• 제목/요약/키워드: expected loss

검색결과 1,259건 처리시간 0.025초

The Design and Implementation of Dog Loss Prevention Device Combining Wireless Communication and GPS Technology

  • Kwak, Ho-Young;Chang, Jin-Wook;Huh, Jisoon
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.103-109
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    • 2019
  • Recently, as the number of families raising dogs has increased, cases of lost dogs have frequently occurred. According to US statistics, 5% of the total dogs are reported to be alive, with only 18% reporting to their owners. Therefore, a device for preventing the loss of dogs is needed, and the demand for the market is rapidly growing. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a lost device for dogs. In this paper, we developed a loss prevention device that combines low-power broadband wireless communication technology, LoRa communication method, and GPS positioning technology. The result of this study is expected to prevent the loss of dogs. It is also expected that social problems will reduce the problem of lost dogs.

시공단계의 사고손실 비용 기반 건설안전 위험성 평가 방안 (Construction Safety Risk Assessment Method Based on Accident Loss Cost in the Construction Phase)

  • 이재현;정재욱;정재민
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2023년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.407-408
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    • 2023
  • This article proposes a method to assess construction safety risk during the construction phase based on accident loss costs. Risk assessments for hazardous construction work are required by law, but they lack quantitative criteria. To address this, a survey estimated loss costs due to fatalities in the construction industry, finding labor loss cost and delay reimbursement cost to be the largest factors. The proposed method uses algorithm to calculate expected accidents and risk levels based on project characteristics, work methods, personnel, and environment data. This method is expected to enhance the reliability and usability of risk assessments during the construction phase of construction projects.

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기대손실함수를 이용한 다특성치 강건설계 (The Robust Design of Multiple Characteristics using Expected Loss Fuction)

  • 조용욱;박명규
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제24권63호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2001
  • When designing the parameter on the multiple quality characteristics, there has been a study for optimization of problems, but there has been few former study on the possible conflicting phenomena in consideration of the correlations among the characteristics. To solve the issue on the optimal design for multiple quality characteristics, this study propose the expected loss function with cross-product terms among the characteristics and derived range of the coefficients of the terms. The model will be used to determine the global optimal design parameters where there exists the conflict among the characteristics, which shows difference in optimal design parameters for the individual characteristics. Also, when an adjustment factor exists for each m performance characteristics, this research propose a method by minimizing the expected loss after adjustment.

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역정규 손실함수를 이용한 기대손실 능력지수의 개발 (Development of Expected Loss Capability Index Using Reflected Normal Loss Function)

  • 전동진;정영배
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2017
  • Process quality control, which prevents problems and risks that may occur in products and processes, has been recognized as an important issue, and SPC techniques have been used for this purpose. Process Capability Index (PCI) is useful Statistical Process Control (SPC) tool that is measure of process diagnostic and assessment tools widely use in industrial field. It has advantage of easy to calculate and easy to use in the field. $C_p$ and $C_{pk}$ are traditional PCIs. These traditional $C_p$ and $C_{pk}$ were used only as a measure of process capability, taking into account the quality variance or the bias of the process mean. These are not given information about the characteristic value does not match the target value of the process and this has the disadvantage that it is difficult to assess the economic losses that may arise in the enterprise. Studies of this process capability index by many scholars actively for supplement of its disadvantage. These studies to evaluate the capability of situation of various field has presented a new process capability index. $C_{pm}$ is considers both the process variation and the process deviation from target value. And $C_{pm}{^+}$ is considers economic loss for the process deviation from target value. In this paper we developed an improved Expected Loss Capability Index using Reflected Normal Loss Function of Spring. This has the advantage that it is easy to realistically reflect the loss when the specification is asymmetric around the target value. And check the correlation between existing traditional process capability index ($C_{pk}$) and new one. Finally, we propose the criteria for classification about developed process capability index.

