• Title/Summary/Keyword: fuzzy decision

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Study on Risk Assessment Method of Hydrogen Station using FAHP-HAZOP (FAHP-HAZOP을 적용한 수소충전소의 위험성평가 방법 연구)

  • Yeong Gwang Jo;Sien Ho Han
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.92-101
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    • 2023
  • To solve the problem of climate change, carbon neutrality has now become a necessity rather than an option. Hydrogen is not only a energy storage that can supplement the intermittent production of renewable energy, but is also considered a good alternative in the field of utilization as it does not emit carbon dioxide after reaction. In order to revitalize hydrogen vehicles, one of the fields of hydrogen utilization, the construction of hydrogen station infrastructure must be preceded. Prioritization of risk factors is necessary for efficient operation and risk assessment of hydrogen stations, but due to the short operation period of domestic hydrogen stations, there is a lack of frequency data on accidents and their reliability is low. In this study, we aim to identify the causes and consequences of deviations in hydrogen stations through HAZOP analysis. Additionally, we intend to analyze them using Fuzzy-AHP. Through this, we intend to derive the decision values for the causes of deviations in hydrogen stations and apply them to hydrogen accident cases and risk assessments to confirm the reliability and utility of the data.

Priority Decision of Cross-Compliance of Public-Benefit Direct Payment for Agriculture and Rural Area (농업·농촌 공익형 직불제 상호준수의무 우선순위 결정)

  • Chae, Hong-Gi;Kim, Se-Hyuk;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.218-225
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the priorities of the cross-compliance items of public-benefit direct payment using an Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Decision Making Analysis. The valuation criteria are policy efficiency, farm acceptability, and feasibility, and the valuation targets are the basic and additional cross-compliance items. The survey was performed by targeting 50 experts from each class, and conducted for about a month starting from the beginning of July 2019. The results show that the weight of the valuation criteria is higher in the order of farm acceptability, feasibility, and policy efficiency. Compliance with PLS standards, compliance with disposal standards of waste vinyl and pesticides, soil testing, compliance with toxic substance standards, education, etc. are comparatively evaluated to be higher cross-compliance items in basic cross-compliance. Disposing of an abandoned well, jointly collecting and disposing of agricultural by-products, common area care and cleaning, maintenance of empty houses and poor facilities, growing green manure crops during the fallow period, etc. are comparatively evaluated to be higher cross-compliance items for the additional cross-compliance. The results of this study are expected to contribute to the government's policy related to the cross-compliance of public-benefit direct payment.

An Improved Dempster-Shafer Algorithm Using a Partial Conflict Measurement

  • Odgerel, Bayanmunkh;Lee, Chang-Hoon
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.308-317
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    • 2016
  • Multiple evidences based decision making is an important functionality for computers and robots. To combine multiple evidences, mathematical theory of evidence has been developed, and it involves the most vital part called Dempster's rule of combination. The rule is used for combining multiple evidences. However, the combined result gives a counterintuitive conclusion when highly conflicting evidences exist. In particular, when we obtain two different sources of evidence for a single hypothesis, only one of the sources may contain evidence. In this paper, we introduce a modified combination rule based on the partial conflict measurement by using an absolute difference between two evidences' basic probability numbers. The basic probability number is described in details in Section 2 "Mathematical Theory of Evidence". As a result, the proposed combination rule outperforms Dempster's rule of combination. More precisely, the modified combination rule provides a reasonable conclusion when combining highly conflicting evidences and shows similar results with Dempster's rule of combination in the case of the both sources of evidence are not conflicting. In addition, when obtained evidences contain multiple hypotheses, our proposed combination rule shows more logically acceptable results in compared with the results of Dempster's rule.

