• Title/Summary/Keyword: intensity of rainfall

Search Result 749, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Application of Hidden Markov Chain Model to identify temporal distribution of sub-daily rainfall in South Korea

  • Chandrasekara, S.S.K;Kim, Yong-Tak;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.499-499
    • /
    • 2018
  • Hydro-meteorological extremes are trivial in these days. Therefore, it is important to identify extreme hydrological events in advance to mitigate the damage due to the extreme events. In this context, exploring temporal distribution of sub-daily extreme rainfall at multiple rain gauges would informative to identify different states to describe severity of the disaster. This study proposehidden Markov chain model (HMM) based rainfall analysis tool to understand the temporal sub-daily rainfall patterns over South Korea. Hourly and daily rainfall data between 1961 and 2017 for 92 stations were used for the study. HMM was applied to daily rainfall series to identify an observed hidden state associated with rainfall frequency and intensity, and further utilized the estimated hidden states to derive a temporal distribution of daily extreme rainfall. Transition between states over time was clearly identified, because HMM obviously identifies the temporal dependence in the daily rainfall states. The proposed HMM was very useful tool to derive the temporal attributes of the daily rainfall in South Korea. Further, daily rainfall series were disaggregated into sub-daily rainfall sequences based on the temporal distribution of hourly rainfall data.

  • PDF

Influence of Soil Characteristic and Rainfall Intensity on Matric Suction of Unsaturated Weathered Soil Slope (불포화 풍화토 사면의 모관흡수력 분포에 대한 지반조건과 강우강도의 영향)

  • Kim, Yong Min;Lee, Kwang Woo;Kim, Jung Hwan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.33 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1017-1025
    • /
    • 2013
  • The monolithically coupled finite element analysis for a deformable unsaturated soil slope is performed to investigate matric suction distribution on a soil slope subjected to rainfall infiltration, which can consider the hydraulic-mechanical characteristics for the analysis. The soil-water characteristic curves (SWCC) are experimentally determined to estimate three types of hydraulic properties of domestic areas. Based on the physical properties, the distribution of matric suction is investigated by considering the major factors, such as soil conditions, rainfall intensities, and slope angles. It is found from the results of this study that the matric suction rapidly decreases with an increase in rainfall intensity, regardless a slope angle. The slope surface is more easily saturated when its saturated hydraulic conductivity is smaller than rainfall intensity, and for the case of multi-layered soil slope, hydraulic characteristics of slope surface has a significant influence on matric suction distribution.

Characteristics of Rainfall and Landslides according to the Geological Condition (지질조건에 따른 강우와 산사태의 특성분석)

  • Kim Kyeong-Su;Song Young-Suk;Cho Yong-Chan;Kim Won-Young;Jeong Gyo-Cheol
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.16 no.2 s.48
    • /
    • pp.201-214
    • /
    • 2006
  • To study the relationship between rainfall conditions and landslides according to a geological condition in land-slides areas such asJangheung Kyounggi, Sangju and Pohang Kyoungbuk, the data of rainfall and landslides are investigated and analyzed. Many landslides occurred at these areas because of the heavy rainfall in two or four days of the summer 1998. The data of rainfall are collected in observatories within a 50km radius from landslides occurrence areas, and the data of landslides are investigated directly in landslides areas. The data of rainfall are the accumulative rainfall and the rainfall intensity, and the data of landslides are the occurrence frequency considering the geological condition. These data are analyzed statistically to know the relationship the rainfall and landslides. The landslides are concentrated in the heavy rainfall area from the analysis of these data. It knows that the land-slides are triggered by the heavy rainfall. Meanwhile, the rainfall factors such as the accumulative rainfall, the rain-fall intensity and the dropping time are different in each landslides area, and the shape and frequency of landslides are different respectively. The landslides have occurred in the area of high accumulative rainfall, while the land-slides have not occurred around that area. Therefore, the rainfall is very important factor induced by the landslides, and the accumulative rainfall is really related to the frequency of landslides.

