• Title/Summary/Keyword: fashion forecasting

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Sales Volume Prediction Model for Temperature Change using Big Data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 이용한 기온 변화에 대한 판매량 예측 모델)

  • Back, Seung-Hoon;Oh, Ji-Yeon;Lee, Ji-Su;Hong, Jun-Ki;Hong, Sung-Chan
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a sales forecasting model that forecasts the sales volume of short sleeves and outerwear according to the temperature change by utilizing accumulated big data from the online shopping mall 'A' over the past five years to increase sales volume and efficient inventory management. The proposed model predicts sales of short sleeves and outerwear according to temperature changes in 2018 by analyzing sales volume of short sleeves and outerwear from 2014 to 2017. Using the proposed sales forecasting model, we compared the sales forecasts of 2018 with the actual sales volume and found that the error rates are ±1.5% and ±8% for short sleeve and outerwear respectively.

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Regional and Sex Differences in Cognition and Wear Behavior Concerning Fine-dust Protective Masks during High Concentration Days (미세먼지 고농도 시즌 방진용 마스크에 관한 인식과 착용 행동에서 전국 지역별 차이 및 성차)

  • Lee, Joo-Young;Park, Joonhee;Baek, Yoon Jeong;Jung, Dahee;Ko, Yelin;Jung, Jae Yeon;Kang, Juho;Lee, Taekyung;Lee, Yejin;Song, Eunyoung;Son, Su-Young;Kwon, Juyoun;Kim, Sun-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.516-538
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    • 2020
  • The present study investigated regional and sex differences in knowledge, perception, cognition and behavior of fine-dust protective masks for periods of high concentration of fine dust in Korea. A total of 2,012 adults from seven provinces responded to the questionnaire. The results (all p<.05) showed that 78% of respondents considered pollution from China to be the greatest contributor of fine dust. Seoul and Gyeonggi residents more frequently checked fine dust forecasts than other provinces and consulted their smartphone applications to do so more than other residents. Jeju, Gwangwon, and Jeonla residents had less knowledge of KF 80, 94, and 99 masks than residents of other provinces. Gwangwon and Jeju residents had less trust in the effectiveness of protective masks than other residents. Females perceived themselves as unhealthier respiratory, more frequently checked the concentration of fine dust, trusted more the effectiveness of masks, and more frequently wore masks, compared to male respondents. Those who self-identified their respiratory function as poor, more frequently checked fine dust forecasting, and had greater knowledge of masks, which resulted in greater trust in the protective function of masks, and finally had higher wear frequency of masks for days with high concentrations of fine dust.

A Study on the Forecasting of Export Demands for International Textile Products (국제(國際) 섬유제품(纖維製品) 수출수요(輸出需要)의 예측(豫測)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究))

  • Yang, Lee-Na
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.7-18
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    • 1999
  • This study concerns the demand for Korean textile products in the USA, Japan, EU from 2000 to 2003. The result from the practice of study is as follows; The grand total export demand of textile product is estimated about U$7.2billion in 2000, U$8.5billion in 2003, and the annual growing rate is estimated 5.17%. The export of textile product to USA, Japan, EU, and other countries will be gradually increased from 2000 to 2003. Comparing to annual average export growing ratio, it is expected the ranks of annual average growing ratio as follows; The highest ratio is 8.35% in EU, the next 7.08% in other countries, 2.67% in Japan, and 2.51% in USA. It shows the change of the new countries to which our nation exports textile-products from the exportmarket structure of the present major export countries such as USA, Japan to EU and other nations. Also shows the same result in the export ratio by countries. The research predicts that the textile export portion will be decreased for our nation to USA and Japan while increased to EU and other countries.