Temporal Search Algorithm for Multiple-Pedestrian Tracking

  • Yu, Hye-Yeon;Kim, Young-Nam;Kim, Moon-Hyun
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.2310-2325
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we provide a trajectory-generation algorithm that can identify pedestrians in real time. Typically, the contours for the extraction of pedestrians from the foreground of images are not clear due to factors including brightness and shade; furthermore, pedestrians move in different directions and interact with each other. These issues mean that the identification of pedestrians and the generation of trajectories are somewhat difficult. We propose a new method for trajectory generation regarding multiple pedestrians. The first stage of the method distinguishes between those pedestrian-blob situations that need to be merged and those that require splitting, followed by the use of trained decision trees to separate the pedestrians. The second stage generates the trajectories of each pedestrian by using the point-correspondence method; however, we introduce a new point-correspondence algorithm for which the A* search method has been modified. By using fuzzy membership functions, a heuristic evaluation of the correspondence between the blobs was also conducted. The proposed method was implemented and tested with the PETS 2009 dataset to show an effective multiple-pedestrian-tracking capability in a pedestrian-interaction environment.

Utilization of Planned Routes and Dead Reckoning Positions to Improve Situation Awareness at Sea

  • Kim, Joo-Sung;Jeong, Jung Sik;Park, Gyei-Kark
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.288-294
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    • 2014
  • Understanding a ship's present position has been one of the most important tasks during a ship's voyage, in both ancient and modern times. Particularly, a ship's dead reckoning (DR) has been used for predicting traffic situations and collision avoidance actions. However, the current system that uses the traditional method of calculating DR employs the received position and speed data only. Therefore, it is not applicable for predicting navigation within the harbor limits, owing to the frequent changes in the ship's course and speed in this region. In this study, planned routes were applied for improving the reliability of the proposed system and predicting the traffic patterns in advance. The proposed method of determining the dead reckoning position (DRP) uses not only the ships' received data but also the navigational patterns and tracking data in harbor limits. The Mercator sailing formulas were used for calculating the ships' DRPs and planned routes. The data on the traffic patterns were collected from the automatic identification system and analyzed using MATLAB. Two randomly chosen ships were analyzed for simulating their tracks and comparing the DR method during the timeframes of the ships' movement. The proposed method of calculating DR, combined with the information on planned routes and DRPs, is expected to contribute towards improving the decision-making abilities of operators.

Bandwidth Reservation scheme Using Mobile Tracking (이동체 추적을 이용한 대역폭 예약 기법)

  • 정혜명
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.25 no.10A
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    • pp.1512-1520
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    • 2000
  • The wireless communication network is evolving toward IMT-2000 for providing various multimedia services. In order to accomplish this ultimate goal the effective schemes are required which can dynamically utilize the limited wireless resources based on different traffic characteristics of various services. This paper proposes a novel bandwidth allocation and call admission control scheme to transmit multimedia traffic based on the bandwidth reservation procedure using direction estimation in the IMT-2000 This scheme estimates the position of mobiles based on the mliticriteria decision making in which uncertain parameters such as RSS(Received Signal Strength), the distance between mobile and base station the moving direction and the previous location are participated in the decision process using aggregation function in fuzzy set theory. Its effectiveness is investigated by simulation.

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A Hybrid QFD Framework for New Product Development

  • Tsai, Y-C;Chin, K-S;Yang, J-B
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.138-158
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    • 2002
  • Nowadays, new product development (NPD) is one of the most crucial factors for business success. The manufacturing firms cannot afford the resources in the long development cycle and the costly redesigns. Good product planning is crucial to ensure the success of NPD, while the Quality Function deployment (QFD) is an effective tool to help the decision makers to determine appropriate product specifications in the product planning stage. Traditionally, in the QFD, the product specifications are determined by a rather subjective evaluation, which is based on the knowledge and experience of the decision makers. In this paper, the traditional QFD methodology is firstly reviewed. An improved Hybrid Quality Function Deployment (HQFD) [MSOfficel] then presented to tackle the shortcomings of traditional QFD methodologies in determining the engineering characteristics. A structured questionnaire to collect and analyze the customer requirements, a methodology to establish a QFD record base and effective case retrieval, and a model to more objectively determine the target values of engineering characteristics are also described.

