• Title/Summary/Keyword: failure rate estimation

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Power Distribution System Equipment Failure Rate Analysis for Reliability Estimation (신뢰도 평가를 위한 배전계통 설비기기 고장률 분석)

  • Lee, Hee-Tae;Kim, Jae-Chul;Moon, Jong-Fil;Park, Chang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.370-373
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    • 2004
  • The inside and outside of the country utilities considered that they focused energy and economic aspect for short-term in new environment change of restructure. but it need service reliability preservation and improvement countermeasure, that is no to use existent estimation method for reliability preservation. therefore, analyze the equipment failure rate for suitable reliability preservation through equipment failure rate analysis of power distribution r system and evaluated equipment that is composing power distribution system by the failure rate. This paper estimated failure causes and the TVFR(Time Varying Failure Rate) for main equipment that is composing power distribution system using Weibull distribution.

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A Smooth Estimation of Failure Rate Function (고장률 함수의 평활추정)

  • 나명환;이현우;김재주
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 1997
  • We introduce a method of estimating an unknown failure rate function based on sample data. We estimate failure rate function by a function s from a space of cubic splines constrained to be linear (or constant) in tails using maximum likelihood estimation. The number of knots are determined by Bayesian Information Criterion(BIC). Examples using simulated data are used to illustrate the performance of this method.

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Bayesian Estimation of the Reliability and Failure Rate Functions for the Burr Type-? Failure Model (Burr 고장모형에서 신뢰도와 고장률의 베이지안 추정)

  • 이우동;강상길
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we consider a hierarchical Bayes estimation of the parameter, the reliability and failure rate functions based on type-II censored samples from a Burr type-? failure time model. The Gibbs sampler a, pp.oach brings considerable conceptual and computational simplicity to the calculation of the posterior marginals and reliability. A numerical study is provided.

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Estimation of Failure Rate and Acceleration Factor in Accelerated Life Testing under Type-I Censoring (정시중단 가속수명시험에서 고장률과 가속계수의 추정)

  • Kong, Myung Bock;Park, Il Gwang
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.145-149
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    • 2003
  • We consider the estimation of failure rate and acceleration factor under type-I censoring without using acceleration model when testing is conducted in only one highly accelerated condition. Failure times of an item are assumed to be exponentially distributed. It is also assumed that the uncertainty about the acceleration factor, the failure time contraction ratio between accelerated condition and use condition, can be modeled by the uniform or gamma prior distribution of appropriate parameters. We respectively use Bayes and maximum likelihood approaches to estimate acceleration factor and failure rate in the use condition. An example is given to show how the method can be applied.

A Study on the Mathematical Modeling of Failure Rates Estimation for Asset Management of the Power Transformer (전력용변압기의 자산관리를 위한 고장률 추정기법의 수학적 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • MOU, SHUAILONG;Jang, Kyung-Wook;Baek, Seung-Myung;Shon, Jin-Geun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.66 no.1
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    • pp.33-37
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    • 2017
  • This paper describes the modeling of the failure rate estimation technique for applying the asset management technique to electric power facilities. There are many modeling techniques to estimate the failure rate. In this paper, the characteristics of the normal distribution, exponential distribution, weibull distribution, and piecewise linear functions are discussed. When evaluating reliability, the evaluation may be less meaningful if the sample data is insufficient. Therefore, Weibull distribution and piecewise linear function are adopted as the most suitable functions for estimating the failure rate of power facilities and the resulting failure rate function is derived.

RELIABILITY ESTIMATION FOR A DIGITAL INSTRUMENT AND CONTROL SYSTEM

  • Yaguang, Yang;Russell, Sydnor
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we propose a reliability estimation method for DI&C systems. At the system level, a fault tree model is suggested and Boolean algebra is used to obtain the minimal cut sets. At the component level, an exponential distribution is used to model hardware failures, and Bayesian estimation is suggested to estimate the failure rate. Additionally, a binomial distribution is used to model software failures, and a recently developed software reliability estimation method is suggested to estimate the software failure rate. The overall system reliability is then estimated based on minimal cut sets, hardware failure rates and software failure rates.

Estimation of Concrete Cover Failure Time Considering the Corrosion Rate in Reinforced Concrete Structures (철근 부식속도 예측식을 이용한 철근 피복 파괴 시간 추정)

  • Jang, Bong-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.18 no.2 s.92
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    • pp.233-238
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    • 2006
  • In lifetime estimation, the FEM analysis method is proposed for predicting corrosion failure time of concrete structures exposed to sea-water. This study shows that the corrosion rate of rebar in artificial pore solution can be transferred to the corrosion rate of rebar in concrete using the relationship between pore volume and concrete volume by Jennings' model. And this study considered the pitting corrosion effects of reinforcement bar on corrosion failure analysis, rebar size to cover depth and nonlinear crack analysis. These analysis results have good accordance with the experimental results of Williamson's work. This methodology can be applied to lifetime prediction procedure of reinforced concrete structures and also gives more reasonable results of concrete cover failure time estimation of reinforced concrete structures exposed to sea-water.

Effect of Boundary Conditions of Failure Pressure Models on Reliability Estimation of Buried Pipelines

  • Lee, Ouk-Sub;Pyun, Jang-Sik;Kim, Dong-Hyeok
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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    • v.4 no.6
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    • pp.12-19
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the effect of boundary conditions in various failure pressure models published for the estimation of failure pressure. Furthermore, this approach is extended to the failure prediction with the aid of a failure probability model. The first order Taylor series expansion of the limit state function is used in order to estimate the probability of failure associated with each corrosion defect in buried pipelines for long exposure period with unit of years. A failure probability model based on the von-Mises failure criterion is adapted. The log-normal and standard normal probability functions for varying random variables are adapted. The effects of random variables such as defect depth, pipe diameter, defect length, fluid pressure, corrosion rate, material yield stress, material ultimate tensile strength and pipe thickness on the failure probability of the buried pipelines are systematically investigated for the corrosion pipeline by using an adapted failure probability model and varying failure pressure model.

TRUNCATED SOFTWARE RELIABILITY GROWTH MODEL

  • Prince Williams, D.R.;Vivekanandan, P.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.761-769
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    • 2002
  • Due to the large scale application of software systems, software reliability plays an important role in software developments. In this paper, a software reliability growth model (SRGM) is proposed. The testing time on the right is truncated in this model. The instantaneous failure rate, mean-value function, error detection rate, reliability of the software, estimation of parameters and the simple applications of this model are discussed .

Bayes Estimation for the Rayleigh Failure Model

  • Ko, Jeong-Hwan;Kang, Sang-Gil;Shin, Jae-Kyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we consider a hierarchical Bayes estimation of the parameter, the reliability and hazard rate function based on type-II censored samples from a Rayleigh failure model. Bayes calculations can be implemented easily by means of the Gibbs sampler. A numerical study is provided.

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