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Luxury, sustainability and the future - The case study of Burberry -

  • Bae, Su Yun
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.64-71
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    • 2019
  • Climate change and global warming are the biggest challenges of the current generation. Every industry has contributed to the climate change and global warming. Even the apparel industry cannot avoid the criticism regarding fast fashion and its contribution to the pollution. The transition to the decarbonized economy is in progress. All aspects of business functions are influenced by climate change. Sustainable development and climate change are closely linked, and business plays the key role in addressing and finding solutions to the challenges of climate change. Luxury brands are the trendsetters and tastemakers. They are the leaders in the fashion industry and therefore responsible for improving on sustainability as well. Even luxury business cannot avoid environmental issues. The relation between luxury and sustainability is explored with the Burberry case based on the Triple Bottom Line (TBL) framework. There are various ways for luxury brands to excel in sustainability and affect other companies' practices. The companies can incorporate the concept of sustainability in their brand stories as part of the branding process. They can also improve demand planning accuracy and produce upcycled goods. Centering on Burberry's case, this paper aims to explore the current sustainable practices of luxury business along with its future direction toward sustainable development. Its contribution and directions for both researchers and business practitioners are discussed.

A Study on Trend Forecasting of the Ethnic Theme-Concentrating on Los Angels Market in '97 F/W- (에스닉 테마를 주제로 한 유행경향 예측에 관한 연구-‘97 F/W 로스엔젤레스 시장을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Hye-Young
    • The Journal of Natural Sciences
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.199-208
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    • 1998
  • This study forecasts the trend of ethnic theme through market survey, concentrating on Los Angeles market. First, the background of ethnic theme was examined, and the present situation of shops, department sores, and headquarter was also surveyed. After that, fashion trend suitable for market was suggested by analyzing the life style of consumers through zip code. The results of the study are as follows. The conspicuous trend of '97 F/W retail stores is ethnic. This reaction to complicated modern life, and symbolizes the desirable evaluation on the simpleness of basic life and nature. The model of ethnic design is identified in natural clothing, primitive arts, ethnic culture and African theme. In short, this ethnic fashion is expressed as simpleness, naturalism convenience and freedom. On the other hand, the standard of general department stores such as Broadway and Robinson May which are the headquarter of this trend is to satisfy various consumers with various styles. Ethnic goods from Broadway has not arrived at the top for its introducing step. To elevate sales of these goods, promotion through VMD and suggesting various ethnic goods should be done. Besides, when analyzing the consumers of Beverly center Broadway, the target of these goods are mostly professional young people in their 25-34 and 35-44. The life style of these people emphasizes sophisticated life in aspects such as job-oriented activities, and up-to-date fashion. Especially, image is very important. They want individuality different from others. These images are diversified from simpleness, naiveness to sexy character. Accordingly, suggesting fashion trend satisfying the demand of consumers through market survey will make fashion market create infinite possibilities.

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A Study on the Gauge Types Comparative Analysis of Basic Jacquard Structure (기본 자카드 조직의 게이지 변화에 따른 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Ki, Hee-Sook
    • Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2017
  • The aim of this study is to plan a design that satisfies consumer needs by forecasting future properties following changes of gauge in basic Jacquard structure and to provide helpful data for a variety of knit-wear development. Four basic Jacquard knit samples (Normal Jacquard, Bird's eye Jacquard, Floating Jacquard, Tubular Jacquard) were selected and projected by using three types of gauges (7G, 12G, 14G) with an SES-122S type Computer Knitting machine of Shimaseiki MFG. Twelve different types of samples with Jacquards and gauges were tested on a flat table by measuring the course and wale in a 1cm area to calculate the gauge of samples. The mechanical properties of 12 types of Jacquard samples were measured using KES-FB (Kawabata Evaluation System for Fabric, Kata Tech Co. Ltd). As the result of comparing the number of patterns, courses and wales depending on the change of gauge of the basic Jacquard structure, it was observed that the number of patterns per specific length, course and wale has increased from 7G to 14G, a high-gauge. According to objective research regarding Jacquard structure, 7G Tubular Jacquard, which is low gauge, seems to be suitable for masculine design as it is heavy and thick, and has rigid and rough texture due to a high level of flexural strength and shear property. 14G Floating Jacquard, which is high gauge, seems to be suitable for feminine, silhouette design as it is light, thin, soft, flexible and has high drape. The result of this study provides a theoretical foundation for knit-wear development considering basic Jacquard structure and gauge-specific properties. This study can be used to provided directions for the development of knit industry.

