• 제목/요약/키워드: financial decision making

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재무비율을 활용한 포트폴리오 최적화 전략 (Portfolio optimization strategy based on financial ratios)

  • 최정용;김지우;오경주
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.1481-1500
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 우리나라 주식시장을 대상으로 회계 정보 기반 포트폴리오 투자전략의 안정성과 우수성을 확인하였다. 포트폴리오를 구성 하는 과정에서 재무비율의 다양한 조합을 활용하여 기대수익률이 높고, 투자 위험이 낮은 종목군을 선정하고 그 성과를 측정하였다. 또한 회계 정보 기반 유전자 알고리즘 최적화 아이디어를 제시하여 투자성과를 높이고자 했다. 본 연구의 결과로 회계 정보를 활용한 포트폴리오 구성 전략이 투자 의사결정에 유효하며, 이를 통하여 높은 투자성과를 얻을 수 있음을 확인했다. 또한 유전자 알고리즘을 활용한 포트폴리오 투자전략이 실무적으로 투자 의사결정에 유용하게 활용될 수 있음을 검증하였다.

지수가중이동평균법과 결합된 마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형 기반 투자 프레임워크 개발 : 글로벌 금융위기 상황 하 한국 주식시장을 중심으로 (Developing an Investment Framework based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model Integrated with EWMA : Case Study in Korea under Global Financial Crisis)

  • 박경찬;정종빈;김성문
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.75-93
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    • 2013
  • In applying Markowitz's portfolio selection model to the stock market, we developed a comprehensive investment decision-making framework including key inputs for portfolio theory (i.e., individual stocks' expected rate of return and covariance) and minimum required expected return. For estimating the key inputs of our decision-making framework, we utilized an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) which places more emphasis on recent data than the conventional simple moving average (SMA). We empirically analyzed the investment results of the decision-making framework with the same 15 stocks in Samsung Group Funds found in the Korean stock market between 2007 and 2011. This five-year investment horizon is marked by global financial crises including the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis, the collapse of Lehman Brothers, and the European sovereign-debt crisis. We measure portfolio performance in terms of rate of return, standard deviation of returns, and Sharpe ratio. Results are compared with the following benchmarks : 1) KOSPI, 2) Samsung Group Funds, 3) Talmudic portfolio based on the na$\ddot{i}$ve 1/N rule, and 4) Markowitz's model with SMA. We performed sensitivity analyses on all the input parameters that are necessary for designing an investment decision-making framework : smoothing constant for EWMA, minimum required expected return for the portfolio, and portfolio rebalancing period. In conclusion, appropriate use of the comprehensive investment decision-making framework based on the Markowitz's model integrated with EWMA proves to achieve outstanding performance compared to the benchmarks.

The Role of Adopting Financial Management Information Systems in Increasing Organizational Performance: Evidence from Kuwaiti SMEs

  • ALMUTAIRI, Humoud Awad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권12호
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    • pp.411-420
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    • 2021
  • Based on the Financial Management Information Systems (FMIS) variables and supporting arenas, the current study aims to highlight the importance of FMIS in supporting organizations to achieve organizational excellence (Managing Liabilities, Support Decision Making, Cost Efficiency, Financial Quality, and Security). A quantitative approach was utilized by adopting a questionnaire as a tool. A convenient sample of (249) individuals from different Kuwaiti SMEs answered the questionnaire. SPSS v. 26 was used to analyze gathered data. The study's findings revealed that FMIS has a significant impact on organizational trials to achieve organizational excellence. This impact was most noticeable on the level of cost-efficiency, with an R-value of 0.583, followed by a positive impact on security, with an R-value of 0.453. Based on the results, it can be widely generalized that FMIS can help the organization reach organizational excellence through managing its financial affairs. As a result, the study recommends paying more attention to the quality of data presented to FMIS, keeping in mind that human errors in data entry might result in incorrect and malfunctioned data, even if it is processed by FMIS. FMIS also improves the ability of an organization to schedule financial information, such as obligations, receivables, debts, payments, and expenses.

