• Title/Summary/Keyword: log-linear model

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Long-term Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Epilimnetic Nutrients (N, P), Chlorophyll-a, and Suspended Solids at the Dam Site of Yongdam Reservoir and Empirical Models

  • An, Kwang-Guk
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.214-225
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    • 2011
  • The objectives of the study were to evaluate seasonal patterns of epilimnetic water quality, and determine interannual eutrophication patterns at the dam site of Yong-dam Reservoir using long-term data during 2002~2009. Ionic dilutions, based on specific conductivity, occurred in the summer period in response to the intense monsoon rain and inflow, and suspended solid analysis indicated that the reservoir was clear except for the monsoon. Seasonality of nitrogen contents varied depending on the types of nitrogen and responded to ionic dilution; Ammonia-nitrogen ($NH_4$-N) peaked at dry season but nitrate-nitrogen ($NO_3$-N) peaked in the monsoon when the ionic dilution occurred. The maxima of $NO_3$-N seemed to be related with external summer N-loading from the watershed and active nitrogen fixation of bluregreens in the summer. $NO_3$-N was major determinant (>50%) of the total nitrogen pool and relative proportion of $NH_4$-N was minor. Long-term annual $NO_3$-N and TDN showed continuous increasing trends from 2004 to 2009, whereas TP and TDP showed decreasing trends along with chlorophyll-a (CHL) values. Empirical model analysis of log-transformed nutrients and N : P ratios on the CHL showed that the reservoir CHL had a stronger linear function with TP ($R^2$=0.89, p<0.001) than TN ($R^2$=0.35, p=0.120). Overall results suggest that eutrophication progress, based on TP and CHL, is slow down over the study period and this was mainly due to reduced phosphorns, which is considered as primary nutrient by the empirical model.

Kinetic Behavior of Salmonella on Low NaNO2 Sausages during Aerobic and Vacuum Storage

  • Ha, Jimyeong;Gwak, Eunji;Oh, Mi-Hwa;Park, Beomyoung;Lee, Jeeyeon;Kim, Sejeong;Lee, Heeyoung;Lee, Soomin;Yoon, Yohan;Choi, Kyoung-Hee
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.262-266
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    • 2016
  • This study evaluated the growth kinetics of Salmonella spp. in processed meat products formulated with low sodium nitrite (NaNO2). A 5-strain mixture of Salmonella spp. was inoculated on 25-g samples of sausages formulated with sodium chloride (NaCl) (1.0%, 1.25%, and 1.5%) and NaNO2 (0 and 10 ppm) followed by aerobic or vacuum storage at 10℃ and 15℃ for up to 816 h or 408 h, respectively. The bacterial cell counts were enumerated on xylose lysine deoxycholate agar, and the modified Gompertz model was fitted to the Salmonella cell counts to calculate the kinetic parameters as a function of NaCl concentration on the growth rate (GR; Log CFU/g/h) and lag phase duration (LPD; h). A linear equation was then fitted to the parameters to evaluate the effect of NaCl concentration on the kinetic parameters. The GR values of Salmonella on sausages were higher (p<0.05) with 10 ppm NaNO2 concentration than with 0 ppm NaNO2. The GR values of Salmonella decreased (p<0.05) as NaCl concentration increased, especially at 10℃. This result indicates that 10 ppm NaNO2 may increase Salmonella growth at low NaCl concentrations, and that NaCl plays an important role in inhibiting Salmonella growth in sausages with low NaNO2.

Statistical review and explanation for Lanchester model (란체스터 모형에 대한 통계적 고찰과 해석)

  • Yoo, Byung Joo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.335-345
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    • 2020
  • This paper deals with the problem of estimating the log-transformed linear regression model to fit actual battle data from the Ardennes Campaign of World War II into the Lanchester model. The problem of determining a global solution for parameters and multicollinearity problems are identified and modified by examining the results of previous studies on data. The least squares method requires attention because a local solution can be found rather than a global solution if considering a specific constraint or a limited candidate group. The method of exploring this multicollinearity problem can be confirmed by a statistic known as a variance inflation factor. Therefore, the Lanchester model is simplified to avoid these problems, and the combat power attrition rate model was proposed which is statistically significant and easy to explain. When fitting the model, the dependence problem between the data has occurred due to autocorrelation. Matters that might be underestimated or overestimated were resolved by the Cochrane-Orcutt method as well as guaranteeing independence and normality.