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Sales Forecasting for Inventory Control on Seasonal fashion product (계절유행상품 재고관리를 위한 판매예측)

  • 안봉근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.953-959
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    • 2002
  • 계절유행상품의 수요는 연중 성수기가 길지 않고 매년 유행과 제품디자인 변화가심한 경향이 있어 수요예측에 과거의 판매정보의 유용성이 크지 않다. 성수기 초반의 수요가 연간 수요결정에 매우 중요하며 후반부수요가 급격히 감소하는 특성이 있다. 반면 이월상품의 잔존가치가 매우 낮지만 매출마진이 높아 수요예측의 정확도에 따라 수익률이 큰 영향을 받는다. 이러한 이유로 기존의 수요예측방법을 계절상품에 적용하기에 무리가 따르며 예측오차의 비용이 매우 커서 계절상품 관리에 이용할 수 없다. 본 연구에서 성수기를 하위기간으로 구분하여 시즌 초반부 수요발생시점을 측정하여 초반부 기간별수요량을 구하고 이를 근거로 기간 누적수요비율을 quantile regression에 의거 추정하여 기간별 수요량과 전제 수요량을 예측하는 방법을 제시하고 모의자료를 사용하여 이 모형의 우수성을 평가하였다.

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A Study on the Intelligent Quick Response System for Fast Fashion(IQRS-FF) (패스트 패션을 위한 지능형 신속대응시스템(IQRS-FF)에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hyun-Sung;Park, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.163-179
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    • 2010
  • Recentlythe concept of fast fashion is drawing attention as customer needs are diversified and supply lead time is getting shorter in fashion industry. It is emphasized as one of the critical success factors in the fashion industry how quickly and efficiently to satisfy the customer needs as the competition has intensified. Because the fast fashion is inherently susceptible to trend, it is very important for fashion retailers to make quick decisions regarding items to launch, quantity based on demand prediction, and the time to respond. Also the planning decisions must be executed through the business processes of procurement, production, and logistics in real time. In order to adapt to this trend, the fashion industry urgently needs supports from intelligent quick response(QR) system. However, the traditional functions of QR systems have not been able to completely satisfy such demands of the fast fashion industry. This paper proposes an intelligent quick response system for the fast fashion(IQRS-FF). Presented are models for QR process, QR principles and execution, and QR quantity and timing computation. IQRS-FF models support the decision makers by providing useful information with automated and rule-based algorithms. If the predefined conditions of a rule are satisfied, the actions defined in the rule are automatically taken or informed to the decision makers. In IQRS-FF, QRdecisions are made in two stages: pre-season and in-season. In pre-season, firstly master demand prediction is performed based on the macro level analysis such as local and global economy, fashion trends and competitors. The prediction proceeds to the master production and procurement planning. Checking availability and delivery of materials for production, decision makers must make reservations or request procurements. For the outsourcing materials, they must check the availability and capacity of partners. By the master plans, the performance of the QR during the in-season is greatly enhanced and the decision to select the QR items is made fully considering the availability of materials in warehouse as well as partners' capacity. During in-season, the decision makers must find the right time to QR as the actual sales occur in stores. Then they are to decide items to QRbased not only on the qualitative criteria such as opinions from sales persons but also on the quantitative criteria such as sales volume, the recent sales trend, inventory level, the remaining period, the forecast for the remaining period, and competitors' performance. To calculate QR quantity in IQRS-FF, two calculation methods are designed: QR Index based calculation and attribute similarity based calculation using demographic cluster. In the early period of a new season, the attribute similarity based QR amount calculation is better used because there are not enough historical sales data. By analyzing sales trends of the categories or items that have similar attributes, QR quantity can be computed. On the other hand, in case of having enough information to analyze the sales trends or forecasting, the QR Index based calculation method can be used. Having defined the models for decision making for QR, we design KPIs(Key Performance Indicators) to test the reliability of the models in critical decision makings: the difference of sales volumebetween QR items and non-QR items; the accuracy rate of QR the lead-time spent on QR decision-making. To verify the effectiveness and practicality of the proposed models, a case study has been performed for a representative fashion company which recently developed and launched the IQRS-FF. The case study shows that the average sales rateof QR items increased by 15%, the differences in sales rate between QR items and non-QR items increased by 10%, the QR accuracy was 70%, the lead time for QR dramatically decreased from 120 hours to 8 hours.

