• Title/Summary/Keyword: information criterion

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Forecasting Internet Traffic by Using Seasonal GARCH Models

  • Kim, Sahm
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.621-624
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    • 2011
  • With the rapid growth of internet traffic, accurate and reliable prediction of internet traffic has been a key issue in network management and planning. This paper proposes an autoregressive-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (AR-GARCH) error model for forecasting internet traffic and evaluates its performance by comparing it with seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models in terms of root mean square error (RMSE) criterion. The results indicated that the seasonal AR-GARCH models outperformed the seasonal ARIMA models in terms of forecasting accuracy with respect to the RMSE criterion.

Testing Two Exponential Means Based on the Bayesian Reference Criterion

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Chung, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.677-687
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    • 2004
  • We consider the comparison of two one-parameter exponential distributions with the complete data as well as the type II censored data. We adapt Bayesian test procedure for nested hypothesis based on the Bayesian reference criterion. Specifically we derive the expression for the Bayesian reference criterion to solve our problem. Also we provide numerical examples using simulated data sets to illustrate our results.

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A New Constant Modulus Algorithm based on Maximum Probability Criterion

  • Kim, Nam-Yong
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.2A
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, as an alternative to constant modulus algorithm based on MSE, maximization of the probability that equalizer output power is equal to the constant modulus of the transmitted symbols is introduced. The proposed algorithm using the gradient ascent method to the maximum probability criterion has superior convergence and steady-state MSE performance, and the error samples of the proposed algorithm exhibit more concentrated density functions in blind equalization environments. Simulation results indicate that the proposed training has a potential advantage versus MSE training for the constant modulus approach to blind equalization.

Predicting the Number of Movie Audiences Through Variable Selection Based on Information Gain Measure (정보 소득율 기반의 변수 선택을 통한 영화 관객 수 예측)

  • Park, Hyeon-Mock;Choi, Sang Hyun
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we propose a methodology for predicting the movie audience based on movie information that can be easily acquired before opening and effectively distinguishing qualitative variables. In addition, we constructed a model to estimate the number of movie audiences at the time of data acquisition through the configured variables. Another purpose of this study is to provide a criterion for categorizing success of movies with qualitative characteristics. As an evaluation criterion, we used information gain ratio which is the node selection criterion of C4.5 algorithm. Through the procedure we have selected 416 movie data features. As a result of the multiple linear regression model, the performance of the regression model using the variables selection method based on the information gain ratio was excellent.

Onset Time Estimation of P- and S-waves at Gyeongsan Seismic Station Using Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) (Akaike Information Criterion (AIC)를 이용한 경산 지진관측소 P파와 S파 도착시간 자동추정)

  • Kwon, Joa;Kang, Su Young;Kim, Kwang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.593-599
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    • 2018
  • The onset times of P- and S-waves are important information to have reliable earthquake locations, 1D or 3D subsurface velocity structures, and other related studies in seismology. As the number of seismic stations increases significantly in recent years, it becomes a formidable task for network operators to pick phase arrivals manually. This study used a simple method to estimate additional P- and S-wave arrival times for local earthquakes when a priori information (event location and time) is available using the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). We applied the AIC program to the earthquake data recorded at the seismic station located in Gyeongsan (DAG2). The comparisons of automatically estimated phase arrival times with manually picked onset times showed that 95.1% and 93.7% of P-wave and S-wave arrival time estimations, respectively, are less than 0.1 second difference. The higher percentage of agreement presented the method which can be successfully applied to large data sets recorded by high-density seismic arrays.

Concept of Control of the Reliability of Customs Information

  • Saidov, Abdusobirjon
    • Journal of Multimedia Information System
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 2017
  • In this paper deals with the problem of modeling customs information and the criterion for controlling its reliability in the process of managing customs clearance of goods is considered. As the main object of the study, the information of the cargo customs declaration, which is submitted to the customs authorities in electronic form for customs clearance of goods, is considered. The main criteria for determining the reliability of customs information, based on the classical methods used by other fields of science, are given.

A CONSISTENT AND BIAS CORRECTED EXTENSION OF AKAIKE'S INFORMATION CRITERION(AIC) : AICbc(k)

  • Kwon, Soon H.;Ueno, M.;Sugeno, M.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.41-60
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    • 1998
  • This paper derives a consistent and bias corrected extension of Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC), $AIC_{bc}$, based on Kullback-Leibler information. This criterion has terms that penalize the overparametrization more strongly for small and large samples than that of AIC. The overfitting problem of the asymptotically efficient model selection criteria for small and large samples will be overcome. The $AIC_{bc}$ also provides a consistent model order selection. Thus, it is widely applicable to data with small and/or large sample sizes, and to cases where the number of free parameters is a relatively large fraction of the sample size. Relationships with other model selection criteria such as $AIC_c$ of Hurvich, CAICF of Bozdogan and etc. are discussed. Empirical performances of the $AIC_{bc}$ are studied and discussed in better model order choices of a linear regression model using a Monte Carlo experiment.

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PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF INFORMATION CRITERIA FOR THE NAIVE-BAYES MODEL IN THE CASE OF LATENT CLASS ANALYSIS: A MONTE CARLO STUDY

  • Dias, Jose G.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.435-445
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    • 2007
  • This paper addresses for the first time the use of complete data information criteria in unsupervised learning of the Naive-Bayes model. A Monte Carlo study sets a large experimental design to assess these criteria, unusual in the Bayesian network literature. The simulation results show that complete data information criteria underperforms the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) for these Bayesian networks.

A New Approach for Selecting Fractional Factorial Designs

  • Park, Dong-Kwon;Kim, Hyoung-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.707-714
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    • 2003
  • Because of complex aliasing, nonregular designs have traditionally been used for screening only main effects. However, complex aliasing actually may allow some interactions entertained and estimated without making additional runs. According to hierarchical principle, the minimum aberration has been used as an important criterion for selecting regular fractional factorial designs. The criterion is not applicable to nonregular designs. In this paper, we give a criterion for choosing fractional factorial designs based on the fan theory. The criterion is focused on the partial ordering given by set inclusion on estimable sets which is called leaves.

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Review on the inversion Analysis of Geophysical Data (지구물리자료의 역산해석에 관한 개관)

  • Kim Hee Joon;Chung Seung-Hwan
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.112-121
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    • 1999
  • This article reviews the development of geophysical inverse theory. In a series of articles published in 1967, 1968, and 1979, G. Backus and F. Gilbert a trade-off between model resolution and estimation errors in geophysical inverse problems, and gave a criterion to compromise the reciprocal relation. Although the criterion was not clear in the physical point of view, it had been extensively used in the interpretation of geophysical date in the 1970s. This was the starting point of the fruitful development of inverse theory in geophysics. A reasonable criterion to compromise the reciprocal relation was derived to solve linear problems by D. D. jackson in 1979, introducing the concept of a priori information about unknown model parameters. This Jackson's approach was extended to solve nonlinear problems on the basis o probabilistic approach to the inverse problems formulated by A. Tarantola and B. Vallete in 1982. At the end of 1980s ABIC (Akaike Bayesian Information Criterion) was introduced for selecting a more reasonable model in geophysics. Now the date inversion is regarded as the process of extracting new information from observed data, combining in with a priori information about model parameters, and constructing a more clear image of model.

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