• 제목/요약/키워드: maximum likelihood estimate

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A data-adaptive maximum penalized likelihood estimation for the generalized extreme value distribution

  • Lee, Youngsaeng;Shin, Yonggwan;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.493-505
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    • 2017
  • Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) is known to sometimes over-estimate the positive value of the shape parameter for the small sample size. The maximum penalized likelihood estimation (MPLE) with Beta penalty function was proposed by some researchers to overcome this problem. But the determination of the hyperparameters (HP) in Beta penalty function is still an issue. This paper presents some data adaptive methods to select the HP of Beta penalty function in the MPLE framework. The idea is to let the data tell us what HP to use. For given data, the optimal HP is obtained from the minimum distance between the MLE and MPLE. A bootstrap-based method is also proposed. These methods are compared with existing approaches. The performance evaluation experiments for GEVD by Monte Carlo simulation show that the proposed methods work well for bias and mean squared error. The methods are applied to Blackstone river data and Korean heavy rainfall data to show better performance over MLE, the method of L-moments estimator, and existing MPLEs.

Some Computational Contribution on the Estimation Procedure of a First Order Moving Average

  • Kim, Dai-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 1973
  • In the first-order moving average model, we present the exact likelihood equations as function of variance, correlation and parameters of coefficients in the orthogonally transformed model. Existence of maximum likelihood estimates for these unknowns are studied and a computational method is provided. (Because of the limited space Ive do not present the computer program which is written in FORTRAN.) 40 sets of generated data and economic data are used to demonstrate, and few of them are presented in the Appendix. A numerical comparison of MLE with the efficient estimate proposed by Durbin is presented in the particular case.

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브라운다리 근사를 통한 확산모형의 우도 근사법 (Likelihood Approximation of Diffusion Models through Approximating Brownian Bridge)

  • 이은경;심송용;이윤동
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.895-906
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    • 2015
  • 확산모형은 입자의 운동현상과 금융자산의 미시적 가격변동을 설명하기 위하여 사용되는 수리적 모형이다. 확산모형의 추정방법에 관한 논의는 다양한 분야에서 이루어져 왔다. 통계학적 관점에서 우도적 방법에 기반한 확산모형의 추정방법을 개발하려는 시도가 계속되어 왔다. 이산시간 간격으로 관측된 자료를 이용하여 확산모형을 추정할 때 최대우도 추정법을 적용하기 위해서는 확산모형에 대한 전이확률 밀도함수를 구해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 확산모형의 전이확률밀도를 근사하기 위하여, 정규분포를 따르는 확률변수를 이용하여 브라운다리 확률과정에 대한 경로적분을 대체하는 방법을 제안하고, 그 수치적 성질을 다른 방법들과 비교한다.

MLE for Incomplete Contingency Tables with Lagrangian Multiplier

  • Kang, Shin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.919-925
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    • 2006
  • Maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) is obtained from the partial log-likelihood function for the cell probabilities of two way incomplete contingency tables proposed by Chen and Fienberg(1974). The partial log-likelihood function is modified by adding lagrangian multiplier that constraints can be incorporated with. Variances of MLE estimators of population proportions are derived from the matrix of second derivatives of the loglikelihood with respect to cell probabilities. Simulation results, when data are missing at random, reveal that Complete-case(CC) analysis produces biased estimates of joint probabilities under MAR and less efficient than either MLE or MI. MLE and MI provides consistent results under either the MAR situation. MLE provides more efficient estimates of population proportions than either multiple imputation(MI) based on data augmentation or complete case analysis. The standard errors of MLE from the proposed method using lagrangian multiplier are valid and have less variation than the standard errors from MI and CC.

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감마 일반화 선형 모형에서의 산포 모수 추정량에 대한 효율성 연구 (Comparing the efficiency of dispersion parameter estimators in gamma generalized linear models)

  • 조성일;이우주
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2017
  • 감마 일반화 선형모형은 포아송 분포 또는 이항 분포에 기반한 일반화 선형모형에 비해 적은 관심을 받아왔다. 따라서 감마 일반화 선형모형에서는 오래전에 개발된 통계적인 기법이 아직도 사용되고 있으며, 특히 산포 모수에 대해서는 근사 추정치가 여전히 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 감마 일반화 선형 모형의 산포 모수에 대해 다양한 추정량들을 알아보고 수치 연구를 통해 그들의 효율성을 비교한다. 수치 실험의 결과 최대 가능도 추정량과 Cox-Reid의 수정된 최대 가능도 추정량이 기존의 근사 추정량에 비해 좋은 성능을 보임을 확인하였다.

