• 제목/요약/키워드: inference rate

검색결과 207건 처리시간 0.024초

유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 FNNs 기반 비선형공정시스템 모델의 최적화 (Optimization of Fuzzy Neural Network based Nonlinear Process System Model using Genetic Algorithm)

  • 최재호;오성권;안태천
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 1997년도 춘계학술대회 학술발표 논문집
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    • pp.267-270
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we proposed an optimazation method using Genetic Algorithm for nonlinear system modeling. Fuzzy Neural Network(FNNs) was used as basic model of nonlinear system. FNNs was fused of Fuzzy Inference which has linguistic property and Neural Network which has learning ability and high tolerence level. This paper, We used FNNs which was proposed by Yamakawa. The FNNs was composed Simple Inference and Error Back Propagation Algorithm. To obtain optimal model, parameter of membership function, learning rate and momentum coefficient of FNNs are tuned using genetic algorithm. And we used simplex algorithm additionaly to overcome limit of genetic algorithm. For the purpose of evaluation of proposed method, we applied proposed method to traffic choice process and waste water treatment process, and then obtained more precise model than other previous optimization methods and objective model.

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음이항분포 정보를 가진 베이지안 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모형에 관한 연구 (Bayesian Analysis of Software Reliability Growth Model with Negative Binomial Information)

  • 김희철;박종구;이병수
    • 한국정보처리학회논문지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.852-861
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    • 2000
  • Software reliability growth models are used in testing stages of software development to model the error content and time intervals betwewn software failures. In this paper, using priors for the number of fault with the negative binomial distribution nd the error rate with gamma distribution, Bayesian inference and model selection method for Jelinski-Moranda and Goel-Okumoto and Schick-Wolverton models in software reliability. For model selection, we explored the sum of the relative error, Braun statistic and median variation. In Bayesian computation process, we could avoid the multiple integration by the use of Gibbs sampling, which is a kind of Markov Chain Monte Carolo method to compute the posterior distribution. Using simulated data, Bayesian inference and model selection is studied.

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Augmentation of Hidden Markov Chain for Complex Sequential Data in Context

  • Sin, Bong-Kee
    • Journal of Multimedia Information System
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.31-34
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    • 2021
  • The classical HMM is defined by a parameter triple �� = (��, A, B), where each parameter represents a collection of probability distributions: initial state, state transition and output distributions in order. This paper proposes a new stationary parameter e = (e1, e2, …, eN) where N is the number of states and et = P(|xt = i, y) for describing how an input pattern y ends in state xt = i at time t followed by nothing. It is often said that all is well that ends well. We argue here that all should end well. The paper sets the framework for the theory and presents an efficient inference and training algorithms based on dynamic programming and expectation-maximization. The proposed model is applicable to analyzing any sequential data with two or more finite segmental patterns are concatenated, each forming a context to its neighbors. Experiments on online Hangul handwriting characters have proven the effect of the proposed augmentation in terms of highly intuitive segmentation as well as recognition performance and 13.2% error rate reduction.

퍼지 추론 메커니즘에 기반 한 다항식 네트워크 패턴 분류기의 설계와 이의 최적화 (The Design of Polynomial Network Pattern Classifier based on Fuzzy Inference Mechanism and Its Optimization)

  • 김길성;박병준;오성권
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제17권7호
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    • pp.970-976
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 퍼지 추론 메커니즘에 기반 한 다항식 네트워크 패턴 분류기(Polynomial Network Pattern Classifier; PNC)를 설계하고 Particle Swarm Optimization 알고리즘을 이용하여 PNC 파라미터, 즉, 학습률, 모멘텀 계수, FCM 클러스터링의 퍼지화 계수(fuzzification Coefficient)를 최적화한다. 제안된 PNC 구조는 FCM 클러스터링에 기반한 분할 함수를 활성 함수로 사용하며, 다항식 함수로 구성된 연결가중치를 사용함으로서 기존 신경회로망 분류기의 선형적인 특성을 개선한다. PNC 구조는 언어적 해석관점에서 "If-then"의 퍼지 규칙으로 표현되며 퍼지 추론 메커니즘에 의해 구동된다. 즉 조건부, 결론부, 추론부 세 가지의 기능적 모듈로 나뉘어 네트워크 구조가 형성된다. 조건부는 FCM 클러스터링을 사용하여 입력 공간을 분할하고, 결론부는 분할된 로컬 영역을 다항식 함수로 표현한다. 마지막으로, 네트워크의 최종출력은 추론부의 퍼지추론에 의한다. 제안된 PNC는 다항식 기반 구조의 퍼지 추론 특성으로 인해 출력 공간상에 비선형 판별 함수(nonlinear discernment function)가 생성되어 분류기로서의 성능을 높인다.

Bayesian Analysis for Multiple Change-point hazard Rate Models

  • Jeong, Kwangmo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.801-812
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    • 1999
  • Change-point hazard rate models arise for example in applying "burn-in" techniques to screen defective items and in studing times until undesirable side effects occur in clinical trials. Sometimes in screening defectives it might be sensible to model two stages of burn-in. In a clinical trial there might be an initial hazard rate for a side effect which after a period of time changes to an intermediate hazard rate before settling into a long term hazard rate. In this paper we consider the multiple change points hazard rate model. The classical approach's asymptotics can be poor for the small to all moderate sample sizes often encountered in practice. We propose a Bayesian approach avoiding asymptotics to provide more reliable inference conditional only upon the data actually observed. The Bayesian models can be fitted using simulation methods. Model comparison is made using recently developed Bayesian model selection criteria. The above methodology is applied to a generated data and to a generated data and the Lawless(1982) failure times of electrical insulation.