The Statistical Model of Fourier Acceleration Spectra according to Seismic Intensities for Earthquakes in Korea (국내 지진의 진도별 가속도 푸리에스펙트럼 통계모델)

  • Yun, Kwan-Hee;Pakr, Dong-Hee;Park, Se-Moon
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.11-25
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    • 2009
  • A method of instrumentally estimating the seismic intensity (MMI) based on Fourier Acceleration Spectrum, which is the so-called 'FAS MMI method' of Sokolov and Wald (2002), was considered for its applicability to Korea. In order to implement the FAS MMI method, the empirical models of mean (m) and standard deviation (${\sigma}$) for Korea were derived for MMI ${\leq}$ IV according to individual seismic intensity by using the site-consistent horizontal FAS of 580 records from 65 isoseismal maps prepared based on the reported MMI of Korea Meteorological Administration. The site-consistent FAS at a site were obtained by correcting the observed FAS for the difference of the site amplification function relative to that of the target site of Class D station (Yun and Suh, 2007) which was evaluated to be a representative site for the generic soil profile of Korea. The FAS m model for MMI ${\leq}$ IV follows the overall linear relation in log space according to seismic intensities, featuring the FAS mean model for MMI = IV similar to that of the global model of Sokolov and Wald (2002). The ${\sigma}$-values of the FAS model are found to be greater than those of the global model for MMI ${\geq}$ V, while significantly lower than those of the global model for MMI = IV.

Meta-analysis on Methane Mitigating Properties of Saponin-rich Sources in the Rumen: Influence of Addition Levels and Plant Sources

  • Jayanegara, Anuraga;Wina, Elizabeth;Takahashi, Junichi
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.27 no.10
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    • pp.1426-1435
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    • 2014
  • Saponins have been considered as promising natural substances for mitigating methane emissions from ruminants. However, studies reported that addition of saponin-rich sources often arrived at contrasting results, i.e. either it decreased methane or it did not. The aim of the present study was to assess ruminal methane emissions through a meta-analytical approach of integrating related studies from published papers which described various levels of different saponin-rich sources being added to ruminant feed. A database was constructed from published literature reporting the addition of saponin-rich sources at various levels and then monitoring ruminal methane emissions in vitro. Accordingly, levels of saponin-rich source additions as well as different saponin sources were specified in the database. Apart from methane, other related rumen fermentation parameters were also included in the database, i.e. organic matter digestibility, gas production, pH, ammonia concentration, short-chain fatty acid profiles and protozoal count. A total of 23 studies comprised of 89 data points met the inclusion criteria. The data obtained were subsequently subjected to a statistical meta-analysis based on mixed model methodology. Accordingly, different studies were treated as random effects whereas levels of saponin-rich source additions or different saponin sources were considered as fixed effects. Model statistics used were p-value and root mean square error. Results showed that an addition of increasing levels of a saponin-rich source decreased methane emission per unit of substrate incubated as well as per unit of total gas produced (p<0.05). There was a decrease in acetate proportion (linear pattern; p<0.001) and an increase in propionate proportion (linear pattern; p<0.001) with increasing levels of saponin. Log protozoal count decreased (p<0.05) at higher saponin levels. Comparing between different saponin-rich sources, all saponin sources, i.e. quillaja, tea and yucca saponins produced less methane per unit of total gas than that of control (p<0.05). Although numerically the order of effectiveness of saponin-rich sources in mitigating methane was yucca>tea>quillaja, statistically they did not differ each other. It can be concluded that methane mitigating properties of saponins in the rumen are level- and source-dependent.

