• Journal of Industrial Technology
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• v.29 no.A
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• pp.101-110
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• 2009

Due to frequent occurrence of a localized torrential downpour caused by global warming and change of outflow tendency caused by rapid urbanization and industrialization, risk analysis must be carried out in levee design with uncertainty. In this study, reliability analysis was introduced to quantitatively evaluate the overtopping risk of levee by the uncertainty. First of all, breaking function was established as a function of flood stage and height of levee. All variables of breaking function were considered as random variables following any distribution functions, and the risk was defined as the possibility that the flood stage is formed higher than height of levee. The risk evaluation model was developed with AFDA (Approximate Full Distribution Approach). The flood stage computed by 2-D numerical model FESWMS-2DH was used as input data for the model of levee risk evaluation. Risk for levee submergence were quantitatively presented for levee of Wol-Song-Cheon.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.38 no.11
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• pp.19-30
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• 2022

Developing a fragility curve for the levee requires calculating the probability of failure according to the water level for each failure mode. Since probabilistic analysis requires iterative analysis to account for variability in geotechnical parameters, the fragility curve development inevitably requires many iterative calculations. Therefore, approximate probabilistic analysis techniques are usually applied to reduce the amount of calculation in developing the levee fragility curve. However, their accuracy has not been determined clearly. This study calculated the failure probability of slope and piping failure mode for an actual levee through probabilistic methods, such as FOSM, PEM, and MCS. Then, the fragility curve of the levee according to the water level was developed. The results of the approximate methods: FOSM and PEM, were compared with those of MCS to evaluate the applicability to the fragility curve for slope and piping failure mode.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.600-608
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• 2017

The presence of piping in a levee body allows water seepage to occur by producing a large cavity or water tunnel within it, ultimately resulting in the failure of the river levee and differential settlement. In order to properly cope with river levee failure due to piping and establish a proper remediation method for this problem, it is necessary to analyze the failure mechanism of the river levee due to piping. Therefore, this study analyzed the shape and mechanism of river levee failure due to piping through small-scale and large-scale models and evaluated the seepage pressure distribution characteristics in the hydraulic well, which has been suggested as a remediation method for piping. According to the results of this study, as the safety factor for the piping in the river levee decreased, the river levee failure shape was more clearly shown through the small-scale model test. In the large-scale model test, the type of local damage to the levee due to the piping was identified and the evaluation showed that the hydraulic well had the largest effect on the inhibition of piping below the center of the well. A follow-up study is needed to confirm the reliability of the results. However, it is thought that this study can be utilized as the baseline data for research into the piping-induced river levee failure mechanism and for the preparation of a remediation method.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.26 no.5B
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• pp.501-509
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• 2006

The safety of levee that depends on the river flood elevation has been regarded as very important keys to build up various flood prevention systems. However, deterministic methods for computation of water surface profile cannot reflect the effect of possible inaccuracies in the input parameters. The purpose of this study is to develop a methodology of uncertainty computation of design flood level based on steady flow analysis and Monte Carlo simulation. This study addresses the uncertainty of water surface elevation by Manning's coefficients, design discharges, river cross sections and boundary condition. Monte Carlo simulation with the variations of these parameters is performed to quantify the variations of water surface elevations in a river. The proposed model has been applied to the Kumho-river. The reliability analysis was performed within 38.5 km (95 sections) reach considered the variations of the above-mentioned parameters. Overtopping risks were evaluated by comparing the elevations of the flood condition with the those of the levees. The results show that there is a necessity which will raise the levee elevation between 1 cm and 56 cm at 7 sections. The model can be used for preparing flood risk maps, flood forecasting systems and establishing flood disaster mitigation plans as well as complement of conventional levee design.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.661-671
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• 2003

The reliability model is developed for analyzing parameter uncertainty and estimating of flood inundation characteristics in a protected lowland. The approach is based on the concept of levee safety factor and the statistical analysis of model parameters affecting the variability of flood levels. Monte Carlo simulation is incorporated into the varied flow and unsteady flow analysis to quantify the impact of parameter uncertainty on the variability of flood levels. The model is applied to a main stem of the Nakdong River from Hyunpoong to Juckpogyo station. Simulation results show that the characteristics of channel overflow and return now are well simulated and the mass conservation was satisfied. The inundation depth and area are estimated by taking into consideration of the uncertainty of width and duration time of levee failure.

• Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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• v.9 no.11
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• pp.125-133
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• 2019

In this paper, probabilistic flood risk maps were produced for levee break caused by possible flood scenarios. The results of the previous studies were employed for flood stages corresponding to hydrological extreme event quantified uncertainties and then predicted the location of a levee breach. The breach width was estimated by combining empirical equation considered constant width and numerical modeling considered uncertainties on compound geotechnical component. Accordingly, probabilistic breach outflow was computed and probabilistic inundation map was produced by 100 runs of 2D inundation simulation based on reliability analysis. The final probabilistic flood risk map was produced by combining probabilistic inundation map based on flood hazard mapping methodology. The outcomes of the study would be effective in establishing specified emergency actin plan (EAP) and expect to suggest more economical and stable design index.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.7
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• pp.547-558
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• 2009

General reliability assessment of levees embankment is performed with safety factors for rainfall characteristics and hydrologic and hydraulic parameters, based on the results of deterministic analysis. The safety factors are widely employed in the field of engineering handling model parameters and the diversity of material properties, but cannot explain every natural phenomenon. Uncertainty of flood analysis and related parameters by introducing stochastic method rather than deterministic scheme will be required to deal with extreme weather and unprecedented flood due to recent climate change. As a consequence, stochastic-method-based measures considering parameter uncertainty and related factors are being established. In this study, a variety of dimensionless cumulative rainfall curve for typhoon and monsoon season of July to September with generation method of stochastic temporal variation is generated by introducing Monte Carlo method and applied to the risk assessment of levee embankment using reliability index. The result of this study reflecting temporal and regional characteristics of a rainfall can be used for the establishment of flood defence measures, hydraulic structure design and analysis on a watershed.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.8
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• pp.591-605
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• 2009

In this study the risk integrated erosion and seepage failure factor and combined risk of the levee embankment were assessed. For the research of the reliability, the risk assessment of erosion, seepage and both of them combined for the levee embankment were conducted using discharge curve and stage hydrograph generated by stochastic rainfall variation method during typhoon and monsoon season. The risk of erosion was evaluated using tractive force and the seepage analysis was performed by selecting representative cross sections for SEEP/W model analysis. And the probability of seepage failure was assessed with MFOSM analysis using critical hydraulic gradient method. Unlike deterministic analysis method, quantitative risk could be obtained and the characteristics of realistic rainfall variation patterns as well as a variety of factors contributing to levee failure could be reflected in this research. The results of this study show significantly enhanced applicability for the combined risk. As this model can be employed to determine dangerous spots for levee failure and to establish flood insurance linked with flood risk map, it will dramatically contribute to the establishment of both efficient and systematic measures for integrated flood management on a watershed.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.297-312
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• 2018

In order to assess the safety diagnosis and grouting reinforcement effect of old reservoir facility, local governments and public offices mainly use electrical resistivity survey. However, electrical resistivity survey is a qualitative evaluation that varies the resistivity value by various exploration conditions. It is also difficult to grasp the stiffness change directly related to the stability of reservoir, thus an electrical resistivity survey is not applicable to continuous stability monitoring after grouting. The purpose of this study is to investigate and validate the quantitative evaluation of reinforcement effect of reservoir with cement grouting through shear velocity (Vs), which is closely related to the stiffness (${\mu}$) of the ground. This study was carried out on two reservoir facilities. The reinforcement effect was evaluated by comparing the permeability test, standard penetration test, down-hole test and MASW(Multi-channel Analysis of Surface wave) survey before and after cement grouting. Shear wave velocity changes before and after grouting were analyzed by phase velocity difference and inversion analysis, respectively, and the reliability of the analytical results was evaluated by comparing with field test results. Shear wave velocity increases to 5~10% in case of the D levee, and 10~20% in the levee of H reservoir. These results are showed similar pattern to the field test results.

• Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.9-16
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• 2014

In the high water pressure construction conditions, it is important that the failures and damages occurrence in the neighboring ground and impermeable prevention methods (design and construction) for a inflow of seawater into structures. Grouting construction markets include a subway construction, a railway construction, a mountain tunnel construction, a new & reinforced construction of river & reservoir levee with big budget per every years. but, there are economic loss about design and construction management parts because that management criteria is not accurate but depends on experiences. Even though grouting technology are using vitally in the major constructions of national levels, it is still serious about the low-reliability problems and the no-criteria problems. therefor the purpose of this study is that provides the fundamental research about the neo-grouting technology for the decreasing of ground disaster in a high water pressure conditions.