• Title/Summary/Keyword: hazard rate

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A PRODUCTION METHOD OF LANDSLIDE HAZARD MAP BY COMBINING LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS AND AHP (ANALYTICAL HIERARCHY PROCESS) APPROACH

  • Lee, Yong-Jun;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.547-550
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    • 2006
  • This study is to suggest a methodology to produce landslide hazard map by combining LRA (Logistic Regression Analysis) and AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Program) Approach. Topographic factors (slope, aspect, elevation), soil drain, soil depth and land use were adopted to classify landslide hazard areas. The method was applied to a 520 $km^2$ region located in the middle of South Korea which have occurred 39 landslides during 1999 and 2003. The suggested method showed 58.9 % matching rate for the real landslide sites comparing with the classified areas of high-risk landslide while LRA and AHP showed 46.1 % and 48.7 % matching rates respectively.

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GENERALIZED LINDLEY DISTRIBUTION USING PROPORTIONAL HAZARD FAMILY AND INFERENCE OF FAILURE TIME DATA

  • Ahmed AL-Adilee;Hawraa A. AL-Challabi;Hassanein Falah;Dalael Saad Abdul-Zahra
    • Nonlinear Functional Analysis and Applications
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.793-800
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we propose a generalization of Lindley distribution (GLD) via a special structure that is concern with progressively Type-II right censoring and time failure data. We study the modern properties that we have built by such combination, for example, survival function, hazard function, moments, and estimation by non-Bayesian methods. Application on some selected data related to Lindley distribution (LD) and (ED) have been employed to find out the best distribution that can fit data comparing with the GLD.

Hazard analysis for the fishermen's safety in offshore trawler using insurance proceeds payment of NFFC (수협 재해 보험급여를 이용한 근해 트롤선 어선원의 안전 위험 요소 분석)

  • LEE, Yoo-Won;CHO, Young-Bok;KIM, Wook-Sung;KIM, Seok-Jae;PARK, Tae-Geun;PARK, Tae-Sun;KIM, Hyung-seok;RYU, Kyong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.241-247
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    • 2016
  • The trawl fishery is an important fishery accounting for around 30.0% of adjacent water fishery production in Korea, and the commercial fishing is associated with high rate of fatal and non-fatal occupational injury. The hazard analysis for the fishermen's safety of offshore trawler was conducted to serve as basic data for improving the healthy and safe working environment of fishermen using fishermen's occupational accidents of the national federation of fisheries cooperatives (NFFC) from 2012 to 2014 (n=464). As a result, the occupational accident occurrence rate of large powered trawl fishery was 241.4‰ in east sea trawl fishery, 6.9 times the rate of that. In addition, death and missing rate was found to have very serious level management to 97.7‱ in east sea trawl fishery of death at 6.2 times. The accident occurred in 91.7 to 100.0% was happened at sea. The slipping, others and struck by object and son on occurred more frequently in order in the frequency of accident occurrence pattern. However, the occurrence rate of death and missing did not match the frequency of accident pattern. In other words, slipping occurred more frequently while death and missing risk was not high. The fall in the waters was low while death and missing risk was high. The results are expected to help identify and assess safety hazard occurred in offshore trawlers.

Hazard Factors Assessment for the Fishermen's Safety on the Vessel of Offshore Stow Nets on Anchor using Insurance Proceeds Payment of NFFC (수협 재해 보험급여를 이용한 근해안강망 어선원의 안전 위험 요소 평가)

  • LEE, Yoo-Won;CHO, Young-Bok;KIM, Sung-Ki;KIM, Seok-Jae;PARK, Tae-Geun;RYU, Kyong-Jin;KIM, Wook-Sung
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.1129-1135
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    • 2015
  • The stow net is a stationary gear made from netting, usually in shape like trawl net without wings. The nets are fixed by means of anchors, placed according to the direction and strength of the current. And the commercial fishing is associated with high rate of fatal and non-fatal occupational injury. The hazard factors analysis for the fishermen's safety of offshore stow nets vessel was conducted to serve as a basic data for improving the healthy and safe working environment of fishermen using fishermen's occupational accidents of the national federation of fisheries cooperatives (NFFC) from 2012 to 2014 (n=1,144). As a result, the average occupational accident occurrence rate of this fishery was 206.9‰ in all industries 36.9 times the rate of that. In addition, average death and missing rate was found to have a very serious level management to 50.4‰ in all industries of death of 42.0 times. The accident occurred in 84.5 to 94.6% was happened at sea. The struck by object, slipping, contact with machinery, contact by object or gear and others occurred more frequently in order on the frequency of accident occurrence pattern. However, the occurrence rate of death and missing did not match the frequency of accident pattern. In other words, slipping occurred frequently higher while death and missing risk was not high. And the contact with fishing gear and fall in the waters was low while death and missing risk was high. The results are expected to contribute for identification and assessment of safety hazard occurred in offshore stow nets vessel.