Application of Predictive Microbiology for Microbiological Shelf Life Estimation of Fresh-cut Salad with Short-term Temperature Abuse (PMP 모델을 활용한 시판 Salad의 Short-term Temperature Abuse 시 미생물학적 유통기한 예측에의 적용성 검토)

  • Lim, Jeong-Ho;Park, Kee-Jea;Jeong, Jin-Woong;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Hwang, Tae-Young
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.633-638
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    • 2012
  • The aim of this study was to investigate the growth of aerobic bacteria in fresh-cut salad during short-term temperature abuse ($4{\sim}30^{\circ}C$temperature for 1, 2, and 3 h) for 72 h and to develop predictive models for the growth of total viable cells (TVC) based on Predictive food microbiology (PFM). The tool that was used, Pathogen Modeling program (PMP 7.0), predicts the growth of Aeromonas hydrophila (broth Culture, aerobic) at pH 5.6, NaCl 2.5%, and sodium nitrite 150 ppm for 72 h. Linear models through linear regression analysis; DMFit program were created based on the results obtained at 5, 10, 20, and $30^{\circ}C$ for 72 h ($r^2$ >0.9). Secondary models for the growth rate and lag time, as a function of storage temperature, were developed using the polynomial model. The initial contamination level of fresh-cut salad was 5.6 log CFU/mL of TVC during 72 h storage, and the growth rate of TVC was shown to be 0.020~1.083 CFU/mL/h ($r^2$ >0.9). Also, the growth tendency of TVC was similar to that of PMP (grow rate: 0.017~0.235 CFU/mL/h; $r^2=0.994{\sim}1.000$). The predicted shelf life with PMP was 24.1~626.5 h, and the estimated shelf life of the fresh-cut salads with short-term temperature abuse was 15.6~31.1 h. The predicted shelf life was more than two times the observed one. This result indicates a 'fail safe' model. It can be taken to a ludicrous extreme by adopting a model that always predicts that a pathogenic microorganism will grow even under conditions so strict as to be actually impossible.

Empirical Study on the Mode Choice Behavior of Travelers by Express Bus and Express Train (특급(特急)과 고속(高速)버스 이용자(利用者)의 수단선정행태(手段選定行態)에 관한 경험적(經驗的) 연구(研究))

  • Kim, Kyung Whan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 1983
  • The purposes of this study are to analyze/model the mode choice behavior of the regional traveler by express bus/express train and to offer useful source in deciding the public transportation policy. The data analyzed were trips of both modes from March, 1980 to November, 1981, between Seoul and other nineteen cities; the data were grouped as five groups according to the change of service variables. Service variables were travel time(unit: minute), cost(:won), average allocation time(:won), service hour(:hour), and dummy variables by mode. As model Logit Model with linear or log utility function were postulated. As the result of this study, some reseanable models were constructed at Model Type I(eq. 2. of this paper) based on the above data except the dummy. It was judged that the parameters calibrated by Group III and Group IV data in table 4, were optimal. Among the parameters, the parameter of travel cost was most reliable. There was a tendency preferring express bus to train in October and November. With the constructed model and Pivot-Point Method. the demand change of express train caused by the service variables' change could be forecasted over 99%.

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Nomogram to predict the number of oocytes retrieved in controlled ovarian stimulation