A Study on the Improvement of Huff's Method for Applying in Korea : II. Improvement of Huff's Method (Huff 강우시간분포방법의 개선방안 연구 : II. Huff 방법의 개선방안)

  • Jang Su-Hyung;Yoon Jae-Young;Yoon Yong-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.39 no.9 s.170
    • /
    • pp.779-786
    • /
    • 2006
  • In this study, we propose a new method that utilizes rainfall data in and out of a basin, which is greater than 25.4mm for point rainfall or 12.7mm for areal mean rainfall respectively. From our analysis, most frequent quartile for point and areal mean rainfall were found to be the same in general for various rainfall duration intervals. From an evaluation of design rainfall per each rainfall duration distributed in time by the MOCT(Ministry of Construction and Transportation) version of Huff's method and this study, peak rainfall intensity by this study was found to be greater than the one by MOCT, but there were no consistent increase or decrease of this difference with rainfall durations. Using the distributed design rainfall per each duration by MOCT and this study, corresponding flood inflow hydrographs were simulated and compared each other. Contrary to the case of peak rainfall intensity, difference in peak flow by both methods per each rainfall duration started to increase from about 12-hr duration. Especially, the difference in peak flow was significant when critical rainfall duration was considered, and this trend was similar for peak flows of other rainfall durations. Therefore, the method proposed in this study is thought to be the effective procedure for the construction of dimensionless cumulative rainfall curve that is representative of a basin while considering time distribution characteristics for different rainfall durations.

Comparison of Annual Maximum Rainfall Series and Annual Maximum Independent Rainfall Event Series (연최대치 계열과 연최대치 독립 호우사상 계열의 비교)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Cheol-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.45 no.5
    • /
    • pp.431-444
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study investigated the differences between annual maximum series and annual maximum independent rainfall event series with relatively short and long rainfall durations. Annual maximum independent rainfall events were selected by applying various IETDs and thresholds to the hourly rainfall data in Seoul for the duration from 1961 to 2010. Annual maximum independent rainfall event series decided were then compared with the conventional annual maximum series. Summarizing the results is as follows. First, the effect of IETD and threshold was not beyond the expected level. For example, as the IETD increases, the frequencies of independent rainfall events decreased similarly in their rate for both with short and long durations. However, as the threshold increases, the frequency of those with rather long durations decreased much higher. Second, The mean rainfall intensity of the independent rainfall events was found to remain constant regardless of their duration. This indicates that the annual maximum rainfall intensity could be found in a rainfall event with longer durations. Lastly, the difference between the annual maximum rainfall series and the annual maximum independent rainfall event series with rather short rainfall durations was found significantly large, which decreases with longer durations. This result indicates that the conventional data analysis method, especially for small basins with short concentration time, could lead an unrealistic design rainfall with little possibility of occurrence.

Prediction of Rainfall- triggered Landslides in Korea (강우로 기인되는 우리나라 사면활동의 예측)

  • 홍원표;김상규
    • Geotechnical Engineering
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.55-66
    • /
    • 1990
  • Many landslides have been taken place during the wet season in Korea. Rainfall in one of the most significant factors relevant to the landsildes, which cause a great loss of lived and properties every year, However, forecast systems for landslides have not been sufficiently established in Korea. In order to minimize a disaster due to landslides, the relationship between landslides and rainfall was investigated based on meteorological records and landslides occrrence ranging from 1977 to 1987. According to rainfall patterns which cause landslides, such as the daily rainfall on failure day or the cumulative rainfalls before failure day, the area in which landslides were taken place, could be divided into three groups of Middl area, Young- Ho Nam area, and Young-Dong Area. And the frequency of landslides was also dependent on the hourly rainfall intensity. It shows from the analyses that prediction of landslides can be made based on both the cumulative rainfall and the hourly rainfall intensity.