A Study on the Characteristics of Combustion for Car Interior Materials (자동차 내장재의 연소 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Tak;Kim, Hae-Rim;Park, Young-Ju;Lee, Hae-Pyeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.450-455
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    • 2008
  • We have carried out the test using the cone calorimeter and the smoke density chamber to evaluate the characteristics of the combustion for the car interior materials passed horizontal burning test. We have analysed many parameters related to fire hazard. These parameters are the ignition time, the heat release rate, the maximum average rate of heat emission, the flashover propensity and specific optical density. There was a significant difference in HRR and optical smoke density. The HRR was $185{\sim}446kW/m^2$ and optical smoke density was $119{\sim}1207$. Only horizontal burning test was performed to evaluate the fire hazard for the car interior materials.

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A Study on the Model for Classification of Safety in the Curved Section of Road (도로 곡선부의 안전 등급화 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gyeong-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2008
  • This research proposes two sub-models and one integrated model for the classification of safety in curve section of road, where the fatal-rate is relatively higher in accidents. The first sub-model calculates the accident-rate by safety-index that is based on the road geometries. The second decides the safety of curve section by the speed difference between before and in the curve. Finally, the integrated model of two sub-modules can classify the safety of curve section of road.

Modeling Diffusion Process Under Abrupt Changes of External Factors (외생변수가 급변하는 상황에서의 확산과정 모형화)

  • Park Sang-June;Hahn Min-Hi;Shin Chang-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2006
  • In reality, we can observe anomalous diffusion patterns of cycle-recycle or rejuvenation. Abrupt changes in the market environment such as sudden currency devaluation or change in government policy or those in marketing strategies such as drastic repositioning can lead to such atypical diffusion patterns. The authors present extended Bass models that incorporate effects of such abrupt changes of external factors into the hazard rate and the market potential. Using a set of compact-car data affected by a drastic change in the government policy, they illustrate the strengths of the proposed models.

Bayesian Method for Sequential Preventive Maintenance Policy

  • Kim Hee Soo;Kwon Young Sub;Park Dong Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach to determine the adaptive preventive maintenance(PM) policy for a general sequential imperfect PM model proposed by Lin, Zuo and Yam(2000) that PM not only reduces the effective age of the system but also changes the hazard rate function. Assuming that the failure times follow Weibull distribution, we adopt a Bayesian approach to update unknown parameters and determine the Bayesian optimal sequential PM policies. Finally, numerical examples of the optimal adaptive PM policy are presented for illustrative purposes.

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A Traffic Hazard Prediction Algorithm for Vehicle Safety Communications on a highway (고속도로에서 차량 안전 통신을 위한 교통사고 위험 예측 알고리즘)

  • Oh, Sang Yeob
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.319-324
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    • 2012
  • Vehicle safety communications is one among the important technologies in order to protect a car accident. For this, many protocols forwarding a safe message have studied to protect a chain-reaction collision when a car accident occurs. most of these protocols assume that the time of generating a safe message is the same as an accident's. If a node predicts some traffic hazard and forwards a safe message, a driver can response some action quickly. So, In this paper, we proposes a traffic hazard prediction algorithm using the communication technique. As a result, we show that the frame reception success rate of using our algorithm to the previous protocol improved about 4~5%.

HAZARD EVALUATION OF WORK TYPES FOR BUILDING CONSTRUCTION

  • Seong-Seok Go;Hyuk Song;Han-Min Lee;Hyun-Chul Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.786-790
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    • 2005
  • As the scale of building construction is larger and more complex and the adaptation of new technology is increasing, the tendency of the risk serious accident cases is increasing now. Especially, the accident rate is below 10% at the building construction workers in Korea but among the total industrial accidents it exceeded by 35%. To prevent a construction accident, it is essential that not only to have a through grasp of the characteristic of safety problem but also to establish of efficient safety counter plan are required. According to the type and situation of building construction, the acquirement of necessary information is useful to prevent the hazard of work and establish the counter plan. Among the safety information it is a thing of especial importance that to estimate the hazard of work types for building construction to prepare the counter plan of safety. This study will analyze all of the1600 accidents of the building construction works from the data of KOSHA(Korea Occupational Safety &Health Agency) which were collected during 11 years(1992~2002) data relating to serious accidents of the building construction works, and suggest the counter plan according to the each work type in building construction works.

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