• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.83-91
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• 2017

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to develop a quality assurance model and to determine appropriate warranty period for a guided missile using its field data. Methods: 10 years of actual firing data is collected from the defense industry company and military. Parametric maximum likelihood estimation for a reliability function is determined with the data. Results: The reliability function estimates average lifetime of the missile. That function shows a user requirement, 80% reliability (lifetime) is come up when 8 years have passed, which is longer than the estimates in the missile's development phase. Conclusion: Quality assurance warranty for a guided missile must be established with actual test data. It is necessary to update and modify the reliability prediction and the warranty period with actual field test data.

• 한국강구조학회 논문집
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• 제13권5호
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• pp.467-476
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• 2001

고속도로 건설은 미국을 포함한 여러 국가에서 거의 완료되었으며 정부나 고속도로 관계기관은 유지관리쪽에 초점을 맞추고 있다. 교량을 효과적으로 유지관리 하기 위해 교량의 실제 내하력과 잔존수명을 예측하는 것은 매우 시급하다. 이러한 목적으로서 시간에 대한 시스템 신뢰성 해석이 필요하다. 이 논문에서는 Lifetime 분포(함수)를 이용해서 교량의 잔존수명을 예측하기 위한 전형적인 교량의 모델링기법을 개발하였다. Lifetime의 함수변수를 생성하기 위해서 몬테칼로법을 이용하였다. 결과는 지금 존재하는 교량에 대해 최적의 유지관리 계획에 이용될 수 있다.

• 동력기계공학회지
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.61-66
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• 2010

Engineering asset management (EAM) requires the accurate assessment of current and the prediction of future asset health condition. Suitable mathematical models that are capable of predicting time-to-failure and the probability of failure in future time are essential. In general reliability models, lifetime of component and system is estimated using failure time data. This paper deals with the reliability assessment of elevators using life of main components. Especially this work is concerned with the stochastic nature of life of elevator components. First, we investigate the Weibull statistical analysis of lifetime data for the components. The final goal is to establish the mathematical model for reliability assessment. This work provides more perspectives to future research in the fields of reliability and maintainability.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.75-81
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• 2016

Tendon corrosion reliability in KICT-ultra high performance concrete (K-UHPC) bridges is assessed and predicted considering uncertainties in flexural bending capacity and corrosion occurrence. In post-tensioning bridge systems, corrosion is a one of most critical failure mechanisms due to strength reduction by it. During the entire service life, those bridges may experience lifetime corrosion deterioration initiated and propagated in tendons which are embedded not only in normal concrete but also in K-UHPC. For this reason, the time-variant corrosion performance has to be assessed. In the absence of in-depth researches associated with K-UHPC tendon corrosion, a reliability-based prediction model is developed to evaluate lifetime corrosion performance of tendon in K-UHPC bridges. In 2015, KICT built a K-UHPC pilot bridge at 168/5~168/6 milestone on Yangon-Mandalay Expressway in Myanmar, by using locally produced tendons which post-tensioned in longitudinal and lateral ways of K-UHPC girders. For an illustrative purpose, this K-UHPC bridge is used to identify the time-variant corrosion performance.

• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2005년도 학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.69-73
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• 2005

The failure of geogrids used for soil reinforcement application can be defined as an excessive creep strain which causes the collapse of slopes and embankments. Accordingly, the lifetime is evaluated as a time to reach the excessive creep strain using two accelerated creep testing methods, time-temperature superposition(TTS) and stepped isothermal methods(SIM). TTS is a well-accepted acceleration method to evaluate creep behavior of polymeric materials, while SIM was developed in the last ten years mainly to shorten testing time and minimize the uncertainty associated with inherent variability of multi-specimen tests. The SIM test is usually performed using single rib of geogrids for temperature steps of $14^{\circ}C$ and a dwell time of 10,000 seconds. However, for multi-ribs of geogrids, the applicability of the SIM has not been well established. In this study, the creep behaviors are evaluated using multi-ribs of polyester geogrids using SIM and TTS creep procedures and the newly designed test equipment. Then the lifetime of geogrids are predicted by analyzing the failure times to reach the excessive creep strains through reliability analysis.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.499-521
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• 2016

