• Title/Summary/Keyword: failure parameters

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A Development of a Reliability Prediction Program Using the Field Failure (필드고장을 이용한 신뢰성예측 프로그램 개발)

  • Baek, Jae-Jin;Rhie, Kwang-Won
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2012
  • A Failure data from operating condition includes various failures. Reliability evaluation by operating condition is more correct than test condition. Additional, the evaluation result by operating condition is widely used for quality assurance, forecasting amount of manufacturing at EOL. To discover valuable things from the failure data, arrangement of the failure data and information technique to handle data is needed among many failure data. This paper introduces a reliability prediction program to solve this problem based on the failure. And new technologies for parameters estimation with method of Graphic-Wizard-Parameters-Estimation and Genetic Algorithm are introduced.

The influence of production inconsistencies on the functional failure of GRP pipes

  • Rafiee, Roham;Fakoor, Mahdi;Hesamsadat, Hadi
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.1369-1379
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    • 2015
  • In this study, a progressive damage modeling is developed to predict functional failure pressure of GRP pipes subjected to internal hydrostatic pressure. The modeling procedure predicts both first-ply failure pressure and functional failure pressure associated with the weepage phenomenon. The modeling procedure is validated using experimental observations. The random parameters attributed to the filament winding production process are identified. Consequently, stochastic simulation is conducted to investigate the influence of induced inconsistencies on the functional failure pressures of GRP pipes. The obtained results are compared to realize the degree to which random parameters affect the performance of the pipe in operation.

Life Cycle Cost & Reliability Analysis of Quaywall Design Parameters (안벽 설계변수의 신뢰성 해석과 생애주기비용 분석)

  • Kim, Hong-Yeon;Yoon, Gil-Lim;Yoon, Yeo-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.508-518
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    • 2008
  • Reliability and sensitivity analysis of the design parameters for a section of caisson type quaywall which is the most applicable in Korea were performed. It was tried to estimate probabilities of failure for the system of the multiple failure modes and to analyze LCC in the quaywall structure. The reliability analysis was performed by FORM. Also, sensitivity indices were estimated using the reliability indices, which may be used inferring effects of each design parameter on the reliability indices. As a result, the coefficient of friction between caisson and rubble, the moment by self weight and the moment of resistance mostly affected on the reliability indices in the sliding, overturning and foundation failure, respectively. System reliability theorem was applied in order to estimate the probabilities of failure for the system of the multiple failure modes. As the results of estimation of the probabilities of failure for the system, all cases were more conservative than those for the elements, according to both failure mode and load combination applied to series system. It entirely exceeded the target reliability index, but it was consistent with the theorem. According to the optimum LCC with the width of the caisson, the probability of failure exceeded the target probability of failure at then time. Therefore, it was judged to be insufficient to the practical application.

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The Behaviors of the Material Parameters Affecting PCI Induced-Fuel Failure (핵연료봉의 PCI파손에 영향을 미치는 인자들의 거동분석)

  • Sim, Ki-Seob;Woan Hwang;Sohn, Dong-Seong;Suk, Ho-Chun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.241-245
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    • 1988
  • It is very important to investigate the behaviors of the material parameters governing PCI fuel failure during power ramp because PCI fuel failure is considered to be related to the operations limits of power reactors. In this study, the behavior characteristics of the material parameters such as hoop stress, hoop strain, ridge height, creep strain rate and strain energy in cladding were studied as a function of the operating parameters such as power shock and ramp rate. The FEMAXI-IV fuel rod performance analysis code was used for this study.

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Sensitivity Analyses of Failure Probability of Pipes in Nuclear Power Plants using PRO-LOCA (PRO-LOCA를 이용한 원전 배관의 파손확률에 대한 민감도 해석)

  • Cho, Young Ki;Kim, Sun Hye;Park, Jai Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.136-142
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    • 2014
  • Recently a new version of PRO-LOCA program was released. Using the program, failure probability of pipes can be evaluated considering fatigue and/or stress corrosion crack growth and the effects of various parameters on the integrity of pipes in nuclear power plants can be evaluated quantitatively. The analysis results can be used to establish an inspection plan and to examine the effects of important parameters in a maintenance plan. In this study, sensitivity analyses were performed using the program for several important parameters including sampling method, initial crack size, number of initial fabrication flaws, operation temperature, inspection interval, operation temperature and nominal applied bending stress. The effect of parameters on the leak and rupture probability of pipes was evaluated due to fatigue or stress corrosion crack growth.