  • Moon, Kyoung Yong;Kim, Hoon;Lee, Joong Yeup;Lee, Jung Ryeol;Jee, Byung Chul;Suh, Chang Suk;Kim, Ki Chul;Lee, Won Don;Lim, Jin Ho;Kim, Seok Hyun
    • Clinical and Experimental Reproductive Medicine
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.112-118
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    • 2016
  • Objective: Ovarian reserve tests are commonly used to predict ovarian response in infertile patients undergoing ovarian stimulation. Although serum markers such as basal follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) or random $anti-M{\ddot{u}}llerian$ hormone (AMH) level and ultrasonographic markers (antral follicle count, AFC) are good predictors, no single test has proven to be the best predictor. In this study, we developed appropriate equations and novel nomograms to predict the number of oocytes that will be retrieved using patients' age, serum levels of basal FSH and AMH, and AFC. Methods: We analyzed a database containing clinical and laboratory information of 141 stimulated in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles performed at a university-based hospital between September 2009 and December 2013. We used generalized linear models for prediction of the number of oocytes. Results: Age, basal serum FSH level, serum AMH level, and AFC were significantly related to the number of oocytes retrieved according to the univariate and multivariate analyses. The equations that predicted the number of oocytes retrieved (log scale) were as follows: model (1) $3.21-0.036{\times}(age)+0.089{\times}(AMH)$, model (2) $3.422-0.03{\times}(age)-0.049{\times}(FSH)+0.08{\times}(AMH)$, model (3) $2.32-0.017{\times}(age)+0.039{\times}(AMH)+0.03{\times}(AFC)$, model (4) $2.584-0.015{\times}(age)-0.035{\times}(FSH)+0.038{\times}(AMH)+0.026{\times}(AFC)$. model 4 showed the best performance. On the basis of these variables, we developed nomograms to predict the number of oocytes that can be retrieved. Conclusion: Our nomograms helped predict the number of oocytes retrieved in stimulated IVF cycles.

Intrinsic and Extrinsic Defects and Their Itinerant Electronic Conductivity of Ceria (본성 및 외성 영역에서 Ceria 의 결함구조 및 자유전자 전도도)

  • Keu Hong Kim;Hyun Koen Suh;Young Sik Kwon;Jae Shi Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.389-394
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    • 1987
  • The electrical conductivity of CeO$_2$ has been measured in the temperature range of 300 to 1000${\circ}$C under the oxygen pressures of 10$^{-5}$ to 10$^{-1}$ atm. Plots of log ${\sigma}$ vs. 1/T at constant PO$_2$ are found to be linear with an inflection, and the activation energy obtained from the slopes appears to be 2.16 eV for the intrinsic region. The conductivity dependences on PO$_2$ at the above temperature range are closely approximated by ${\sigma}$ ${\alpha}$PO$_2^{-1/4}$ for the intrinsic and ${\sigma}$ ${\alpha}$PO$_2^{-1/6.2}$ for the extrinsic, respectively. The dominant defects in this sample are believed to be Ce$^{3{\cdot}}$ interstitial for the intrinsic and the (Vo-2e') for the extrinsic range. The interpretations of conductivity dependences on temperature and $PO_2$ are presented, and conduction mechanisms are proposed to explain the data.

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Electrical Transport Properties of La2/3TiO2.84 Ceramic (La2/3TiO2.84 세라믹스의 전기전도특성)

  • Jung, Woo-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.41 no.11
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    • pp.858-863
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    • 2004
  • The thermoelectric power, dc conductivity and magnetic properties of the cubic L $a_{2}$ 3/Ti $O_{2.84}$ were investigated. The thermoelectric power was negative below 350 K. The measured thermoelectric power of L $a_{2}$ 3/Ti $O_{2.84}$ increased linearly with temperature, in agreement with model proposed by Emin and Wood, and was represented by A+BT. Temperature dependence indicates that the charge carrier in this material is a small polaron. L $a_{2}$ 3/Ti $O_{2.84}$ exhibited a cross over from variable range hopping to small polaron hopping conduction at a characteristic temperature well below room temperature. The low temperature do conduction mechanism in L $a_{2}$ 3/Ti $O_{2.84}$ was analyzed using Mott's approach. Mott parameter analysis gave values for the density of state at Fermi level [N( $E_{F}$)] = 3.18${\times}$10$^{20}$ c $m^{-3}$ e $V^{-1}$ . The disorder energy ( $W_{d}$) was found to be 0.93 eV, However, it was noted that the value of the disorder energy was much higher than the high temperature activation energy. The exist linear relation between log($\sigma$T)와 1/T in the range of 200 to 300 K, the activation energy for small polaron hopping was 0.15 eV.