금융기관 클라우드 시스템 도입을 위한 의사결정 모델에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Decision Making Model for the Introduction of the Financial Institution's Cloud Systems)

  • 이희석;김인석
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.743-763
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    • 2018
  • 클라우드 시스템 개념이 출현한지 10여년이 지났고, 비용의 효율성 및 보안성이 검증 되었음에도 불구하고, 금융 회사에서는 클라우드 시스템 도입을 주저하고 있다. 고객정보 유출과 관련한 금융당국의 강력한 규제가 주된 이유겠지만, 금융기관들의 클라우드 시스템 도입에 대한 방향성과 기준이 부재한 것도 중요한 이유라고 생각한다. 본 연구에서는 금융회사의 클라우드 시스템 도입에 대한 법적 제도적 제약사항을 살펴보고, 금융기관들이 IT시스템을 구축할 때 클라우드 시스템 적용 가능 여부와 클라우드 시스템 구성 형태를 결정하는 의사결정 모델을 제시하고자 한다. 본 연구가 많은 금융기관들의 클라우드 시스템 도입 방향성을 수립하는데 많은 도움이 되기를 희망한다.

IT프로젝트 규모와 유형에 따른 IT투자 의사결정기준의 차이 (The Impact of IT Project Size and Types on IT Investment Decision Criteria)

  • 이국희
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.191-211
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    • 2005
  • This study investigates the decision criteria used in the context of IT investment decision making and empirically analyzes the impact of IT project size and types on the importance of decision criteria. 5 criteria which have been extracted from the previous studies and industry practices are budget, financial benefits. strategic value. risk, and the degree of proposer's eagerness. Data of 120 IT project proposals have been collected from 5 companies including bank, insurance. and stock trading company. As results of ANOVA test. 7 out of 10 hypothesis have been accepted statistically. That is. the bigger the project size. the higher the evaluation weight of project budget and risk criteria and the lower the weight of proposer's eagerness. And in case of the infrastructure investment type. the emphasis is placed more on strategic value and risk criteria and less on financial benefit and proposer's eagerness. These findings provide insights for both IT practitioners and researchers.

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DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SUBURBAN STATION REHABILITATION

  • TaeHoon Hong;Sangyoub Lee
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 1th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.855-861
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    • 2005
  • Every public agency governing infrastructure has to plan effectively for rehabilitation of existing facilities within the constraints of the capital program. Numerous technical, social, political, financial, and management constraints govern the decision to rehabilitate a facility. However, without a systematic procedure for selecting facilities for rehabilitation, within the prevailing constraints, it is possible that the funds available for rehabilitation might be suboptimized. Therefore, a decision support system that assists the user in selecting facilities for rehabilitation while considering the technical, social, financial, and political and management constraints will be useful in the decision-making process. This paper compares the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) with the Swing Weight method used to prioritize functional criteria for suburban station rehabilitation. This paper also contains a brief discussion about the relevance of the Multi Attribute utility theory in developing a decision model for the problem at hand. The results of this paper provides the user with a decision support system that would prioritize the stations in order of their weights obtained by a systematic evaluation of various criteria and sub-criteria involved in the decision making process

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재무 가치를 고려한 PMO의 전략적 동일 한정 자원 배분 (Strategic Allocation of the Limited Same Resource by Program Management Office Considering Financial Values)

  • 황진하;김주한;황지연
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 2012
  • Priority rules or sequencing heuristics conventionally used to determine resource allocation is to maximize the earned value on time and cost. This study provides a effective strategy-oriented approach for the program resource management problem with limited same resource, which systematically connects individual project objectives to the overall organizational goal, by introducing financial values as well as priority rules in a broader context. It deals with the resource allocation problem as the decision making problem in the strategic management paradigm to meet business objective and solves it using the analytic hierarchy process, and explains the method of application and usefulness through some simulation cases.