Bayesian reliability prediction under event tree (Event tree하에서 베이지안 기법을 이용한 신뢰도 예측)

  • 박철순;전치혁;양희중;장수영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.24-30
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    • 1993
  • When modeling a complex system we use an event tree to analyze propagation of failure. An event tree cannot represent the statistical interrelationships among parameters, but it can be represented as a statistically identical influence diagram so that parameter updating can be easily performed. After updating parameters we can calculate posterior distribution of the failure rate for each path. But exact distribution requires considerably complex numerical integration. We propose an approximation method to calculate the posterior and derive the predictive distribution of the time to next failure. Finally we introduce the system which implements our methodology.

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An Adaptive Failure Rate Change-Point Model for Software Reliability

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.199-207
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    • 2001
  • The failure rate functions between successive failures are of concatenated form. We allow the parameters of failure rate function change after a certain failure and its fixing. We confine out attention to a model wherein the interfailure times are described by its failure rate function. We suggest an adaptive failure rate function with a change-point under the assumption that interfailure times are record value statistics from a Weibull distribution. The proposed model will be applied through a practical example of software failure data.

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Estimation to Shear Strength of Basalt using Lade's Three-dimensional Failure Criterion (Lade의 3차원 파괴규준을 이용한 현무암의 전단강도 산정)

  • Nam, Jung-Man;Yun, Jung-Mann;Song, Young-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2010
  • In this study, a series of triaxial tests to Jeju basalt were carried out and then shear strength parameters of rock were estimated by the Lade's three-dimensional failure criterion. Also, the characteristics of shear strength parameters and failure plane which were estimated by the three-dimensional failure criterion were analyzed and this failure criterion was compared with the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion. The variables of ${\eta}_1$ and m are derived from the relationship between ($I_1^3/I_3-27$) and ($P_a/I_1$) during the failure period using the Lade's three-dimensional failure criterion. The failure plane size of Tracy-basalt has the largest plane and that of Scoria has the smallest plane among other octahedral planes which is the three-dimensional failure plane. Also, the failure plane of Tracy-basalt is formed as a triangle and that of Scoria is formed as a circle among other octahedral planes. As the result of comparison with the triaxial test results and the Lade's failure envelope and the Mohr-Coulomb failure envelope, the Lade's failure envelope matched up under higher stress, while the Mohr-Coulomb failure envelope matched up under lower stress. Also, the Lade's three-dimensional failure plane is larger than the Mohr-Coulomb three-dimensional failure plane. It means that the shear strength parameters estimated by the Lade's failure criterion is larger than that of the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion.

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Limit analysis of 3D rock slope stability with non-linear failure criterion

  • Gao, Yufeng;Wu, Di;Zhang, Fei;Lei, G.H.;Qin, Hongyu;Qiu, Yue
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.59-76
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    • 2016
  • The non-linear Hoek-Brown failure criterion has been widely accepted and applied to evaluate the stability of rock slopes under plane-strain conditions. This paper presents a kinematic approach of limit analysis to assessing the static and seismic stability of three-dimensional (3D) rock slopes using the generalized Hoek-Brown failure criterion. A tangential technique is employed to obtain the equivalent Mohr-Coulomb strength parameters of rock material from the generalized Hoek-Brown criterion. The least upper bounds to the stability number are obtained in an optimization procedure and presented in the form of graphs and tables for a wide range of parameters. The calculated results demonstrate the influences of 3D geometrical constraint, non-linear strength parameters and seismic acceleration on the stability number and equivalent strength parameters. The presented upper-bound solutions can be used for preliminary assessment on the 3D rock slope stability in design and assessing other solutions from the developing methods in the stability analysis of 3D rock slopes.

Estimating Repair Effect and Parameters of Intensity Function under BMS Repair Model (BMS 수리모형하에서 시스템의 수리효과 및 고장강도함수의 모수추정)

  • 윤원영;정석주;정일한;김종운;정상욱
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2000
  • Estimation Problems of parameters of the failure process and the repair effect in repairable systems are considered. We propose estimation procedures in repairable systems without preventive maintenances. The failure process is modeled by a proportional age reduction model (Brown, Mahoney, Sivazlian [5]) which is able to consider both aging and repair effects. Maximum likelihood method is used to estimate the repair effect and parameters of intensity function simultaneously. simulations are performed to evaluate the accuracy of estimators. A numerical example is also presented.

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