• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation of water quality

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Time series Analysis of State-space Model and Multiplication ARIMA Model in Dissolved Oxygen Simulation (용존산소 농도모의시 상태공간모형과 승법 ARIMA모형의 시계열 분석)

  • 이원호;서인석;한양수
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the stochastic stream water quality model for the intake station of Chung-Ju city waterworks in the Han river system. This model was based on the theory of Box-Jenkins Multiplicative ARIMA(SARIMA) and the state space model to simulate changes of water qualities. Variable of water qualities included in the model are temperature and dissolved oxygen(DO). The models development were based on the data obtained from Jan. 1990 to Dec. 1997 and followed the typical procedures of the Box-Jenkins method including identification and estimation. The seasonality of DO and temperature data to formulate for the SARIMA model are conspicuous and the period of revolution was twelve months. Both models had seasonality of twelve months and were formulates as SARIMA {TEX}$(2,1,1)(1,1,1)_{12}${/TEX} for DO and temperature. The models were validated by testing normality and independency of the residuals. The prediction ability of SARIMA model and state space model were tested using the data collected from Jan. 1998 to Oct. 1999. There were good agreements between the model predictions and the field measurements. The performance of the SARIMA model and state space model were examined through comparisons between the historical and generated monthly dissolved oxygen series. The result reveal that the state space model lead to the improved accuracy.

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Designing of the Beheshtabad water transmission tunnel based on the hybrid empirical method

  • Mohammad Rezaei;Hazhar Habibi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.86 no.5
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    • pp.621-633
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    • 2023
  • Stability analysis and support system estimation of the Beheshtabad water transmission tunnel is investigated in this research. A combination approach based on the rock mass rating (RMR) and rock mass quality index (Q) is used for this purpose. In the first step, 40 datasets related to the petrological, structural, hydrological, physical, and mechanical properties of tunnel host rocks are measured in the field and laboratory. Then, RMR, Q, and height of influenced zone above the tunnel roof are computed and sorted into five general groups to analyze the tunnel stability and determine its support system. Accordingly, tunnel stand-up time, rock load, and required support system are estimated for five sorted rock groups. In addition, various empirical relations between RMR and Q i.e., linear, exponential, logarithmic, and power functions are developed using the analysis of variance (ANOVA). Based on the significance level (sig.), determination coefficient (R2) and Fisher-test (F) indices, power and logarithmic equations are proposed as the optimum relations between RMR and Q. To validate the proposed relations, their results are compared with the results of previous similar equations by using the variance account for (VAF), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and mean absolute error (MAE) indices. Comparison results showed that the accuracy of proposed RMR-Q relations is better than the previous similar relations and their outputs are more consistent with actual data. Therefore, they can be practically utilized in designing the tunneling projects with an acceptable level of accuracy and reliability.

A Random Sampling Method in Estimating the Mean Areal Precipitation Using Kriging (임의 추출방식 크리깅을 이용한 평균면적우량의 추정)

  • 이상일
    • Water for future
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 1993
  • A new method to estimate the mean areal precipitation using kriging is developed. Unlike the conventional approach, points for double and quadruple numerical integrations in the kriging equation are selected randomly, given the boundary of area of interest. This feature eliminates the conventional approach's necessity of dividing the area into subareas and calculating the center of each subarea, which in turn makes the developed method more powerful in the case of complex boundaries. The algorithm to select random points within an arbitrary boundary, based on the theory of complex variables, is described. The results of Monte Carlo simulation showed that the error associated with estimation using randomly selected points is inversely proportional to the square root of the number of sampling points.

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Exploration for Underwater Topography using Interferomtric Metho (간섭계 방식을 이용한 수중지형탐사 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Myoung-Bae;Kwak, Kang-Yul
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.275-281
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    • 2011
  • To acquire an underwater topographic information is necessary for the design and construction of structures in marine and inland water. It consists of water depth information by bathymetric survey and underwater bottom topography image information can be obtained by side scan sonar in different ways. For the purpose of providing high quality data by means of engineering site survey, it is necessary to apply simultaneous acquisition of two information and carry out the integrated interpretation to each other. The present research aims to obtain information of the underwater topography and water depth at the same time using interferometer technique, and to validate interferometer technique with accuracy estimation.

