객과의 상관분석을 실시한 결과, 강수일수와 동해 중부의 특보가 관광객을 감소시키는 것으로 나타났다.

ICE-POP 2018기간 동계집중관측자료를 활용한 국지수치모델(LDAPS)의 행성경계층고도 검증 (Verification of Planetary Boundary Layer Height for Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS) Using the Winter Season Intensive Observation Data during ICE-POP 2018)

  • 인소라;남형구;이진화;박창근;심재관;김백조
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제28권4호
    • /
    • pp.369-382
    • /
    • 2018
  • Planetary boundary layer height (PBLH), produced by the Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS), was verified using RawinSonde (RS) data obtained from observation at Daegwallyeong (DGW) and Sokcho (SCW) during the International Collaborative Experiments for Pyeongchang 2018 Olympic and Paralympic winter games (ICE-POP 2018). The PBLH was calculated using RS data by applying the bulk Richardson number and the parcel method. This calculated PBLH was then compared to the values produced by LDAPS. The PBLH simulations for DGW and SCW were generally underestimation. However, the PBLH was an overestimation from surface to 200 m and 450 m at DGW and SCW, respectively; this result of model's failure to correctly simulate the Surface Boundary Layer (SBL) and the Mixing Layer (ML) as the PBLH. When the accuracy of the PBLH simulation is low, large errors are seen in the mid- and low-level humidity. The highest frequencies of Planetary boundary layer (PBL) types, calculated by the LDAPS at DGW and SCW, were presented as types Ι and II, respectively. Analysis of meteorological factors according to the PBL types indicate that the PBLH of the existing stratocumulus were overestimated when the mid- and low-level humidity errors were large. If the instabilities of the surface and vertical mixing into clouds are considered important factors affecting the estimation of PBLH into model, then mid- and low-level humidity should also be considered important factors influencing PBLH simulation performance.

Monitoring of Climate Change of Northeast Asia and Background Atmosphere in Korea

  • Oh, Sung-Nam;Chung, Hyo-Sang;Choi, Jae-Cheon;Bang, So-Young;Hyun, Myung-Suk
    • 한국환경과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국환경과학회 2003년도 International Symposium on Clean Environment
    • /
    • pp.232-235
    • /
    • 2003
  • In general, the parameters of climate change include aerosol chemical compounds, aerosol optical depth, greenhouse gases(carbon dioxide, CFCs, methane, nitrous oxide, tropospheric ozone), ozone distribution, precipitation acidity and chemical compounds, persistent organic pollutants and heavy metals, radioactivity, solar radiation including ultra-violet and standard meteorological parameters. Over the last ten years, the monitoring activities of Korea regarding to the climate change have been progressed within the WMO GAW and ACE-Asia IOP programs centered at the observation sites of Anmyeon and Jeju Gosan islands respectively. The Greenhouse gases were pointed out that standard air quality monitoring techniques are required to enhance data comparability and that data presentation formats need to be harmonized and easily understood. Especially, the impact of atmospheric aerosols on climate depends on their optical properties, which, in turn, are a function of aerosol size distribution and the spectral reflective indices. Aerosol optical depth and single scattering albedo in the visible are used as the two basic parameters in the atmospheric temperature variation studies. The former parameter is an indicator of the attenuation power of aerosols, while the latter represents the relative strength of scattering and absorption by aerosols. For aerosols with weak absorption, surface temperature decreases as the optical depth increases because of the domination of backscattering. For aerosols with strong absorption, however, warming could occur as the optical depth increases. The objective of the study is to characterize the means, variability, and trends of Greenhouse gases and aerosol properties on a regional basis using data from its baseline observatories in Korea peninsula. A further goal is to understand the factors that control radiative forcing of the greenhouse and aerosol.

