• Title/Summary/Keyword: general failure distribution

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PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF A SYSTEM CONSISTING OF TWO SUBSYSTEMS IN THE SERIES CONFIGURATION UNDER COPULA REPAIR APPROACH

  • Raghav, Dhruv;Pooni, P.K.;Gahlot, Monika;Singh, V.V.;Ayagi, Hamisu Ismail;Abdullahi, Ameer Hassan
    • The Pure and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.137-155
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    • 2020
  • Redundancy is commonly employed to improve system reliability. In most situations, components in the standby configurations are assumed statistically similar but independent. In many realistic models, all parts in standby are not treated as identical as they have different failure possibilities. The operational structure of the system has subsystem-1 with five identical components working under 2-out-of-5: G; policy, and the subsystem-2 has two units and functioning under 1-out-of-2: G; policy. Failure rates of units of subsystems are constant and assumed to follow an exponential distribution. Computed results give a new aspect to the scientific community to adopt multi-dimension repair in the form of the copula.

Error Analysis of Equivalence Ratio using Bayesian Statistics (베이지안 확률기법을 이용한 당량비 오차분석에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Joongki;Park, Ik Soo;Lee, Ho-il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2018
  • This paper analyzes the probability of failure for the equivalence ratio error. The control error of the equivalence ratio is affected by the aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In general, reliability analysis techniques are easily incorporated to handle the aleatory uncertainty. However, the epistemic uncertainty requires a new approach, as it does not provide an uncertainty distribution. The Bayesian inference incorporates the reliability analysis results to handle both uncertainties. The result gives a distribution of failure probability, whose equivalence ratio does not meet the requirement. This technique can be useful in the analysis of most engineering systems, where the aleatory and epistemic uncertainties exist simultaneously.

Field data analyses for products with multiple-modes of failure (고장원인이 여럿인 제품의 사용현장 데이터 분석)

  • 배도선;최인수;황용근
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.89-104
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    • 1995
  • This paper is concerned with the method of estimating lifetime distributin from field data for products with multiple modes of failure. When product failures occur within warranty period, a manufacturer can obtain failure-record data; failure times, causes of failure, and covariates. Since these data are seriously incomplete for satisfactory inference, that is, only failures occured during warrantly period may be recorded, it is usually necessary to incoporate the failure-record data by taking a supplementary sample of items obtained following up a portion of products that survive warranty time. The log linear function is considered as a model for describing the relation between failure time of a product and covariates. General methods for obtaining pseudo maximum likelihood estimators(PMLEs) for the parameters are outlined and their asymptotic properties are studied, and specific formulas for exponential or Weibull distribution are obtained. Effects of follow-up percentage on the PMLEs are investigated. Extensions to calendar time warranty or calendar and obtaining time warranty are also considered.

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Numerical Life Prediction Method for Fatigue Failure of Rubber-Like Material Under Repeated Loading Condition

  • Kim Ho;Kim Heon-Young
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.473-481
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    • 2006
  • Predicting fatigue life by numerical methods was almost impossible in the field of rubber materials. One of the reasons is that there is not obvious fracture criteria caused by nonstandardization of material and excessively various way of mixing process. But, tearing energy as fracture factor can be applied to a rubber-like material regardless of different types of fillers, relative to other fracture factors and the crack growth process of rubber could be considered as the whole fatigue failure process by the existence of potential defects in industrial rubber components. This characteristic of fatigue failure could make it possible to predict the fatigue life of rubber components in theoretical way. FESEM photographs of the surface of industrial rubber components were analyzed for verifying the existence and distribution of potential defects. For the prediction of fatigue life, theoretical way of evaluating tearing energy for the general shape of test-piece was proposed. Also, algebraic expression for the prediction of fatigue life was derived from the rough cut growth rate equation and verified by comparing with experimental fatigue lives of dumbbell fatigue specimen in various loading condition.

Subsidy Rationalisation for General Purpose Flour: Market and Economics Implications

  • Kari, Fatimah Binti;Masud, Muhammad Mehedi;Saifullah, Md. Khaled
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2017
  • Subsidies are an instrumental policy making tool for many governments, but their importance depends on the market situation of the national economy. Efficient subsidy implementation would allow the government to correct market failure thereby aligning social and private costs and benefit. The general objective of this study is to justify the need to rationalise subsidies for food items such as flour. This study assessed the structure and conducts of the general purpose flour market in Malaysia; and analysed the impact of subsidies on market performance to recommend policies to increase market efficiency under the subsidy rationalisation program. To accomplish these objectives, the study adopted a microeconomics market analysis as well as the standard structure and performance analysis method. These two approaches showed the characteristics of an industry's consumer behaviour, competition, as well as the efficiency associated with government regulatory policies on the flour industry. One of the biggest influences on the domestic market is related to the food consumption behaviour of the general population. Food consumption behaviour reflects global trends. As income rises, food trends tend to be consumed in processed form or in such a way that adds value in another manner such as the preparation of food products.

