• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.356-363
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• 2016

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to propose efficiency of equipment testing the luminance degradation of OLED. Methods: The degradation model of Exponential model and Stretched exponential model is analyzed by goodness of fit test using calculated R-square. The degradation model having the higher R-square is finally selected. Scale parameter and Shape parameter using the selected degradation model is estimated. The activation energy and current density n using peck model among the accelerated model is estimated. the estimated parameters are analyzed by t-test. Results: The results of t-test show that the estimated parameters on chamber and hotplate are equal statistically. we can know the similarity of the luminance degradation rate and degradation pattern on chamber and hotplate. Conclusion: The result of the degradation test on chamber and hotplate is similar. when the accelerated degradation test on the panel of the OLED TV is performed, hotplate is requiring less samples, time and cost than chamber. so the accelerated degradation test on the panel of the OLED TV using the hoplate is efficient of time and cost.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.22 no.5
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• pp.829-837
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• 2011

Since Harvey (1989), many approaches for applying unobserved components (UC) models to both univariate and multivariate time series analysis have been developed. However, practitioners still tend to use traditional methods such as exponential smoothing or ARIMA models for modeling and predicting time series data. It is well known that the UC model combines the flexibility of ARIMA models and the easy interpretability of exponential smoothing models by using unobserved components such as trend, cycle, season, and irregular components. This study reviews the UC model and compares its relative performances with those of the other models in modeling and predicting the real gross domestic products (GDP) in Korea. We conclude that the optimal model is the UC model on basis of root mean squared error.

• Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.19-24
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• 2004

Dose-response models in microbial risk assessment can be divided into biologically plausible models and empirical models. Biologically plausible models are formed by the assumptions in dose distribution of microbes, host sensitivity to microbes, and minimal infectious dose of microbes : there are Exponential model and $\beta$-Poisson model, representatively. Empirical models are mainly used to express the toxicity of chemicals : there are Weibull-Gamma model etc. Deviance function (Y) is used to fit available data to dose-response models, and some dose-response models for food-borne pathogens are developed in humans and experimental animals.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.343-356
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• 2023

Purpose - This study attempted to predict short-term transportation demand using trains and getting off at Gangchon Station. Through this, we present numerical data necessary for future tourist inflow policies in the Gangchon area of Chuncheon and present related implications. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected and analyzed transportation demand data from Gangchon Station using the Gyeongchun Line and ITX-Cheongchun Train from January 2014 to August 2023. Winters exponential smoothing model and ARIMA model were used to reflect the trend and seasonality of the raw data. Findings - First, transportation demand using trains to get off at Gangchon Station in Chuncheon City is expected to show a continuous increase from 2020 until the forecast period is 2024. Second, the number of passengers getting off at Gangchon Station was found to be highest in May and October. Research implications or Originality - As transportation networks are improving nationwide and people's leisure culture is changing, the number of tourists visiting the Gangchon area in Chuncheon City is continuously decreasing. Therefore, in this study, a time series model was used to predict short-term transportation demand alighting at Gangchon Station. In order to calculate more accurate forecasts, we compared models to find an appropriate model and presented forecasts.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.30 no.1
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• pp.41-61
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• 2001

The minimum negative exponential disparity estimator(MNEDE), introduced by Lindsay(1994), is an excellenet competitor to the minimum Hellinger distance estimator(Beran 1977) as a robust and yet efficient alternative to the maximum likelihood estimator in parametric models. In this paper we define the negative exponential deviance test(NEDT) as an analog of the likelihood ratio test(LRT), and show that the NEDT is asymptotically equivalent to he LRT at the model and under a sequence of contiguous alternatives. We establish that the asymptotic strong breakdown point for a class of minimum disparity estimators, containing the MNEDE, is at least 1/2 in continuous models. This result leads us to anticipate robustness of the NEDT under data contamination, and we demonstrate it empirically. In fact, in the simulation settings considered here the empirical level of the NEDT show more stability than the Hellinger deviance test(Simpson 1989). The NEDT is illustrated through an example data set. We also define a goodness-of-fit statistic to assess adequacy of a specified parametric model, and establish its asymptotic normality under the null hypothesis.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.25 no.5
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• pp.356-368
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• 2003

This paper analyzes the characteristics of packet losses in mobile computing environments based on the Gilbert model and then describes a mechanism that can recover the lost audio packets using redundant data. Using information periodically reported by a receiver, the sender dynamically adjusts the amount and offset values of redundant data with the constraint of minimizing the bandwidth consumption of wireless links. Since mobile computing environments can be often characterized by frequent and consecutive packet losses, loss recovery mechanism need to deal efficiently with both random and consecutive packet losses. To achieve this, the suggested mechanism uses relatively large, discontinuous exponential offset values. That gives the same effect as using both the sequential and interleaving redundant information. To verify the effectiveness of the mechanism, we extended and implemented RTP/RTCP and applications. The experimental results show that our mechanism, with an exponential offset, achieves a remarkably low complete packet loss rate and adapts dynamically to the fluctuation of the packet loss pattern in mobile computing environments.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.17 no.31
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• pp.1-10
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• 1994

The purpose of this study is to search for the most effective forecasting model for condenser with independent demand among the quantitative methods such as Brown's exponential smoothing method, Box-Jenkins method, and multiple regression analysis method. The criterion for the comparison of the above models is mean squared error(MSE). The fitting results of these three methods are as follows. 1) Brown's exponential smoothing method is the simplest one, which means the method is easy to understand compared to others. But the precision is inferior to other ones. 2) Box-Jenkins method requires much historic data and takes time to get to the final model, although the precision is superior to that of Brown's exponential smoothing method. 3) Regression method explains the correlation between parts with similiar demand pattern, and the precision is the best out of three methods. Therefore, it is suggested that the multiple regression method is fairly good in precision for forecasting our item and that the method is easily applicable to practice.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.259-269
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• 1997

Bayesian inference for a record value statistics(RVS) model of nonhomogeneous Poisson process is considered. We seal with Bayesian inference for double exponential, Gamma, Rayleigh, Gumble RVS models using Gibbs sampling and Metropolis algorithm and also explore Bayesian computation and model selection.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• v.5 no.2
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• pp.277-284
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• 1998

The reliability and an estimate for it are derived for series-parallel and parallel-deries stress-strength model under assumption that all components are subjected to a common stress. We also obtain the asymptotic normal distribution of the estimate.

• The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.306-311
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• 2016

Software reliability in the software development process is an important issue. Infinite failure NHPP software reliability models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, reliability software cost model considering logarithmic and exponential fault detection rate based on observations from the process of software product testing was studied. Adding new fault probability using the Goel-Okumoto model that is widely used in the field of reliability problems presented. When correcting or modifying the software, finite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process model. For analysis of software reliability model considering the time-dependent fault detection rate, the parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation of inter-failure time data was made. The logarithmic and exponential fault detection model is also efficient in terms of reliability because it (the coefficient of determination is 80% or more) in the field of the conventional model can be used as an alternative could be confirmed. From this paper, the software developers have to consider life distribution by prior knowledge of the software to identify failure modes which can be able to help.