• 제목/요약/키워드: fault estimation

검색결과 391건 처리시간 0.032초

Research on rapid source term estimation in nuclear accident emergency decision for pressurized water reactor based on Bayesian network

  • Wu, Guohua;Tong, Jiejuan;Zhang, Liguo;Yuan, Diping;Xiao, Yiqing
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제53권8호
    • /
    • pp.2534-2546
    • /
    • 2021
  • Nuclear emergency preparedness and response is an essential part to ensure the safety of nuclear power plant (NPP). Key support technologies of nuclear emergency decision-making usually consist of accident diagnosis, source term estimation, accident consequence assessment, and protective action recommendation. Source term estimation is almost the most difficult part among them. For example, bad communication, incomplete information, as well as complicated accident scenario make it hard to determine the reactor status and estimate the source term timely in the Fukushima accident. Subsequently, it leads to the hard decision on how to take appropriate emergency response actions. Hence, this paper aims to develop a method for rapid source term estimation to support nuclear emergency decision making in pressurized water reactor NPP. The method aims to make our knowledge on NPP provide better support nuclear emergency. Firstly, this paper studies how to build a Bayesian network model for the NPP based on professional knowledge and engineering knowledge. This paper presents a method transforming the PRA model (event trees and fault trees) into a corresponding Bayesian network model. To solve the problem that some physical phenomena which are modeled as pivotal events in level 2 PRA, cannot find sensors associated directly with their occurrence, a weighted assignment approach based on expert assessment is proposed in this paper. Secondly, the monitoring data of NPP are provided to the Bayesian network model, the real-time status of pivotal events and initiating events can be determined based on the junction tree algorithm. Thirdly, since PRA knowledge can link the accident sequences to the possible release categories, the proposed method is capable to find the most likely release category for the candidate accidents scenarios, namely the source term. The probabilities of possible accident sequences and the source term are calculated. Finally, the prototype software is checked against several sets of accident scenario data which are generated by the simulator of AP1000-NPP, including large loss of coolant accident, loss of main feedwater, main steam line break, and steam generator tube rupture. The results show that the proposed method for rapid source term estimation under nuclear emergency decision making is promising.

다양한 손상상태를 반영한 피뢰기 설비의 지진취약도 해석 (Seismic Fragility Analysis of Lightning Arrester Considering Various Damage States)

  • 신유성;송종걸
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.19-28
    • /
    • 2014
  • The seismic evaluation of electric power facilities in the switchyard of nuclear power plants is currently insufficient. In order to evaluate the seismic performance of lightning arrester subjected to four types of earthquake (near- and far-fault earthquakes, NEHRP Site Class A&B and D earthquakes), seismic fragility analysis using maximum likelihood estimation is performed considering various damage states. The comparison of the seismic fragility curves for three main parts of lightning arrester that are the busing, anchor and steel frame, reveals that the failure of lightning arrester is governed by the bushing damage mode such as porcelain cracking.

시전달 측정치 융합에 기반한 압축필트 (Compression Filters Based on Time-Propagated Measurement Fusion)

  • 이형근;이장규
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
    • /
    • 제51권9호
    • /
    • pp.389-401
    • /
    • 2002
  • To complement the conventional fusion methodologies of state fusion and measurement fusion, a time-propagated measurement fusion methodology is proposed. Various aspects of common process noise are investigated regarding information preservation. Based on time-propagated measurement fusion methodology, four compression filters are derived. The derived compression filters are efficient in asynchronous sensor fusion and fault detection since they maintain correct statistical information. A new batch Kalman recursion is proposed to show the optimality under the time-propagated measurement fusion methodology. A simple simulation result evaluates estimation efficiency and characteristic.

A Dependability Estimation of Microprocessor-based Software under Memory Faults using Stochastic Activity Network (SAN)

  • Park, Jong-Gyun;Seong, Poong-Hyun
    • 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국원자력학회 1996년도 춘계학술발표회논문집(2)
    • /
    • pp.725-730
    • /
    • 1996
  • In this work, the software behavior under memory faults in operation phase is modeled and simulated using the stochastic activity network, generalized stochastic Petri nets. This networks permit the representation of concurrency, timeliness, fault tolerance, and degradable performance of system and provide a means for determining the stochastic behavior of a complex system. We estimate the reliability of an application software in the digitized system in nuclear power plants and show the sensitivity of the software reliability to the major physical parameters which affect the software failure in normal operation phase. We found that the effects of the hardware faults on the software failure should be considered for predicting the software dependability accurately in operation phase.