A Development of a Forecasting System of Textile Design based on Consumer Emotion(I) - Suggestion of an Efficient Textile Design Method - (소비자 감성에 기반한 텍스타일디자인 예측시스템 개발(I) - 효율적인 텍스타일디자인 방법 제안 -)

  • Cho, Hyun-Seung;Lee, Joo-Hyeon
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.187-195
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    • 2005
  • The purposes of this study were to investigate the effects of the elements of textile design on consumer emotion and to develop the emotion model which is suitable for the textile design. The descriptive system of textile design was developed based on the previous studies. Emotion measurement scale was developed to analyze the consumer emotion for the textile design. 20 representative types of textile design were collected as stimuli set for this study, consumer emotion on each design type was examined and was analyzed through the survey. For the data analysis, principal component analysis was employed. As a result, 8 emotional factors such as 'Modern', 'Fun', 'Natural', 'Elegance', 'Classic', 'Ethnic', 'Wild' and 'Sporty' were derived from the results of the survey. Emotion measurement scale which consisted of 8 factors was developed to analyze the effects of the elements of textile design on consumer emotion and 80 representative types of textile design were collected. In addition, the emotion which consumers feel for the textile design types was investigated and each textile design was described according to the descriptive system of textile design. Statistical methods of pearson correlation and multiple regression were employed to analyze the relationship between the elements of textile design and consumer emotion. The results of this study revealed that 15 design elements which affected consumer emotion were the size of motives, the shape of motives, the degree of tone contrast among motives etc. This study findings can provide specific design methods for the effectiveness of consumer emotion.

The Analysis of Contract-Foodservice Operational Efficiency using Data Envelopment Analysis and Efficiency-Profit Matrix (다점포 운영 푸드서비스 기업의 효율성 측정에 관한 연구 - DEA 및 효율, 수익 매트릭스 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Tae-Hee;Park, Ju-Yeon
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.823-835
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    • 2010
  • The research aimed to measure the efficiency of using multi stores in a foodservice company using by DEA (data envelopment analysis) which is a new management science technique. The study also attempted to identify relevant variables affecting DEA efficiency in order to suggest methods for improving efficiency. The data were collected from 148 contract foodservice operations, which were operated in similar fashion in October 2009. The DEA efficiency was calculated as an output-oriented BCC Model. Sales, and CSI (customer satisfaction index) were used as output variables whereas food cost, labor cost, and management expense were used as input variables to calculate the DEA efficiency. Operation process variables of the unit consisted of the were consist of ratio of regular employee, ratio of housekeeper, meal counts, meal price, food cost per meal, contract period, number of menu items, forecasting accuracy, order accuracy, inventory turnover, use of processed food, deviation of food cost, number of new menus, and number of events. According to the BCC score and profitability, units were classified into four groups: High efficiency-high profitability (HEHP), High efficiency-low profitability (HELP), Low efficiency-high profitability (LEHP), and Low efficiency-low profitability (LELP). The HEHP group contained 54 units, which mostly contracted management fee type and had a high meal price. The units were also very large and, served three meals. Twenty of the units were operated with high labor cost: most of these were factories and hospitals. The LEHP group contained 20 units, that were mainly office stores of large scale and medium price. Fifty-four LELP group had a low meal price. A high performance group must have high efficiency, profitability, and satisfaction. The BCC score was over 0.969, the meal price was over 4,116 won, the food cost was over 2,077 won, and meal counts per month were over 10,212 meals.