블록체인 기반의 토큰 증권 IT 플랫폼 선택을 위한 의사결정 연구 (A Study on Decision Making for Blockchain-based IT Platform Selection for Security Token)

  • 양수오;서병완
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2023
  • 2023년 2월 금융위원회의 '토큰증권 발행·유통체계 정비방안' 발표 이후 금융기관, 증권사 및 블록체인 기업들은 IT 플랫폼 구현을 적극적으로 고려하고 있으나 아직 관련 법적규제가 명확히 확립되어 있지 않아 토큰증권의 IT 플랫폼에 선정에 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이에 따라 블록체인 기반의 토큰증권 IT 플랫폼 선택에 대해 합리적이고 체계적인 기준의 필요성이 대두되었고, 본 연구에서는 이를 델파이 기법(Delphi Method)과 계층적 의사결정 방법(AHP, Analytic Hierarchy Process)을 통해 토큰증권 IT 플랫폼 선택의 핵심 요인을 탐색 및 평가하였다. 상위 핵심요인으로 '플랫폼의 성숙도', '플랫폼의 운영 및 관리', '플랫폼 도입 및 유지비용', '토큰 증권에 대한 규제 적합성' 등 4개의 요인이 도출되었고, 하위 핵심요인으로는 '다양성', '사용자 인증관리', '도입비용', '금융규제'등 17개의 요인이 도출되었다. 연구 결과, 17개의 하위요인 중 '정부금융규제'과 '개인정보보호'가 중요한 요인으로 선정되고, 본 연구결과는 토큰증권 IT 플랫폼 선택의 체계적인 의사결정 기준을 제공하여 관련 기관 및 금융 기업들의 전략적 결정에 도움을 줄 수 있을 것이다.

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Simultaneous Equation Estimation in Finance and Corporate Financial Decision: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange

  • AHMED, Wahab;KHAN, Hadi Hassan;RAUF, Abdul;ULHAQ, SM Nabeel;BANO, Safia;SARWAR, Bilal;HUDA, Shams ul;KHAN, Mirwaise;WALI, Ahmed;DURRANI, Maryam Najeeb
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2021
  • In the last few years, there is growing interest in the field of simultaneous equation estimation in finance due to the endogeneity problem caused by measurement errors, simultaneity, or omitted variables. This study aims to discuss the endogeneity problem in corporate financing decisions and investigate the interrelationship of financial decision-making such as investment decision, dividend decision, and external financing decision in Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) using two-stage least squares (2SLS) and generalized method of moment (GMM) estimation. The Bruech-Pagan test shows that the data has no heteroskedasticity issue and 2SLS is a better approach in the context of this study as compared to the GMM approach, and internal instruments are also sufficiently strong and valid. The three financial decision-making attributes are not jointly determined, and the dividend is influenced by one-sided investment. In the emerging stock market context, external financing and investment are not inter-related and did not affect each other. The question of whether the simultaneous equation estimation can be useful in the context of the emerging stock markets and newly-growing firms remains unanswered. The inclusive evidence shows that the theoretical link in the emerging stock market is difficult to prove like in developed stock markets.

국내 생명보험회사의 재무건전성 평가: ELECTRE II, 단순가중합모형, 군집분석의 비교 (Financial Performance Evaluation of Domestic Life Insurers : A Comparison of ELECTREII, SAW and Cluster Analysis)

  • 민재형;송영민
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.39-60
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    • 2003
  • In this study, we evaluate financial performance of 21 domestic life insurers using SAW (simple additive weighting), ELECTREII, cluster analysis respectively, and suggest a hybrid approach of combining cluster analysis and ELECTREII to reclassify the life insurers into more meaningful groups according to their respective financial features. We also perform the sensitivity analysis employing ANOVA and Tukey's test to examine the robustness of ELECTREII, which would be influenced by decision maker's subjective preference parameters. Consequently, it is shown that ELECTREII turns out to be a flexible method providing decision makers with useful ranking Information especially under fuzzy decision making situation with incomparable alternatives, and hence it can serve as a complementary method to overcome the weakness of classical cluster analysis.