• 제목/요약/키워드: maximum lifetime

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New generalized inverse Weibull distribution for lifetime modeling

  • Khan, Muhammad Shuaib;King, Robert
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.147-161
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    • 2016
  • This paper introduces the four parameter new generalized inverse Weibull distribution and investigates the potential usefulness of this model with application to reliability data from engineering studies. The new extended model has upside-down hazard rate function and provides an alternative to existing lifetime distributions. Various structural properties of the new distribution are derived that include explicit expressions for the moments, moment generating function, quantile function and the moments of order statistics. The estimation of model parameters are performed by the method of maximum likelihood and evaluate the performance of maximum likelihood estimation using simulation.

고장 보고율을 이용한 현장 수명자료 분포의 모수추정 (Estimating Parameters of Field Lifetime Data Distribution Using the Failure Reporting Probability)

  • 김영복;이창훈
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2007
  • Estimating parameters of the lifetime distribution is investigated when field failure data are not completelyreported. To take into account the reality and the accuracy of the estimates in such a case, the failure reportingprobability is incorporated in estimating parameters, Firstly, method of maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) isused to estimate parameters of the lifetime distribution when failure reporting probability is known, Secondly,Expectation and Maximization (EM) algorithm is used to estimate the failure reporting probability and parame-ters of the lifetime distribution simultaneously when failure reporting probability is unknown. For both cases,procedures of estimation are illustrated for single Weibull distribution and mixed Weibull distribution. Simula-tion results show that MLE obtained by the proposed method is more accurate than the conventional MLE.

Probabilistic vibration and lifetime analysis of regenerated turbomachinery blades

  • Berger, Ricarda;Rogge, Timo;Jansen, Eelco;Rolfes, Raimund
    • Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.503-521
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    • 2016
  • Variances in turbomachinery blades caused by manufacturing, operation or regeneration can result in modified structural behavior. In this work, the scatter of geometrical and material properties of a turbine blade and its influence on structure performance is discussed. In particular, the vibration characteristics and the lifetime of a turbine blade are evaluated. Geometrical variances of the surface of the blades are described using the principal component analysis. The scatter in material properties is considered by 16 varying material parameters. Maximum vibration amplitudes and the number of load cycles the turbine blade can withstand are analyzed by finite element simulations incorporating probabilistic principles. The probabilistic simulations demonstrate that both geometrical and material variances have a significant influence on the scatter of vibration amplitude and lifetime. Dependencies are quantified and correlations between varied input parameters and the structural performance of the blade are detected.

기계적 후면 손상이 레이저/극초단파 광전도 기법에 의한 소수 반송자 재결합 수명 측정에 미치는 영향 (Effect of mechanical backside damage upon minority carrier recombination lifetime measurement by laser/microwave photoconductance technique)

  • 조상희;최치영;조기현
    • 한국결정성장학회지
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.408-413
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    • 1995
  • 초크랄스키 실리콘 기판의 뒷면에 형성된 기계적 손상이 레이저 여기/극초단파 반사 광전도 감쇠법에 의한 소수반송자 재결합 수명 측정에 미치는 영향을 고찰하였다. 기계적손상의 정도는 X-선 이중결정 회절법과 X-선 단면 측정법 및 습식산화/선택적 식각 방법으로 평가하였다. 그 결과, 웨이퍼 뒷면에 가해지는 기계적 손상의 세기가 강할수록 소수반송자 재결합 수명은 짧아지고, 소수반송자 재결합 수명 측정에 영향을 미치는 반치전폭의 임계값은 약13초임을 알 수 있다.

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인장시험에 의한 자기재 현수애자의 수명평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Lifetime Evaluation of Porcelain Suspension Insulator Using Tensile Test)

  • 김찬영;송일근;김주용;이병성;한재홍;윤태상
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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    • pp.1596-1598
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents the results of lifetime evaluation for porcelain suspension insulator using tensile test. The specimens were collected from the branch offices of the KEPCO. The tensile tests were performed with the instron which had the speed of 1mm per minites. The factors of quality were calculated with the maximum tensile strength measured from each specimens. With the quality factors, a factor of lifetime was determined. The lifetime of porcelain suspension insulator as a factor of fabricated years was evaluated.

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Application of the Weibull-Poisson long-term survival model

  • Vigas, Valdemiro Piedade;Mazucheli, Josmar;Louzada, Francisco
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.325-337
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we proposed a new long-term lifetime distribution with four parameters inserted in a risk competitive scenario with decreasing, increasing and unimodal hazard rate functions, namely the Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution. This new distribution arises from a scenario of competitive latent risk, in which the lifetime associated to the particular risk is not observable, and where only the minimum lifetime value among all risks is noticed in a long-term context. However, it can also be used in any other situation as long as it fits the data well. The Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution is presented as a particular case for the new exponential-Poisson long-term distribution and Weibull long-term distribution. The properties of the proposed distribution were discussed, including its probability density, survival and hazard functions and explicit algebraic formulas for its order statistics. Assuming censored data, we considered the maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation. For different parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages various simulation studies were performed to study the mean square error of the maximum likelihood estimative, and compare the performance of the model proposed with the particular cases. The selection criteria Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and likelihood ratio test were used for the model selection. The relevance of the approach was illustrated on two real datasets of where the new model was compared with its particular cases observing its potential and competitiveness.