In this paper, a probabilistic- and finite element-based approach to evaluate and predict the lifetime performance of reinforced concrete (RC) bridges undergoing various maintenance actions is proposed with the time-variant system reliability being utilized as a performance indicator. Depending on their structural state during the degradation process, the classical maintenance actions for RC bridges are firstly categorized into four types: Preventive type I, Preventive type II, Strengthening and Replacement. Preventive type I is used to delay the onset of steel corrosion, Preventive type II can suppress the corrosion process of reinforcing steel, Strengthening is the application of various maintenance materials to improve the structural performance and Replacement is performed to restore the individual components or overall structure to their original conditions. The quantitative influence of these maintenance types on structural performance is investigated and the respective analysis modules are written and inputted into the computer program. Accordingly, the time-variant system reliability can be calculated by the use of Monte Carlo simulations and the updated the program. Finally, an existing RC continuous bridge located in Shanghai, China, is used as an illustrative example and the lifetime structural performance with and without each of the maintenance types are discussed. It is felt that the proposed approach can be applied to various RC bridges with different structural configurations, construction methods and environmental conditions.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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• pp.1945-1947
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• 2005

This study considers find out best accelerated life testing and lifetime prediction of electrolytic capacitors. We proved about relation between failure and deterioration mechanism from last thesis. Beside we performed test that temperature and voltage press higher than allowance specification. Failure distribution acquired from those test. And wiebull function and Minitab program applied to accelerated constant and lifetime by means of calculation. At the result, goodness of fit affect to weibull function and acceleration factor therefore fitting is important factor in reliability testing.

• 전력전자학회:학술대회논문집
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• 전력전자학회 2016년도 전력전자학술대회 논문집
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• pp.423-424
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• 2016

Recently, the mass production of Energy storage system (ESS) is actively perform around world. Energy storage system is a technique that stores power to energy storage device to supply energy into grid and load at peak-load. Therefore, the efficient energy management is available by using ESS system. The life of Lithium-ion battery is varied corresponding to the power usage, especially selected depth of discharge (DOD). The lifetime of battery is the one of the most issue of the ESS system because of its stability and reliability. Therefore, lifetime management of battery and power converter of ESS module is required. In this paper, the battery lifetime management method estimating residual power and lifetime of lithium ion battery of ESS system is proposed. Also, total avenue prediction of ESS system is simulated considering the total lifetime of battery.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.116-122
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• 2003

몬테칼로법은 복잡한 특히 비선형문제를 푸는데 강력한 공학도구중의 하나이다. 이 방법은 컴퓨터에서의 통계적인 표본추출방법을 이용하여 각종 공학적인 문제에 근사적인 해를 준다. 교량 하나의 요소나 전체교량의 시간 의존적 파괴확률을 예측하는 방법중의 하나로 생애함수가 있다. 이 논문에서는 교량의 요소나 전체 교량의 파괴확률을 예측하기 위하여, 시스템 신뢰성과 생애함수를 이용하여 포트란 프로그램을 개발하였다. 몬테칼로법은 생애함수의 매개변수를 생성하는데 이용되었다. 적용례로서, 개발된 프로그램은 콘크리트-강 합성 교량에 적용되어, 파괴확률을 예측하는데 이용되었다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제34권3호
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• pp.273-281
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• 2010

본 논문은 교정가속수명시험법을 이용하여 액슬구동축의 피로수명을 예측하는 법을 제안한다. 교정가속 수명시험법은 수명예측, 시험시간 절감, 신뢰성 정량화시에 매우 효과적이다. 피로시험은 두 개의 고 부하 수준과 한 개의 저 부하 수준에서 수행되고, 외삽법을 사용하여 사용수준에서의 수명시간을 예측하게 된다. 본 논문에서는 수행시험 결과로부터 획득한 수명시간, 가속지수, 형상모수, 척도모수등과 같은 주요 신뢰성 인자들을 보여주고 있다. 액슬구동축의 수명예측은 부하스펙트럼 데이터와 시험데이터와의 비교 연구를 수행하여 검증하였다. 교정가속수명시험법을 사용한 수명예측법은 짧은 시간내에 수명을 예측하는데 매우 효과적인 방법임을 확인하였다.