GIS AND WEB-BASED DSS FOR PRELIMINARY TMDL DEVELOPMENT

  • Choi, Jin-Yong;Bernard A. Engel;Yoon, Kwang-Sik
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2003
  • TMDL development and implementation have great potential fur use in efforts to improve water quality management, but the TMDL approach still has several difficulties to overcome in terms of cost, time requirements, and suitable methodologies. A well-defined prioritization approach for identifying watersheds of concern among several tar-get locations that would benefit from TMDL development and implementation, based on a simple screening approach, could be a major step in solving some of these difficulties. Therefore, a web-based decision support system (DSS) was developed to help identify areas within watersheds that might be priority areas for TMDL development. The DSS includes a graphical user interface based on the HTML protocol, hydrological models, databases, and geographic information system (GIS) capabilities. The DSS has a hydrological model that can estimate non-point source pollution loading based on over 30 years of daily direct runoff using the curve number method and pollutant event mean concentration data. The DSS provides comprehensive output analysis tools using charts and tables, and also provides probability analysis and best management practice cost estimation. In conclusion, the DSS is a simple, affordable tool for the preliminary study of TMDL development via the Internet, and the DSS web site can also be used as an information web server for education related to TMDL.

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Effect of Sampling Frequency During Storm Period on Estimation of Pollutant Load from Paddy Field (강우시 채수빈도가 논 오염부하량 산정에 미치는 영향)

  • Han, Kuk-Heon;Kim, Jin-Ho;Lee, Jong-Sik;Lee, Jeong-Taek;Cho, Jae-Young;Yoon, Kwang-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2005
  • In order to examine effects of sampling frequency during rainfall-runoff process from paddy field on the estimation of pollution load, EMCs of several water sampling frequencies were examined. Water quality samples were conducted by every two hours interval for each event. It was found that difference of load estimation between five times sampling and two hours consecutive sampling during rainfall-runoff showed $15.2{\sim}-15.2%$ for T-N, $20.0{\sim}-26.2%$ for T-P, $28.6{\sim}-35.7%$ for the SS, respectively. In the same way, the effects of number of sampling data on estimation of pollution load using runoff-mass load(L-Q) method were investigated. L-Q equation made of five times sampling data provided 10% differences in estimation of mass loads of T-N, T-P, and SS when compared to those by L-Q equation using entire two hours consecutive sampling data during runoff process.

Estimation of Spatio-temporal soil moisture and drought index based on MODIS multi-satellite images (MODIS 다중 위성영상 기반의 토양수분 및 가뭄지수 산정연구)

  • Chung, Jeehun;Kim, Juyeon;Kim, Hyeongseok;Jeong, Daeun;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.446-446
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 MODIS(MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) 다중 위성영상을 기반으로 전국 시공간 토양수분 및 토양수분 기반의 가뭄지수 SWDI(Soil Water Deficit Index)를 산정하였다. 시공간 토양수분의 산정을 위해 입력자료로 MODIS 위성의 지표면온도(Land Surface Temperature, LST), 증발산 및 식생(Enhanced Vegetation Index, EVI; Fraction of Photosynthetically Active Radiation, FPAR; Leaf Area Index, LAI; Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI) 관련 산출물 자료와 지상 관측자료인 일 단위 강수량 자료를 구축하였다. MODIS 위성영상은 산출물별로 제공되는 QC(Quality Control) 영상을 활용해 보정을 수행하였고, 공간 강수량 자료는 기상청에서 제공하는 전국 92개 지점의 종관기상관측자료를 구축하여 공간보간기법인 역거리가중법을 적용해 생성하였다. 실측 토양수분은 농촌진흥청에서 제공하는 76개 지점의 토양 깊이 10 cm에 설치된 TDR(Time Domain Reflectomerty) 센서에서 측정된 토양수분 자료를 활용하였으며, 토양수분 모의 시 토양 속성을 고려하기 위해 국립농업과학원에서 제공하는 토양도를 구축하여 활용하였다. 토양수분 산정 모형은 다중선형회귀모형(Multiple Linear Regression Model, MLRM)을 활용하였으며, 계절 및 토성에 따른 회귀식을 산정하였다. 회귀식 기반의 토양수분과 토성별 포장용수량 및 영구위조점 값을 이용하여 SWDI를 산정하고, 실제 가뭄 발생 시기 및 지역과의 비교하고자 한다.