  • PDF

A Study on Characteristics of Rainfall Triggering Landslides and Geometry of Slopes in Chuncheon during 2006 (2006년 춘천지역 산사태 유발 강우와 사면의 기하 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Nam-Jae;Lee, Yong-Won;Kim, Ho-Jin
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
    • /
    • v.30 no.B
    • /
    • pp.33-40
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper is results of analyzing the characteristics of rainfall triggering landslides and geometry of slopes, caused by the heavy rainfall and antecedent precipitation by Typhoons Ewiniar and Bilis at Chuncheon area in Gangwondo around July in 2006. As results of analyzing the characteristics of rainfall, landslides in 131 sites were found to happen due to the heavy rainfall having the maximum intensity of rainfall in an hour during July 15 and antecedent precipitation during July 12 to 14 causing the ground to be weak by increasing the degree of saturation previously. From results of analyzing the geometrical characteristics of 131 slopes where landslides occurred, the slope width were in the range of 6~10m. The average slope length and angle were 46m and $51.8^{\circ}$, which was relatively steep slope, respectively. Landlises occurred in the elevation of 400 - 500 m with the most probable frequency.

  • PDF

Field Observation for the effluent of sediment and nutrient on the Coastal Area (연안역의 토사 및 영양염류 유출에 관한 현지관측)

  • Lee Guk-Jin;Kim In-Soo;Ikeda Shunsuke
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.29 no.1 s.97
    • /
    • pp.113-118
    • /
    • 2005
  • We studied field observation and countermeasure about the effluent of sediment and nutrient materials on the Okinawa Ishigaki Coast according rainy season though this observation, we found out the analysis of outflow topography, intensity of rainfall and effects on the tide, the property of effluent materials ete. The sediment and nutrient concentration of the Okinawa Ishigaki coast are different on the regional sites according to vary with time variation of intensity of rainfall and the ebb and flow. We could confirm to vary with utilized waterways land area and distribution of surrounding vegetation.

Climate change effect on storm drainage networks by storm water management model

  • Hassan, Waqed Hammed;Nile, Basim Khalil;Al-Masody, Batul Abdullah
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.393-400
    • /
    • 2017
  • One of the big problems facing municipalities is the management and control of urban flooding where urban drainage systems are under growing pressure due to increases in urbanization, population and changes in the climate. Urban flooding causes environmental and infrastructure damage, especially to roads, this damage increasing maintenance costs. The aim of the present study is to develop a decision support tool to identify the performance of storm networks to address future risks associated with climate change in the Middle East region and specifically, illegal sewer connections in the storm networks of Karbala city, Iraq. The storm water management model has been used to simulate Karbala's storm drainage network using continuous hourly rainfall intensity data from 2008 to 2016. The results indicate that the system is sufficient as designed before consideration of extra sewage due to an illegal sewer connection. Due to climate changes in recent years, rainfall intensity has increased reaching 33.54 mm/h, this change led to flooding in 47% of manholes. Illegal sewage will increase flooding in the storm system at this rainfall intensity from between 39% to 52%.

Field Observation and Countermeasure for the effluent of sediment and nutrient on the Okinawa Ishigaki Island (연안역의 토사 및 영양염류 유출에 관한 현지관측 및 대안)

  • 이국진;김인수;지전준개
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2004.04a
    • /
    • pp.241-246
    • /
    • 2004
  • We studied field observation and countermeasure about the effluent of sediment and nutrient materials on the Okinawa Ishigaki Coast according rainy season. though this observation, we found out the analysis of outflow topography, intensity of rainfall and effects on the tide, the property of effluent materials etc. The sediment and nutrient concentration of the Okinawa Ishigaki coast are different on the regional sites according to vary with time variation of intensity of rainfall and the ebb and flow. We could confirm to vary with utilized waterways land area and distribution of surrounding vegetation.

  • PDF