  • PDF

송전 계통 감시 시스템을 위한 취약도 평가 방법 개발 (Vulnerability Evaluation for Monitoring Wide Area Outage in Transmission Systems)

  • 김진환;임일형;이승재;최면송;임성일;김상태;진보건
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제59권3호
    • /
    • pp.506-514
    • /
    • 2010
  • Defense systems are needed to prevent catastrophic failures of a power grid due to cascaded events. Cascaded events can be occurred by power flow overload. Especially, it is the most dangerous problem that overload line is outage, because it can make the power system face danger of cascaded. In this paper, vulnerability evaluation for monitoring wide are outage is proposed using by configuration information of transmission systems. This method of vulnerability evaluation is considered direct effect and indirect effect of power flow, especially overload. What is more, it can be used when the configuration of power system changes, as simple fault occurs or maintenance of facility. In the case studies, the estimation and simulation network have been testified and analysed in PSSE and C programming.

회전자 슬롯 고조파를 이용한 유도전동기의 회전속도 검출 (Detection of Rotating Speed of Induction Motor Using the Rotor Slot Harmonic)

  • 양철오;이경석;이대성;박규남;송명현
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2011년도 제42회 하계학술대회
    • /
    • pp.2077-2078
    • /
    • 2011
  • Now a days, the induction motor is widely used in industry automation. Without monitoring the motor fault, maintenance cost is increased undesirably high. The slip frequency is included in the feature frequency, so rotating rotor speed is needed. In this paper, a sensorless motor speed estimation method, rotor slot harmonic(RSH) method is suggested and a solution of rotor bar diagnosis is proposed for motor running with light-load. When the rotor is rotating, it shows the harmonic signal of back-emf voltage related with number of rotor slot. So from the power spectrum of current signal, we can find the rotor speed.

  • PDF

Seismic surface waves in a pre-stressed imperfectly bonded covered half-space

  • Negin, Masoud
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • 제16권1호
    • /
    • pp.11-19
    • /
    • 2018
  • Propagation of the generalized Rayleigh waves in an elastic half-space covered by an elastic layer for different initial stress combinations and imperfect contact conditions is investigated. Three-dimensional linearized theory of elastic waves in initially stressed bodies in plane-strain state is employed, the corresponding dispersion equation is derived and an algorithm is developed for numerical solution to this equation. Numerical results on the influence of the initial stress patterns and on the influence of the contact conditions are presented and discussed. The case where the external forces are "follower forces" is considered as well. These investigations provide some theoretical foundations for the study of the near-surface waves propagating in layered mechanical systems and can be successfully used for estimation of the degree of the bonded defects between layers, fault characteristics and study of the behavior of seismic surface waves propagating under the bottom of the oceans.

배전기기 고장률 추출에 관한 연구 (A Study on Failure Rate Extraction of Power Distribution System Equipment)

  • 문종필;김재철;이희태;추철민;안재민
    • 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국조명전기설비학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.366-368
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate (TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO). For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential (random failure) and Weibull (aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate (MFR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR.

  • PDF

Establishing the Method of Risk Assessment Analysis for Prevention of Marine Accidents Based on Human Factors: Application to Safe Evacuation System

  • Fukuchi, Nobuyoshi;Shinoda, Takeshi
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
    • /
    • 제4권4호
    • /
    • pp.19-33
    • /
    • 2000
  • For the prevention of marine accidents based on human factor, the risk assessment analysis procedure is proposed which consists of (1) the structural analysis of marine accident, (2) the estimation of incidence probability based on the Fault Tree analysis, (3) the prediction of ef-fectiveness to reduced the accident risk by suitable countermeasures in the specified functional system, and (4) the risk assessment by means of minimizing of the total cost expectation and the background risk. As a practical example, the risk assessment analysis for preventing is investigated using the proposed method.

  • PDF

증기발생기 모델을 이용한 계통 및 계측기 고장검출에 관한 연구 (Process and instrument faults detection based on steam generator model)

  • 김정수;유준;나난주;권기춘
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1993년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); Seoul National University, Seoul; 20-22 Oct. 1993
    • /
    • pp.250-255
    • /
    • 1993
  • In this paper, for detection and isolation of instrument and process faults related with steam generator(S/G) in nuclear power plant, two types of observers are designed based on the linearized dynamic model of S/G : a bank of Dedicated Observers (DOS) for instrument faults detection and a bank of Unknown Input Observers(UIO) for process faults detection. And then, they are combined to decide which one between the above two faults occurs. In principle, the failure in ith instrument(process) can be isolated by monitoring the error between the ith output and its estimation obtained from the ith DOS(UIO). It is shown via computer simulations that the present scheme is feasible in finding out the source of a fault.

  • PDF