• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제24권6호
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• pp.1455-1464
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• 2013

This paper develops maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of unknown parameters in an exponentiated half-logistic distribution based on a progressively type-II censored sample. We obtain approximate confidence intervals for the MLEs by using asymptotic variance and covariance matrices. Using importance sampling, we obtain Bayes estimators and corresponding credible intervals with the highest posterior density and Bayes predictive intervals for unknown parameters based on progressively type-II censored data from an exponentiated half logistic distribution. For illustration purposes, we examine the validity of the proposed estimation method by using real and simulated data.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.57-64
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• 1981

This paper develops a method of modifying the usual maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of a two state Markov process when the trajectory of the process can only he observed at regular epochs. The method utilizes the limiting behaviors of the process and the properties of state transition counts. An efficient adaptive strategy to be used together with the modified estimator is also proposed. The properties of the new estimators and the adaptive strategy are investigated using Monte Carlo simulation.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국데이터정보과학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.1-5
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• 2004

In this paper, we calculate the premium rate of reliability insurance policy for T11 composite metreial under the assumption of Weibull physics of failure and Arrhenius law. We also describe the performance factors which have an effect on failure characteristics of wiper motors. The maximum likelihood estimates of shape parameter and scale parameter are obtained by using interval censored real data of sample sizes 6 using MINITAB.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.89-99
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• 2006

This article deals with the problem of estimating parameters of Burr Type XII distribution, on the basis of a general progressive Type II censored sample using Bayesian viewpoints. The maximum likelihood estimator does not admit closed form but explicit sharp lower and upper bounds are provided. Assuming squared error loss and linex loss functions, Bayes estimators of the parameter k, the reliability function, and the failure rate function are obtained in closed form. Finally, a simulation study is also included.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.445-455
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• 1999

We modify the Gompertz regression model for estimation of cure rates from pediatric clinical trials by assuming different hazard rates on the different periods. A treatment period may be divided by the stages of treatments under the different treatment arms. The piecewise Gompertz models provide an efficient method for estimation of the cure rates and a method for testing the difference of the treatment effects in the given interval.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제26권5호
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• pp.737-746
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• 2013

Tobin (1958)에 의해 처음 소개된 절단 회귀모형에서 베이지안 추정은 최대가능도 추정보다 실제값에 가까운 것으로 알려져 있으나 베이지안 방법론이 구간추정 문제에 있어서도 성공적으로 작동할 수 있을 지에 대해서는 알려진 바가 없다. 일반적으로 베이지안 방법론에서 사전분포는 분석자의 사전정보를 반영하기 때문에 주관적인 분석이 될 수 밖에 없는데, 이렇게 주관적인 분석에서는 빈도학파들이 요구하는 기준을 따르기 어렵다. 그러나 무정보사전분포는 때때로 빈도학파적 특성을 갖는 베이지안 추론을 가능하게 한다. 본 연구에서는 절단 회귀모형에서 무정보사전분포에 의한 베이지안 신뢰구간의 빈도학파적 특성을 살펴보고 최대가능도 추정 신뢰구간과 포함확률을 비교한다. 이를 통해 최대가능도 추정의 표준오차가 과소 추정되고 있음 밝힌다.

• 한국임상수의학회지
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.319-323
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• 2015

The performance of diagnostic test accuracy is usually summarized by a variety of statistics such as sensitivity, specificity, predictive value, likelihood ratio, and kappa. These indices are most commonly presented when evaluations of competing diagnostic tests are reported, and it is of utmost importance to compare the accuracies of diagnostic tests to decide on the best available test for certain medical disorder. However, it is important to emphasize that specific point values of these indices are merely estimates. If parameter estimates are reported without a measure of uncertainty (precision), knowledgeable readers cannot know the range within which the true values of the indices are likely to lie. Therefore, when evaluations of diagnostic accuracy are reported the precision of estimates should be stated in parallel. To reflect the precision of any estimate of a diagnostic performance characteristic or of the difference between performance characteristics, the computation of confidential interval (CI), an indicator of precision, is widely used in medical literatures in that CIs are more informative to interpret test results than the simple point estimates. The majority of peer-reviewed journals usually require CIs to be specified for descriptive estimates, whereas domestic veterinary journals seem less vigilant on this issues. This paper describes how to calculate the indices and associated CIs using practical examples when assessing diagnostic test performance.

• 한국전자파학회논문지
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• 제25권8호
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• pp.838-848
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• 2014

본 논문에선 Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar(InSAR) 고도계의 측정값인 거리와 도래각(Angle of Arrival: AOA)을 실제 수치 표고 자료(Degital Elevation Model: DEM)상에서 모의실험하여 얻었다. 이 때 거리 측정값을 얻기 위해서 필요한 원시 데이터 및 압축 데이터의 결과도 나타냈다. 도래각은 안테나 간의 위상 차이로부터 Deterministic Maximum Likelihood Estimator(DMLE)를 사용하여 구했다. 거리 빈(range bin)의 크기와 펄스 반복 주기(PRI: Pulse Repetition Interval)가 실제 수치 표고 자료의 셀 크기에 비해 작기 때문에 모의실험에 적합하지 않다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 선형 보간법을 이용하여 해상도가 높은 수치 표고 자료를 생성하여 모의실험하였다. 서론 부분에서 InSAR 고도계를 소개하였고, 고도와 각도를 구하는 방법에 대해서 설명하였으며, 모의실험 부분에서 위에 소개된 방법의 성능을 보였다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제33권4호
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• pp.379-393
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• 2020

사망과 같은 종말 사건은 중간 사건을 중도절단 시킬 수 있지만 재발과 같은 중간 사건은 종말 사건을 중도절단 시킬 수 없는 자료를 준경쟁위험 자료라고 하는데 의학 및 보건, 역학 분야에서는 이와 같은 자료를 자주 접하게 된다. 본 논문에서는 질병-사망 모형에 포함된 세 가지 전이 시간이 모두 구간중도절단된 준경쟁위험 자료를 분석하기 위해 정규 프레일티를 가진 와이블 회귀모형을 제안하였다. 각 개체는 중간 사건과 종말 사건의 발생 여부에 따라 다섯 가지 유형으로 구분되는데 유형별로 조건부 우도함수를 유도하였다. 조정중요표본추출법을 써서 주변 우도함수를 유도한 후 반복의사뉴톤 알고리즘을 써서 최적 추정량을 얻었다. 제안한 추정 방법의 소표본 성질을 살펴보기 위해 모의실험을 수행하였으며 또한 제안한 추정 방법을 Personnes Agées Quid (PAQUID) 자료에 적용하였다.

• 한국농촌건축학회논문집
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.45-52
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to investigate safety and dangerous awareness of environment on walking trails. For this purpose, questionnaire survey are carried out by people who had experience using walking trails during 2016. It is evaluated that environments of walking trails located inside big cities are inferior than ones located in small and medium-sized cities and countryside in air pollution, bed smell, water pollution, noise, and waste. Needs about management and number installed public restroom are high for hygienic environment of walking trails. With waste treatment, users of 2.4 percentage are showed improper behavior that they left their rubbish at the place out of view but others bring their trash. Accident likelihood is highly appreciated and possibility of physical accident like slipping is showed at the highest. The reasons of accident on walking trails are responded with carelessness of walkers and improper of installation or management of safety facility at the most. For safety environment of walking trails, needs of installation of safety fences and notices of dangerous area are requested. In order to separate prevention from paths of walking trails, signposts are needed at visual clearness, maintenance, installation with proper interval and location, and correct contents. Respondents of 2.4 percentage have experiences of accident on walking trails and physical accident like slipping is occurred at the most.