시뮬레이션 기법을 이용한 운영리스크 평가 (Simulation-Based Operational Risk Assessment)

  • 황명수;이영재
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.129-139
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a framework of Operational Risk-based Business Continuity System(ORBCS), and develops protection system for operational risk through operational risk assessment and loss distribution approach based on risk management guideline announced in the basel II. In order to find out financial operational risk, business processes of domestic bank are assorted by seven event factors and eight business activities so that we can construct the system. After we find out KRI(Key Risk Indicator) index, tasks and risks, we calculated risk possibility and expected cost by analyzing quantitative data, questionnaire and qualitative approach for AHP model from the past events. Furthermore, we can assume unexpected cost loss by using loss distribution approach presented in the basel II. Each bank can also assume expected loss distributions of operational risk by seven event factors and eight business activities. In this research, we choose loss distribution approach so that we can calculate operational risk. In order to explain number of case happened, we choose poisson distribution, log-normal distribution for loss cost, and estimate model for Monte-Carlo simulation. Through this process which is measured by operational risk. of ABC bank, we find out that loss distribution approach explains closer unexpected cost directly compared than internal measurement approach, and makes less unexpected cost loss.

Improved Estimation of Poisson Menas under Balanced Loss Function

  • Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.767-772
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    • 2000
  • Zellner(1994) introduced the notion of a balanced loss function in the context of a general liner model to reflect both goodness of fit and precision of estimation. We study the perspective of unifying a variety of results both frequentist and Bayesian from Poisson distributions. We show that frequentist and Bayesian results for balanced loss follow from and also imply related results for quadratic loss functions reflecting only precision of estimation. Several examples are given for Poisson distribution.

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일반적 손실함수 하에서의 파라미터 설계방법 (Parameter Design under General Loss Functions)

  • 정현석;고선우;염봉진
    • 산업공학
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 1994
  • In a recent article, Leon et al. lucidly explained the ideas of the Taguchi two-stage procedure for parameter design optimization, and proposed alternative performance measures called PerMIA to the signal-to-noise ratios. On the other hand, Box proposed an empirical approach to the problem based upon monotone transformations of the performance characteristic(y). This paper develops procedures for parameter design optimization under the assumptions that the expected loss(not necessarily a mean squared error loss) is increasing with respect to the variance of the error in y, and that the mean of y satisfies certain conditions of adjustability. It turns out that the variance of the error in y can play the role of PerMIA, and it is further shown that the derived PerMIA can be adapted to the Box empirical procedure for the minimization of the expected loss in the original metric.

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A Win/Lose prediction model of Korean professional baseball using machine learning technique

  • Seo, Yeong-Jin;Moon, Hyung-Woo;Woo, Yong-Tae
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a new model for predicting effective Win/Loss in professional baseball game in Korea using machine learning technique. we used basic baseball data and Sabermetrics data, which are highly correlated with score to predict and we used the deep learning technique to learn based on supervised learning. The Drop-Out algorithm and the ReLu activation function In the trained neural network, the expected odds was calculated using the predictions of the team's expected scores and expected loss. The team with the higher expected rate of victory was predicted as the winning team. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model, we compared the actual percentage of win, pythagorean expectation, and win percentage of the proposed model.

다변량 파라미터설계법에서 SN비 산출방법 (Signal-to-Noise Ratio for Parameter Design with Several Quality Characteristics)

  • 김상익
    • 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국품질경영학회 1998년도 The 12th Asia Quality Management Symposium* Total Quality Management for Restoring Competitiveness
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    • pp.610-621
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    • 1998
  • In parameter design introduced by Taguchi, we analyze a signal-to-noise(SN) ratio. The SN ratio is a function of the expected loss due to the variation of quality characteristic. In this paper, an easy way for developing SN ratios is presented, which can be used to several quality characteristics simultaneously in parameter design. To develop such multivariate SN ratios, the transformation method of the expected loss and combining techniques are employed. And the analysis of real empirical data for an application of the proposed method is also presented.

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파라미터설계법의 다특성 성능척도 산출방법 (A Performance Measure for Parameter Design with Several Quality Characteristics)

  • 김상익
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 1999
  • In parameter design introduced by Taguchi, we analyze a performance measure, so called SN ratio. The SN ratio is a function of the expected loss due to the variation of quality characteristic. In this paper, an easy way for developing performance measures is presented, which can be used to control several quality characteristics simultaneously in parameter design. To develop such multivariate performance measures, the transformation method of the expected loss and combining techniques are employed. And the analysis of real empirical data for an application of the proposed method is also presented.

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