  • PDF

Monitoring Onion Growth using UAV NDVI and Meteorological Factors

  • Na, Sang-Il;Park, Chan-Won;So, Kyu-Ho;Park, Jae-Moon;Lee, Kyung-Do
    • 한국토양비료학회지
    • /
    • 제50권4호
    • /
    • pp.306-317
    • /
    • 2017
  • Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) became popular platforms for the collection of remotely sensed data in the last years. This study deals with the monitoring of multi-temporal onion growth with very high resolution by means of low-cost equipment. The concept of the monitoring was estimation of multi-temporal onion growth using normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and meteorological factors. For this study, UAV imagery was taken on the Changnyeong, Hapcheon and Muan regions eight times from early February to late June during the onion growing season. In precision agriculture frequent remote sensing on such scales during the vegetation period provided important spatial information on the crop status. Meanwhile, four plant growth parameters, plant height (P.H.), leaf number (L.N.), plant diameter (P.D.) and fresh weight (F.W.) were measured for about three hundred plants (twenty plants per plot) for each field campaign. Three meteorological factors included average temperature, rainfall and irradiation over an entire onion growth period. The multiple linear regression models were suggested by using stepwise regression in the extraction of independent variables. As a result, $NDVI_{UAV}$ and rainfall in the model explain 88% and 68% of the P.H. and F.W. with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 7.29 cm and 59.47 g, respectively. And $NDVI_{UAV}$ in the model explain 43% of the L.N. with a RMSE of 0.96. These lead to the result that the characteristics of variations in onion growth according to $NDVI_{UAV}$ and other meteorological factors were well reflected in the model.

Estimation of Highland Kimchi Cabbage Growth using UAV NDVI and Agro-meteorological Factors

  • Na, Sang-Il;Hong, Suk-Young;Park, Chan-Won;Kim, Ki-Deog;Lee, Kyung-Do
    • 한국토양비료학회지
    • /
    • 제49권5호
    • /
    • pp.420-428
    • /
    • 2016
  • For more than 50 years, satellite images have been used to monitor crop growth. Currently, unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery is being assessed for analyzing within field spatial variability for agricultural precision management, because UAV imagery may be acquired quickly during critical periods of rapid crop growth. This study refers to the derivation of growth estimating equation for highland Kimchi cabbage using UAV derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and agro-meteorological factors. Anbandeok area in Gangneung, Gangwon-do, Korea is one of main districts producing highland Kimchi cabbage. UAV imagery was taken in the Anbandeok ten times from early June to early September. Meanwhile, three plant growth parameters, plant height (P.H.), leaf length (L.L.) and outer leaf number (L.N.), were measured for about 40 plants (ten plants per plot) for each ground survey. Six agro-meteorological factors include average temperature; maximum temperature; minimum temperature; accumulated temperature; rainfall and irradiation during growth period. The multiple linear regression models were suggested by using stepwise regression in the extraction of independent variables. As a result, $NDVI_{UAV}$ and rainfall in the model explain 93% of the P.H. and L.L. with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.22, 1.90 cm. And $NDVI_{UAV}$ and accumulated temperature in the model explain 86% of the L.N. with a RMSE of 4.29. These lead to the result that the characteristics of variations in highland Kimchi cabbage growth according to $NDVI_{UAV}$ and other agro-meteorological factors were well reflected in the model.

PLS-SEM을 이용한 강원도 산불 발생의 영향 요인 평가 : 가뭄 및 기상학적 요인을 중심으로 (Evaluating Impact Factors of Forest Fire Occurrences in Gangwon Province Using PLS-SEM: A Focus on Drought and Meteorological Factors)

  • 유지영;한정우;김동욱;김태웅
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제41권3호
    • /
    • pp.209-217
    • /
    • 2021
  • 산불은 대부분 인위적인 원인에 의해 발생되지만, 산불의 피해가 대규모로 확산하는 연소 조건은 자연현상에 의해 영향을 받게 된다. 본 연구에서는 여러 인자 사이의 의존 및 인과관계를 분석할 수 있는 부분최소제곱 구조방정식 모형(PLS-SEM)을 이용하여 기상 및 가뭄이 산불 발생에 미치는 인과관계와 영향 정도를 평가하였다. 그 결과 지난 2015년부터 약 5년 기간 동안 발생한 강원도 산불에 미치는 가뭄의 영향은 27 %, 기상학적 영향은 38 %로 확인되었다. 또한, 강원도에서 발생한 산불 중에서 봄철에 발생한 산불은 약 60 %의 비율을 차지하며, 이는 기상학적 요인과 더불어 이전 연도의 가을과 겨울철 가뭄이 산불 발생에 영향을 미치는 것으로 해석된다. 산불 발생위험을 평가하는 데 있어 극심한 기상학적 가뭄이 가을과 겨울철에 발생했다면, 이듬해 봄에는 산불의 발생확률은 증가할 가능성이 있다.