Reliability evaluation of brittle structures under thermal shocks (열충격이 작용하는 취성구조의 신뢰성 평가)

  • 이치우;장건익;김종태
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.58-64
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    • 1998
  • An analysis method for the reliability of ceramic structures subjected to thermal shocks is presented. Flaws with the size of given probability distribution function are assumed to be distributed at random with a certain density per unit volume in the structures. Criterions for crack instability are derived for brittle solids under general thermal stresses. A probabilistic failure model is presented to study the probability of crack instability for brittle solids containing cracks with uncertain size. The reliabilities of brittle structures are evaluated based on the weakest-link hypothesis, which states that a structure fails when the cracks in any differential volume become unstable. A numerical example is given to demonstrate the application of the proposed method.

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Effect of Taper Tension Profiles on Radial Stress of a Wound Roll in Roll-to-roll Winding Process (롤투롤 와인딩 시스템에서 테이퍼 장력과 감김롤 응력분포에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Changwoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.125-131
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    • 2014
  • Winding is an integral operation in almost every roll-to-roll continuous process and center-winding is suitable and general scheme in the winding system. However, the internal stresses within center-wound rolls can cause damage such as buckling, spoking, cinching, etc. It is therefore necessary to analyze the relationship between taper tension in winding section and internal stress distribution within center-wound roll to prevent the winding failure. In this study, an optimal taper tension control method with parabolic taper tension profile for producing high quality wound roll was developed. The new logic was designed from analyzing the winding mechanism by using the stress model in center-wound rolls. The performance of the proposed taper tension profile was verified experimentally.

Bayesian Method on Sequential Preventive Maintenance Problem

  • Kim Hee-Soo;Kwon Young-Sub;Park Dong-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.191-204
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    • 2006
  • This paper develops a Bayesian method to derive the optimal sequential preventive maintenance(PM) policy by determining the PM schedules which minimize the mean cost rate. Such PM schedules are derived based on a general sequential imperfect PM model proposed by Lin, Zuo and Yam(2000) and may have unequal length of PM intervals. To apply the Bayesian approach in this problem, we assume that the failure times follow a Weibull distribution and consider some appropriate prior distributions for the scale and shape parameters of the Weibull model. The solution is proved to be finite and unique under some mild conditions. Numerical examples for the proposed optimal sequential PM policy are presented for illustrative purposes.

Reliability Evaluation of Ceramic Structures Under Thermal Shocks (열충격이 작용하는 세라믹구조의 신뢰성 평가)

  • 김종태;심확섭;장건익;이치우;이환우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.954-958
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    • 1996
  • An analysis method for the reliability of ceramic structures subjected to thermal shocks is presented, Flaws with the size of given probability distribution function are assumed to be distributed at random with a certain density per unit volume in the structures. Criterions for crack instability are derived for brittle solids under general thermal stresses. A probabilistic failure model is presented to study the probability of crack instability for blittle solids containing cracks with uncertain crack size. The reliabilities of brittle structures are evaluated based on the weakest-link hypothesis, which states that a structure fails when the cracks in any differential volume become unstable. A numerical example is given to demonstrate the application of the proposed method.

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Aging Diagnosis of Underground Distribution Power Cables Using Breakdown Lifetime Prediction (파괴수명예측을 통한 지중배전용 전력케이블의 열화 진단)

  • Kim, Chung-Bae;Lee, Jung-Bin;Lim, Chang-Sub;Jang, Young-Hak;Lee, Jin;Kim, Tae-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.05a
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    • pp.222-225
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    • 1999
  • Degradation diagnosis of XLPE insulated URD cables was accomplished through out new method. which was to be analyzed non-electrical experiments and synthesized by degradation points. To supplement this method, it was also carried out using several electrical analyses. Breakdown voltages were measured and breakdown lifetimes were Predicted appling for Weibull distribution function. As a result, breakdown lifetime in failure cables was shorted up to 1/3 times than that in general cables. It was very available to estimate cable degradation using above method, but it needs further study on XLPE insulated URD cables in order to improve reliability.

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