ML 기법을 이용한 PCM 파형에서의 표적 탐지 및 도플러 추정 (Maximum Likelihood Based Doppler Estimation and Target Detection with Pulse Code Modulated Waveform)

  • 양은정;이희영;송준호
    • 한국전자파학회논문지
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    • 제25권12호
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    • pp.1275-1283
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    • 2014
  • PCM(Pulse Code Modulation) 파형은 펄스에 특정 code를 실어 보내는 형태로 추적에 적합한 특성을 가진다. 특히 단일 펄스의 송수신만으로 표적의 탐지 및 추적이 가능하므로, 여러 임무를 수행해야 하는 다기능 레이다(MFR: Multi-Function Radar)에서는 시간 측면에서 효율적이다. 하지만 PCM 파형은 모호성 함수(ambiguity function) 의 특성으로 인해 표적을 탐지하고, 거리와 속도 정보를 얻기 위해서 도플러 필터 뱅크(Doppler filter bank)가 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 계산량과 하드웨어 측면에서 한계가 있는 도플러 필터 뱅크를 사용하는 대신, ML(Maximum Likelihood) 기반의 도플러 추정 방법을 고안하였다. 제안한 알고리즘은 폐형(closed form) 수식의 suboptimal 방법으로 적은 계산량으로 정확한 도플러 주파수를 추정할 수 있고, 이를 기반으로 표적의 탐지에 적용할 수 있다.

A Novel Approach for Blind Estimation of Reverberation Time using Gamma Distribution Model

  • Hamza, Amad;Jan, Tariqullah;Jehangir, Asiya;Shah, Waqar;Zafar, Haseeb;Asif, M.
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.529-536
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    • 2016
  • In this paper we proposed an unsupervised algorithm to estimate the reverberation time (RT) directly from the reverberant speech signal. For estimation process we use maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) which is a very well-known and state of the art method for estimation in the field of signal processing. All existing RT estimation methods are based on the decay rate distribution. The decay rate can be obtained either from the energy envelop decay curve analysis of noise source when it is switch off or from decay curve of impulse response of an enclosure. The analysis of a pre-existing method of reverberation time estimation is the foundation of the proposed method. In one of the state of the art method, the reverberation decay is modeled as a Laplacian distribution. In this paper, the proposed method models the reverberation decay as a Gamma distribution along with the unification of an effective technique for spotting free decay in reverberant speech. Maximum likelihood estimation technique is then used to estimate the RT from the free decays. The method was motivated by our observation that the RT of a reverberant signal when falls in specific range, then the decay rate of the signal follows Gamma distribution. Experiments are carried out on different reverberant speech signal to measure the accuracy of the suggested method. The experimental results reveal that the proposed method performs better and the accuracy is high in comparison to the state of the art method.

Testing Homogeneity of Errors in Unbalanced Random Effects Linear Model

  • Ahn, Chul H.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.603-613
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    • 2001
  • A test based on score statistic is derived for detecting homoscedasticity of errors in unbalanced random effects linear model. A small simulation study is performed to investigate the finite sample behaviour of the test statistic which is known to have an asymptotic chi-square distribution under the null hypothesis.

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RLS 알고리즘에 기반을 둔 블라인드 채널 추정 (Blind Channel Estimator based on the RLS algorithm)

  • 서우정;하판봉;윤태성
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 1999년도 추계종합학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.655-658
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    • 1999
  • In this study, We derived Recursive Least Squares(RLS) algorithm with adaptive maximum -likelihood channel estimate for digital pulse amplitude modulated sequence in the presence of intersymbol interference and additive white Gaussian noise. RLS algorithms have better convergence characteristics than conventional algorithms, LMS Least Mean Squares) algorithms.

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A two-parameter discrete distribution with a bathtub hazard shape

  • Sarhan, Ammar M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2017
  • This paper introduces a two-parameter discrete distribution based on a continuous two-parameter bathtub distribution. It is the only two-parameter discrete distribution that shows a bathtub-shaped hazard function. Some statistical properties of the distribution are discussed. Three different methods are used to estimate its two unknown parameters. The point estimators of the parameters have no closed form. The bootstrap method is used to estimate the distributions of these point estimators. Different approximations of the interval estimations for the two-parameters are discussed. Real data sets are analyzed to show how this distribution works in practice. A simulation study is performed to investigate the properties of the estimations obtained and compare their performances.