Retrieval and Validation of Precipitable Water Vapor using GPS Datasets of Mobile Observation Vehicle on the Eastern Coast of Korea

  • Kim, Yoo-Jun;Kim, Seon-Jeong;Kim, Geon-Tae;Choi, Byoung-Choel;Shim, Jae-Kwan;Kim, Byung-Gon
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
    • /
    • 제32권4호
    • /
    • pp.365-382
    • /
    • 2016
  • The results from the Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements of the Mobile Observation Vehicle (MOVE) on the eastern coast of Korea have been compared with REFerence (REF) values from the fixed GPS sites to assess the performance of Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) retrievals in a kinematic environment. MOVE-PWV retrievals had comparatively similar trends and fairly good agreements with REF-PWV with a Root-Mean-Square Error (RMSE) of 7.4 mm and $R^2$ of 0.61, indicating statistical significance with a p-value of 0.01. PWV retrievals from the June cases showed better agreement than those of the other month cases, with a mean bias of 2.1 mm and RMSE of 3.8 mm. We further investigated the relationships of the determinant factors of GPS signals with the PWV retrievals for detailed error analysis. As a result, both MultiPath (MP) errors of L1 and L2 pseudo-range had the best indices for the June cases, 0.75-0.99 m. We also found that both Position Dilution Of Precision (PDOP) and Signal to Noise Ratio (SNR) values in the June cases were better than those in other cases. That is, the analytical results of the key factors such as MP errors, PDOP, and SNR that can affect GPS signals should be considered for obtaining more stable performance. The data of MOVE can be used to provide water vapor information with high spatial and temporal resolutions in the case of dramatic changes of severe weather such as those frequently occurring in the Korean Peninsula.

기상현상에 의한 전주 외력의 통계적 분석 (A Statistical Analysis of External Force on Electric Pole due to Meteorological Conditions)

  • 박철영;신창선;조용윤;김영현;박장우
    • 정보처리학회논문지:컴퓨터 및 통신 시스템
    • /
    • 제6권11호
    • /
    • pp.437-444
    • /
    • 2017
  • 전주(Electric Pole)는 전력 송/배전에 사용되는 지지물로 환경적인 요인의 외력 변화에 민감하다. 전력 설비는 외부 환경변화와 재해로 부터 유지/보수적 관점에서 많은 어려움이 있다. 기상변화는 전주 피해에 주요인으로 작용하며, 경제적으로 미치는 영향이 매우 크다. 가공전선(Aerial Wire)은 온도 영향으로 탄성(Elasticity)변화가 나타나며, 탄성의 변화는 풍속, 풍향 등의 요인에 의해 영향력이 가중된다. 전선에 작용하는 외력은 전주의 피로누적으로 작용된다. 전주의 안전도 평가는 설계 단계에서 이루어지며, 운영중인 전주에 대한 영향도는 고려되지 않는다. 보수/안전성 확보 목적으로 외력의 기상요인 영향도를 분석하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 유지/안전성 확보 목적수행을 위해 전주에 설치된 센서노드의 가속도 데이터를 분석하고, 잡음(Noise) 보상 방법으로 칼만필터를 이용했다. 기상 요인별 영향도를 분석하기 위해 고속 푸리에 변환(Fast Fourier Transform)을 수행하고, 주파수 성분별 기상요인 영향도를 분석했다. 영향도 분석 결과 온도, 습도, 일사량, 일조시간, 대기압, 풍향, 풍속의 기상요인 영향이 크게 작용했다. 본 논문에서는 주파수 성분별로 기상요인의 영향도가 다름을 보였으며, 유지보수와 안정성 확보의 목적 달성에 중요한 요소로 작용될 수 있으리라 생각한다.