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심박 정보 기반 위치 정보 융합형 감정 추론 어플리케이션 개발 (Development of Emotion Inference Application with Location Information and User's Heartbeat Rate)

  • 차경애;최현수;홍원기;박세현
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제8권8호
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2017
  • 최근 웨어러블 디바이스를 통한 다양한 개인 정보를 수집하고 이를 활용하는 분야가 활성화되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 스마트폰과 함께 일상 생활에서 착용하여 사용이 용이한 웨어러블 디바이스인 스마트워치를 통하여 심박 정보를 수집하고, 이를 위치 정보와 결합한 분석을 토대로 해당 위치에서의 감정 맞춤형 장소 추천이 가능한 어플리케이션을 개발한다. 이는 감정 추론 결과에 위치 정보를 추가함으로써 개인화서비스 제공 분야의 활용도를 높일 수 있으며, 부가적인 장치가 필요 없이 단지 스마트폰의 어플리케이션과 스마트워치의 사용으로 정보 수집과 분석이 이루어지므로 다양한 맞춤형 서비스 제공에 용이하게 활용될 수 있다.

심박변이도를 이용한 적응적 뉴로 퍼지 감정예측 모형에 관한 연구 (Implementing an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Model for Emotion Prediction Based on Heart Rate Variability(HRV))

  • 박성수;이건창
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.239-247
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    • 2019
  • 감정을 정확히 예측하는 것은 환자중심의 의료디바이스 개발 및 감성관련 산업에서 매우 중요한 이슈이다. 감정예측에 관한 많은 연구 중 감정 예측에 심박 변동성과 뉴로-퍼지 접근법을 적용한 연구는 없다. 본 연구는 HRV를 이용한 ANFEP(Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy system for Emotion Prediction)을 제안한다. ANFEP의 핵심 기능은 인공 신경망과 퍼지시스템을 통합해 예측 모델을 학습하는 ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System)에 기반한다. 제안 모형의 검증을 위해 50명의 실험자를 대상으로 청각자극으로 감정을 유발하고, 심박변이도를 구하여 ANFEP 모형에 입력하였다. STDRR과 RMSSD를 입력으로 하고 입력변수 당 2개의 소속함수로 하는 ANFEP모형이 가장 좋은 결과를 나타났다. 제안한 감정예측 모형을 선형회귀 분석, 서포트 벡터 회귀, 인공신경망, 랜덤 포레스트와 비교한 결과 본 제안모형이 가장 우수한 성능을 보였다. 연구 결과는 보다 적은 입력으로 신뢰성 높은 감정인식이 가능함을 입증했고, 이를 활용해 보다 정확하고 신뢰성 높은 감정인식 시스템 개발에 대한 연구가 필요하다.

Hybrid State Space Self-Tuning Fuzzy Controller with Dual-Rate Sampling

  • Kwon, Oh-Kook;Joo, Young-Hoon;Park, Jin-Bae;L. S. Shieh
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1998년도 제13차 학술회의논문집
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    • pp.244-249
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, the hybrid state space self-tuning control technique Is studied within the framework of fuzzy systems and dual-rate sampling control theory. We show that fuzzy modeling techniques can be used to formulate chaotic dynamical systems. Then, we develop the hybrid state space self-tuning fuzzy control techniques with dual-rate sampling for digital control of chaotic systems. An equivalent fast-rate discrete-time state-space model of the continuous-time system is constructed by using fuzzy inference systems. To obtain the continuous-time optimal state feedback gains, the constructed discrete-time fuzzy system is converted into a continuous-time system. The developed optimal continuous-time control law is then convened into an equivalent slow-rate digital control law using the proposed digital redesign method. The proposed technique enables us to systematically and effective]y carry out framework for modeling and control of chaotic systems. The proposed method has been successfully applied for controlling the chaotic trajectories of Chua's circuit.

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Parameters estimation of the generalized linear failure rate distribution using simulated annealing algorithm

  • Sarhan, Ammar M.;Karawia, A.A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2012
  • Sarhan and Kundu (2009) introduced a new distribution named as the generalized linear failure rate distribution. This distribution generalizes several well known distributions. The probability density function of the generalized linear failure rate distribution can be right skewed or unimodal and its hazard function can be increasing, decreasing or bathtub shaped. This distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze lifetime data in place of linear failure rate, generalized exponential and generalized Rayleigh distributions. In this paper, we apply the simulated annealing algorithm to obtain the maximum likelihood point estimates of the parameters of the generalized linear failure rate distribution. Simulated annealing algorithm can not only find the global optimum; it is also less likely to fail because it is a very robust algorithm. The estimators obtained using simulated annealing algorithm have been compared with the corresponding traditional maximum likelihood estimators for their risks.

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Estimation of parameters including a quadratic failure rate semi-Markov reliability model

  • El-Gohary, A.;Alshamrani, A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2011
  • This paper discusses the stochastic analysis and the statistical inference of a quadratic failure rate semi-Markov reliability model. Maximum likelihood procedure will be used to obtain the estimators of the parameters included in this reliability model. Based on the assumption that the lifetime and repair time of the system units are random variables with quadratic failure rate, the reliability function of this system is obtained. Also, the distribution of the first passage time of this system is derived. Many important special cases are discussed.

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