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A Study on the Positive Economic Values of Rain After a Long Drought: for the Rainfall Case of 20~21 April, 2009 (오랜 가뭄 뒤 내린 비에 대한 긍정적 측면의 경제적 가치 연구: 2009년 4월 20~21일 강수 사례 중심으로)

  • Lee, Young-Gon;Kim, Baek-Jo;Cha, Kee-Uk;Park, Gil-Un;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.173-186
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    • 2010
  • The impact of the precipitation has been focused on losses in social and economical sectors. However, as growing the concerns of the future water shortage caused by the climate change, the precipitation should be consider in various views for an effective planning in the water resource management. A precipitation case occurred from 20 to 21 April 2009 was recorded as a welcome rain because it reduced the severe drought continued in Korea from winter season of 2008. In this study, economic values of the event was calculated with positive aspects in various sectors. The estimation is based on four major parts such as a secure of water resources, the improvement of air quality, the decrease of forest fires, and the reduction of the drought impact. The water resources only considered inflow waters into dams and the reservoirs managed by Korean public institutions and their economic values accounts for 5.92 billion won. Decreases of four air pollutants($PM_{10}$, $NO_2$, CO, and $SO_2$) were considered as the positive effects of the rainfall and estimated 175.4 billion won. The preventive effect of the forest fire after the rainfall results in 0.48 billion won. Finally, the rainfall during the drought period is effective to reduce the social costs of 108.65 billion won. Although the economic values estimated in this study explain parts of the positive effects of the precipitation, it can help to develop a comprehensive and systematic valuation system for the whole process of the precipitation. For doing this, various rainfall types should be analyzed in social-economic terms including economics, environments and hydrology.

Estimation of Water Purification Ability with Applying Porous Concrete to Weir and Riverbed Materials (다공성 콘크리트의 보 및 하상재료 적용에 따른 하천 수질정화 능력 평가)

  • Choi, I-Song;Kim, Jin-Hong;Choi, Gye-Woon;Oh, Jong-Min
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.1013-1023
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    • 2003
  • This study was performed to improve water quality of stream by applying hydraulic structures (weir and river bed material) made of porous concrete. The physical and chemical characteristics of porous concrete were measured to estimate application possibility of it in hydraulic structures and it was considered as a proper material for the hydraulic structures. In the results of comparison for the component of matters attached on the hydraulic structures made of porous and ordinary concrete, DW (dry weight) amount attached on porous concrete was 1.6 times higher than that on ordinary concrete under the condition of the same flow rate but influence by flow rate (difference of 10 times) was not shown. Therefore, we could understand that the material of media was more important in DW amount than flow rate. The rate of AFDM (ash free dry mass) to DW also was more at porous concrete than at ordinary concrete. Especially, the high rates of nitrogen and phosphorous in matters attached on porous concrete verify that they were removed by assimilation, adsorption and metabolism of periphyton. The removal percentage of SS, BOD, COD, T-N and T-P by hydraulic structures applying porous concrete compared with ordinary concrete was increased by 34.6%, 36.9%, 33.9%, 18.3% and 21.6%, respectively. Therefore, applying porous concrete to hydraulic structure is expected to contribute to improvement of stream water quality.

Parameter Estimation of the Water Quality model using the Inverse Theory (역산이론을 이용한 수질모형의 매개변수 추정)

  • Cho, Bum-Jun;Cho, Hong-Yeon;Jeong, Shin-Taek
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.469-473
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    • 2005
  • 수질모형의 지배방정식에서 정의되는 대표적인 수질매개변수는 유역 및 대기로부터의 오염부하량 퇴적물로부터의 오염물질 용출부하량, 확산계수. 반응계수 등으로 직접적인 관측이 곤란할 뿐만 아니라 많은 관측비용을 필요로 한다. 본 연구에서는 매개변수를 포함한 오염물질 수지방정식을 구성하고, 구성된 선형 연립방정식을 이용함으로써 계산된 농도분포자료와 관측된 시계열 농도분포자료를 이용하여 계산한 질량변화량의 차이를 최소화하는 역산문제를 구성하여 모형의 매개변수를 추정하는 방법을 제시하였다. 이 방법을 이용하여 천수만, 울산만(울산항) 해역에서 관측된 연직방향 농도분포 자료를 이용하여 확산계수 및 대기로부터의 오염부하량, 퇴적물로부터의 오염물질 용출율, 확산$\cdot$반응에 의한 오염물질 변화량 등을 추정하였으며, 추정 매개변수는 시기적으로 변동이 크게 나타났다. 반면, 추정매개변수를 이용한 관측자료와 계산결과를 비교한 결과, RMS 오차는 관측자료 범위의 $5.0\% 이하, 일치지수는 0.95 이상으로 본 방법을 이용한 매개변수 추정결과의 신뢰성은 우수한 것으로 파악되었다.

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