Degradation of thin carbon-backed lithium fluoride targets bombarded by 68 MeV 17O beams

  • Y.H. Kim;B. Davids;M. Williams;K.H. Hudson;S. Upadhyayula;M. Alcorta;P. Machule;N.E. Esker;C.J. Griffin;J. Williams;D. Yates;A. Lennarz;C. Angus;G. Hackman;D.G. Kim;J. Son;J. Park;K. Pak;Y.K. Kim
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권3호
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    • pp.919-926
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    • 2023
  • To analyze the cause of the destruction of thin, carbon-backed lithium fluoride targets during a measurement of the fusion of 7Li and 17O, we estimate theoretically the lifetimes of carbon and LiF films due to sputtering, thermal evaporation, and lattice damage and compare them with the lifetime observed in the experiment. Sputtering yields and thermal evaporation rates in carbon and LiF films are too low to play significant roles in the destruction of the targets. We estimate the lifetime of the target due to lattice damage of the carbon backing and the LiF film using a previously reported model. In the experiment, elastically scattered target and beam ions were detected by surface silicon barrier (SSB) detectors so that the product of the beam flux and the target density could be monitored during the experiment. The areas of the targets exposed to different beam intensities and fluences were degraded and then perforated, forming holes with a diameter around the beam spot size. Overall, the target thickness tends to decrease linearly as a function of the beam fluence. However, the thickness also exhibits an increasing interval after SSB counts per beam ion decreases linearly, extending the target lifetime. The lifetime of thin LiF film as determined by lattice damage is calculated for the first time using a lattice damage model, and the calculated lifetime agrees well with the observed target lifetime during the experiment. In experiments using a thin LiF target to induce nuclear reactions, this study suggests methods to predict the lifetime of the LiF film and arrange the experimental plan for maximum efficiency.

Development of Precise Lunar Orbit Propagator and Lunar Polar Orbiter's Lifetime Analysis

  • Song, Young-Joo;Park, Sang-Young;Kim, Hae-Dong;Sim, Eun-Sup
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 2010
  • To prepare for a Korean lunar orbiter mission, a precise lunar orbit propagator; Yonsei precise lunar orbit propagator (YSPLOP) is developed. In the propagator, accelerations due to the Moon's non-spherical gravity, the point masses of the Earth, Moon, Sun, Mars, Jupiter and also, solar radiation pressures can be included. The developed propagator's performance is validated and propagation errors between YSPOLP and STK/Astrogator are found to have about maximum 4-m, in along-track direction during 30 days (Earth's time) of propagation. Also, it is found that the lifetime of a lunar polar orbiter is strongly affected by the different degrees and orders of the lunar gravity model, by a third body's gravitational attractions (especially the Earth), and by the different orbital inclinations. The reliable lifetime of circular lunar polar orbiter at about 100 km altitude is estimated to have about 160 days (Earth's time). However, to estimate the reasonable lifetime of circular lunar polar orbiter at about 100 km altitude, it is strongly recommended to consider at least $50\;{\times}\;50$ degrees and orders of the lunar gravity field. The results provided in this paper are expected to make further progress in the design fields of Korea's lunar orbiter missions.

낸드 플래시 메모리의 이주 오버헤드 감소 및 수명연장을 위한 가비지 컬렉션 기법 (Garbage Collection Technique for Reduction of Migration Overhead and Lifetime Prolongment of NAND Flash Memory)

  • 황상호;곽종욱
    • 대한임베디드공학회논문지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2016
  • NAND flash memory has unique characteristics like as 'out-place-update' and limited lifetime compared with traditional storage systems. According to out-of-place update scheme, a number of invalid (or called dead) pages can be generated. In this case, garbage collection is needed to reclaim invalid pages. Because garbage collection results in not only erase operations but also copy operations of valid (or called live) pages to other blocks, many garbage collection techniques have proposed to reduce the overhead and to increase the lifetime of NAND Flash systems. This techniques sometimes select victim blocks including cold data for the wear leveling. However, most of them overlook the cost of selecting victim blocks including cold data. In this paper, we propose a garbage collection technique named CAPi (Cost Age with Proportion of invalid pages). Considering the additional overhead of what to select victim blocks including cold data, CAPi improves the response time in garbage collection and increase the lifetime in memory systems. Additionally, the proposed scheme also improves the efficiency of garbage collection by separating cold data from hot data in valid pages. In experimental evaluation, we showed that CAPi yields up to, at maximum, 73% improvement in lifetime compared with existing garbage collections.

A Lifetime-Preserving and Delay-Constrained Data Gathering Tree for Unreliable Sensor Networks

  • Li, Yanjun;Shen, Yueyun;Chi, Kaikai
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제6권12호
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    • pp.3219-3236
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    • 2012
  • A tree routing structure is often adopted for many-to-one data gathering and aggregation in sensor networks. For real-time scenarios, considering lossy wireless links, it is an important issue how to construct a maximum-lifetime data gathering tree with delay constraint. In this work, we study the problem of lifetime-preserving and delay-constrained tree construction in unreliable sensor networks. We prove that the problem is NP-complete. A greedy approximation algorithm is proposed. We use expected transmissions count (ETX) as the link quality indicator, as well as a measure of delay. Our algorithm starts from an arbitrary least ETX tree, and iteratively adjusts the hierarchy of the tree to reduce the load on bottleneck nodes by pruning and grafting its sub-tree. The complexity of the proposed algorithm is $O(N^4)$. Finally, extensive simulations are carried out to verify our approach. Simulation results show that our algorithm provides longer lifetime in various situations compared to existing data gathering schemes.