An Approach to Drought Vulnerability Assessment using Multi Criteria Decision Making Method (다기준 의사결정기법을 적용한 가뭄취약성 평가 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Hyung Jin;Lee, Gyu Min;Lee, Jae Nam;Kwon, Min Sung;Kang, Mun Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.385-385
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 가뭄과 연관되는 다양한 관련 요인을 포함한 가뭄취약성 평가방안을 수립하고 이를 적용하는 것을 목표로 하였다. 평가기법은 평가인자와 가중치 선정, 평가자료 데이터베이스 구축, 평가자료와 가중치를 조합한 평가의 세 단계로 구성되었으며 평가인자 및 가중치 선정에는 Delphi 조사기법을 적용하고 평가기법으로는 최근 널리 적용되고 있는 MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision Making) 방법인 TOPSIS (Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) 기법을 활용하였다. 평가인자는 기상분야(Meteorological factors), 농업분야(Agricultural factors), 사회경제분야(Socioeconomic factors), 환경분야(Natural System)로 구성하였으며 선정된 인자에 대한 데이터베이스를 구성하기 위하여 기상청, 농어촌공사, 수자원공사 등의 관계기관이 관리하는 자료를 수집하였다. 수립한 가뭄취약성 평가방안을 2016년 3월부터 2019년 9월까지 우리나라 시군구 행정구역 단위, 총 167개 지역이며 순위법, 비율법, fuzzy 등 가중치 선정방법에 따라 결과에 약간의 차이가 나타난다. 가뭄예보결과와 취약성 평가결과를 비교해 보면 충청남도 홍성군이 동기간 동안 가뭄예경보 발령 횟수가 가장 많았으며, 충청남도 보령시와 서산시도 매우 높은 빈도로 확인되었다. 평가 결과, 충청북도, 경상남도, 전라남도에 가뭄 취약지역이 다수 도출 되어 이들 지역에 대한 가뭄 대응 방안 수립이 필요한 것으로 분석되었다.

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Data-Driven Approaches for Evaluating Countries in the International Construction Market

  • Lee, Kang-Wook;Han, Seung H.
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.496-500
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    • 2015
  • International construction projects are inherently more risky than domestic projects with multi-dimensional uncertainties that require complementary risk management at both the country and project levels. However, despite a growing need for systematic country evaluations, most studies have focused on project-level decisions and lack country-based approaches for firms in the construction industry. Accordingly, this study suggests data-driven approaches for evaluating countries using two quantitative models. The first is a two-stage country segmentation model that not only screens negative countries based on country attractiveness (macro-segmentation) but also identifies promising countries based on the level of past project performance in a given country (micro-segmentation). The second is a multi-criteria country segmentation model that combines a firm's business objective with the country evaluation process based on Kraljic's matrix and fuzzy preference relations (FPR). These models utilize not only secondary data from internationally reputable institutions but also performance data on Korean firms from 1990 to 2014 to evaluate 29 countries. The proposed approaches enable firms to enhance their decision-making capacity for evaluating and selecting countries at the early stage of corporate strategy development.

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Pattern Recognition of Ship Navigational Data Using Support Vector Machine

  • Kim, Joo-Sung;Jeong, Jung Sik
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.268-276
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    • 2015
  • A ship's sailing route or plan is determined by the master as the decision maker of the vessel, and depends on the characteristics of the navigational environment and the conditions of the ship. The trajectory, which appears as a result of the ship's navigation, is monitored and stored by a Vessel Traffic Service center, and is used for an analysis of the ship's navigational pattern and risk assessment within a particular area. However, such an analysis is performed in the same manner, despite the different navigational environments between coastal areas and the harbor limits. The navigational environment within the harbor limits changes rapidly owing to construction of the port facilities, dredging operations, and so on. In this study, a support vector machine was used for processing and modeling the trajectory data. A K-fold cross-validation and a grid search were used for selecting the optimal parameters. A complicated traffic route similar to the circumstances of the harbor limits was constructed for a validation of the model. A group of vessels was composed, each vessel of which was given various speed and course changes along a specified route. As a result of the machine learning, the optimal route and voyage data model were obtained. Finally, the model was presented to Vessel Traffic Service operators to detect any anomalous vessel behaviors. Using the proposed data modeling method, we intend to support the decision-making of Vessel Traffic Service operators in terms of navigational patterns and their characteristics.